• Atmosphere
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• v.15 no.1
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• pp.35-46
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• 2005

Today, the outreach of National Meteorological Service such as PC cluster based Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) technique is vigorous in the world wide. In this regard, WMO (World Meteorological Organization) asked KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) to formulate a regional project, which cover most of RA II members, using similar technical system with KMA's. In that sense, Meteorological Research Institute (METRI) in KMA developed Mongolian NWP System (MNWPS) based on PC cluster and transferred the technology to Weather Service Center in Mongolia. The hybrid parallel algorithm and channel bonding technique were adopted to cut cost and showed 41% faster performance than single MPI (Message Passing Interface) approach. The cluster technique of Beowulf type was also adopted for convenient management and saving resources. The Linux based free operating system provide very cost effective solution for operating multi-nodes. Additionally, the GNU software provide many tools, utilities and applications for construction and management of a cluster. A flash flood event happened in Mongolia (2 September 2003) was selected for test run, and MNWPS successfully simulated the event with initial and boundary condition from Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) of KMA. Now, the cluster based NWP System in Mongolia has been operated for local prediction around the region and provided various auxiliary charts.

• Bulletin of the Korean Space Science Society
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• 2008.10a
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• pp.32.1-32.1
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• 2008

It is well known that solar and space weather activities can influence the performance and reliability of modern technological system and can endanger human life. Since 2007, the Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI) has initiated a research project for the construction of Korean Space Weather Prediction Center (K-SWPC) to make preparations for the next solar cycle maximum (~2012). In this talk, we briefly introduce the current progress of KASI activities for K-SWPC; extension of ground observation system, construction of space weather database and network, development of prediction models, and space weather effects. In addition, future plans for KSWPC will be discussed.

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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• v.23 no.9
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• pp.95-99
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• 2023

Recently Machine Learning has been considered as one of the active research areas of Computer Science. The various Artificial Intelligence techniques are used to solve the classification problems of environmental sciences, biological sciences, and medical sciences etc. Due to the heterogynous and malfunctioning weather sensors a considerable amount of noisy data with missing is generated, which is alarming situation for weather prediction stockholders. Filling of these missing values with proper method is really one of the significant problems. The data must be cleaned before applying prediction model to collect more precise & accurate results. In order to solve all above stated problems, this research proposes a novel weather forecasting system which consists upon two steps. The first step will prepare data by reducing the noise; whereas a decision model is constructed at second step using regression algorithm. The Confusion Matrix will be used to evaluation the proposed classifier.

• Journal of Digital Contents Society
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.157-164
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• 2016

Solar power generation influenced by the weather. Using the weather forecast information, it is possible to predict the short-term solar power generation in the future. However, in limited circumstances such as islands or mountains, it can not be use weather forecast information by the disconnection of the network, it is impossible to use solar power generation prediction model using weather forecast. Therefore, in this paper, we propose a system that can predict the short-term solar power generation by using the information that can be collected by the system itself. We developed a short-term prediction model using the prior information of temperature and power generation amount to improve the accuracy of the prediction. We showed the usefulness of proposed prediction model by applying to actual solar power generation data.

• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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• v.40 no.5
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• pp.13-22
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• 2020

Day ahead forecast is necessary for the electricity market to stabilize the electricity penetration. Numerical weather prediction is usually employed to produce the solar irradiance as well as electric power forecast for longer than 12 hours forecast horizon. Korea Meteorological Administration operates the UM-LDAPS model to produce the 36 hours forecast of hourly total irradiance 4 times a day. This study interpolates the hourly total irradiance into 15 minute instantaneous irradiance and then compare them with observed solar irradiance at four ground stations at 1 minute resolution. Numerical weather prediction model employed here was produced at 00 UTC or 18 UTC from January to December, 2018. To compare the statistical model for the forecast horizon less than 3 hours, smart persistent model is used as a reference model. Relative root mean square error of 15 minute instantaneous irradiance are averaged over all ground stations as being 18.4% and 19.6% initialized at 18 and 00 UTC, respectively. Numerical weather prediction is better than smart persistent model at 1 hour after simulation began.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.27 no.11
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• pp.1141-1154
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• 2018

