• Title/Summary/Keyword: Warning Index

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Implementation of a Weather Hazard Warning System at a Catchment Scale (집수역 규모 기상위험 경보체계 구축)

  • Park, Ju Hyun;Kim, Seong Kee;Shin, Yong Soon;Ahn, Mun Il;Han, Yong Kyu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.389-395
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    • 2014
  • This technical note describes about the base stages of technology implementation for establishing "Early Warning System for Weather Hazard Management in Climate-smart Agriculture" to national onsite service. First of all, a special weather report service at catchment was represented sequential risk of 810 units of catchment by spatial statistical methods to existing 150 counties units special weather report released in KMA. The second, chronic hazard alarm service based on daily data of 76 Synoptic stations was monitor about 810 Catchment of mid-long term lapse weather and represented as a relative risk index chronic hazard risk of this time in preparation for the climatological normal conditions in the same period. Finally, we establish the foundation for delivering individually calculated field specific in hazard risk about volunteer farmer of early warning service demonstration area in seomjin downstream watershed. These three types of information were built a near real-time map service on the VWORLD background map of Ministry of Land as superposed layers nationwide catchment and demonstration areas within the farm unit weather hazard.

Comparison of Thermal Environment between Inland and Coastal Cities in Gyeongbuk during the Heat Wave of 2018 - Comparison between Daegu and Pohang - (2018년 폭염 기간 동안 경북의 내륙과 해안 도시 간 열 환경 비교 - 대구와 포항의 비교 -)

  • Choo, Sung-Hyun;An, Eun-Ji;Kim, Hae-Dong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.621-628
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    • 2021
  • The characteristics of time changes in air temperature, DI (discomfort index) and WBGT (wet-bulb globe temperature) were investigated for inland city (daegu) and coastal city (pohang) of Gyeongbuk Province during the 2018 consecutive heat wave season. The time when the temperature dropped below 33℃ was around 19h in both regions. As such, the two regions were similar with respect to the time up to which the heatwave warning levels continued. However, the discomfort index (DI) was higher than 27 in Pohang. Most people feel unpleasant when an discomfort index of 27 or higher appears. The results indicated that Korea's night-time thermal environment during the summers is particularly poor in the southern coastal areas. WBGT began at 09:00 and lasted until 21:00, with a score of 31 or higher; this score, in principle, corresponded with the duration of outdoor activity in both regions. Therefore, it was found that outdoor work was at a level where all day long had to be stopped in both areas during the heat wave. Although time changes in temperature and WBGT were similar in both regions, Discomfort Index (DI) differed significantly. The difference refers to the fact that Pohang is strongly affected by the high heat capacity effect and the supply of water vapor from the sea.

Analysis of Various Ecological Parameters from Molecular to Community Levels for Ecological Health Assessments (생태 건강성 평가로서 분자지표에서 군집지표 수준까지의 다양한 변수분석)

  • Lee, Jae-Hoon;An, Kwang-Guk
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.24-34
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    • 2010
  • This study was carried out to analyze some influences on ecological health conditions, threaten by various stressors such as physical, chemical and biological parameters. We collected samples in 2008 from three zones of upstream, midstream and downstream, Gap Stream. We applied multi-metric fish assessment index (MFAI), based on biotic integrity model to the three zones along with habitat evaluations based on Qualitative Habitat Evaluation Index (QHEI). We also examined fish fauna and compositions, and analyzed relations with MFAI values, QHEI values, and various guild types. Chemical parameters such as oragnic matter (BOD, COD), nutrients (TP, $NH_3$-N), coli-form number (as MPN), and suspended solids (SS) were analyzed to identify the relationship among multiple stressor effects. Using the sentinel species of Zacco platypus, the population structures and condition factors were analyzed along with DNA damages related with genotoxicant effects by comet assay. This study using all these parameters showed that stream condition was degraded along the longitudinal gradient from upstream to downstream, and the downstream, especially, was impacted by nutrient enrichment and toxicant exposure from the point source, wastewater treatment plant. Overall results indicated that our approaches applying various parameters may be used as a cause-effect technique in the stream health assessments and also used as a pre-warning tool for diagnosis of ecological degradation.

