• 제목/요약/키워드: Water Risk

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관개취약성 평가모형 및 군집분석을 활용한 용수공급 위험도 평가 (Water Supply Risk Assessment of Agricultural Reservoirs using Irrigation Vulnerability Model and Cluster Analysis)

  • 남원호;김태곤;홍은미
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제57권1호
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    • pp.59-67
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    • 2015
  • Because reservoirs that supply irrigation water play an important role in water resource management, it is necessary to evaluate the vulnerability of this particular water supply resource. The purpose of this study is to provide water supply risk maps of agricultural reservoirs in South Korea using irrigation vulnerability model and cluster analysis. To quantify water supply risk, irrigation vulnerability indices are estimated to evaluate the performance of the water supply on the agricultural reservoir system using a probability theory and reliability analysis. First, the irrigation vulnerability probabilities of 1,346 reservoirs managed by Korea Rural Community Corporation (KRC) were analyzed using meteorological data on 54 meteorological stations over the past 30 years (1981-2010). Second, using the K-mean method of non-hierarchical cluster analysis and pre-simulation approach, cluster analysis was applied to classify into three groups for characterizing irrigation vulnerability in reservoirs. The morphology index, watershed area, irrigated area, and ratio between watershed and irrigated area are selected as the clustering analysis parameters. It is suggested that the water supply risk map be utilized as a basis for the establishment of risk management measures, and could provide effective information for a reasonable decision making on drought risk mitigation.

An optimal classification method for risk assessment of water inrush in karst tunnels based on grey system theory

  • Zhou, Z.Q.;Li, S.C.;Li, L.P.;Shi, S.S.;Xu, Z.H.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.631-647
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    • 2015
  • Engineers may encounter unpredictable cavities, sinkholes and karst conduits while tunneling in karst area, and water inrush disaster frequently occurs and endanger the construction safety, resulting in huge casualties and economic loss. Therefore, an optimal classification method based on grey system theory (GST) is established and applied to accurately predict the occurrence probability of water inrush. Considering the weights of evaluation indices, an improved formula is applied to calculate the grey relational grade. Two evaluation indices systems are proposed for risk assessment of water inrush in design stage and construction stage, respectively, and the evaluation indices are quantitatively graded according to four risk grades. To verify the accuracy and feasibility of optimal classification method, comparisons of the evaluation results derived from the aforementioned method and attribute synthetic evaluation system are made. Furthermore, evaluation of engineering practice is carried through with the Xiakou Tunnel as a case study, and the evaluation result is generally in good agreement with the field-observed result. This risk assessment methodology provides a powerful tool with which engineers can systematically evaluate the risk of water inrush in karst tunnels.

물안전계획(Water Safety Plan)의 국내 도입방안 (Introduction of Water Safety Plan in Korea)

  • 김진근
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2012
  • Recently, drinking water quality has significantly improved with the progress of water treatment technologies, however, customer's trust on tap water is still relatively low. Low trust on water quality is mainly due to vague anxiety. Therefore, to improve customer's trust on drinking water quality new strategy such as water safety plan(WSP) which recommended by WHO and IWA should be introduced. WSP can be defined as an approach which uses comprehensive risk assessment and risk management approach that encompasses all steps in water supply from catchment to consumer to ensure the safety of a drinking water supply. In this study, cases on WSP introduction in other countries as well as strategy for the introduction of WSP in Korea were investigated. In addition, recommendations on the improvement of the current water contamination response manual was suggested based on the analysis of the existing manual at a full scale water treatment plant.

환경 문제의 우선 순위 도출을 위한 비교 위해도 분석에 관한 연구 (Comparative Risk Analysis for Priority Ranking of Environmental Problems)

  • 김예신;임영욱;남정모;장재연;이동수;신동천
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.285-298
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    • 2002
  • In Korea, no CRA (comparative risk analysis) studies have been undertaken, nor have their methodologies of such studies been established. Therefore, the objectives of this study were to establish the framework of CRA consisting of health risk, economic risk and perceived risk, and to estimate and compare these risks among the three environmental problems of air pollution, indoor air pollution and drinking water contamination, which are themselves subject to the eight sub -problems of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs), regulated pollutants (representative as PM 10) and dioxins (PCDDs/PCDFs) in air pollution, indoor air pollutants (IAPs) and radon in indoor air pollution, and drinking water pollutants (DWPs), disinfection by -products (DBPs) and radionuclides in drinking water contamination in Seoul, Korea. After which, the priorities of these problems were set by individual and integrated risk. From the results, the rankings of both health risk and economical risk were in the following order: radon, PM10, IAPs, HAPs, DWPs, dioxins, DBPs, and radionuclides among the eight sub problems. On the contrary, the ranking of perceived risk was in the following order: HAPs, dioxins, radionuclides, PM10, DWPs, IAPs, Radon and then DBPs among the eight sub-problems.

