• 제목/요약/키워드: Weibull Reliability Analysis

검색결과 202건 처리시간 0.025초

와이블분포 하에서 베이지안 기법과 전통적 기법 간의 신뢰도 추정 정확도 비교 (A Comparison of the Reliability Estimation Accuracy between Bayesian Methods and Classical Methods Based on Weibull Distribution)

  • 조형준;임준형;김용수
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.256-262
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    • 2016
  • The Weibull is widely used in reliability analysis, and several studies have attempted to improve estimation of the distribution's parameters. least squares estimation (LSE) or Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) are often used to estimate distribution parameters. However, it has been proven that Bayesian methods are more suitable for small sample sizes than LSE and MLE. In this work, the Weibull parameter estimation accuracy of LSE, MLE, and Bayesian method are compared for sample sets with 3 to 30 data points. The Bayesian method was most accurate for sample sizes under 25, and the accuracy of the Bayesian method was similar to LSE and MLE as the sample size increased.

Using R Software for Reliability Data Analysis

  • Shaffer, Leslie B.;Young, Timothy M.;Guess, Frank M.;Bensmail, Halima;Leon, Ramon V.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.53-70
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we discuss the plethora of uses for the software package R, and focus specifically on its helpful applications in reliability data analyses. Examples are presented; including the R coding protocol, R code, and plots for various statistical as well as reliability analyses. We explore Kaplan-Meier estimates and maximum likelihood estimation for distributions including the Weibull. Finally, we discuss future applications of R, and usages of quantile regression in reliability.

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구상흑연주철의 피로수명분포에 대한 통계적 해석 (A Statistical Analysis on Fatigue Life Distribution in Spheroidal Graphite Cast Iron)

  • 장성수;김상태
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제24권9호
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    • pp.2353-2360
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    • 2000
  • Statistical fatigue properties of metallic materials are increasingly required for reliability design purpose. In this study, static and fatigue tests were conducted and the normal, log-normal, two -parameter Weibull distributions at the 5% significance level are compared using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. Parameter estimation were compared with experimental results using the maximum likelihood method and least square method. It is found that two-parameter Weibull distribution and maximum likelihood method provide a good fit for static and fatigue life data. Therefore, it is applicable to the static and fatigue life analysis of the spheroidal graphite cast iron. The P-S-N curves were evaluated using log-normal distribution, which showed fatigue life behavior very well.

확률 신뢰성에 의한 스파이럴 베벨기어 구동장치의 합리적 수명 해석 (Realistic Life Analysis of Spiral Bevel Gears in the Drive System based of Probablistic Reliability)

  • 김하수
    • 한국생산제조학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.42-48
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    • 1997
  • Drive systems are composed of spiral bevel gear, axle and bearings. In this paper, drive systems and the part of them are analyzed and a correlation of the factor that shows the geometry of spiral bevel gear is evaluated. The Weibull distribution of probability for survival, which caused by the load of bearings and gear teeth, would be calculated, and the life and reliability with equivalent function could be measured more specifically. The reliability methods are applied as a probability of which the gear drive systems are satisfiably operated.

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Statistical analysis of S-N type environmental fatigue data of Ni-base alloy welds using weibull distribution

  • Jae Phil Park;Junhyuk Ham;Subhasish Mohanty;Dayu Fajrul Falaakh;Ji Hyun Kim;Chi Bum Bahn
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제55권5호
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    • pp.1924-1934
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    • 2023
  • In this study, the probabilistic fatigue life model for Ni-base alloys was developed based on the Weibull distribution using statistical analysis of fatigue data reported in NUREG/CR-6909 and the new fatigue data of Alloy 52M/152 and 82/182. The developed Weibull model can consider right-censored data (i.e., non-failed data) and quantify the improved safety (or reliability) based on the level of failure probability. The overall margin in the current fatigue design limit model (ASME design curve + NUREG/CR-6909 Fen model) is similar to that of the Weibull model with a cumulative failure probability of approximately 2.5%. The margin in the current fatigue design limit model demonstrated inconsistencies for the Ni-base alloy weld data, whereas the Weibull model showed a consistent margin. Therefore, the Weibull model can systematically mitigate the excessive safety margin.

