• Title/Summary/Keyword: Wakeby distribution

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Derivation of Design Floods by the Probability Weighted Moments in the Wakeby Distribution (Wakeby 분포모형의 확률가중모멘트기법에 의한 설계홍수량 유도)

  • 이순혁;송기헌;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to derive optimal design floods by the Wakeby distribution model using the probability weighted moments. Parameters for the Wakeby distribution were estimated by the probability weighted moments for the annual flood flows of the applied watersheds. Design floods obtained by the Wakeby and GEV distributions were compared by the relative mean errors, relative absolute errors and root mean square errors. In general, it has shown that the design floods by the Wakeby distribution using the methods of the probability weighted moments are closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the GEV distribution.

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Derivation of Design Floods by the Probability Weighted Moments in the Wakeby Distribution (Wakeby 분포모형의 확률가중모멘트기법에 의한 설계홍수량 유도(수공))

  • 송기헌;이순혁;박종화;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this study is to derive optimal design floods by the Wakeby distribution using the probability weighted moments. parameters for the Wakeby distribution were estimated by the probability weighted moments for the annual flood flows of the applied watersheds. Design floods obtained by the Wakeby and GEV distributions were compared by the relative mean errors, relative absolute errors and root mean square errors. In general, it has shown that the design floods by the Wakeby distribution using the methods of the probability weighted moments are closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the GEV distribution.

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Flood Frequency Analysis by Wakeby and Kappa Distributions Using L-Moments (Wakeby 및 Kappa 분포의 L-모멘트법에 의한 홍수빈도분석)

  • Maeng, Seung-Jin;Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Lee, Hyeon-Gyu;Ryu, Kyong-Sik;Song, Gi-Heon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.48 no.5
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    • pp.17-27
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    • 2006
  • The objective of this study is to induce the design floods by the methodology of L-moment including test of homogeneity, independence and outlier of the data of annual maximum flood flows for 12 water level gaging stations of South Korea. To select appropriate distribution of the data for annual maximum flood flows, the distributions of Wakeby and Kappa are applied and the appropriateness is judged by Kolmogorov-smirnov (K-S) test. The parameters of selected Wakeby and Kappa distributions are calculated by the method of L-moment and the design floods are induced. Through the comparative analysis using the relative root mean square errors (RRMSE) and relative absolute errors (RAE) of design floods, the result shows that the design floods by Wakeby distribution are closer to the observed data than those obtained by the Kappa distribution.

Comparative Analysis of Deisgn Low Flow by L-moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions (Weibull-3 및 Wakeby 분포모형의 L-모멘트법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석)

  • 이순혁
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.45-55
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design low flows bythe Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the partial consecutive duration series at seven watersheds along Han. nagdong, Geum Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectively. Parameters were estimated by the method of L-Moments with consecutive duration. Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using with consecutive duration, Design low flows obtained by method of L-Moments using different methods for plotting positions formulas in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design low flows derived by the method of L-moments using Weivull plotting position formula in Wakeby distribution were much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the methods of L-moments with the different formulas for plotting positions in Weibull-3 distribution from the viewpoint of Root Mean Square Errors.

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Comparative Analysis of Design Drought Flow by L-Moment in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions (Weibull -3 및 Wakeby 분포의 L-모멘크법에 의한 설계갈수량 비교분석)

  • 이순혁;박종화;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10c
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    • pp.531-536
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    • 1999
  • This study was carried out to derive optimal design drought flows by the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions for the annual drought flows series at seven watersheds along Han, Nagdong, Geum, Yeongsan and Seomjin river systems. L-coefficient of variation , L-skewness and L-kurtosis were calculated by the L-moment ratio respectivley. Parameters were estimated by the Methods o fL-Moments with continuous duration. Design drought flows obtained by Methods of L-Moments using Weibull plotting positions formula in the Weibull-3 and Wakeby distributions were compared by the Relative Mean Errors(RME), Relative Absolute Errors (RAE) and Root Mean Square Errors(RMSE). It has shown that design drought flows by the Wakeby distribution using method of L-moments are much closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the Weibull-3 distribution using method of L-moments.

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Wakeby Distribution and the Maximum Likelihood Estimation Algorithm in Which Probability Density Function Is Not Explicitly Expressed

  • Park Jeong-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.443-451
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    • 2005
  • The studied in this paper is a new algorithm for searching the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) in which probability density function is not explicitly expressed. Newton-Raphson's root-finding routine and a nonlinear numerical optimization algorithm with constraint (so-called feasible sequential quadratic programming) are used. This algorithm is applied to the Wakeby distribution which is importantly used in hydrology and water resource research for analysis of extreme rainfall. The performance comparison between maximum likelihood estimates and method of L-moment estimates (L-ME) is studied by Monte-carlo simulation. The recommended methods are L-ME for up to 300 observations and MLE for over the sample size, respectively. Methods for speeding up the algorithm and for computing variances of estimates are discussed.

