• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather disasters

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The Application of the Next-generation Medium Satellite C-band Radar Images in Environmental Field Works

  • Han, Hyeon-gyeong;Lee, Moungjin
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.617-623
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    • 2019
  • Numerous water disasters have recently occurred all over the world, including South Korea, due to global climate change in recent years. As water-related disasters occur extensively and their sites are difficult for people to access, it is necessary to monitor them using satellites. The Ministry of Environment and K-water plan to launch the next-generation medium satellite No. 5 (water resource/water disaster satellite) equipped with C-band synthetic aperture radar (SAR) in 2025. C-band SAR has the advantage of being able to observe water resources twice a day at a high resolution both day and night, regardless of weather conditions. Currently, RADARSAT-2 and Sentinel-1 equipped with C-band SAR achieve the purpose of their launch and are used in various environmental fields such as forest structure detection and coastline change monitoring, as well as for unique purposes including the detection of flooding, drought and soil moisture change, utilizing the advantages of SAR. As such, this study aimed to analyze the characteristics of the next-generation medium satellite No. 5 and its application in environmental fields. Our findings showed that it can be used to improve the degree of precision of existing environmental spatial information such as the classification accuracy of land cover map in environmental field works. It also enables us to observe forests and water resources in North Korea that are difficult to access geographically. It is ultimately expected that this will enable the monitoring of the whole Korean Peninsula in various environmental fields, and help in relevant responses and policy supports.

A Study on the Bed Load Collision Sound Analysis Using Sound Sensor and Denoising Filter (음향센서와 디노이징 필터를 활용한 향상된 소류사 충돌음 분석 연구)

  • Kim, Sung Uk;Jun, Kye Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2021
  • In Korea, the frequency of soil disasters has soared recently due to increased torrential rains caused by abnormal weather conditions. In particular, soil generated from mountainous areas is flowing into small rivers along valleys, depositing rivers and adding to flood damage. In order to prevent damage from such soil disasters, it is important to predict sediments and to quantitatively identify bed load. In this work, we conducted an experiment to indirectly measure acoustic sensor-based bed load collision sounds using pipe hydrophones, and compared them with raw data by applying denoising methods to improve the reliability of the measured data. As a result, we derive results in a more clear analysis of bed load estimation by correcting noise when the denoising method is applied to raw data.

A Study on the Prediction of Cabbage Price Using Ensemble Voting Techniques (앙상블 Voting 기법을 활용한 배추 가격 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Chang-Min;Song, Sung-Kwang;Chung, Sung-Wook
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2022
  • Vegetables such as cabbage are greatly affected by natural disasters, so price fluctuations increase due to disasters such as heavy rain and disease, which affects the farm economy. Various efforts have been made to predict the price of agricultural products to solve this problem, but it is difficult to predict extreme price prediction fluctuations. In this study, cabbage prices were analyzed using the ensemble Voting technique, a method of determining the final prediction results through various classifiers by combining a single classifier. In addition, the results were compared with LSTM, a time series analysis method, and XGBoost and RandomForest, a boosting technique. Daily data was used for price data, and weather information and price index that affect cabbage prices were used. As a result of the study, the RMSE value showing the difference between the actual value and the predicted value is about 236. It is expected that this study can be used to select other time series analysis research models such as predicting agricultural product prices

Uncertainty Analysis based on LENS-GRM

  • Lee, Sang Hyup;Seong, Yeon Jeong;Park, KiDoo;Jung, Young Hun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.208-208
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the frequency of abnormal weather due to complex factors such as global warming is increasing frequently. From the past rainfall patterns, it is evident that climate change is causing irregular rainfall patterns. This phenomenon causes difficulty in predicting rainfall and makes it difficult to prevent and cope with natural disasters, casuing human and property damages. Therefore, accurate rainfall estimation and rainfall occurrence time prediction could be one of the ways to prevent and mitigate damage caused by flood and drought disasters. However, rainfall prediction has a lot of uncertainty, so it is necessary to understand and reduce this uncertainty. In addition, when accurate rainfall prediction is applied to the rainfall-runoff model, the accuracy of the runoff prediction can be improved. In this regard, this study aims to increase the reliability of rainfall prediction by analyzing the uncertainty of the Korean rainfall ensemble prediction data and the outflow analysis model using the Limited Area ENsemble (LENS) and the Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model (GRM) models. First, the possibility of improving rainfall prediction ability is reviewed using the QM (Quantile Mapping) technique among the bias correction techniques. Then, the GRM parameter calibration was performed twice, and the likelihood-parameter applicability evaluation and uncertainty analysis were performed using R2, NSE, PBIAS, and Log-normal. The rainfall prediction data were applied to the rainfall-runoff model and evaluated before and after calibration. It is expected that more reliable flood prediction will be possible by reducing uncertainty in rainfall ensemble data when applying to the runoff model in selecting behavioral models for user uncertainty analysis. Also, it can be used as a basis of flood prediction research by integrating other parameters such as geological characteristics and rainfall events.

