• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull distribution analysis

Search Result 427, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Comparative Analysis of Design Drought Flow by L-Moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions (Weibull -3 및 Wakeby 분포의 L-모멘크법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석)

  • 이순혁;박종화;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
    • /
    • 1999.10c
    • /
    • pp.531-536
    • /
    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design drought flows by the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the annual drought flows series at seven watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation , L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectivley. Parameters were estimated by the Methods o fL-Moments with continuous duration. Design drought flows obtained by Methods of L-Moments using Weibull plotting positions formula in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME), Relative Absolute Errors (RAE) and Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design drought flows by the Wakeby distribution using method of L-moments are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the Weibull-3 distribution using method of L-moments.

  • PDF

Analysis of Probability Distribution of Muzzle Velocity for Chrome Plated Barrel (크롬도금 포열의 포구속도 확률분포 특성 분석)

  • Kim, Jaekab;Kim, Jaehoon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.401-407
    • /
    • 2021
  • To confirm the change of muzzle velocity and the most suitable probability distribution model of the 155 mm K9 howitzer barrel with chrome plating and changed rifling. Using a statistical program, the muzzle velocity were plotted on a normal distribution, a 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution on a probability paper. Also, statistical parameters were estimated and muzzle velocity fitness test and probability of K676 charge were plotted. In both the chrome-plated with standard rifling and changed rifling for K9 barrel, the 2-parameter and 3-parameter Weibull distribution were skewed to the left compared to the normal distribution. It was confirmed that the muzzle velocity of the K9 barrel with chromium-plated is suitable for the normal distribution and 3-parameter Weibull distribution model.

A Study on the Wind rower Generation and Its Economic Feasibility at Daekwanryung (대관령 풍력단지의 풍력발전량 및 경제성 분석)

  • Ha Jeong-woo;Kim Suduk
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
    • /
    • v.14 no.2 s.42
    • /
    • pp.123-132
    • /
    • 2005
  • An economic feasibility study is performed for the wind power generation with the examination of the wind speed and its distribution at Daekwanryung at which a wind fm is under construction. In this analysis, the distribution of wind speed is the key issue. The wind distribution which is usually expressed in terms of Weibull distribution with shape factor and scale factor needs to be reexamined to find the proper values of them according to the empirical wind speed data. After this kind of analysis is done, annual power generation of wind is calculated. Due to the lack of cost information, we applied EWEA data instead or the actual information from the site. The result would be of use to determine the 'reference price' of wind power under the current system of 'compensating subsidy for renewable power generation'.

Reliability Analysis of Multi-functional Multi-state Standby System Using Weibull Distribution (와이블 분포를 이용한 다기능 다중상태 대기시스템의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
    • /
    • v.40 no.3
    • /
    • pp.138-147
    • /
    • 2017
  • As the functions and structure of the system are complicated and elaborated, various types of structures are emerging to increase reliability in order to cope with a system requiring higher reliability. Among these, standby systems with standby components for each major component are mainly used in aircraft or power plants requiring high reliability. In this study, we consider a standby system with a multi-functional standby component in which one standby component simultaneously performs the functions of several major components. The structure of a parallel system with multifunctional standby components can also be seen in real aircraft hydraulic pump systems and is very efficient in terms of weight, space, and cost as compared to a basic standby system. All components of the system have complete operation, complete failure, only two states, and the system has multiple states depending on the state of the component. At this time, the multi-functional standby component is assumed to be in a non-operating standby state (Cold Standby) when the main component fails. In addition, the failure rate of each part follows the Weibull distribution which can be expressed as increasing type, constant type, and decreasing type according to the shape parameter. If the Weibull distribution is used, it can be applied to various environments in a realistic manner compared to the exponential distribution that can be reflected only when the failure rate is constant. In this paper, Markov chain analysis method is applied to evaluate the reliability of multi-functional multi-state standby system. In order to verify the validity of the reliability, a graph was generated by applying arbitrary shape parameters and scale parameter values through Excel. In order to analyze the effect of multi-functional multi-state standby system using Weibull distribution, we compared the reliability based on the most basic parallel system and the standby system.

Novel estimation based on a minimum distance under the progressive Type-II censoring scheme

  • Young Eun Jeon;Suk-Bok Kang;Jung-In Seo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.30 no.4
    • /
    • pp.411-421
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper provides a new estimation equation based on the concept of a minimum distance between the empirical and theoretical distribution functions under the most widely used progressive Type-II censoring scheme. For illustrative purposes, simulated and real datasets from a three-parameter Weibull distribution are analyzed. For comparison, the most popular estimation methods, the maximum likelihood and maximum product of spacings estimation methods, are developed together. In the analysis of simulated datasets, the excellence of the provided estimation method is demonstrated through the degree of the estimation failure of the likelihood-based method, and its validity is demonstrated through the mean squared errors and biases of the estimators obtained from the provided estimation equation. In the analysis of the real dataset, two types of goodness-of-fit tests are performed on whether the observed dataset has the three-parameter Weibull distribution under the progressive Type-II censoring scheme, through which the performance of the new estimation equation provided is examined.

