• Title/Summary/Keyword: WTP 함수 추정

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A Critical Evaluation of Dichotomous Choice Responses in Contingent Valuation Method (양분선택형 조건부가치측정법 응답자료의 실증적 쟁점분석)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.119-153
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    • 2011
  • This study reviews various aspects of model formulating processes of dichotomous choice responses of the contingent valuation method (CVM), which has been increasingly used in the preliminary feasibility test of Korea public investment projects. The theoretical review emphasizes the consistency between WTP estimation process and WTP measurement process. The empirical analysis suggests that two common parametric models for dichotmous choice responses (RUM and RWTP) and two commonly used probability distributions of random components (probit and logit) resulted in all most the same empirical WTP distributions, as long as the WTP functions are specified to be a linear function of the bid amounts. However, the efficiency gain of DB response compared to SB response were supported on the ground that the two CV responses are derived from the same WTP distribution. Moreover for the exponential WTP function which guarantees the non-negative WTP measures, sample mean WTP were quite different from median WTP if the scale parameter of WTP function turned out to be large.

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Measuring Benefits of Providing Water for Environmental Improvement in Yeongdok Ohsip River: Considering Protest Bids and Distance-Decay Function in the Application of CVM (영덕오십천 환경개선용수 공급의 경제적 편익측정: CVM 적용에 있어 저항응답의 처리와 거리소멸함수)

  • Eom, Young Sook
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.435-461
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    • 2015
  • Recently, Korean development Institute includes water for environmental improvement as an additional water demand category in water resources development project. In response to this change, this paper is to measure benefits of providing additional water in Yeondok Ohsip River by applying contingent valuation method. This study extended the conventional CVM design by incorporating distance variable into WTP function of dichotonomous choice responses and treated protest bids by estimating sample-selection models. The empirical analysis exhibited that more than 30% of respondents were categorized as protest bids and the mean of WTP from sample selection models were three times higher than that of the whole sample. In addition, the distance variable had significantly negative impact on sample WTP regardless of variables forms, and the geographical market area were more 400km, which implies that beneficiaries of water service would the households from the whole nation.

Measurement of Willingness to Pay by Using Fuzzy Theory (퍼지이론을 이용한 지불의사액의 추정)

  • Lee, Sung Tae;Lee, Kwangsuck
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.921-937
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we apply fuzzy theory in a discrete choice Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) in order for dealing preference uncertainty problem. Fuzzy membership function is used in an empirical analysis to estimate the willingness-to-pay(WTP) for the preservation of the endangered Asiatic Black Bear in Korea. The estimated WTP was about 9,090 Korea Won per household with 78 percent of confidence level. The advantage of applying fuzzy theory in the valuation method could be found in its ability to measure the confidence level of the estimated WTP.

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Economic Valuation of the Taehwa Field Ecological Park: An Application of a Contingent Valuation Method with Preferance Uncertainly (태화들 생태공원의 경제적 가치추정에 관한 연구: 선호불확실성을 고려한 조건부가치측정법의 적용)

  • Kim, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.109-135
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    • 2010
  • This study estimated the social benefits of establishment 01 the Taehwa Field Ecology Park in Ulsan Metropolitan City, using CVM(Contingent Valuation Method) with multiple choices in consideration of respondent's uncertainty. The estimation results 01 lour logit models show that the probability of willingness-to-pay increases significantly with higher income, higher evaluation on the relevancy of establishment of the Park, and male gender, and decreases significantly with the bidding price. Truncated mean household WTP is estimated as 2,409.4 KRW in the MBYES model with the most efficient estimates of WTP among four models. On the basis of the WTP estimates, the present values of total social benefits in Ulsan Metropolitan City are estimated as 236.5 bill ion KRW when applying the 5% discount rate. This result shows that the present values of total social benefits are greater than the total costs in all models, and thus may prove the economic relevancy of the investment for the ecology park establishment.

