• 한국습지학회지
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• 제1권1호
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• pp.17-28
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• 1999

The purpose of this study was to analysis water quality monitoring data and to estimate future trends using ARIMA model of time series analysis. Water quality data in Chin yang reservoir were used with monthly monitoring interval during past 7 years. The variations of water quality parameters with periodicity and trend could be estimated by multiplicative ARIMA models and the statistical tests showed a good agreement with the observed data. Therefore, the monthly values of water quality parameters could be forecasted using these models.

• 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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• 제3권4호
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• pp.11-17
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• 2002

본 논문의 목적은 섬진다목적댐 유역의 하천을 대상으로 강우시에 단기 수질상태를 예측하기 위하여 병렬다중결선의 계층구조를 갖는 신경망이론을 이용하였다. 본 연구에 적용한 신경망이론의 학습알고리즘으로는 역전파알고리즘을 사용하였으며, 최적모형의 개발을 위해 모멘트법-적응학습율기법을 이용하였다. 하천 수질오염 부하량에 영향을 미치는 요소로서 상류로부터 유입되는 유입량과 수질인자인 BOD, COD, SS를 고려하였다. 섬진다목적댐 유역에 대해 단기 수질을 예측할 수 있는 다층신경망모형을 개발하기 위해 은닉층 노드수와 학습회수에 변화를 주어 각 수질인자별로 4가지씩 총 12개의 모형을 구성하여 학습을 실시하였다. 제안된 신경망모형의 검증을 위해 학습시키지 않은 수질자료를 예측한 결과 양호한 것으로 분석되었고, 하천수계의 단기 수질오염 예측에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 사료되었다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.161-171
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• 2002

일반적으로 2차원 수질모형들은 배경이론이 복잡하고 그에 따라 입력자료나 매개변수가 복잡해지며 매개변수들간의 상호영향을 인식하는 것이 매우 어렵게 되어 초보자의 경우 적절한 매개변수론 선택하기가 쉽지 않다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 2차원 수질모형내의 여러 매개변수들간의 관련성을 평가하는 민감도 분석을 기반으로한 추론기관개발과 ArcView/Avenue를 활용하여 전문가 시스템을 구축함으로써 모형의 수질매개변수를 추정하고 모의를 실시하여 정확한 해석결과를 얻을 수 있는 기법을 제시하였다. 모형의 적용 대상지역은 팔당댐 직 하류부터 한강 인도교지점에 이르는 한강구간(35.3km)을 선택하였으며, 모형수행을 위한 기본자료는 주요지류의 유입량과 오염자료를 이용하여 시스템의 적용성을 검토하였다. 그 결과 추정된 주요 매개변수는 횡확산계수 0.367, 0.074, 0.162 등으로 추정되었으며, 추정된 매개변수에 의해 계산된 수질변수는 관측치와 잘 일치하는 것으로 나타났다. 이와 같은 GIS에 근거한 매개변수 추정을 위한 전문가 시스템은 과학적인 수질관리에 많은 도움이 되는 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제44권6호
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• pp.477-486
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• 2011

본 연구는 인공수로 또는 인공호수와 같은 환경 친화적 친수공간이 건설됨에 따라 발생되는 수질오염 문제를 수질모형실험을 통해 해소할 수 있는 방법을 연구하였다. 호소수의 개념으로 도입되는 인공수로 및 호수는 제한된 수량 공급으로 인해 수질악화, 악취발생 및 녹조 현상이 일어날 수 있다. 하지만, 이러한 현상을 예상할 수 있는 방법은 수치해석으로만 의지해 왔고 물리적 해석에 의한 검증이 이뤄지지 않아 실제 적용에 대한 어려움이 있었다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 오염된 물과 오염되지 않은 물이 서로 희석되어 영양염류의 농도를 낮추는 현상에 착안하여 원형과 모형의 상사에 영향을 받지 않는 무차원의 물리적 수질모형실험을 실시하였다. 또한 수체 내에서 흐름을 인공적으로 발생시키는 흐름유발기기의 효과 검증과 적용방법을 연구하여 목표수질을 유지할 수 있는 방안을 제시하였다.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제28권6호
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• pp.866-881
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• 2012

