• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water level prediction

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Waterborne Noise Prediction of the Reinforced Cylindrical Shell Using the SEA Technique (SEA 기법을 이용한 보강 원통형 셸의 수중방사소음 해석)

  • 배수룡;전재진;이헌곤
    • Journal of KSNVE
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.155-161
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    • 1993
  • The vibration generated by the machinery on board is transmitted to the hull and into the water. At the early design stage, the prediction of the hull vibration and the radiated noise level is very important to reduce their levels. In this study, SAE(Statistical Energy Analysis) technique is applied to predict structureborne noise level of the hull considering fluid loading. Rayleigh integral is applied to predict the radiated noise level. The results of comparision between the predictions and measurements for the reinforced cylindrical shell have shown good agreements.

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Water level fluctuations of the Tonle Sap derived from ALOS PALSAR

  • Choi, Jung-Hyun;Trung, Nguyen Van;Won, Joong-Sun
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.188-191
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    • 2008
  • The Tonle Sap, Cambodia, is a huge lake and periodically flooded due to monsoon climate. The incoming water causes intensive flooding that expands the lake over vast floodplain and wetland consisting mainly of forests and shrubs. Monitoring the water-level change over the floodplain is essential for flood prediction and water resource management. A main objective of this study is flood monitoring over Tonle Sap area using ALOS PALSAR. To study double-bounce effects in the lake, backscattering effect using ALOS PALSAR dual-polarization (HH, HV) data was examined. InSAR technique was applied for detection of water-level change. HH-polarization interferometric pairs between wet and dry seasons were best to measure water level change around northwestern parts of Tonle Sap. The seasonal pattern of water-level variations in Tonle Sap studied by InSAR method is similar to the past and altimeter data. However, water level variation measured by SAR was much smaller than that by altimeter because the DInSAR measurement only represents water level change at a given region of floodplain while altimeter provides water level variation at the central parts of the lake.

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Performance Comparison of LSTM-Based Groundwater Level Prediction Model Using Savitzky-Golay Filter and Differential Method (Savitzky-Golay 필터와 미분을 활용한 LSTM 기반 지하수 수위 예측 모델의 성능 비교)

  • Keun-San Song;Young-Jin Song
    • Journal of the Semiconductor & Display Technology
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.84-89
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    • 2023
  • In water resource management, data prediction is performed using artificial intelligence, and companies, governments, and institutions continue to attempt to efficiently manage resources through this. LSTM is a model specialized for processing time series data, which can identify data patterns that change over time and has been attempted to predict groundwater level data. However, groundwater level data can cause sen-sor errors, missing values, or outliers, and these problems can degrade the performance of the LSTM model, and there is a need to improve data quality by processing them in the pretreatment stage. Therefore, in pre-dicting groundwater data, we will compare the LSTM model with the MSE and the model after normaliza-tion through distribution, and discuss the important process of analysis and data preprocessing according to the comparison results and changes in the results.

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Prediction of pollution loads in the Geum River upstream using the recurrent neural network algorithm

  • Lim, Heesung;An, Hyunuk;Kim, Haedo;Lee, Jeaju
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study was to predict the water quality using the RNN (recurrent neutral network) and LSTM (long short-term memory). These are advanced forms of machine learning algorithms that are better suited for time series learning compared to artificial neural networks; however, they have not been investigated before for water quality prediction. Three water quality indexes, the BOD (biochemical oxygen demand), COD (chemical oxygen demand), and SS (suspended solids) are predicted by the RNN and LSTM. TensorFlow, an open source library developed by Google, was used to implement the machine learning algorithm. The Okcheon observation point in the Geum River basin in the Republic of Korea was selected as the target point for the prediction of the water quality. Ten years of daily observed meteorological (daily temperature and daily wind speed) and hydrological (water level and flow discharge) data were used as the inputs, and irregularly observed water quality (BOD, COD, and SS) data were used as the learning materials. The irregularly observed water quality data were converted into daily data with the linear interpolation method. The water quality after one day was predicted by the machine learning algorithm, and it was found that a water quality prediction is possible with high accuracy compared to existing physical modeling results in the prediction of the BOD, COD, and SS, which are very non-linear. The sequence length and iteration were changed to compare the performances of the algorithms.

Recurrent Neural Network with Multiple Hidden Layers for Water Level Forecasting near UNESCO World Heritage Site "Hahoe Village"

  • Oh, Sang-Hoon
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2018
  • Among many UNESCO world heritage sites in Korea, "Historic Village: Hahoe" is adjacent to Nakdong River and it is imperative to monitor the water level near the village in a bid to forecast floods and prevent disasters resulting from floods.. In this paper, we propose a recurrent neural network with multiple hidden layers to predict the water level near the village. For training purposes on the proposed model, we adopt the sixth-order error function to improve learning for rare events as well as to prevent overspecialization to abundant events. Multiple hidden layers with recurrent and crosstalk links are helpful in acquiring the time dynamics of the relationship between rainfalls and water levels. In addition, we chose hidden nodes with linear rectifier activation functions for training on multiple hidden layers. Through simulations, we verified that the proposed model precisely predicts the water level with high peaks during the rainy season and attains better performance than the conventional multi-layer perceptron.

