• 제목/요약/키워드: Water supply risk

검색결과 129건 처리시간 0.023초

결함트리분석을 이용한 상수관망 단수 리스크 저감 최적 방안 연구 (A study on optimal planning of risk reduction for water suspension in water pipe system using fault tree analysis)

  • 최태호;김아리;김민철;구자용
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.699-711
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    • 2014
  • This study was carried out to analyze water suspension in the water supply system through fault tree analysis. And quantitative factors was evaluated to minimize water suspension. Consequently the aim of this study is to build optimal planning by analyzing scenarios for water suspension. Accordingly the fault tree model makes it possible to estimate risks for water suspension, current risks is $92.23m^3/day$. The result of scenario analysis by pipe replacement, risks for water suspension was reduced $7.02m^3/day$ when replacing WD4 pipe. As a result of scenario analysis by water district connections, the amount of risk reduction is maximized when it is connecting to network pipe of D Zone. Therefore, connecting to network pipe for D Zone would be optimal to reduce risk for water suspension.

CGE 모형을 이용한 다목적댐 운영의 경제파급효과분석: 용수공급기능을 중심으로

  • 정기호;김재현
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.129-156
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구는 다목적댐 운영을 통한 안정적인 수자원 공급이 국가경제에 기여하는 경제적 파급효과를 분석한다. 분석을 위해 17개 주요 다목적댐이 고려되며, 다목적댐에서 공급되는 수자원을 여름과 겨울로 구분하여 별도의 생산요소로 포함하는 연산가능 일반균형모형(computable general equilibrium model: CGE)을 2007년을 기준연도로 하여 구축한다. 분석 내용은 다목적댐 용수 공급의 양적 측면과 안정적 용수 공급 측면을 구분하여, 전자에 대해서는 수자원 수요 충족에 따른 경제적 파급효과를 분석하고, 후자에 대해서는 수자원 공급의 불확실성 감소에 따른 리스크 프리미엄을 추정한다. 분석 결과, 다목적댐이 운영되지 않을 경우에 수자원을 집약적으로 투입하는 농림수산 및 수도 산업의 생산과 농림수산 산출물이 중간재로 많이 사용되는 음식료 산업의 생산이 크게 감소하는 것으로 나타났으며, 철강과 전기전자 등의 산업들은 대체로 생산이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. GNP는 벤치마크 해 대비 0.22~0.68% 감소하는 것으로 분석되었다. 한편 리스크 프리미엄은 상대적 위험회피 척도 값을 0.5~3.0의 범위에서 고려할 때 약 40억 원~240억 원의 범위를 갖는 것으로 나타났다.

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현장조사 관개 기준에 따른 농업용 저수지 운영 분석 (Agricultural Reservoir Operation Analysis According to Surveyed Irrigation Guideline)

  • 김마가;최진용;방재홍;윤푸른;김귀훈
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권5호
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    • pp.37-49
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    • 2023
  • The drought risk has been increasing recently due to climate change causing the extreme climate to be more frequent. In order to supply agricultural water stably under drought, it is necessary to operate an agricultural reservoir in response to drought. To this end, it is crucial to establish appropriate drought response operation rules considering weather conditions and reservoir status. In the reservoir operation simulation, the supply amount differs from the actual reservoir supply for many reasons, including maintaining water levels for supply and accommodating farmers' requests. So, for a more realistic reservoir operation simulation, it is necessary to reflect the reservoir operation rules of the actual water management site. Therefore, in this study, through a survey, the standards for limitation of agricultural water supply applied to agricultural reservoirs in Korea were investigated, and the criteria for drought response reservoir operation (DRO) were established based on the survey. Then, the DRO was applied to the irrigation period for nine subject reservoirs. The applicability was evaluated by comparing the DRO result to the operation result of HOMWRS (Hydrological Operation Model for Water Resources System). The reservoir drought index, storage rate, and daily supply were compared for evaluation. From the result, DRO showed more stable operation results in most cases against drought as it has fewer days of water supply limitation and a somewhat reservoir storage rate which can be utilized for prolonged drought.