Impact of Financial Instability on Economic Activity: Evidence from ASEAN Developing Countries

  • TRAN, Tra Thi Van
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.177-187
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    • 2022
  • Theoretical literature agrees on the interaction between financial instability and economic activity but explains it's dynamic in two points of view: one is that the transmission mechanism occurs in one unique regime and the other reckons a shift of regime leads to the alteration of the transmission mechanism. This study aims to find evidence of the multi-regime transmission for ASEAN developing countries. The author employs the technique of Threshold vector auto regression using the financial stress index standing for financial instability. Monthly data is collected, covering a period long enough with many episodes of high stress in recent decades. There are two conclusions: (1) A financial shock has a negative and stronger impact on economic activity during a high-stress period than it does during a low-stress period; (2) the response of economic activity to a negative financial shock during high-stress periods is stronger than it is during normal times. The findings point to the importance of the financial stress index as an additional early warning indicator for the real economy sector, as well as the positive effect that a reduction in financial stress may have on economic activity, implying the importance of "unconventional" monetary policy in times of high financial stress.

Development of groundwater level monitoring and forecasting technique for drought analysis (I) - Groundwater drought monitoring using standardized groundwater level index (SGI) (가뭄 분석을 위한 지하수위 모니터링 및 예측기법 개발(I) - 표준지하수지수(SGI)를 이용한 지하수 가뭄 모니터링)

  • Lee, Jeongju;Kang, Shinuk;Jeong, Jihye;Chun, Gunil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.11
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    • pp.1011-1020
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    • 2018
  • This study aims to develop a drought monitoring scheme based on groundwater which can be exploit for water supply under drought stress. In this context, groundwater level can be used as a proxy for better understanding the temporal evolution of drought state. First, kernel density estimator is presented in the monthly groundwater level over the entire national groundwater stations. The estimated cumulative distribution function is then utilized to map the monthly groundwater level into the standardized groundwater level index (SGI). The SGI for each station was eventually converted into the index for major cities through the Thiessen polygon approach. We provide a drought classification for a given SGI to better characterize the degree of drought condition. Ultimately, we conclude that the proposed monitoring framework enables a more reliable estimation of the drought stress, especially for a limited water supply area.

Development of Objective Blends of Drought Indicators for Monitoring and Early Warning in South Korea (단기·장기 혼합 가뭄 지표를 활용한 국내 가뭄 모니터링)

  • Mun, Young-Sik;Nam, Won-Ho;Kim, Taegon;Fuchs, Brian A.;Svoboda, Mark D.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.82-82
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    • 2021
  • 전 세계적으로 가뭄은 농업·식량안보·수자원관리·생태계 등 다양한 분야에서 부정적인 영향을 미치고 있다. 일반적으로 가뭄은 강수량의 부족으로 발생하고, 지표수와 지하수의 가용성이 제한됨에 따라 작물생산 및 사회·경제적으로 피해가 발생한다. 이러한 영향은 특정 가뭄 모니터링 및 조기 경보와 관련하여 가뭄 지표를 결정할 때 중요한 고려사항이다. 가뭄을 분석하기 위해서는 가뭄 지표를 적용하여 정확하게 반영하고 나타내는 것이 중요하다. 가뭄의 특성을 객관적으로 정량화하기 어렵기 때문에 다양한 지표와 계산을 통한 가뭄 모니터링 및 분석 기술이 필요하며, 강수량, 토양수분, 증발산량 및 식생과 관련하여 가뭄 지표가 개발되었다. 본 연구에서는 혼합 가뭄 지표 (Drought Indicator Blends) 활용하여 우리나라의 가뭄을 분석하였다. 혼합 가뭄 지표는 NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration)의 기후 예측 센터 (Climate Prediction Center, CPC)에서 여러 가뭄 지수를 단기 또는 장기로 구분하여 통합, 개발되었다. 단기 및 장기 혼합 제품은 PDSI (Palmer Drought Severity Index), Z-Index, SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index)를 결합하여 가뭄을 추정한다. 혼합 가뭄 지표는 해당 지역의 단기 및 장기 가뭄을 이해하는데 유용하게 활용할 수 있으며, 현재까지 미국에서 활발하게 연구가 진행되고 있다. 단기 지표는 비관개 농업, 토양수분 등 강수량에 밀접한 관련이 있는 가뭄과 관련되어 평가하며, 장기 지표의 경우 관개 농업, 지하수위 등 장기간 가뭄과 연관성을 가지고 있다. 단기 및 장기 혼합 가뭄 지표를 우리나라에 적용함으로써 기존 단일 가뭄 지수를 활용한 가뭄 분석 이상으로 다방면에서 효율적인 가뭄 모니터링을 할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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A study on the assessment of wildland fire hazard through statistic examination and calorie analysis according to the geographical distribution of vegetation (통계적 고찰과 수목분포에 따른 열량분석을 통한 산림화재 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 김광일;김동현
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.27-32
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    • 2000
  • The assessment of wildland fire hazard is the first priority to be considered in the prevention, extinction and control of wildland fire. For the standard to measure wildland fire hazard, the wildland fire Warning System is currently being used in Korea which computes the wildland fire occurrence hazard index through a stick weight to moisture conversion formula. It shows the risk of fuel substance being exposed to fire by meteorological factors. For a comprehensive assessment of wildland fire hazards by area, the major factors'hazards need to be measured and the assessment of wildland fire needs to be conducted through historical statistic examination. Therefore, the wildland (ire outbreak frequency and its seriousness of damage are analyzed through historical statistic examination to conduct the assessment of a wildland fire hazard, and then the calorific value of a forest is analyzed through differential scanning calorimeter measurement which assesses the comparative calorific hazard according to the geographical distribution of vegetation.

