• Title/Summary/Keyword: Vulnerability Estimation

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Advanced Seismic Retrofit Priority Decision For Seismic Performance Estimation of Existing Bridges (기존 교량의 내진성능평가를 위한 개선된 내진보강 우선순위 결정)

  • Park, Kwang-Soon;Ju, Hyeong-Seok;Choi, Hong-Cheol;Kim, Ick-Hyun
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2009
  • Existing bridges are classified into 4 retrofit groups using the current preliminary screening method, considering key terms such as seismicity, vulnerability and social impact effect. However, some irrationality was found when the current method was applied to 442 existing bridges. As a result, it was determined that quantification and a more detailed classification of seismicity were required. The estimation of the vulnerability of box girder bridges having a long span length should be improved, as this showed a tendency to underestimate. It was also necessary to increase the level of social impact effect to that of vulnerability. In this study, an improved preliminary screening method has been proposed on the basis of the estimation results of existing bridges.

Probabilistic estimation of seismic economic losses of portal-like precast industrial buildings

  • Demartino, Cristoforo;Vanzi, Ivo;Monti, Giorgio
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.323-335
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    • 2017
  • A simplified framework for the probabilistic estimation of economic losses induced by the structural vulnerability in single-story and single-bay precast industrial buildings is presented. The simplifications introduced in the framework are oriented to the definition of an expeditious procedure adoptable by government agencies and insurance companies for preliminary risk assessment. The economic losses are evaluated considering seismic hazard, structural response, damage resulting from the structural vulnerability and only structural-vulnerability-induced e]conomic losses, i.e., structural repair or reconstruction costs (stock and flow costs) and content losses induced by structural collapse. The uncertainties associated with each step are accounted for via Monte Carlo simulations. The estimation results in a probabilistic description of the seismic risk of portal-like industrial buildings, expressed in terms of economic losses for each occurrence (i.e., seismic event) that owners (i.e., insured) and stakeholders can use to make risk management decisions. The outcome may also be useful for the definition of the insurance premiums and the evaluation of the risks and costs for the owner corresponding to the insurance industrial costs. A prototype of a precast concrete industrial building located in Mirandola, Italy, hit by the 2012 Emilia earthquake, is used as an example of the application of the procedure.

Modifier parameters and quantifications for seismic vulnerability assessment of reinforced concrete buildings

  • Oumedour, Amira;Lazzali, Farah
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.83-94
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    • 2022
  • In recent years, some studies have identified and quantified factors that can increase or decrease the seismic vulnerability of buildings. These modifier factors, related to the building characteristics and condition, are taken into account in the vulnerability assessment, by means of a numerical estimation resulting from the quantification of these modifiers through vulnerability indexes. However, views have differed on the definition and the quantification of modifiers. In this study, modifier parameters and scores of the Risk-UE Level 1 method are adjusted based on the Algerian seismic code recommendations and the reviews proposed in the literature. The adjusted modifiers and scores are applied to reinforced concrete (RC) buildings in Boumerdes city, in order to assess probable seismic damage. Comparison between estimated damage and observed damage caused by the 2003 Boumerdes earthquake is done, with the objective to (i) validate the model involving influence of the modifier parameters on the seismic vulnerability, and (ii) to define the relationship between modifiers and damage. This research may help planners in improving seismic regulations and reducing vulnerability of existing buildings.

Reclassification of the vulnerability group of wartime equipment (군집분석을 이용한 전시장비의 취약성 그룹 재분류)

  • Lee, Hanwoo;Kim, Suhwan;Joo, Kyungsik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.581-592
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    • 2015
  • In the GORRAM, the estimation of resource requirements for wartime equipment is based on the ELCON of the USA. The number of vulnerability groups of ELCON are 22, but unfortunately it is hard to determine how the 22 groups are classified. Thus, in this research we collected 505 types of basic items used in wartime and classified those items into new vulnerability groups using AHP and cluster analysis methods. We selected 11 variables through AHP to classify those items with cluster analysis. Next, we decided the number of vulnerability groups through hierarchical clustering and then we classified 505 types of basic items into the new vulnerability groups through K-means clustering.This paper presents new vulnerability groups of 505 types of basic items fitted to Korean weapon systems. Furthermore, our approach can be applied to a new weapon system which needs to be classified into a vulnerability group. We believe that our approach will provide practitioners in the military with a reliable and rational method for classifying wartime equipment and thus consequentially predict the exact estimation of resource requirements in wartime.

Development of Flood Vulnerability Index Estimation System (이상홍수 취약성 평가 시스템의 개발)

  • Jang, Dae-Won;Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung;Yang, Dong-Min;Seoh, Byung-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.410-413
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    • 2008
  • We constructed the regional flood risk and damage magnitude using hazard and vulnerabilities which are climatic, hydrological, socio-economic, countermeasure, disaster probability components for DB construction on the GIS system. Also we developed the Excess Flood Vulnerability index estimation System(EFVS). By the construction of the System, we can perform the scientific flood management for the flood prevention and optional extreme flood defenses according to regional characteristics. In order to evaluate the performance of system, we applied EFVS to Anseong-chen in Korea, and the system's stabilization is appropriate to flood damage analysis.