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Variability and Changes of Wildfire Potential over East Asia from 1981 to 2020 (1981-2020년 기간 동아시아 지역 산불 발생 위험도의 변동성 및 변화 특성)

  • Lee, June-Yi;Lee, Doo Young
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.30-40
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    • 2022
  • Wildfires, which occur sporadically and irregularly worldwide, are distinct natural disturbances in combustible vegetation areas, important parts of the global carbon cycle, and natural disasters that cause severe public emergencies. While many previous studies have investigated the variability and changes in wildfires globally based on fire emissions, burned areas, and fire weather indices, studies on East Asia are still limited. Here, we explore the characteristics of variability and changes in wildfire danger over East Asia by analyzing the fire weather index for the 40 years-1981-2020. The first empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode of fire weather index variability represents an increasing trend in wildfire danger over most parts of East Asia over the last 40 years, accounting for 29% of the total variance. The major contributor is an increase in the surface temperature in East Asia associated with global warming and multidecadal ocean variations. The effect of temperature was slightly offset by the increase in soil moisture. The second EOF mode exhibits considerable interannual variability associated with the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, accounting for 17% of the total variance. The increase (decrease) in precipitation in East Asia during El Nino (La Nina) increases (decreases) soil moisture, which in turn reduces (increases) wildfire danger. This dominant soil moisture effect was slightly offset by the temperature increase (decrease) during El Nino (La Nina). Improving the understanding of variability and changes in wildfire danger will have important implications for reducing social, economic, and ecological losses associated with wildfire occurrences.

Workflow Based on Pipelining for Performance Improvement of Volcano Disaster Damage Prediction System (화산재해 피해 예측 시스템의 성능 향상을 위한 파이프라인 기반 워크플로우)

  • Heo, Daeyoung;Lee, Donghwan;Hwang, Suntae
    • Journal of KIISE
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2015
  • A volcano disaster damage prediction system supports decision making for counteracting volcanic disasters by simulating meteorological condition and volcanic eruptions. In this system, a program called Fall3D generates predicted results for the diffusion of ash after a volcanic eruption on the basis of meteorological information. The relevant meteorological information is generated by a weather numerical prediction model known as Weather Research & Forecasting (WRF). In order to reduce the entire processing time without modifying these two simulation programs, pipelining can be used by partly executing Fall3D whenever the hourly (partial) results of WRF are generated. To reduce the processing time, successor programs such as Fall3D require that certain features be suspended until the part of the results that is based on prior calculation is generated by a predecessor. Even though Fall3D does not have a suspend or resume feature, pipelining effect can be produced by using the program's restart feature, which resumes simulation from the previous session. In this study, we suggest a workflow that can control the execution type.

Overview of Climate Change and Unusual Regional Climate and the Future (기후변화와 이상기상 발생의 현황과 미래)