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Development of Impact-based Heat Health Warning System Based on Ensemble Forecasts of Perceived Temperature and its Evaluation using Heat-Related Patients in 2019 (인지온도 확률예보기반 폭염-건강영향예보 지원시스템 개발 및 2019년 온열질환자를 이용한 평가)

  • Kang, Misun;Belorid, Miloslav;Kim, Kyu Rang
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.195-207
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    • 2020
  • This study aims to introduce the structure of the impact-based heat health warning system on 165 counties in South Korea developed by the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences. This system was developed using the daily maximum perceived temperature (PTmax), which is a human physiology-based thermal comfort index, and the Local ENSemble prediction system for the probability forecasts. Also, A risk matrix proposed by the World Meteorological Organization was employed for the impact-based forecasts of this system. The threshold value of the risk matrix was separately set depending on regions. In this system, the risk level was issued as four levels (GREEN, YELLOW, ORANGE, RED) for first, second, and third forecast lead-day (LD1, LD2, and LD3). The daily risk level issued by the system was evaluated using emergency heat-related patients obtained at six cities, including Seoul, Incheon, Daejeon, Gwangju, Daegu, and Busan, for LD1 to LD3. The high-risks level occurred more consistently in the shorter lead time (LD3 → LD1) and the performance (rs) was increased from 0.42 (LD3) to 0.45 (LD1) in all cities. Especially, it showed good performance (rs = 0.51) in July and August, when heat stress is highest in South Korea. From an impact-based forecasting perspective, PTmax is one of the most suitable temperature indicators for issuing the health risk warnings by heat in South Korea.

Forecast of geomagnetic storm using coronal mass ejection and solar wind condition near Earth

  • Kim, Rok-Soon;Park, Young-Deuk;Moon, Yong-Jae
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.63.1-63.1
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    • 2013
  • To improve the forecast capability of geomagnetic storms, we consider the real time solar and near Earth conditions together, since the characteristics of CMEs can be modified during their transit from the Sun to the Earth, and the geomagnetic storms may be directly affected by not only solar events but also near Earth interplanetary conditions. Using 55 CME-Dst pairs associated with M- and X-class solar flares, which have clearly identifiable source regions during 1997 to 2003, we confirm that the peak values of negative magnetic field Bz and duskward electric field Ey prior to Dst minimum are strongly related with Dst index. We suggest the solar wind criteria (Bz<-5 nT or Ey>3 mV/m for t>2 hr) for moderate storm less than -50 nT by modifying the criteria for intense storms less than -100 nT proposed by Gonzalez and Tsurutani (GT, 1987). As the results, 90% (28/31) of the storms are correctly forecasted by our criteria. For 15 exceptional events that are incorrectly forecasted by only CME parameters, 12 cases (80%) can be properly forecasted by solar wind criteria. When we applying CME and solar wind conditions together, all geomagnetic storms (Dst<-50 nT) are correctly forecasted. Our results show that, the storm forecast capability of the 2~3 days advanced warning based on CME parameters can be improved by combining with the urgent warning based on the near Earth solar wind condition.

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Development of Fuzzy Hybrid Redundancy for Sensor Fault-Tolerant of X-By-Wire System (X-By-Wire 시스템의 센서 결함 허용을 위한 Fuzzy Hybrid Redundancy 개발)

  • Kim, Man-Ho;Son, Byeong-Jeom;Lee, Kyung-Chang;Lee, Suk
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.337-345
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    • 2009
  • The dependence of numerous systems on electronic devices is causing rapidly increasing concern over fault tolerance because of safety issues of safety critical system. As an example, a vehicle with electronics-controlled system such as x-by-wire systems, which are replacing rigid mechanical components with dynamically configurable electronic elements, should be fault¬tolerant because a devastating failure could arise without warning. Fault-tolerant systems have been studied in detail, mainly in the field of aeronautics. As an alternative to solve these problems, this paper presents the fuzzy hybrid redundancy system that can remove most erroneous faults with fuzzy fault detection algorithm. In addition, several numerical simulation results are given where the fuzzy hybrid redundancy outperforms with general voting method.