• Title/Summary/Keyword: Water estimation models

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Study of Direct Parameter Estimation for Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model (Neyman-Scott 구형 펄스모형의 직접적인 매개변수 추정연구)

  • Jeong, Chang-Sam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.11
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    • pp.1017-1028
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    • 2009
  • NSRPM (Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model) is one of the common model for generating future precipitation time series in stochastical hydrology. There are 5 parameters to compose the NSRPM model for generating precipitation time series. Generally parameter estimation using moment has some problems related with increased objective functions and shows different results in accordance with random variable generating models. In this study, direct parameter estimation method was proposed to cover with disadvantages of parameter estimation using moment. To apply the direct parameter estimation, generating stochastical data variance in accordance with numbers of precipitation events of NSRPM was done. Both kinds of methods were applied at the Cheongju gauge station data. Precipitation time series were generated using 4 different random variable generator, and compared with observed time series to check the accuracies. As a results, direct method showed more stable and better results.

A Correction Method of the Error in the Survey of Topography Using an Ultrasound Altitude Sonar (초음파 고도계를 이용한 지형지물 측정에 있어서의 잡음에 의한 오차 보정 방법)

  • Kim, Sea-Moon;Choi, Jong-Su;Lee, Chong-Moo;Hong, Sup
    • Proceedings of the Korea Committee for Ocean Resources and Engineering Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.26-31
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    • 2001
  • In order to measure the distance from the bottom in the ocean we use ultrasound altitude sonars. The manganese nodule pick-up device developed by KRISO is also using an altitude sonar to control the gap between the pick-up head and sea bottom. This paper describes the performance of the altitude sonar by an experimental method. The experiment was performed with four ground models in a small basin, Manganese nodule models and water-bentonite mixture was used for setting up the ground models. Buttorworth filter was applied to remove the noise caused by a servo motor and its controller. The results show that the altitude sonar gives a good estimation of the types and slopes of the bottom as well as the distance.

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Effects of Model Complexity, Structure and Objective Function on Calibration Process (모형의 복잡성, 구조 및 목적함수가 모형 검정에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2003
  • Using inference models developed for estimation of the parameters necessary to implement the Runoff Block of the Stormwater Management Model (SWMM), a number of alternative inference scenarios were developed to assess the influence of inference model complexity and structure on the calibration of the catchment modelling system. These inference models varied from the assumption of a spatially invariant value (catchment average) to spatially variable with each subcatchment having its own unique values. Fur-thermore, the influence of different measures of deviation between the recorded information and simulation predictions were considered. The results of these investigations indicate that the model performance is more influenced by model structure than complexity, and control parameter values are very much dependent on objective function selected as this factor was the most influential for both the initial estimates and the final results.

A Method to Filter Out the Effect of River Stage Fluctuations using Time Series Model for Forecasting Groundwater Level and its Application to Groundwater Recharge Estimation (지하수위 시계열 예측 모델 기반 하천수위 영향 필터링 기법 개발 및 지하수 함양률 산정 연구)

  • Yoon, Heesung;Park, Eungyu;Kim, Gyoo-Bum;Ha, Kyoochul;Yoon, Pilsun;Lee, Seung-Hyun
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.74-82
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    • 2015
  • A method to filter out the effect of river stage fluctuations on groundwater level was designed using an artificial neural network-based time series model of groundwater level prediction. The designed method was applied to daily groundwater level data near the Gangjeong-Koryeong Barrage in the Nakdong river. Direct prediction time series models were successfully developed for both cases of before and after the barrage construction using past measurement data of rainfall, river stage, and groundwater level as inputs. The correlation coefficient values between observed and predicted data were over 0.97. Using the time series models the effect of river stage on groundwater level data was filtered out by setting a constant value for river stage inputs. The filtered data were applied to the hybrid water table fluctuation method in order to estimate the groundwater recharge. The calculated ratios of groundwater recharge to precipitation before and after the barrage construction were 11.0% and 4.3%, respectively. It is expected that the proposed method can be a useful tool for groundwater level prediction and recharge estimation in the riverside area.

Analyzing the drought event in 2015 through statistical drought frequency analysis (통계학적 가뭄빈도분석 기법을 통한 2015년 가뭄사상에 대한 분석)

  • Lee, Taesam;Son, Chanyoung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2016
  • Drought is a water-related natural disaster which can be simply described as spatially and temporally sequential absence of water. However, its characteristics are very difficult to define. For this reason, the preparation and mitigation from drought events have not been successful. In the current study, we illustrated a design drought estimation approach of water resources infrastructures as well as the existing theoretical one to prepare and mitigate drought disasters. Theoretical and simulation methods were tested including three time series models such as autoregressive (AR), Gamma AR, Copula AR models. The results indicated that for South Korea region, the simulation-based method to estimate drought frequency presented better performance and all the three time series models show similar performance to each other. The current drought event occurring in South Korea was investigated with dividing South Korea into four basins as Han River, Nakdong River, Geum River, and Nakdong River basins. The results showed that two middle and north basins presented significant drought events with 3 year drought duration and around 40 year return period while the other two southern regions illustrated relatively weaker drought events.