  • Moon Sung-Euii
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 2000
  • The Asian summer monsoon has a profound social and economic impact in East Asia and its surrounding countries. The monsoon is basically a response of the atmosphere to the differential heating between the land mass of the Asian continent and the adjacent oceans. The atmospheric response, however, is quite complicated due to the interactions between the atmospheric heat sources, land-sea contrast, and topography, The occurrence of extreme summertime floods in Korea, Japan, and China in 1998 and 1999 has highlighted the range of variability of the East Asian summertime monsoon circulation and spurred interest in investigating the cause of such extreme variability. While ENSO is often considered a prime mechanism responsible for the unusual hydrological disasters in East Asia, understanding of the connection between ENSO and the East Asian monsoon is hampered by their dynamic complexities. Along with a recent phenomenon of weather abnormalities observed in many parts of the globe, Korea has seen its share of increased weather abnormalities such as the record-breaking heavy rainfalls due to a series of flash floods in the summers of 1998 and 1999, following devastating Yangtze river floods in China. A clear regime shift is found in the tropospheric mean temperature in the northern hemisphere middle latitudes and the surface temperature over the Asian continent during the summer with a sudden warming since 1977. Either decadal climate variation or climate regime shift in the Asian continent is evident and may have altered the characteristics of the East Asian summer monsoon. Considering the summertime rainfall amount in Korea is overall increased lately, the 1998/99 heavy rainfalls may not be isolated episodes related only to ENSO, but could be a part of long-term climate variation. The record-breaking heavy summer rainfalls in Korea may not be direct impact of ENSO. Instead, the effects of decadal climate variation and ENSO may be coupled to each other and also to the East Asian summer monsoon system, while their individual impacts are difficult to separate.

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Analysis of Drought Detection and Propagation Using Satellite Data (인공위성 영상 정보를 이용한 가뭄상황 및 징후분석)

  • Shin, Sha-Chul;Eoh, Min-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.4 no.2 s.13
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2004
  • Drought is one of the mai or environmental disasters. Weather data, particularity rainfall, are currently the primary source of information widely used for drought monitoring. However, weather data are often from a very sparse meteorological network. Therefore, data obtained from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer(AVHRR) sensor boarded on the NOAA polar-orbiting satellites have been studied as a tool for drought monitoring. The normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI) and vegetation condition index(VCI) were used in this study. Also, a simple method to detect drought Is Proposed based on climatic water balance using NOAA/AVHRR data. The results clearly show that temporal and spatial characteristics of drought in Korea can be detected and mapped by the moisture index.

Study on security measures for protecting major national facilities using the wind corridor (바람길을 활용한 국가중요지역 안전대책 강구에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Kee-Nam
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.5
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2011
  • How meteorological situations have affected human life for survival have been an important element of living or military strategy throughout history. In modern society, overcrowding of cities has brought about many problems. Moreover, high-rise buildings and land cover have been causing abnormal weather conditions. The wind corridor, especially in urban areas has been flowing differently from the dominant weather condition of the surroundings. Therefore, the wind corridor in urban areas can be a main component in protecting major national facilities in urban areas from damage. Especially the wind corridor is a main factor to derive harm from poisonous substances in air. This paper seeks to find out the wind corridor in urban areas and the efficiency of that. In addition to that, it studies how to use the direction to protect major national facilities and areas from damage. It is considered that this study will be useful to make defence project, not only for preventing CBR(chemical, biological, and radiological) terrorism and violent assembly, but also for evacuation of people in case of big accidents or natural disasters.

Construction of a Spatio-Temporal Dataset for Deep Learning-Based Precipitation Nowcasting

  • Kim, Wonsu;Jang, Dongmin;Park, Sung Won;Yang, MyungSeok
    • Journal of Information Science Theory and Practice
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    • v.10 no.spc
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2022
  • Recently, with the development of data processing technology and the increase of computational power, methods to solving social problems using Artificial Intelligence (AI) are in the spotlight, and AI technologies are replacing and supplementing existing traditional methods in various fields. Meanwhile in Korea, heavy rain is one of the representative factors of natural disasters that cause enormous economic damage and casualties every year. Accurate prediction of heavy rainfall over the Korean peninsula is very difficult due to its geographical features, located between the Eurasian continent and the Pacific Ocean at mid-latitude, and the influence of the summer monsoon. In order to deal with such problems, the Korea Meteorological Administration operates various state-of-the-art observation equipment and a newly developed global atmospheric model system. Nevertheless, for precipitation nowcasting, the use of a separate system based on the extrapolation method is required due to the intrinsic characteristics associated with the operation of numerical weather prediction models. The predictability of existing precipitation nowcasting is reliable in the early stage of forecasting but decreases sharply as forecast lead time increases. At this point, AI technologies to deal with spatio-temporal features of data are expected to greatly contribute to overcoming the limitations of existing precipitation nowcasting systems. Thus, in this project the dataset required to develop, train, and verify deep learning-based precipitation nowcasting models has been constructed in a regularized form. The dataset not only provides various variables obtained from multiple sources, but also coincides with each other in spatio-temporal specifications.