Wave Analysis Method for Offshore Wind Power Design Suitable for Suitable for Ulsan Area

  • Woobeom Han;Kanghee Lee;Seungjae Lee
    • New & Renewable Energy
    • /
    • v.20 no.2
    • /
    • pp.2-16
    • /
    • 2024
  • Various loads induced by marine environmental conditions, such as waves, currents, and wind, are crucial for the operation and viability of offshore wind power (OWP) systems. In particular, waves have a significant impact on the stress and fatigue load of offshore structures, and highly reliable design parameters should be derived through extreme value analysis (EVA) techniques. In this study, extreme wave analyses were conducted with various Weibull distribution models to determine the reliable design parameters of an OWP system suitable for the Ulsan area. Forty-three years of long-term hindcast data generated by a numerical wave model were adopted as the analyses data, and the least-squares method was used to estimate the parameters of the distribution function for EVA. The inverse first-order reliability method was employed as the EVA technique. The obtained results were compared among themselves under the assumption that the marginal probability distributions were 2p, 3p, and exponentiated Weibull distributions.

Reliability Analysis and Fatigue Models of Concrete under Flexural or Split Tensional Cyclic Loadings (휨 또는 쪼갬인장 반복하중을 받는 콘크리트의 신뢰성 해석과 피로모델 제안)

  • Kim Dong-Ho;Sim Do-Sik;Kim Sung-Hwan;Yun Kyong-Ku
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
    • /
    • v.16 no.5 s.83
    • /
    • pp.581-589
    • /
    • 2004
  • This paper compares the fatigue behaviors of concretes subjected to flexural and split-tensional loadings, and proposes the fatigue reliability models based on experimental results and reliability analysis. The fatigue tests were performed for the specimens of $150 mm{\times}75 mm$ split tensional cylinders and $150 mm{\times}150 mm{\times}550 mm$ flexural beams under constant loadings at three levels (70, 80 and $90\%$) with 0.1 stress ratio, 20 Hz loading speed and sine wave. The reliability analysis on fatigue data was based on Weibull distribution of two-parameters. From fatigue test results, two criteria were proposed to reject the experimental fatigue data because of statistical variation of concrete fatigue data. Two parameters ($\alpha$and u) of Weibull distribution were obtained using graphical method, moment method and maximum likelihood method. The probability density function(P.D.F) and cumulative distribution function(C.D.F) of the Weibull distribution for fatigue life of pavement concrete were derived for various stress levels using parameters, $\alpha$ and u. The goodness-of-fit test by Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was acceptable at $5\%$ level of significance. Based on reliability analysis, a fatigue model for pavement concrete was proposed and compared from existing models.

Degradation reliability modeling of plain concrete for pavement under flexural fatigue loading

  • Jia, Yanshun;Liu, Guoqiang;Yang, Yunmeng;Gao, Ying;Yang, Tao;Tang, Fanlong
    • Advances in concrete construction
    • /
    • v.9 no.5
    • /
    • pp.469-478
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study aims to establish a new methodological framework for the evaluation of the evolution of the reliability of plain concrete for pavement vs number of cycles under flexural fatigue loading. According to the framework, a new method calculating the reliability was proposed through probability simulation in order to describe a random accumulation of fatigue damage, which combines reliability theory, one-to-one probability density functions transformation technique, cumulative fatigue damage theory and Weibull distribution theory. Then the statistical analysis of flexural fatigue performance of cement concrete tested was carried out utilizing Weibull distribution. Ultimately, the reliability for the tested cement concrete was obtained by the proposed method. Results indicate that the stochastic evolution behavior of concrete materials under fatigue loading can be captured by the established framework. The flexural fatigue life data of concrete at different stress levels is well described utilizing the two-parameter Weibull distribution. The evolution of reliability for concrete materials tested in this study develops by three stages and may corresponds to develop stages of cracking. The proposed method may also be available for the analysis of degradation behaviors under non-fatigue conditions.

Comparison of Wind Energy Density Distribution Using Meteorological Data and the Weibull Parameters (기상데이터와 웨이블 파라메타를 이용한 풍력에너지밀도분포 비교)

  • Hwang, Jee-Wook;You, Ki-Pyo;Kim, Han-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.30 no.2
    • /
    • pp.54-64
    • /
    • 2010
  • Interest in new and renewable energies like solar energy and wind energy is increasing throughout the world due to the rapidly expanding energy consumption and environmental reasons. An essential requirement for wind force power generation is estimating the size of wind energy accurately. Wind energy is estimated usually using meteorological data or field measurement. This study attempted to estimate wind energy density using meteorological data on daily mean wind speed and the Weibull parameters in Seoul, a representative inland city where over 60% of 15 story or higher apartments in Korea are situated, and Busan, Incheon, Ulsan and Jeju that are major coastal cities in Korea. According to the results of analysis, the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the daily mean wind speed agreed well with the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the Weibull parameters. This finding suggests that the Weibull parameters, which is highly applicable and convenient, can be utilized to estimate the wind energy density distribution of each area. Another finding was that wind energy density was higher in coastal cities Busan and Incheon than in inland city Seoul.

Stability Analysis of the Ignition Coil using Partial Discharge (부분방전법을 이용한 점화코일의 안정도 해석)

  • Park, Hee-Doo;Kim, Tag-Yong;Shin, Hyun-Taek;Kim, Weon-Jong;Shin, Jong-Yeol;Hong, Jin-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.21 no.1 s.73
    • /
    • pp.53-58
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper has been addressed on the discharge characteristics of the ignition coil by Weibull function. It analyzed discharge number and amount of discharge using Weibull distribution to know the inter-relationship between partial discharge and mileage. We detected the discharge which happens for 10 seconds. The applied voltage increased by 0.5[kV] at discharge inception voltage. We diagnosed failure rate using the shape parameters. As a result, we confirmed that the failure rate was increased, because the shape parameter showed the value of 5 according to increasing mileage degradation. Also, it is considered to increase the degradation of inner insulator of ignition coil. Because failure rate of virgin was increased from 0[%] to 25[%] after degradation, stability analysis of the ignition coil using Weibull analysis is possible.