• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather Forecast

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Basic Research of Optimum Routing Assessment System for Safe and Efficient Voyage (운항 안전 및 효율성 향상을 위한 최적 항로 평가 시스템 기본 연구)

  • Lee, Jin-Ho;Choi, Kyong-Soon;Park, Gun-Il;Kim, Mun-Sung;Bang, Chang-Seon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.42 no.1 s.139
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    • pp.57-63
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    • 2005
  • This paper introduces basic research of optimum routing assessment system as voyage support purpose which can obtain safe and efficient route. In view point of safety, the prediction of ship motion should be evaluated in the condition of rough weather This part includes general seakeeping estimation based on 3 dimensional panel method and parametric roil prediction. For increasing voyage efficiency, ETA(Estimated Time of Arrival) and fuel consumption should be calculated considering speed reduction and power increase due to wave effects based on added resistance calculation and ship performance characteristics. Basically, the weather forecast is assumed to be prepared previously to operate this system. The idea of these factors in this system will be helpful to escape from dangerous voyage situation by wave conditions and to make optimum route planning based on ETA and fuel consumption.

레이더 관측자료를 이용한 호남지방의 국지강수변화에 관한 수치모의

  • Park, Geun-Yeong;Lee, Sun-Hwan;Ryu, Chan-Su
    • 한국지구과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.02a
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    • pp.182-187
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    • 2005
  • The weather hazard by worldwide global warming rapidly increases year by year, and the damage becomes also enormous. especially, the damage by the random local severe rain in Korea is conspicuous. The forecast is difficult, because the random local severe rain arises by the complicated mechanism. However, local weather field in the Honam district where the weather hazard arises well is accurately grasped, and the systems that predict the local severe rain early are necessary. The purpose of this research is development of radar data assimilation observed at Jindo S-band radar. The accurate observational data assimilation system is required for meteorological numerical prediction of the region scale. Diagnostic analysis system LAPS(Local Analysis and Prediction System) developed by US FSL(Forecast Systems Laboratory) is adopted assimilation system of the Honam district forecasting system.

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24-Hour Load Forecasting For Anomalous Weather Days Using Hourly Temperature (시간별 기온을 이용한 예외 기상일의 24시간 평일 전력수요패턴 예측)

  • Kang, Dong-Ho;Park, Jeong-Do;Song, Kyung-Bin
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.7
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    • pp.1144-1150
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    • 2016
  • Short-term load forecasting is essential to the electricity pricing and stable power system operations. The conventional weekday 24-hour load forecasting algorithms consider the temperature model to forecast maximum load and minimum load. But 24-hour load pattern forecasting models do not consider temperature effects, because hourly temperature forecasts were not present until the latest date. Recently, 3 hour temperature forecast is announced, therefore hourly temperature forecasts can be produced by mathematical techniques such as various interpolation methods. In this paper, a new 24-hour load pattern forecasting method is proposed by using similar day search considering the hourly temperature. The proposed method searches similar day input data based on the anomalous weather features such as continuous temperature drop or rise, which can enhance 24-hour load pattern forecasting performance, because it uses the past days having similar hourly temperature features as input data. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method, it was applied to the case study. The case study results show high accuracy of 24-hour load pattern forecasting.

A Study on Improvement of the Use and Quality Control for New GNSS RO Satellite Data in Korean Integrated Model (한국형모델의 신규 GNSS RO 자료 활용과 품질검사 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Hee;Jo, Youngsoon;Lee, Eunhee;Lee, Yong Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.251-265
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    • 2021
  • This study examined the impact of assimilating the bending angle (BA) obtained via the global navigation satellite system radio occultation (GNSS RO) of the three new satellites (KOMPSAT-5, FY-3C, and FY-3D) on analyses and forecasts of a numerical weather prediction model. Numerical data assimilation experiments were performed using a three-dimensional variational data assimilation system in the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) at a 25-km horizontal resolution for August 2019. Three experiments were designed to select the height and quality control thresholds using the data. A comparison of the data with an analysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) integrated forecast system showed a clear positive impact of BA assimilation in the Southern Hemisphere tropospheric temperature and stratospheric wind compared with that without the assimilation of the three new satellites. The impact of new data in the upper atmosphere was compared with observations using the infrared atmospheric sounding interferometer (IASI). Overall, high volume GNSS RO data helps reduce the RMSE quantitatively in analytical and predictive fields. The analysis and forecasting performance of the upper temperature and wind were improved in the Southern and Northern Hemispheres.