강원도 횡성지역의 지하수 수질 모니터링 및 인체 위해성 평가 (Water Quality Monitoring and Risk Assessment for Groundwater at Hoengseong, Gangwon-do Province)

  • 강승혜;김기태
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제47권4호
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    • pp.356-365
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    • 2021
  • Background: Concerns have been raised regarding the criteria of groundwater, in particular in Gwangwon-do Province where many residents drink groundwater due to the poor supply of tap water and a high nonconformity rate with water quality criteria nationwide. Objectives: Water quality monitoring and risk assessment were conducted for groundwater in Hoengseong, Gangwon-do Province. Methods: A total of 46 items required for meeting drinking water criteria were analyzed from 258 samples collected from March 2017 through August 2018 (152 sites in 2017 and 106 sites in 2018). Risk assessment was conducted for two non-carcinogens (F- and NO3-N), and one carcinogen (i.e., arsenic) based on their high nonconformity to water quality criteria. Results: Water quality analysis revealed that the total proportion of nonconformities was determined to be 27.9%. The nonconformity rate for each content item is as follows: total colony counts (1.6%), total coliform (6.2%), Escherichia coli (1.2%), F- (8.1%), arsenic (4.7%), NO3-N (8.1%), pH (1.2%), manganese (0.4%), and turbidity (5.8%). Risk assessment indicated that fluoride induced a hazard quotient greater than 1 with the 95% UCL (Upper Confidence Limit) concentration of the total 258 sites and average, median, and 95% UCL concentrations of nonconformity sites. For NO3-N, there was no human health risk. For arsenic, the excess cancer risk exceeded the acceptable cancer risk of 1×10-6 with the average and 95% UCL concentrations of total 258 sites and average, median, and 95% UCL concentrations of nonconformity sites. Conclusions: This study suggests that it is necessary to expand water quality monitoring of groundwater and conduct a more detailed risk assessment in order to establish a health care plan for the residents of Hoengseong, Gangwon-do Province.

Economic-based approach for predicting optimal water pipe renewal period based on risk and failure rate

  • Kim, Kibum;Seo, Jeewon;Hyung, Jinseok;Kim, Taehyeon;Kim, Jaehag;Koo, Jayong
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2019
  • This study suggests a method for calculating the benefits of water pipe renewal based on an estimate of the water supply suspension risk. The proposed method based on five benefit items is more direct and specific than other benefit estimation methods. In addition, a methodology evaluating the economics of pipe renewal based on pipe failure rate is proposed for estimating the optimal renewal point from an economic perspective. By estimating the optimal renewal period based on a yearly benefit cost ratio per pipe in a case study area, it was possible to draft an optimal renewal plan for the subject region from an economic perspective. Compared with other methodologies, a reasonable optimal renewal period was derived from an economic point of view. The result of this study may be used to develop future water pipe renewal plans. Moreover, the proposed methodologies and results derived from this study can be applied to asset management plans.

하수의 농업적 재이용에 따른 논 담수 내 미생물 위해성 평가 (Microbial Risk Assessment in Reclaimed Wastewater Irrigation on a Paddy Field)

  • 이한필;윤춘경;정광욱;손장원
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.69-75
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    • 2009
  • Water stress has become a major concern in agriculture. Korea suffers from limited agricultural water supply, and wastewater reuse has been recommended as an alternative solution. A study was performed to examine the effects of microorganism concentration in the ponded-water of a paddy rice field with reclaimed-water irrigation for evaluating the microbial risk to farmers and neighborhood children. Most epidemiological studies were performed based on an upland field, and they may not directly applicable to paddy fields. Beta-Poisson model was used to estimate the microbial risk of pathogen ingestion. Their risk value increased significantly high level after irrigation and precipitation. It implies that agricultural activities such as plowing, and fertilizing, and precipitation need be practiced a few days after irrigation considering health risks. The results about field application of the microbial risk assessment using E. coli showed difference according to monitoring time and treatment plot. Result of the microbial risk assessment showed that risk values of ground-water and reclaimed secondary wastewater irrigation were lower than directly use of wastewater treatment plants' effluent. This paper should be viewed as a first step in the application of quantitative microbial risk assessment of E. coli to wastewater reuse in a paddy rice farming.

상수도관로의 주변 지반침하 위험도 평가를 위한 안전감시 센서 (Safety Monitoring Sensor for Underground Subsidence Risk Assessment Surrounding Water Pipeline)

  • 곽필재;박상혁;최창호;이현동
    • 센서학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.306-310
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    • 2015
  • IoT(Internet of Things) based underground risk assessment system surrounding water pipeline enables an advanced monitoring and prediction for unexpected underground hazards such as abrupt road-side subsidence and urban sinkholes due to a leak in water pipeline. For the development of successful assessment technology, the PSU(Water Pipeline Safety Unit) which detects the leakage and movement of water pipes. Then, the IoT-based underground risk assessment system surrounding water pipeline will be proposed. The system consists of early detection tools for underground events and correspondence services, by analyzing leakage and movement data collected from PSU. These methods must be continuous and reliable, and cover certain block area ranging a few kilometers, for properly applying to regional water supply changes.

