• Title/Summary/Keyword: Weather Factors

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Electrical fire prediction model study using machine learning (기계학습을 통한 전기화재 예측모델 연구)

  • Ko, Kyeong-Seok;Hwang, Dong-Hyun;Park, Sang-June;Moon, Ga-Gyeong
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.703-710
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    • 2018
  • Although various efforts have been made every year to reduce electric fire accidents such as accident analysis and inspection for electric fire accidents, there is no effective countermeasure due to lack of effective decision support system and existing cumulative data utilization method. The purpose of this study is to develop an algorithm for predicting electric fire based on data such as electric safety inspection data, electric fire accident information, building information, and weather information. Through the pre-processing of collected data for each institution such as Korea Electrical Safety Corporation, Meteorological Administration, Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, and Transport, Fire Defense Headquarters, convergence, analysis, modeling, and verification process, we derive the factors influencing electric fire and develop prediction models. The results showed insulation resistance value, humidity, wind speed, building deterioration(aging), floor space ratio, building coverage ratio and building use. The accuracy of prediction model using random forest algorithm was 74.7%.

Application of Multivariate Statistical Techniques to Analyze the Pollution Characteristics of Major Tributaries of the Nakdong River (낙동강 주요 지류의 오염특성 분석을 위한 다변량 통계기법의 적용)

  • Park, Jaebeom;Kal, Byungseok;Kim, Seongmin
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 2019
  • In this study, we analyzed the water quality characteristics of major tributaries of Nakdong River through statistical analysis such as correlation analysis, principal component and factor analysis, and cluster analysis. Organic matter and nutrients are highly correlated, and are high in spring and autumn, and seasonal water quality management is required. Principal component and factor analysis showed that 82% of total variance could be explained by 4 principal components such as organic matter, nutrients, nature, and weather. BOD, COD, TOC, and TP items were analyzed as major influencing factors. As a result of the cluster analysis, the four clusters were classified according to seasonal organic matter and nutrient pollution. Kumho River watershed showed high pollution characteristics in all seasons. Therefore, effective management of water quality in tributary streams requires measures in consideration of spatio-temporal characteristics and multivariate statistical techniques may be useful in water quality management and policy formulation.

Real Options Study on Nuclear Phase Down Policy under Knightian Uncertainty (전력수요의 중첩 불확실성을 고려한 원전축소 정책의 실물옵션 연구)

  • Park, Hojeong;Lee, Sangjun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.177-200
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    • 2019
  • Energy demand forecast which serves as an essential input in energy policy is exposed to multiple factors of uncertainty such as GDP and weather forecast uncertainty. The Master Plan of Electricity Market in Korea which is biennially prepared is critically based on fluctuating energy demand forecast whereas its resulting proposal on electricity generation mix is substantially irreversible. The paper provides a real options model to evaluate energy transition policy by considering Knightian uncertainty as a measure to study multiple uncertainties with multiple set of probability distributions. Our finding is that the current energy transition policy under the master plan is not robust in terms of securing stable management of electricity demand and supply system.

Development Plan of Compact Satellite for Water Resources and Water-related Disaster Management (수자원·수재해 중형위성 개발 방안)

  • HWANG, Eui-Ho;CHAE, Hyo-Sok;YU, Wan-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.218-237
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study is to propose a mid - range low - orbit water disaster monitoring satellite development plan to revolutionize water disaster management infrastructure through securing an independent and leading observation infrastructure and to secure safety against disaster prepared for climate change. Water and water disaster satellites should be able to detect changes in the surface of the ground and observe hydrological factors during daytime, nighttime, and bad weather. In addition, independent technology development should be possible. To do this, we selected C-band image radar payload considering domestic technology and water resources management, and suggested detailed development plan. In this way, it is reflected in the national next-generation mid-satellite 2-phase project plan to secure the basis for building a disaster monitoring system related to wide-area water.

Assessment of variability and uncertainty in bias correction parameters for radar rainfall estimates based on topographical characteristics (지형학적 특성을 고려한 레이더 강수량 편의보정 매개변수의 변동성 및 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Ban, Woo-Sik;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.9
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    • pp.589-601
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    • 2019
  • Various applications of radar rainfall data have been actively employed in the field of hydro-meteorology. Since radar rainfall is estimated by using predefined reflectivity-rainfall intensity relationships, they may not have sufficient reproducibility of observations. In this study, a generalized linear model is introduced to better capture the Z-R relationship in the context of bias correction within a Bayesian regression framework. The bias-corrected radar rainfall with the generalized linear model is more accurate than the widely used mean field bias correction method. In addition, we analyzed variability of the bias correction parameters under various geomorphological conditions such as the height of the weather station and the separation distance from the radar. The identified relationship is finally used to derive a regionalized formula which can provide bias correction factors over the entire watershed. It can be concluded that the bias correction parameters and regionalized method obtained from this study could be useful in the field of radar hydrology.

Optimal Ship Route Planning in Coastal Sea Considering Safety and Efficiency (안전과 효율을 고려한 연안 내 선박의 최적 항로 계획)

  • Lee, Won-Hee;Choi, Gwang-Hyeok;Ham, Seung-Ho;Kim, Tae-wan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.38-39
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    • 2019
  • Optimal route planning is the route planning to minimize voyage time or fuel consumption in a given ocean environment. Unlike the previous studies on weather routing, this study proposes an optimization method for the route planning to avoid the grounding risk in the coast. The route way-points were searched using Dijkstra algorithm, and then the optimization was performed to minimize fuel consumption by setting the optimization design parameter to the engine rpm. To set the engine rpm, a method to use the fixed rpm from the departure point to the destination point, and a method to use the rpm for each section by dividing the route were used. The ocean environmental factors considered for route planning were wind, wave, and current, and the depth information was utilized to compute grounding risk. The proposed method was applied to the ship passing between Mokpo and Jeju, and then it was confirmed that fuel consumption was reduced by comparing the optimum route and the past navigated route.