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An Empirical Test for CVM Calibration Factor through Combining Revealed and Stated Preferences Data (현시선호와 진술선호 자료의 결합을 통한 조건부 가치측정법 소득조정계수의 추정)

  • Eom, Young Sook;Larson, Douglas M.
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.337-366
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    • 2004
  • Contingent Valuation Method (CVM), as non-market valuation approach, has been criticized on that respondents may not realistically reflect their budget constraints in answering willingness to pay (WTP) for hypothetical CV questions. This paper empirically estimates the income calibration factor associated with CV responses through combining travel cost method and contingent valuation method in a utility-theoretic framework. The joint model of recreation demand function and contingent WTP function was applied to an important case study on the Man Kyoung River system, whose water quality is at issue because of the Sae Alan Kum reclamation project. Relevant economic variables such as price, income and water quality had significant influence as anticipated by the economic theory. Equally important, the income calibration factor was not significantly different from one, suggesting that the systematic discrepancies of CV responses relative to the actual behavior was not detected at least in terms of budget exaggeration. Overall, this study supports the notion that carefully designed CVM studies can provide informative data on individuals' willingness to pay for environmental quality changes.

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Issues in Applying CV Methods to the Preliminary Feasibility Test (예비타당성조사 적용 CVM의 분석체계와 개선과제)

  • Eom, Young Sook;Kwon, Oh-Sang;Shin, Youngchul
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.595-628
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates the issues and suggests reform measures in applying CV methods to the Korea Development Institute's (KDI's) Preliminary Feasibility Test (PFT) of public projects. Most public projects on culture, science and environment evaluated under the PFT system belong to the category of "nonstandard" projects whose outputs are non-marketed, and CV is currently the main tool used for their benefit estimation. A careful discussion and investigation is recommended for the selection of target population, payment vehicle, and number of payment times. Operating expert reviews, focus group interviews, and pre-tests is highly recommended to reduce the potential bias involved in the CV studies. A single or double bounded dichotomous choice format is the most popular design of questionnaire, but we identify several undissolved issues in designing and implementing the format. Some other forms of inducing WTPs may still deserve our consideration. Various specifications of the WTP function need to be tried and tested based on their stability, in particular. Employing a nonparametric approach is also recommended. Treatments of 0 or negative WTPs and protest bids are shown to be the most serious issues that affect the estimation results significantly. We review diverse measures of handling those issues and summarize their advantages and shortcomings.

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Estimation of citizens' Willing To Pay for water quality improvement on urban rivers (도시하천 수질 개선을 위한 도시민의 지불의사 추정)

  • Kang, Ji Yoon;Kim, Keewook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.463-463
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    • 2022
  • 도시하천은 급속한 경제성장과 개발 등 여건변화에 따라 크게 변화되어왔다. 이에 하천은 본연의 모습과 가치를 잃고 인공적인 모습으로 변해 하천의 주요 기능인 자정작용, 생태계 건강성 유지 등의 기능을 잃고 도시 활동에 따른 오염물질에 노출되어가고 있는 실정이다. 이로 인한 부정적인 영향으로 도시민의 삶의 질과 만족도 또한 하락되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 부산의 대표하천인 수영강을 대상으로 도시하천 수질 개선을 위한 도시민의 지불의사를 추정하였다. 비시장가치를 추정하기 위해 조건부가치측정법(CVM, Contingent Valuation Method)을 적용하여 수질개선에 따른 지불의사(WTP, Willingness To Pay)를 파악하고 경제적 가치를 추정하였다. 가상시나리오는 EPA, water quality ladder의 개념을 이용하여 현재 수영강 수질이 오염된 물(4등급)이라고 가상시장을 설정하고 낚시가 가능한 수준(2등급)까지 개선을 시키고자 할 때의 지불의사를 물었다. 이때 지불수단은 기부금의 형태로 연 1회 향후 5년간 지불기간을 설정하였다. WTP 모형추정은 KDI에서 제시하고 있는 로지스틱분포 함수와 스파이크 모형을 사용하여 WTP를 추정하였다. 스파이크 모형의 추정결과 평균 지불의사액은 12,255원으로 부산광역시 전체 가구 수인 1,392,291가구(2019년)에 적용할 경우 향후 5년간 연 170억 원의 재원을 확보할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다. 지불의사 추정결과 수영강 인접 지역주민의 지불의사가 높게 추정되었고, 부산시민이 수영강을 자연과 생태보전 기능하천으로 인지하고 있음(56.5%)을 고려 할 때, 하천환경개선을 통한 지불의사의 상승은 도시하천 가치 향상이 될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다. 또한 도시민의 기대수준 충족과 더불어 도시하천 가치상승을 위한 부족한 재원까지도 조달 할 수 있는 방안의 기초를 마련 할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