수경시설 물놀이에 따른 대장균 감염의 위해도 분석 (Risk Assessment of Escherichia coli Infection from Use of Interactive Waterscape Facilities)

  • 조영근
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제38권1호
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: With the goal of quantifying the risk of children contracting gastroenteritis while playing at interactive waterscape facilities and evaluating the adequacy of current water quality regulations, risk assessment was performed with Escherichia coli as pathogen. Methods: Abundances of E. coli in the waters of interactive water features in South Korea were acquired from survey reports. A gamma distribution describing the volume of water swallowed by children during swimming activities was adopted. Exposure rate and risk were calculated by Monte Carlo simulation and dose-response models for various pathogenic E. coli. Results: E. coli was detected in 25 out of 40 facilities, with range of ~1,600 CFU/100 ml. The abundance fitted an exponential distribution. Simulated exposures ranged ${\sim}1.9{\times}10^{10}$ CFU, varying greater along E. coli abundance than the volume of water. Risk of children being infected by enterohemorrhagic E. coli was high, with range of ~0.85. When E. coli abundance was <200 CFU/100 ml, which is the current government threshold, the risk decreased to <0.43. Although the guideline successfully reduced the risk of adults being infected by a less virulent E. coli strains (<0.03), the risk for children could not be quantified due to lack of dose-response models for those pathogens for children. Conclusions: Under the current guideline, children are at risk of being infected if water is contaminated with by enterohemorrhagic E. coli. For other E. coli strains, the risk appears to be considerably less. The result warrants need for developing dose-response models for children for each pathogenic E. coli strain.

수질유해물질의 지정 및 배출허용기준 설정 시 고려해야 하는 복합적 요인에 대한 고찰: 위해성 저감을 중심으로 (The Various Factors which Should Be Considered in Classifying Toxic Substances in Water and Deriving Their Effluent Limits: Focusing on the Reduction of Risk)

  • 배효관;정윤철;양형재;김재훈;이현동;정진영
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.766-775
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    • 2007
  • The use of toxic chemicals was extended as the industry in Korea has grown dramatically during the last three decades. However, list of toxic substances and limit concentrations in the water environment are not consistent within management of ambient water, drinking water and industrial effluent. This article suggests the systematic framework to classify toxic substances in the water environment and deriving their effluent limits. The most important factor for decision-making to classify toxic substances is whether their concentrations in the water environment are higher than the reference concentrations, estimated by considering human health risk and ecological risk. Using a risk-based reference concentration, the ambient water quality criterion, it is possible to derive the regulatory limit concentrations of toxic substances in drinking water and in industrial effluent. The goal concentrations in the effluent, which guarantee the human and ecological safety, should be determined with scientific investigation, balancing environmental benefit and economical effect, considering availability of treatment technology and identifying characteristics of wastewater from different industries.

Ingestion Exposure to Nitrosamines in Chlorinated Drinking Water

  • Kim, He-Kap;Han, Ki-Chan
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • 제26권
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    • pp.2.1-2.7
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: N-Nitrosodimethylamine (NDMA) is classified as a probable human carcinogen by the United States Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA) and is formed during the chlorination of municipal drinking water. In this study, selected nitrosamines were measured in chlorinated drinking water collected from Chuncheon, Kangwon-do, Republic of Korea, and a risk assessment for NDMA was conducted. Methods: Twelve water samples were collected from 2 treatment plants and 10 household taps. Samples were analyzed for 6 nitrosamines via solid-phase extraction cleanup followed by conversion to dansyl derivatives and high-performance liquid chromatography-fluorescence detection (HPLC-FLD). Considering the dietary patterns of Korean people and the concentration change of NDMA by boiling, a carcinogenic risk assessment from ingestion exposure was conducted following the US EPA guidelines. Results: NDMA concentrations ranged between 26.1 and 112.0 ng/L. NDMA in water was found to be thermally stable, and thus its concentration at the end of boiling was greater than before thermal treatment owing to the decrease in water volume. The estimated excess lifetime carcinogenic risk exceeded the regulatory baseline risk of $10^{-5}$. Conclusions: This result suggests that more extensive studies need to be conducted on nitrosamine concentration distributions over the country and the source of relatively high nitrosamine concentrations.

선체부착생물관리와 수중제거기술 (Ship's Hull Fouling Management and In-Water Cleaning Techniques)