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Vulnerability Evaluation for Monitoring Wide Area Outage in Transmission Systems (송전 계통 감시 시스템을 위한 취약도 평가 방법 개발)

  • Kim, Jin-Hwan;Lim, Il-Hyung;Lee, Seung-Jae;Choi, Myeon-Song;Lim, Seong-Il;Kim, Sang-Tae;Jin, Bo-Gun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.506-514
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    • 2010
  • Defense systems are needed to prevent catastrophic failures of a power grid due to cascaded events. Cascaded events can be occurred by power flow overload. Especially, it is the most dangerous problem that overload line is outage, because it can make the power system face danger of cascaded. In this paper, vulnerability evaluation for monitoring wide are outage is proposed using by configuration information of transmission systems. This method of vulnerability evaluation is considered direct effect and indirect effect of power flow, especially overload. What is more, it can be used when the configuration of power system changes, as simple fault occurs or maintenance of facility. In the case studies, the estimation and simulation network have been testified and analysed in PSSE and C programming.

Insights from existing earthquake loss assessment research in Croatia

  • Hadzima-Nyarko, Marijana;Sipos, Tanja Kalman
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.365-375
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    • 2017
  • Seismic risk management has two main technical aspects: to recommend the construction of high-performance buildings and other structures using earthquake-resistant designs or evaluate existing ones, and to prepare emergency plans using realistic seismic scenarios. An overview of seismic risk assessment methodologies in Croatia is provided with details regarding the components of the assessment procedures: hazard, vulnerability and exposure. For Croatia, hazard is presented with two maps and it is expressed in terms of the peak horizontal ground acceleration during an earthquake, with the return period of 95 or 475 years. A standard building typology catalogue for Croatia has not been prepared yet, but a database for the fourth largest city in Croatia is currently in its initial stage. Two methods for earthquake vulnerability assessment are applied and compared. The first is a relatively simple and fast analysis of potential seismic vulnerability proposed by Croatian researchers using damage index (DI) as a numerical value indicating the level of structural damage, while the second is the Macroseismic method.

Water Management Vulnerability Assessment Considering Climate Change in Korea (기후변화에 따른 우리나라 물 관리의 취약성 평가)

  • Kim, Yeon-Kyu;Yoo, Jeong-A;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2012
  • In order to use as basic data of adaptation, this study focused on a 'Water management vulnerability estimation' in Korea. Vulnerability is estimated dividing into flood mitigation and water resource management. Temporal resolution is 2000 year and the future 2020 year, 2050 year, 2100 year via A1B scenario. Time series data was normalized. Then weight that is gotten through delphi investigation was multiplied. Vulnerability is calculated through this process. In flood mitigation vulnerability, it was estimated to adaptation ability affect relatively biggest influence. In future, some area of Gangwon-do was analyzed that the flood mitigation vulnerability increases. In water resource management, it was estimated to climate exposure affect relatively biggest influence. At 2020 yr, there is a trend toward increased in the Chungcheongbuk-do and DaeJeon, Daegu, some area of Gyeongsangnamdo. Because this study evaluate relative vulnerability of whole country and analyzed spatial distribution, when local government establishes climate change adaptation details enforcement countermeasure, this study can give help to grasp whether should invest more in some field.

Damage Estimation of Steel Bridge Members by Fatigue Vulnerability Curves Considering Deterioration due to Corrosion with Time (시간에 따른 부식열화가 고려된 피로취약도 곡선을 이용한 강교의 손상 평가)

  • Kim, Hyo-Jin;Lee, Hyeong-Cheol;Jun, Suk-Ky;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2007
  • A method for assessing fatigue vulnerability of steel bridge members considering corrosion and truck traffic variation with time is proposed to evaluate the reduction of fatigue strength in steel bridge members. A fatigue limit state function including corrosion and traffic variation effect is established. The interaction between the average corrosion depth and the fatigue strength reduction factor is applied to the limit state function as the reduction term of strength. Three types of truck traffic change is modeled for representing real traffic change trend. Monte-Carlo simulation method is used for reliability analysis which provides the data to obtain fatigue vulnerability curves. The estimation method proposed was verified by comparing with the results of reference study and applying to the steel bridges in service.

Rapid Seismic Vulnerability Assessment Method for Generic Structures (일반 구조물에 대한 신속한 지진 취약성 분석 방법)

  • Jeong, Seong-Hoon;Choi, Sung-Mo;Kim, Kang-Su
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 2008
  • Analytical probabilistic vulnerability analysis requires extensive computing effort as a result of the randomness in both input motion and response characteristics. In this study, a new methodology whereby a set of vulnerability curves are derived based on the fundamental response quantities of stiffness, strength and ductility is presented. A response database of coefficients describing lognormal vulnerability relationships is constructed by employing aclosed-form solution for a generalized single-degree-of-freedom system. Once the three fundamental quantities of a wide range of structural systems are defined, the vulnerability curves for various limit states can be derived without recourse to further simulation. Examples of application are given and demonstrate the extreme efficiency of the proposed approach in deriving vulnerability relationships.