• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weibull Analysis

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Reliability Analysis of Multi-functional Multi-state Standby System Using Weibull Distribution (와이블 분포를 이용한 다기능 다중상태 대기시스템의 신뢰도 분석)

  • Kim, Ji-Hye;Chung, Young-Bae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.138-147
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    • 2017
  • As the functions and structure of the system are complicated and elaborated, various types of structures are emerging to increase reliability in order to cope with a system requiring higher reliability. Among these, standby systems with standby components for each major component are mainly used in aircraft or power plants requiring high reliability. In this study, we consider a standby system with a multi-functional standby component in which one standby component simultaneously performs the functions of several major components. The structure of a parallel system with multifunctional standby components can also be seen in real aircraft hydraulic pump systems and is very efficient in terms of weight, space, and cost as compared to a basic standby system. All components of the system have complete operation, complete failure, only two states, and the system has multiple states depending on the state of the component. At this time, the multi-functional standby component is assumed to be in a non-operating standby state (Cold Standby) when the main component fails. In addition, the failure rate of each part follows the Weibull distribution which can be expressed as increasing type, constant type, and decreasing type according to the shape parameter. If the Weibull distribution is used, it can be applied to various environments in a realistic manner compared to the exponential distribution that can be reflected only when the failure rate is constant. In this paper, Markov chain analysis method is applied to evaluate the reliability of multi-functional multi-state standby system. In order to verify the validity of the reliability, a graph was generated by applying arbitrary shape parameters and scale parameter values through Excel. In order to analyze the effect of multi-functional multi-state standby system using Weibull distribution, we compared the reliability based on the most basic parallel system and the standby system.

A Study on the Wind rower Generation and Its Economic Feasibility at Daekwanryung (대관령 풍력단지의 풍력발전량 및 경제성 분석)

  • Ha Jeong-woo;Kim Suduk
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.14 no.2 s.42
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2005
  • An economic feasibility study is performed for the wind power generation with the examination of the wind speed and its distribution at Daekwanryung at which a wind fm is under construction. In this analysis, the distribution of wind speed is the key issue. The wind distribution which is usually expressed in terms of Weibull distribution with shape factor and scale factor needs to be reexamined to find the proper values of them according to the empirical wind speed data. After this kind of analysis is done, annual power generation of wind is calculated. Due to the lack of cost information, we applied EWEA data instead or the actual information from the site. The result would be of use to determine the 'reference price' of wind power under the current system of 'compensating subsidy for renewable power generation'.

Degradation reliability modeling of plain concrete for pavement under flexural fatigue loading

  • Jia, Yanshun;Liu, Guoqiang;Yang, Yunmeng;Gao, Ying;Yang, Tao;Tang, Fanlong
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.469-478
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to establish a new methodological framework for the evaluation of the evolution of the reliability of plain concrete for pavement vs number of cycles under flexural fatigue loading. According to the framework, a new method calculating the reliability was proposed through probability simulation in order to describe a random accumulation of fatigue damage, which combines reliability theory, one-to-one probability density functions transformation technique, cumulative fatigue damage theory and Weibull distribution theory. Then the statistical analysis of flexural fatigue performance of cement concrete tested was carried out utilizing Weibull distribution. Ultimately, the reliability for the tested cement concrete was obtained by the proposed method. Results indicate that the stochastic evolution behavior of concrete materials under fatigue loading can be captured by the established framework. The flexural fatigue life data of concrete at different stress levels is well described utilizing the two-parameter Weibull distribution. The evolution of reliability for concrete materials tested in this study develops by three stages and may corresponds to develop stages of cracking. The proposed method may also be available for the analysis of degradation behaviors under non-fatigue conditions.