Assessment of MODIS Leaf Area Index (LAI) Influence on the Penman-Monteith Evapotranspiration Estimation of SLURP Model (MODIS 위성영상으로부터 추출된 엽면적지수(LAI)가 SLURP 모형의 Penman-Monteith 증발산량 추정에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Ha, Rim;Shin, Hyung-Jin;Hong, Woo-Yong;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.1087-1091
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    • 2008
  • Evapotranspiration (ET) is an important factor while simulating daily streamflow in hydrological models. The LAI (Leaf Area Index) value reflecting the conditions of vegetation generally affects considerably in the estimation of ET, for example, when using FAO Penman Monteith equation. Recently in evaluating the vegetation condition as a fixed quantity, the remotely sensed LAIs from MODIS satellite data are avaliable, and the time series values of spatial LAI coupled with land use classes are utilized for ET evaluation. The 4 years (2001-2004) MODIS LAI data were prepared for the evaluation of continuous hydrological model, SLURP (Semi-distributed Land Use-based Runoff Processes). The model was applied for simulating the dam inflow of Chungjudam watershed ($6661.58\;km^2$) located in the upstream of Han river basin of South Korea. From the model results, the FAO Penman Monteith ET was affected by the MODIS LAIs. Especially for the ET of deciduous forest, the Total ET was 33.9 % lager than coniferous forest for the 3.8 % lager of LAI. The watershed average LAI caused a 7.0 % decrease in average soil moisture of the watershed and 14.3 % decrease of ground water recharge.

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Estimation of Land Surface Energy Fluxes using CLM and VIC model (CLM과 VIC 모형을 활용한 지표 에너지 플럭스 산정)

  • Kim, Daeun;Ray, Ram L.;King, Seokkoo;Choi, Minha
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.166-172
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    • 2016
  • Accurate understanding of land surface is essential to analyze energy exchanges between earth surface and atmosphere. For the quantization of energy fluxes, the various researches about Land Surface Model(LSM) have been progressed. Among the various LSMs, the researches using Common Land Model(CLM) and Variable Infiltration Capacity(VIC) model are performed briskly. The CLM which is advanced LSM can calculate realistic results with few user defined parameters. The VIC model which is also typical LSM is widely used for estimation of energy fluxes and runoff in various fields. In this study, the energy fluxes which are net radiation, sensible heat flux, and latent heat flux were estimated using CLM and VIC model at Southern Sierra-Critical Zone Observatory(SS-CZO) site in California, United States. In case of net radiation and sensible heat flux, both models showed good agreement with observations, however, the CLM showed underestimated patterns of net radiation and sensible heat flux during precipitation period. In case of latent heat flux, the CLM represented better estimation of latent heat flux than VIC model which underestimated the latent heat flux. Through the estimation of energy fluxes and analysis of models' pros and cons, the applicability of CLM and VIC models and need of multi-model application were identified.

Development of the Optimal Reservoir Storage Determination Model for Supplying Rural Water (농업용 저수지 설계를 위한 저수량 최적화 모형의 개발)

  • 정하우;박태선;최진용
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.69-80
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    • 1998
  • The optimal reservoir storage capacity is needed to be determined at the stage of reservoir planning. The reservoir storage capacity should be based on water balance between demand and supply, and meet the water deficity during the growing season. However, the optimal reservoir storage capacity should be determined considering benefit-cost analysis for the project. In this study, Two models are developed. The one is the RSOM(Reservoir Storage Optimization Model), that is consisted by three submodels, MROPER (Modified Reservoir OPERation model), RESICO(REservoir SIze and the construction COst computation) model. And the other is the BECA(BEnefit-Cost Anaysis) model. For model application, three districts, Chungha, Ipsil and Edong were selected. The relative difference of B/C ratio between project planning data and estimation by RSOM is 17.9, 15.0 and 7.3% respectively, which may be applicable for water resources development feasibility planning.

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Application of Model Based Predictive Control with Kalman Filter to Natural Circulation Water Tube Boiler

  • Kim, Tae-Shin;Kwon, Oh-Kyu
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.06a
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    • pp.1146-1151
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    • 2005
  • This paper deals with the control problem of a natural circulation water tube boiler with constraint conditions. Some linearized models for the water tube boiler are proposed around some operating points, and the model based predictive control law is adopted to control the plant accounting for constraints. In this controller, the Kalman filter is used for the state estimation, and the controller is designed based on the linearized model. The control performance of the designed controller is exemplified via some nonlinear simulations around the operation point, which show it works well.

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Prediction of Manoeuvrability of a Ship with Low Forward Speed in Shallow Water (천수 영역에서 저속 운항하는 선박의 조종성능 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Se-Won;Yeo, Dong-Jin;Rhee, Key-Pyo;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.280-287
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a mathematical model for a ship manoeuvring with low forward speed in shallow water was suggested. Based on the cross flow model with low forward speed in deep sea, hull, propeller and rudder models were modified to consider the shallow water effects. Static drift and PMM tests were performed to obtain the cross flow drag coefficients and hydrodynamic coefficients. To validate suggested mathematical model, numerical simulation results were compared with those of sea-trials. Through comparisons, it was concluded that suggested mathematical model could give proper estimation on turning test results.