Han River is a complex water system consisting of many lakes. The water quality of Lake Paldang is significantly affected by incoming flows, which are the South and North branches of the Han River, and the Kyungan Stream. In order to manage the water quality of the Lake Paldang, we should consider the entire water body where the incoming flows are included. The objectives of this study are to develop an integrated river and lake modeling system for Han River system using a multidimensional dynamic model and evaluate the model's performance against field measurement data. The integrated model was calibrated and verified using field measurement data obtained in 2007 and 2008. The model showed satisfactory performance in predicting temporal variations of water level, flow rate and temperature. The Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for water temperature simulation were $0.88{\sim}2.13^{\circ}C$ (calibration period) and $1.05{\sim}2.00^{\circ}C$ (verification period) respectively. And Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) for water temperature simulation were 1089~0.98 (calibration period) and 0.90~0.98 (verification period). Utilizing the validated model, we analyzed the spatial and temporal distributions of temperature within Han River system. The variations of temperature along the river reaches and vertical thermal profiles for each lakes were effectively simulated with developed model. The suggested modeling system can be effectively used for integrated water quality management of water system consisting of many rivers and lakes.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.48-57
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• 2009

A two-dimensional (2D), laterally-averaged hydrodynamic and water quality model, CE-QUAL-W2 was applied to evaluate the performance on simulating the effect of flushing from Daecheong Reservoir on the downstream water quality variations during the flushing events held on November, 2003 and March, 2008. The hydraulic and water quality simulation results were compared with field measurement data, as well as a one-dimensional (1D), unsteady model (KORIV1) that revealed limited capability in the previous study due to missing the resuspension process of river bottom sediments. The results showed that although the 2D model made satisfactory performance in reproducing the temporal variations of dissolved matters including phosphate, ammonia and nitrate, it revealed poor performance in simulating the increase of biological oxygen demand and suspended sediment (SS) concentrations during the passage of the flushing flow. The reason of the error was that the resuspension process of the 2D model is only the function of shear stress induced by wind. In reality, however, as shown by significant correlation between bottom shear stress ($\tau$) and observed SS concentration, the resuspension process can be significantly influenced by current velocity in the riverine system, especially during flushing event. The results indicate that the resuspension of river bottom materials should be incorporated into the water quality modeling processes if $\tau$ is greater than a critical shear stress (${\tau}_c$) for better simulation of flushing effect.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제10권1호
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• pp.21-25
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• 2001

The Keum river has been utilized for drinking water supply of several city including Kunsan city and is deepening pollution state due to numerous municipal and industrial discharges. The concentration BOD in river is affected by the organic loading from a tributary and the algae biomass that largely happen to under eutrophication state. In the eutrophic water mass such as the Keum river, the autochthonous BOD was very important part for making a decision of water quality management, because it was accounted for majority of the total BOD. The predict of water quality has important meaning for management of water quality pollution of the Keum river. The purpose of this study will manage and predict water quality of the Keum river using QUAL-2E model considering the autochthonous BOD. The estimation of autochthonous BOD represented that the relationship between BOD and chlorophyll a. The regression equation was shown to be autochthonous BOD=$\beta$(sub)5$\times$chlorophyll a. The results of this study may be summarized as followed; The QUAL-2E model was calibrated with the data surveyed in the field of the study area in June, 1998. The calculated value by QUAL-2E model are in good agree to measured value within relative error of 7.80~20.33%. Especially, in the case of the considering autochthonous BOD, the calculated value of BOD were fairly good coincided with the observed values within relative error of 15%. But the case of not considering autochthonous BOD, relative error of BOD was shown to be 43.2%. In order to attain II grade of water quality standard in Puyo station which has a intake facility of water supply, we reduced to the pollutants loading of tributaries. In the case of removed 100% BOD of tributaries, the BOD of Puyo station was 4.07mg/$\ell$, belong to III grade of water quality standard. But in the case of removed 88% nutrient of tributaries, it was satisfied to II grade of water quality standard as below 3mg/$\ell$ of BOD. For estimation of autochthonous BOD in Keum river, we are performed simulating in accordance with reduction of nutrient load(50~100%) under conditions removal 90% organic load. Occupancy of autochthonous BOD according to nutrient loading reductions were varied from 25.97~79.51%. Occupancy of autochthonous BOD was shown to be a tendency to increasing in accordance with reduction of nutrient loading. Showing the above results, the nutrient that one of the growing factor of algae was important role in decision of BOD in the Keum river. For the water quality management of the Keum river, therefore, it is necessary to considering autochthonous BOD and to construction of advanced sewage treatment plant for nutrient removal.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제30권6호
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• pp.673-682
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• 2014