Numerical experiments were carried out to investigate the effect of data assimilation of observational data on weather and PM (particulate matter) prediction. Observational data applied to numerical experiment are aircraft observation, satellite observation, upper level observation, and AWS (automatic weather system) data. In the case of grid nudging, the prediction performance of the meteorological field is largely improved compared with the case without data assimilations because the overall pressure distribution can be changed. So grid nudging effect can be significant when synoptic weather pattern strongly affects Korean Peninsula. Predictability of meteorological factors can be expected to improve through a number of observational data assimilation, but data assimilation by single data often occurred to be less predictive than without data assimilation. Variation of air pressure due to observation nudging with high prediction efficiency can improve prediction accuracy of whole model domain. However, in areas with complex terrain such as the eastern part of the Korean peninsula, the improvement due to grid nudging were only limited. In such cases, it would be more effective to aggregate assimilated data.

• The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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• v.35 no.5
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• pp.193-198
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• 1986

In this paper, 1-168 hours ahead load prediction algorithm is developed for power system economic weekly operation. Total load is composed of three components, which are base load, week load and weather-sensitive load. Base load and week load are predicted by moving average and exponential smoothing method, respectively. The days of moving average and smoothing constant are optimally determined. Weather-sensitive load is modeled by linear form. The paramiters of weather load model are estimated by exponentially weighted recursive least square method. The load prediction of special day is very tedious, difficult and remains many problems which should be improved. Test results are given for the day of different types using the actual load data of KEPCO.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2008.10a
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• pp.318-320
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• 2008

Offshore remote-sensing wind extraction using SAR satellite image is an emerging and promising technology for offshore wind resource assessment. We compared our numerical weather prediction and offshore wind extraction from ENVISAT images around Korea offshore areas. A few comparison sets showed good agreement but more comparisons are required to draw application guideline on a statistical basis.

• Atmosphere
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• v.29 no.1
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• pp.21-39
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• 2019

The conventional observations of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) are compared in the numerical weather forecast system at the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS). The weather forecasting system used in this study is consists of Korea Integrated Model (KIM) as a global numerical weather prediction model, three-dimensional variational method as a data assimilation system, and KIAPS Package for Observation Processing (KPOP) as an observation pre-processing system. As a result, the forecast performance of NCEP observation was better while the number of observation is similar to the KMA observation. In addition, the sensitivity of forecast performance was investigated for each SONDE, SURFACE and AIRCRAFT observations. The differences in AIRCRAFT observation were not sensitive to forecast, but the use of NCEP SONDE and SURFACE observations have shown better forecast performance. It is found that the NCEP observations have more wind observations of the SONDE in the upper atmosphere and more surface pressure observations of the SURFACE in the ocean. The results suggest that evenly distributed observations can lead to improved forecast performance.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.52 no.7
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• pp.451-461
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• 2019

The dam reservoir inflow prediction is utilized to ensure for water supply and prevent future droughts. In this study, we predicted the dam reservoir inflow and analyzed how seasonal weather forecasting affected the accuracy of the inflow for even multi-purpose dams. The hindcast and forecast of GloSea5 from KMA were used as input for rainfall-runoff models. TANK, ABCD, K-DRUM and PRMS models which have individual characteristics were applied to simulate inflow prediction. The dam reservoir inflow prediction was assessed for the periods of 1996~2009 and 2015~2016 for the hindcast and forecast respectively. The results of assessment showed that the inflow prediction was underestimated by comparing with the observed inflow. If rainfall-runoff models were calibrated appropriately, the characteristics of the models were not vital for accuracy of the inflow prediction. However the accuracy of seasonal weather forecasting, especially precipitation data is highly connected to the accuracy of the dam inflow prediction. It is recommended to consider underestimation of the inflow prediction when it is used for operations. Futhermore, for accuracy enhancement of the predicted dam inflow, it is more effective to focus on improving a seasonal weather forecasting rather than a rainfall-runoff model.