부천시 수돗물공급 위험요인 및 개선방안 (Risk factors of tap water supply in Bucheon and improvement plan)

  • 김태환;김승식
    • 한국재난정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국재난정보학회 2017년 정기학술대회
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    • pp.313-314
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    • 2017
  • 본 논문에서는 부천시 핵심 국가기반시설로서 부천시민의 삶의 질에 가장 큰 영향을 끼치는 요인인 수돗물 공급서비스의 위험요인를 파악하고 이를 해소하는 방안을 마련하며, 국제 및 국내적으로 테러의 위험이 높아가고 있는 가운데 재난대비역량을 강화하여 시민이 수돗물을 안심하고 이용할 수 있도록 수돗물 공급역량 강화 방안을 마련하였다. 본 논문에서는 팔당댐 수원지에서 부천시 정수장까지 원수 공급 과정부터 정수장내 취수/정수/배수과정을 거쳐 소비자에게 공급하는 전과정에서 위험요인과 개선방안을 도출하였으며 향후계획 수립 방향을 제시하였다.

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보장 공급량 분석에 의한 댐의 물 공급 안전도 평가기법 연구 (An Evaluation Method of Water Supply Reliability for a Dam by Firm Yield Analysis)

  • 이상호;강태욱
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.467-478
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    • 2006
  • 확률론적 신뢰도를 이용하여 댐의 물 공급 안전도를 정의하였다. 그리고 장기 보장 공급량의 안전도 분석에 의한 댐의 물 공급 안전도 평가 절차를 제시하였고, 소양강댐과 충주댐의 물 공급 안전도를 평가하였다. 물 공급 안전도의 평가에 펼요한 41 개의 월 유출 시계열은 SAMS-2000으로 모의 발생시켰다. 보장 공급량 결정을 위한 저수지 모의운영에는 HEC-5모형이 사용되었다. 50년 계획 기간에 대하여 설계 유출자료에 의한 소양강댐 보장 공급량의 물 공급 안전도는 80.5 %로 평가되었고, 준공 후 기록 유입량에 의한 보장 공급량의 물 공급 안전도는 53.7 %였다. 그리고 설계 유입량 자료의 보장 공급량은 14.91억 $m^3$/yr이었고, 기록 유입량 자료의 보장 공급량은 15.85억 $m^3$/yr으로 분석되었다. 기록 유입량 자료의 보장 공급량을 목표 공급량으로 하면 연간 0.94억 $m^3$의 용수를 추가 공급할 수 있다. 동일한 절차로부터, 충주댐의 설계 유출자료에 의한 보장 공급량은 33.77억 $m^3$/yr이었고, 기록 유입량에 의한 보장 공급량은 29.60억 $m^3$/yr으로 평가되었다. 충주댐의 설계 유출자료에 의한 보장 공급량을 목표 공급량으로 하였을 때, 모든 모의 발생 시계열에 대하여 물 공급 부족이 발생하였다. 충주댐의 설계 당시 봄철 유입량의 과대평가가 그 원인일 수 있다. 제안된 절차를 적용하면 보다 객관적으로 댐의 물 공급 안전도를 평가할 수 있다.

Vulnerability AssessmentunderClimateChange and National Water Management Strategy

  • Koontanakulvong, Sucharit;Suthinon, Pongsak
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.204-204
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    • 2016
  • Thailand had set the National Water Management Strategy which covered main six areas in the next 12 years, i.e., by priority: (1) water for household, (2) water for agricultural and industrial production, (3) water for flood and drought management, (4) water for quality issue, (5) water from forest conservation and soil erosion protection, (6) water resources management. However due to the climate change impact, there is a question for all strategies is whether to complete this mission under future climate change. If the impact affects our target, we have to clarify how to mitigate or to adapt with it. Vulnerability assessment was conducted under the framework of ADB's (with the parameters of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity) and the assessments were classified into groups due to their different characteristic and the framework of the National Water Management Strategy, i.e., water supply (rural and urban), water for development (agriculture and others), water disasters (floods (flash, overflow), drought, water quality). The assessments identified the parameters concerned and weight factors used for each groups via expert group discussions and by using GIS mapping technology, the vulnerability maps were produced. The maps were verified with present water situation data (floods, drought, water quality). From the analysis result of this water resources management strategy, we found that 30% of all projects face the big impacts, 40% with low impact, and 30% for no impact. It is clear that water-related agencies have to carefully take care approximately 70% of future projects to meet water resources management strategy. It is recommended that additional issues should be addressed to mitigate the impact from climate risk on water resource management of the country, i.e., water resources management under new risk based on development scenarios, relationship with area-based problems, priority definition by viewpoints of risk, vulnerability (impact and occurrence probability in past and future), water management system in emergency case and water reserve system, use of information, knowledge and technology in management, network cooperation and exchange of experiences, knowledge, technique for sustainable development with mitigation and adaptation, education and communication systems in risk, new impact, and emergency-reserve system. These issues will be described and discussed.

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