Forecasting water level of river using Neuro-Genetic algorithm (하천 수위예보를 위한 신경망-유전자알고리즘 결합모형의 실무적 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, Goo-Yong;Lee, Sang-Eun;Bae, Jung-Eun;Park, Hee-Kyung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.547-554
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    • 2012
  • As a national river remediation project has been completed, this study has a special interest on the capabilities to predict water levels at various points of the Geum River. To be endowed with intelligent forecasting capabilities, the author formulate the neuro-genetic algorithm associated with the short-term water level prediction model. The results show that neuro-genetic algorithm has considerable potentials to be practically used for water level forecasting, revealing that (1) model optimization can be obtained easily and systematically, and (2) validity in predicting one- or two-day ahead water levels can be fully proved at various points.

Comparative Evaluation on Applicability of Fuzzy Time Series Method for Predicting Overtopping of Reservoir Embankment (저수지 제체 월류수위 예측을 위한 Fuzzy Time Series법의 적용성 비교 평가)

  • Yun, Sungwook;Huh, Joon;Yu, Chan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.5
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2024
  • An increasing pattern of extreme rainfall recently affected the rural infrastructures with catastrophic damage, especially the overtopping of a fill dam embankment in the Republic of Korea. The overtopping was caused by the sudden increase in reservoir water level over the dam crest level, and it was not easy work to predict a priori because of its non-linear behavior. Fuzzy time series (FTS) is a fuzzy-logic inference procedure and is suited to apply to non-linear prediction methods such as machine learning. This study used the Wangshin reservoir and Goesan-dam cases, which experienced overtopping in 2023 and 2022, respectively. Wangshin Reservoir was a typical agricultural fill dam and needed to stack more available data, with only the daily storage rate (water level) of 7 years, starting on 2 May 2016. Therefore, we used Goesan-dam data to select appropriate variables and compare the analysis result, which was stacked with about 17 years of records. The analyses adapted LSTM to compare with FTS. As a result, the reservoir water level was applied to predict the overtopping water level, and it was shown that the FTS method could predict the actual water levels effectively according to the result of comparison with LSTM. Then, the FTS method was expected to predict reservoir water level a priori to make appropriate countermeasures on overtopping events as one of the alternatives.

Comparative analysis of activation functions of artificial neural network for prediction of optimal groundwater level in the middle mountainous area of Pyoseon watershed in Jeju Island (제주도 표선유역 중산간지역의 최적 지하수위 예측을 위한 인공신경망의 활성화함수 비교분석)

  • Shin, Mun-Ju;Kim, Jin-Woo;Moon, Duk-Chul;Lee, Jeong-Han;Kang, Kyung Goo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.spc1
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    • pp.1143-1154
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    • 2021
  • The selection of activation function has a great influence on the groundwater level prediction performance of artificial neural network (ANN) model. In this study, five activation functions were applied to ANN model for two groundwater level observation wells in the middle mountainous area of the Pyoseon watershed in Jeju Island. The results of the prediction of the groundwater level were compared and analyzed, and the optimal activation function was derived. In addition, the results of LSTM model, which is a widely used recurrent neural network model, were compared and analyzed with the results of the ANN models with each activation function. As a result, ELU and Leaky ReLU functions were derived as the optimal activation functions for the prediction of the groundwater level for observation well with relatively large fluctuations in groundwater level and for observation well with relatively small fluctuations, respectively. On the other hand, sigmoid function had the lowest predictive performance among the five activation functions for training period, and produced inappropriate results in peak and lowest groundwater level prediction. The ANN-ELU and ANN-Leaky ReLU models showed groundwater level prediction performance comparable to that of the LSTM model, and thus had sufficient potential for application. The methods and results of this study can be usefully used in other studies.

Image-based rainfall prediction from a novel deep learning method

  • Byun, Jongyun;Kim, Jinwon;Jun, Changhyun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.183-183
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    • 2021
  • Deep learning methods and their application have become an essential part of prediction and modeling in water-related research areas, including hydrological processes, climate change, etc. It is known that application of deep learning leads to high availability of data sources in hydrology, which shows its usefulness in analysis of precipitation, runoff, groundwater level, evapotranspiration, and so on. However, there is still a limitation on microclimate analysis and prediction with deep learning methods because of deficiency of gauge-based data and shortcomings of existing technologies. In this study, a real-time rainfall prediction model was developed from a sky image data set with convolutional neural networks (CNNs). These daily image data were collected at Chung-Ang University and Korea University. For high accuracy of the proposed model, it considers data classification, image processing, ratio adjustment of no-rain data. Rainfall prediction data were compared with minutely rainfall data at rain gauge stations close to image sensors. It indicates that the proposed model could offer an interpolation of current rainfall observation system and have large potential to fill an observation gap. Information from small-scaled areas leads to advance in accurate weather forecasting and hydrological modeling at a micro scale.

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