Spot 용접이음재의 피로수명 예측에 관한 확률적 검토(II) : 피로강도 평가법의 신뢰성 검증 (Statistical Investigateion of Fatigue Life Predictioin of the Spot Welded Lap Joint(II) ; to verity reliabilty of fatigue strength estimatioin method)

  • 손일선;배동호
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제7권7호
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    • pp.242-249
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    • 1999
  • Spot welding is very important and useful technology in fabrication of an automobile body structure. Because fatigue strength of the spot welding point is however considerably lower than parent metal due to stress concentration at the nugget edge, accurate stress analysis and fatigue stength evaluation of spot welded lap joint are very important to valuate the reliability and durability of automobile body structure and to establish a criterion of long life fatigue design. Many invetigators have studied so far onsystematic fatigue strength evaluation with various methods. It is however necessary to verify their reliability and abailability for practical application to fatigue design of spot welded structure, Thus,in this study, fatigue strength evaluation methods of spot welded lap joint. which are the maximum principal stress method. the fracture and availability with the Weibull probability distribution. From the results, it was found that reliability and availability withe the Weibull probaility distribution. From the results, it was found that reliability and availability of the suggest fatigue strength estimation methods methods were higher than $\Delta$P-$N_f$ relation. However, among them , reliability of the maximum pricipal stress method was the highest.

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부품의 수명 데이터를 이용한 승강기의 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Assessment of Elevators Using Life Data of the Components)

  • 손상훈;손혜정;김선진;양보석;윤문철
    • 동력기계공학회지
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2010
  • Engineering asset management (EAM) requires the accurate assessment of current and the prediction of future asset health condition. Suitable mathematical models that are capable of predicting time-to-failure and the probability of failure in future time are essential. In general reliability models, lifetime of component and system is estimated using failure time data. This paper deals with the reliability assessment of elevators using life of main components. Especially this work is concerned with the stochastic nature of life of elevator components. First, we investigate the Weibull statistical analysis of lifetime data for the components. The final goal is to establish the mathematical model for reliability assessment. This work provides more perspectives to future research in the fields of reliability and maintainability.

공작기계의 신뢰성 평가를 위한 고장 모드 해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on Failure Mode Analysis for Reliability Assesment of Machining Center)

  • 이수훈;김종수;김봉석;송준엽;이승우;박화영;박종권
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2000년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1010-1013
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    • 2000
  • In this study, a failure mode analysis of CNC machining center is described. At first, the system is classified through subsystems into components using part lists and drawings. The components failure rate and failure mode analysis are performed to identify the weak components of a machining center with reliability database. The failure probabilistic function of mechanical part is analyzed by Weibull distribution. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test is also used to verify the goodness of fit.

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테이프 피더 내장 공압 액추에이터에 대한 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Reliability Analysis for the High Precision Pneumatic Actuator within Tape Feeder)

  • 최진화;전병철;조명우;강성민;이수진
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.63-68
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    • 2006
  • This research presents the reliability analysis of the pneumatic actuator within the tape feeder that is used to transfer the correct force to linked parts during l.0E+7 cycles. First, the degradation analysis for thrust and air leakage is executed to obtain the failure data of a product based on its performance over time. Second, once the parameters has been calculated using the weibull 2-parameter distribution and MLE(Maximum Likelihood Estimation), information related to life such as reliability, failure rate, probability density function is estimated. Finally, MTTF(Mean Time To Failure) and $B_{10}$ life of actuators are calculated. MTTF means the mean life at the confidence level and $B_{10}$ life refers to the time by which 10% of the product would fail. In this study, failure causes and solutions are examined using the reliability analysis.

절연 파괴 데이터를 이용한 에폭시 복합체의 절연 신뢰도 평가 (Evaluation of Insulating Reliability in Epoxy Composites using Dielectric Breakdown Data)

  • 박건호
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.114-118
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    • 2005
  • In this study, the DC dielectric breakdown of epoxy composites used for molding material was experimented and then its data were simulated by Weibull distribution equation. From the analysis of Weibull distribution, it was confirmed that as the allowed breakdown probability was given by 0.1[%], the applied field value needed to be under 21.5[kV/mm].

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