Implementation of an Environmental Monitoring System based on LoRa for Smart Field Irrigation (노지 관수를 위한 로라 기반 환경 모니터링 시스템 구현)

  • Kim, Byungsoon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2019
  • Wireless sensor network is important for precision farming to monitor the growth environment of crops in open field, but radio signals are susceptible to different types of interference such as weather and physical objects. This paper designs and implements an environmental monitoring and weather forecast acquisition systems for smart field irrigation based on LoRa(Long Range) and then applies it to a test bed. And we evaluate the network reliability in terms of packet transmission success rate by comparing its condition on two criteria; the existence of obstacle or rain. The results show that much rain falls can affect on packet loss in LoRa field networks with obstacles.

Forecast of Areal Average Rainfall Using Radiosonde Data and Neural Networks (상층기상자료와 신경망기법을 이용한 면적강우 예측)

  • Kim Gwang-Seob
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.8 s.169
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    • pp.717-726
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we developed a rainfall forecasting model using data from radiosonde and rain gauge network and neural networks. The primary hypothesis is that if we can consider the moving direction of the rain generating weather system in forecasting rainfall, we can get more accurate results. We assume that the moving direction of the rain generating weather system is same as the wind direction at 700mb which is measured at radiosonde networks. Neural networks are consisted of 8 different modules according to 8 different wind directions. The model was verified using 350 AWS data and Pohang radiosonde data. Correlation coefficient is improved from 0.41 to 0.73 and skill score is 0.35. Statistical performance measures of the Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) model show improved output compared to that of rainfall forecasting model using only AWS data.

Impact of Cumulus Parameterization Schemes with Different Horizontal Grid Sizes on Prediction of Heavy Rainfall (적운 모수화 방안이 고해상도 집중호우 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jae-Bok;Lee, Dong-Kyou
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.391-404
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates the impact of cumulus parameterization scheme (CPS) with different horizontal grid sizes on the simulation of the local heavy rainfall case over the Korean Peninsula. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF)-based real-time forecast system of the Joint Center for High-impact Weather and Climate Research (JHWC) is used. Three CPSs are used for sensitivity experiments: the BMJ (Betts-Miller-Janjic), GD (Grell-Devenyi ensemble), and KF (Kain-Fritsch) CPSs. The heavy rainfall case selected in this study is characterized by low-level jet and low-level transport of warm and moist air. In 27-km simulations (DM1), simulated precipitation is overestimated in the experiment with BMJ scheme, and it is underestimated with GD scheme. The experiment with KF scheme shows well-developed precipitation cells in the southern and the central region of the Korean Peninsula, which are similar to the observations. All schemes show wet bias and cold bias in the lower troposphere. The simulated rainfall in 27-km horizontal resolution has influence on rainfall forecast in 9-km horizontal resolution, so the statements on 27-km horizontal resolution can be applied to 9-km horizontal resolution. In the sensitivity experiments of CPS for DM3 (3-km resolution), the experiment with BMJ scheme shows better heavy rainfall forecast than the other experiments. The experiments with CPS in 3-km horizontal resolution improve rainfall forecasts compared to the experiments without CPS, especially in rainfall distribution. The experiments with CPS show lower LCL(Lifted Condensation Level) than those without CPS at the maximum rainfall point, and weaker vertical velocity is simulated in the experiments with CPS compared to the experiments without CPS. It means that CPS suppresses convective instability and influences mainly convective rainfall. Consequently, heavy rainfall simulation with BMJ CPS is better than the other CPSs, and even in 3-km horizontal resolution, CPS should be applied to control convective instability. This conclusion can be generalized by conducting more experiments for a variety of cases over the Korean Peninsula.