New approach to calculate Weibull parameters and comparison of wind potential of five cities of Pakistan

  • Ahmed Ali Rajput;Muhammad Daniyal;Muhammad Mustaqeem Zahid;Hasan Nafees;Misha Shafi;Zaheer Uddin
    • Advances in Energy Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.95-110
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    • 2022
  • Wind energy can be utilized for the generation of electricity, due to significant wind potential at different parts of the world, some countries have already been generating of electricity through wind. Pakistan is still well behind and has not yet made any appreciable effort for the same. The objective of this work was to add some new strategies to calculate Weibull parameters and assess wind energy potential. A new approach calculates Weibull parameters; we also developed an alternate formula to calculate shape parameters instead of the gamma function. We obtained k (shape parameter) and c (scale parameter) for two-parameter Weibull distribution using five statistical methods for five different cities in Pakistan. Maximum likelihood method, Modified Maximum likelihood Method, Method of Moment, Energy Pattern Method, Empirical Method, and have been to calculate and differentiate the values of (shape parameter) k and (scale parameter) c. The performance of these five methods is estimated using the Goodness-of-Fit Test, including root mean square error, mean absolute bias error, mean absolute percentage error, and chi-square error. The daily 10-minute average values of wind speed data (obtained from energydata.info) of different cities of Pakistan for the year 2016 are used to estimate the Weibull parameters. The study finds that Hyderabad city has the largest wind potential than Karachi, Quetta, Lahore, and Peshawar. Hyderabad and Karachi are two possible sites where wind turbines can produce reasonable electricity.

Analysis of flexural fatigue failure of concrete made with 100% coarse recycled and natural aggregates

  • Murali, G.;Indhumathi, T.;Karthikeyan, K.;Ramkumar, V.R.
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.291-298
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    • 2018
  • In this study, the flexural fatigue performance of concrete beams made with 100% Coarse Recycled Concrete Aggregates (RCA) and 100% Coarse Natural Aggregates (NA) were statistically commanded. For this purpose, the experimental fatigue test results of earlier researcher were investigated using two parameter Weibull distribution. The shape and scale parameters of Weibull distribution function was evaluated using seven numerical methods namely, Graphical method (GM), Least-Squares (LS) regression of Y on X, Least-Squares (LS) regression of X on Y, Empherical Method of Lysen (EML), Mean Standard Deviation Method (MSDM), Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM) and Method of Moments (MOM). The average of Weibull parameters was used to incorporate survival probability into stress (S)-fatigue life (N) relationships. Based on the Weibull theory, as single and double logarithm fatigue equations for RCA and NA under different survival probability were provided. The results revealed that, by considering 0.9 level survival probability, the theoretical stress level corresponding to a fatigue failure number equal to one million cycle, decreases by 8.77% (calculated using single-logarithm fatigue equation) and 6.62% (calculated using double logarithm fatigue equation) in RCA when compared to NA concrete.

Analysis on fatigue life distribution of composite materials (복합재료 피로 수명 분포에 관한 고찰)

  • 황운봉;한경섭
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.790-805
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    • 1988
  • Static strength and fatigue life scattering of glass fiber reinforced epoxy composite materials has been studied. Normal, lognormal, two-parameter and three-parameter Weibull distribution functions are used for strength and one-stress fatigue life distribution. The value of mean fatigue life is analysed using mean fatigue life, mean log fatigue life and expected value of 2 and 3-parameter Weibull distribution functions. Modification on non-statistical cumulative damage models is made in order to interpret the result of two-stress level fatigue life scattering. The comparison results show that 3-parameter Weibull distribution has better predictions in static strength and one-stress level fatigue life distributions. However, no advantage of 3-parameter Weibll distribution is found over 2-parameter Weibull distribution in two-stress level fatigue life predictions. It is found that two-stress level fatigue life prediction by the expanded equal rank assumption is close to the experimental data.

Application of the Weibull-Poisson long-term survival model

  • Vigas, Valdemiro Piedade;Mazucheli, Josmar;Louzada, Francisco
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.325-337
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we proposed a new long-term lifetime distribution with four parameters inserted in a risk competitive scenario with decreasing, increasing and unimodal hazard rate functions, namely the Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution. This new distribution arises from a scenario of competitive latent risk, in which the lifetime associated to the particular risk is not observable, and where only the minimum lifetime value among all risks is noticed in a long-term context. However, it can also be used in any other situation as long as it fits the data well. The Weibull-Poisson long-term distribution is presented as a particular case for the new exponential-Poisson long-term distribution and Weibull long-term distribution. The properties of the proposed distribution were discussed, including its probability density, survival and hazard functions and explicit algebraic formulas for its order statistics. Assuming censored data, we considered the maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation. For different parameter settings, sample sizes, and censoring percentages various simulation studies were performed to study the mean square error of the maximum likelihood estimative, and compare the performance of the model proposed with the particular cases. The selection criteria Akaike information criterion, Bayesian information criterion, and likelihood ratio test were used for the model selection. The relevance of the approach was illustrated on two real datasets of where the new model was compared with its particular cases observing its potential and competitiveness.