  • 현봉길;장풍국;신경순;강정훈;장민철
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.785-795
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    • 2018
  • 국제해사기구는 선체부착생물의 위험성을 인식해서 2011년 '선체부착생물에 의한 외래위해종 이동 저감을 위한 관리 및 제어 가이드라인'을 공표하였고, 향후 이를 강제화하기 위한 국제 협약을 계획하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 향후 강제화 될 국제협약에 효과적으로 대응하기 위해 선체부착생물관리 관련 선도국 사례를 소개하고 수중제거에 대한 환경 위해성 평가 기법에 대해서도 알아보았다. 선체부착생물관리 관련해서 선도국인 호주와 뉴질랜드는 수중제거 시나리오 의거해 수행한 생물 및 화학 위해성 평가를 근간으로 선체부착생물관리규제안을 마련하였다. 자국 정부의 특별한 규정이 없는 대부분의 유럽 국가들은 국제해사기구의 선체부착생물 규정에 따라 수중제거를 수행하는 것으로 확인되었다. 우리나라인 경우 선체부착생물에 대한 국내법은 존재하지 않고, 해양 생태계법에 의거해서 약 17종의 해양생태게교란생물만 지정해서 관리하고 있다. 선박 선체에 대한 수중제거는 외래생물 확산 및 수생 환경으로의 화학 물질 방출을 수반하므로, 생물학적 위해성평가와 화학적 위해성평가를 별개로 수행한 후 이 둘의 평가를 종합하여 수중제거 수용 여부를 판단하였다. 생물학적 위해성평가는 수중제거과정에서 외래생물 유입에 영향을 미치는 핵심요소를 기반으로 40 code의 수중제거 시나리오 작성하고 위해성우선순위(Risk Priority Number, RPN) 점수를 산정하였다. 화학적 위해성평가는 수중제거 시 용출되는 구리(Copper) 농도를 기준으로 MAMPEC(Marine Antifoulant Model to Predict Environmental Concentrations) 모델 프로그램을 사용하여 PEC(Predict Environmental Concentration) 값과 PNEC(Predict No Effect Concentration) 값을 산출하였다. 최종적으로 PEC/PNEC 비의 값이 1 이상이면 화학적 위해성이 높음을 의미한다. R/V 이어호가 부산감천항에서 수중제거를 수행한다는 가정하에 위해성평가를 시범 실시한 결과, 생물학적 위해성은 RPN이 <10,000 이어서 저위험으로 판단되었으나, PEC/PNEC 비의 값이 1 이상으로 화학적 위해성이 높아 최종적으로 수중제거가 불가능한 것으로 평가되었다. 따라서 우리나라도 선도국 사례를 참조해서 수중제거기술을 개발하고 또한 국내 항만 현실에 맞는 선체부착생물규제 국내법을 제정해야 할 필요가 있을 것이다.

Sediment Pollution of Heavy Metal and Potential Ecological Risk Assessment in Baiyangdian Lake, China

  • Li Guibao;Yang Zhuo;Wang Dianwu;Hao Hong
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2005년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2005
  • Baiyangdian Lake, the largest freshwater lake in North China, is known as 'Pearl of North China' and 'kidney of North China' fur its abundant products and multiple ecological services. However, from the 1970s, due to the ever-increasing discharge of polluted water from upstream rivers, it has been severely polluted. Sediment Investigation and analysis were conducted on contents of heavy metal (Cu, Zn, Cd and Pb) from Baiyangdian Lake in June 2004. Results showed that pollution situation at downriver regions are more serious than that of upstream regions. The seriously polluted spots are access of Fuhe River, original wastewater reservoir of Tanghe River, densely populated Chunshui Village and Wangjiazhai Village. By using method of the potential ecological risk assessment, the heavy metal evaluation of polluted sediment has been conducted. The results showed that the contents of Cd and Pb were very high in sediment of Baiyangdian Lake. There were extremely stronger ecological risk for Cd and slight- medium ecological risk for Pd. According to the current situation of Baiyangdian Lake, countermeasures and suggestions have been put forward.

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Vulnerability AssessmentunderClimateChange and National Water Management Strategy

  • Koontanakulvong, Sucharit;Suthinon, Pongsak
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.204-204
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    • 2016
  • Thailand had set the National Water Management Strategy which covered main six areas in the next 12 years, i.e., by priority: (1) water for household, (2) water for agricultural and industrial production, (3) water for flood and drought management, (4) water for quality issue, (5) water from forest conservation and soil erosion protection, (6) water resources management. However due to the climate change impact, there is a question for all strategies is whether to complete this mission under future climate change. If the impact affects our target, we have to clarify how to mitigate or to adapt with it. Vulnerability assessment was conducted under the framework of ADB's (with the parameters of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity) and the assessments were classified into groups due to their different characteristic and the framework of the National Water Management Strategy, i.e., water supply (rural and urban), water for development (agriculture and others), water disasters (floods (flash, overflow), drought, water quality). The assessments identified the parameters concerned and weight factors used for each groups via expert group discussions and by using GIS mapping technology, the vulnerability maps were produced. The maps were verified with present water situation data (floods, drought, water quality). From the analysis result of this water resources management strategy, we found that 30% of all projects face the big impacts, 40% with low impact, and 30% for no impact. It is clear that water-related agencies have to carefully take care approximately 70% of future projects to meet water resources management strategy. It is recommended that additional issues should be addressed to mitigate the impact from climate risk on water resource management of the country, i.e., water resources management under new risk based on development scenarios, relationship with area-based problems, priority definition by viewpoints of risk, vulnerability (impact and occurrence probability in past and future), water management system in emergency case and water reserve system, use of information, knowledge and technology in management, network cooperation and exchange of experiences, knowledge, technique for sustainable development with mitigation and adaptation, education and communication systems in risk, new impact, and emergency-reserve system. These issues will be described and discussed.

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