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Categorical Prediction and Improvement Plan of Snow Damage Estimation using Random Forest (랜덤포레스트를 이용한 대설피해액에 대한 범주형 예측 및 개선방안 검토)

  • Lee, Hyeong Joo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.157-162
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    • 2019
  • Recently, the occurrence of unusual heavy snow and cold are increasing due to the unusual global climate change. In particular, the temperature dropped to minus 69 degrees Celsius in the United States on January 8, 2018. In Korea, on February 17, 2014, the auditorium building in Gyeongju Mauna Resort was collapsed due to the heavy snowfall. Because of the tragic accident many studies on the reduction of snow damage is being conducted, but it is difficult to predict the exact damage due to the lack of historical damage data, and uncertainty of meteorological data due to the long distance between the damaged area and the observatory. Therefore, in this study, available data were collected from factors that are thought to be corresponding to snow damage, and the amount of snow damage was estimated categorically using a random forest. At present, the prediction accuracy was not sufficient due to lack of historical damage data and changes of the design code for green houses. However, if accurate weather data are obtained in the affected areas. the accuracy of estimates would increase enough for being used for be the degree preparedness of disaster management.

A Convergence study for the Shorten of Pre-hospital Emergency Medical Response Time in Vehicle Accident (차량 사고에서 병원 전 응급의료 대응시간 단축을 위한 융합연구)

  • Jeon, Hyeok-Jin
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was a convergence study to find a way to shorten pre-hospital emergency medical response time in vehicle accident. This study analyzed the factors of hospital emergency response time by utilizing weather, road type, accident type, and rescue response to 353 vehicle passengers who visited the three emergency medical centers from January 1, 2011 to July 30, 2016 in Korea In-Depth Accident Study. The results of the study showed that the highway used the most time to prehospital emergency medical response time and was a factor affecting the overall time (${\beta}=.543$, p<.001). In order to shorten the emergency medical response time in highway, the operation of emergency services on the highway, the active use of emergency turn road and the automatic emergency rescue service with individual devices were proposed.

Lysimetric Analysis for Transpiration and Carbon Accumulation of Cnidium officinale Makino in Hot Weather Conditions (고온조건에서 라이시미터를 이용한 천궁의 증산 및 탄소축적량 분석)

  • Seo, Young Jin;Kim, Kwang Seop;Kim, Dong Chun;Nam, Hyo Hoon;Kim, Jun Hyung;Lee, Bu Yong
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.463-470
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    • 2020
  • Background: Evaluation of transpiration is required for agricultural and environmental management applications, as crop yields and plant growth are primarily water limited. This study aimed to determine the transpiration and carbon accumulation of Cnidium officinale. Methods and Results: The transpiration of C. officinale was evaluated using weighing lysimeter. The relationship between transpiration and factors such as solar radiation, air temperature, and leaf area was assessed. Transpiration increased as the leaf area increased with the growth stage. Furthermore, daily transpiration per unit leaf area was 0.69 ± 0.16 g·cm-2·day-1 and there were no significant differences in daily transpiration during the cultivation period. The maximum transpiration was 620.6 g m-2·h-1 and diurnal changes in transpiration were highly correlated with solar radiation although the maximum transpiration was observed at the air temperatures of 20℃ - 26℃. The ratio of carbon accumulation to transpiration was 0.12%. Conclusions: Our results indicated that the transpiration of C. officinale is primarily regulated by solar radiation energy on clear days and that 97% of the water is discharged through transpiration for heat dissipation. Therefore, weighing lysimeters can measure transpiration accurately and may be useful in interpreting plant growth.

The Effects of Individual Accidents and Neighborhood Environmental Characteristics on the Severity of Pedestrian Traffic Accidents in Seoul (개별 사고특성 및 근린환경 특성이 서울시 보행자 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향)

  • Ko, Dong-Won;Park, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Planning & Design
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    • v.35 no.8
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2019
  • Korea's transportation paradigm is shifting from a vehicle-oriented transportation plan to a pedestrian-friendly environment that emphasizes walking safety. However, the level of pedestrian traffic accidents in Korea is still high and serious. The purpose of this study is to investigate factors affecting the severity of pedestrians traffic accidents using the multilevel logistic regression model based on 2015-2017 pedestrian accidents data provided by the Traffic Accident Analysis System(TAAS). The main results of the multilevel logistic regression model showed that 89% of pedestrian traffic accidents in Seoul were explained by individual characteristics such as drivers and pedestrians, and 11% were explained by neighborhood environmental characteristics. The results are as follows : In the individual characteristics such as pedestrians and drivers, the older the pedestrians and the drivers, the higher the traffic accident severity. The severity of traffic accidents was high when the pedestrians were female and the drivers were male. In the case of accident types, traffic accidents were more serious in the cases of heavy vehicles, inclement weather, and occurring at intersections and crosswalks. The results of the neighborhood environmental characteristics are as follows. The intersection density and the crosswalk density tended to reduce the severity of traffic accidents. On the other hand, the traffic light density and the school zones were founded to related to the higher level of traffic accident severity. This study suggests that both individual and neighborhood environmental characteristics should be considered together to prevent and reduce the severity of pedestrian traffic accidents.