Another View Point on the Performance Evaluation of an MC-DS-CDMA System

  • Chen, Joy Iong-Zong;Hsieh, Tai Wen
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.240-247
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    • 2009
  • The results of performance analysis by adopting the channel scenarios characterized as Weibull fading for an multicarrierdirect sequence-coded division multiple access (MC-DS-CDMA) system are proposed in this investigation. On the other hand, an approximate simple expression with the criterion of bit error rate (BER) versus signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) method is derived for an MC-DS-CDMA system combining with maximal ratio combining (MRC) diversity based on the moment generating function (MGF) formula of Weibull statistics, and it associates with an alternative expression of Gaussian Q-function. Besides, the other point of view on the BER performance evaluation of an MC-DS-CDMA system is not only the assumption of both single-user and multi-user cases applied, but the phenomena of partial band interference (PBI) is also included. Moreover, in order to validate the accuracy in the derived formulas, some of the system parameters, such as Weibull fading parameter (${\beta}$), user number (K), spreading chip number (N), branch number (L), and the PBI (JSR) values, etc., are compared with each other in the numerical results. To the best of author's knowledge, it is a brand new idea which proposes the evaluation of the system performance for an MC-DS-CDMA system over the point of view with Weibull fading channel.

Comparison of Wind Energy Density Distribution Using Meteorological Data and the Weibull Parameters (기상데이터와 웨이블 파라메타를 이용한 풍력에너지밀도분포 비교)

  • Hwang, Jee-Wook;You, Ki-Pyo;Kim, Han-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.54-64
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    • 2010
  • Interest in new and renewable energies like solar energy and wind energy is increasing throughout the world due to the rapidly expanding energy consumption and environmental reasons. An essential requirement for wind force power generation is estimating the size of wind energy accurately. Wind energy is estimated usually using meteorological data or field measurement. This study attempted to estimate wind energy density using meteorological data on daily mean wind speed and the Weibull parameters in Seoul, a representative inland city where over 60% of 15 story or higher apartments in Korea are situated, and Busan, Incheon, Ulsan and Jeju that are major coastal cities in Korea. According to the results of analysis, the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the daily mean wind speed agreed well with the monthly mean probability density distribution based on the Weibull parameters. This finding suggests that the Weibull parameters, which is highly applicable and convenient, can be utilized to estimate the wind energy density distribution of each area. Another finding was that wind energy density was higher in coastal cities Busan and Incheon than in inland city Seoul.

Grain Size Partitioning Using the Weibull Function and Origin of Fluvial Terrace Deposits (Weibull 함수를 이용한 입도 분리와 하안단구 퇴적층의 기원)

  • Park, Chung-Sun;Cho, Young-Dong;Lee, Gwang-Ryul
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2019
  • This study tries to reveal transport mechanism and origin of components from fluvial terrace deposits in Danyang and Geum River basins, through grain size partitioning using the Weibull function. Grain size parameters suggest that the samples analyzed in this study can be grouped into the coarse, fine and medium samples. The coarse samples are partitioned into three or four components. More than 65% of the coarse samples consist of components by suspension and saltation by fluvial process, while components by attachment to coarse grains or aggregates and/or by individual grains deposited under non-flow condition are also found in the coarse samples. The fine samples consist of four components and components found in loess deposits in Korea occupy >70%, suggestive of the same transport mechanisms (westerlies and winter monsoon) and common source areas with loess deposits in Korea. However, components by aeolian process from local sources as well as by fluvial process are also found in the fine samples. The medium samples are partitioned into components with similar sizes to the coarse and fine samples, respectively.