A watershed model was constructed using Hydrological Simulation Program Fortran to predict the water temperature at major tributaries of Nakdong River basin, Korea. Water temperature is one of the most fundamental indices used to determine the nature of an aquatic environment. Most processes of an aquatic environment such as saturation level of dissolved oxygen, the decay rate of organic matter, the growth rate of phytoplankton and zooplankton are affected by temperature. The heat flux to major reservoirs and tributaries was analyzed to simulate water temperature accurately using HSPF model. The annual mean heat flux of solar radiation was estimated to $150{\sim}165W/m^2$, longwave radiation to $-48{\sim}-113W/m^2$, evaporative heat loss to $-39{\sim}-115W/m^2$, sensible heat flux to $-13{\sim}-22W/m^2$, precipitation heat flux to $2{\sim}4W/m^2$, bed heat flux to $-24{\sim}22W/m^2$ respectively. The model was calibrated at major reservoir and tributaries for a three-year period (2008 to 2010). The deviation values (Dv) of water temperature ranged from -6.0 to 3.7%, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE) of 0.88 to 0.95, root mean square error(RMSE) of $1.7{\sim}2.8^{\circ}C$. The operational water temperature forecasting results presented in this study were in good agreement with measured data and had a similar accuracy with model calibration results.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제23권10호
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• pp.1755-1762
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• 2014

Water quality of the Koejong-reservoir was estimated by using the ecological model to evaluate the effects of industrial sewage discharge. State variables consist of POC, DOC, phytoplankton, DIP, DIN, DO and COD. Initial conditions for the compartment are applied to the model based on the observed results. The reproducibility was found to be satisfactory with the relative error ranging between the calculated value and the observed value. Water quality simulation was conducted by applying additional industrial sewage discharge into the Koejong-reservoir. The concentrations of COD, Chl.a, DIP and COD showed fluctuations of a narrow range. The increment percentages of Chl.a, COD and DIP were 26.6%, 20.2% and 18.2%, respectively. In the case of DO, the concentration decreased 4.8%.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.247-254
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• 2012

Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model has been widely used in estimation of flow and water quality at various watersheds worldwide, and it has an auto-calibration tool that could calibrate the flow and water quality data automatically from thousands of simulations. However, only continuous measured day flow/water quality data could be used in the current SWAT auto-calibration tool. Therefore, 8-day interval flow and water quality data measured nationwide by Korean Ministry of Environment (MOE) could not be used in SWAT auto-calibration even though long-term flow and water quality data in the Korean Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL) watersheds available. In this study, current SWAT auto-calibration was modified to calibrate flow and water quality using 8-day interval flow and water quality data. As a result of this study, the Nash and Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) values for flow estimation using auto-calibration are 0.77 (calibration period) and 0.68 (validation period), and NSE value for water quality (T-P load) estimation (using the 8-day interval water quality data) is 0.80. The enhanced SWAT auto-calibration could be used in the estimation of continuous flow and water quality data at the outlet of TMDL watersheds and ungaged point of watersheds. In the next study, the enhanced SWAT auto-calibration will be integrated with Web based Load Duration Curve (LDC) system, and it could be suggested as methods of appraisal of TMDL in South Korea.