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A Semiparametric Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model (조건부가치평가모형의 준모수 추정)

  • Park, Joo Heon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.545-557
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    • 2003
  • A new semiparametric estimator of a dichotomous choice contingent valuation model is proposed by adapting the well-known density weighted average derivative of the regression function. A small sample behavior of the estimator is demonstrated very briefly by a simulation and the estimator is applied to estimate the WTP for preserving the Dong River area in Korea.

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A Study on Economic Value of Daegu Arboretum based on Contingent Valuation Methods (가상가치평가법을 이용한 대구수목원의 경제적 가치평가)

  • Kang, Kee-Rae;Lee, Kee-Cheol;Lee, Hyun-Taek;Ryu, Byong-Ro;Kim, Dong-Pil
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.787-798
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    • 2011
  • An arboretum is defined as a collection of facilities that conserve plant species by surveying, collecting, and proliferating and preserving the plants in nature, perform diverse researches on plants and display the plants in exhibition spaces or outdoors as well as provide the public with educational programs and refreshment spaces according to the laws concerned. The public, however, recognizes the exhibition and education functions on plants of arboretum more importantly compared with the roles to survey, collect, and proliferate plants as regulated by the laws. In particular, arboretum plays a role to offer a pivotal educational place in urban area where the public can obtain an hands-on experience and understanding on a wide range of plant species and natural environment. The study aims to estimate the non market environmental values of Daegu Arboretum operated by Daegu Metropolitan City government by using the Contingent Valuation Methods (CVM), which yields the current monetary estimates for the arboretum. The value estimation was undertaken by using the Double-Bound Dichotomous Choice (DBDC) method, and each estimated value was derived from respective functions based on a logit distribution known to include relatively stable estimates according to the shape of the distribution. Considering the statistical fitness test results, the author estimated the amounts of the Willingness To Pay (WTP) such as mean WTP of 12,718 KRW, median WTP of 11,033 KRW, and truncated mean WTP of 11,468 KRW, which represented the annual recreational values per a person visiting Daegu Arboretum respectively. The analysis showed that Daegu Arboretum created the annual environmental values which were estimated to be approximately 16 to 19 billion KRW. The study also has an implication that the valuation method for the environment of Daegu Arboretum may be effectively applied for estimating the values of other types of environmental goods by altering the locations or goods to be analyzed.

Underlying Values of Real-time Traffic Information on Variable Message Sign Using Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) (조건부가치추정법을 이용한 VMS교통정보의 기본가치 추정연구)

  • Lee, Gyeong-A;Kim, Jun-Gi;O, Seong-Ho;Lee, Yeong-In
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.61-72
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    • 2011
  • In the benefits of ITS, there are intangible gains from real-time traffic information as well as classical gains such as travel time saving. These intangible gains are difficult to be estimated by existing transportation investment appraisal commonly used in SOC investment. The major reason is not because of the absence of methodology but because of the absence of generalized values of particular benefits from real time traffic information. This research explores the value of real-time traffic information on VMS that is the most representative of ITS services, by using CVM with Double Bounded Dichotomous Choice Question. Willingness-To-Pay (WTP) functions of drivers are built with survival functions using various types of probability distribution functions such as Exponential, Log-logistic, and Weibull functions. The results reveal that Log-logistic distribution is the most appropriate distribution model to estimate WTP, and the estimated coefficients are stable through LR (Likelihood Ratio) test. For the further study, it is recommended to perform statistical tests of temporal and spatial transferability that is not examined in this research due to the lack of data.