Estimates of Regional Flood Frequency in Korea (우리나라의 빈도홍수량의 추정)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Won, Yoo-Seung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.12
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    • pp.1019-1032
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    • 2004
  • Flood frequency estimate is an essential index for determining the scale of small and middle hydraulic structure. However, this flood quantity could not be estimated directly for practical design purpose due to the lack of available flood data, and indirect method like design rainfall-runoff method have been used for the estimation of design flood. To give the good explain for design flood estimates, regional flood frequency analysis was performed by flood index method in this study. First, annual maximum series were constructed by using the collected data which covers from Japanese imperialism period to 1999. Wakeby distribution recommended by WMO(1989) was used for regional flood frequency analysis and L-moment method by Hosking (1990) was used for parameter estimation. For the homogeneity of region, the discordance and heterogeneity test by Hosking and Wallis(1993) was carried for 4 major watersheds in Korea. Physical independent variable correlated with index flood was watershed area. The relationship between specific discharge and watershed area showed a type of power function, i.e. the specific discharge decreases as watershed area increases. So flood quantity according to watershed area and return period was presented for each watershed(Han rivet, Nakdong river, Geum river and Youngsan/Seomjin river) by using this relation type. This result was also compared with the result of point frequency analysis and its regionalization. It was shown that the dam construction couldn't largely affect the variation of peak flood. The property of this study was also examined by comparison with previous studies.

Statistical Analysis of Electrical Tree Inception Voltage, Breakdown Voltage and Tree Breakdown Time Data of Unsaturated Polyester Resin

  • Ahmad, Mohd Hafizi;Bashir, Nouruddeen;Ahmad, Hussein;Piah, Mohamed Afendi Mohamed;Abdul-Malek, Zulkurnain;Yusof, Fadhilah
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.840-849
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents a statistical approach to analyze electrical tree inception voltage, electrical tree breakdown voltage and tree breakdown time of unsaturated polyester resin subjected to AC voltage. The aim of this work was to show that Weibull and lognormal distribution may not be the most suitable distributions for analysis of electrical treeing data. In this paper, an investigation of statistical distributions of electrical tree inception voltage, electrical tree breakdown voltage and breakdown time data was performed on 108 leaf-like specimen samples. Revelations from the test results showed that Johnson SB distribution is the best fit for electrical tree inception voltage and tree breakdown time data while electrical tree breakdown voltage data is best suited with Wakeby distribution. The fitting step was performed by means of Anderson-Darling (AD) Goodness-of-fit test (GOF). Based on the fitting results of tree inception voltage, tree breakdown time and tree breakdown voltage data, Johnson SB and Wakeby exhibit the lowest error value respectively compared to Weibull and lognormal.

A Study on the Optimal Probability Distribution for the Time Interval Between Ships on the Traffic Route of the Busan North Port (부산 북항 통항 선박간의 시간간격 최적 확률분포에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Kwan
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.413-419
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    • 2019
  • Traffic routes typically have heavy traffic. Especially, the entrance of the route has a high risk of accidents occurring because of ships entering and exiting the port. However, almost of studies have focused on the distribution of traffic on the route. Thus, studies on the distribution between ships for passing through the route are insufficient. The purpose of this study was to analysis the traffic in the Busan north port No.1 route for one week. Based on present traffic conditions, one gate line was settled on the route with an analysis of traffic conditions. Based on the analysis data, each optimal time probability distribution between ships was divided into inbound/outbound and traffic volume. An analysis of the optimal probability distribution, was applied to 31 probability distributions divided into bounded, unbounded, non-negative, and advanced probability distribution. The KS test was applied for identifying three major optimal time probability distributions. According to the KS test results, the Wakeby distribution is the best optimal time probability distribution on the designated route. Although the optimal time probability distribution for other transportation studies such as on vehicles on highways is a non-negative probability distribution, this distribution is an advanced probability distribution. Thus, the application of major probability distribution for using other transportation studies is not applicable to this study Additionally, the distance between ships in actual traffic surveys and the distance estimated by the optimal probability distribution were compared. As a result of the comparison, those distances were fairly similar. However, this study was conducted in only one major port. Thus, it is necessary to investigate the time between ships and calculate a traffic volume on varying routes in future studies.