• 제목/요약/키워드: Vulnerability Analysis Index

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Empirical seismic vulnerability probability prediction model of RC structures considering historical field observation

  • Si-Qi Li;Hong-Bo Liu;Ke Du;Jia-Cheng Han;Yi-Ru Li;Li-Hui Yin
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.86 no.4
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    • pp.547-571
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    • 2023
  • To deeply probe the actual earthquake level and fragility of typical reinforced concrete (RC) structures under multiple intensity grades, considering diachronic measurement building stock samples and actual observations of representative catastrophic earth shocks in China from 1990 to 2010, RC structures were divided into traditional RC structures (TRCs) and bottom reinforced concrete frame seismic wall masonry (BFM) structures, and the empirical damage characteristics and mechanisms were analysed. A great deal of statistics and induction were developed on the historical experience investigation data of 59 typical catastrophic earthquakes in 9 provinces of China. The database and fragility matrix prediction model were established with TRCs of 4,122.5284×104 m2 and 5,844 buildings and BFMs of 5,872 buildings as empirical seismic damage samples. By employing the methods of structural damage probability and statistics, nonlinear prediction of seismic vulnerability, and numerical and applied functional analysis, the comparison matrix of actual fragility probability prediction of TRC and BFM in multiple intensity regions under the latest version of China's macrointensity standard was established. A novel nonlinear regression prediction model of seismic vulnerability was proposed, and prediction models considering the seismic damage ratio and transcendental probability parameters were constructed. The time-varying vulnerability comparative model of the sample database was developed according to the different periods of multiple earthquakes. The new calculation method of the average fragility prediction index (AFPI) matrix parameter model has been proposed to predict the seismic fragility of an areal RC structure.

Insights from existing earthquake loss assessment research in Croatia

  • Hadzima-Nyarko, Marijana;Sipos, Tanja Kalman
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.365-375
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    • 2017
  • Seismic risk management has two main technical aspects: to recommend the construction of high-performance buildings and other structures using earthquake-resistant designs or evaluate existing ones, and to prepare emergency plans using realistic seismic scenarios. An overview of seismic risk assessment methodologies in Croatia is provided with details regarding the components of the assessment procedures: hazard, vulnerability and exposure. For Croatia, hazard is presented with two maps and it is expressed in terms of the peak horizontal ground acceleration during an earthquake, with the return period of 95 or 475 years. A standard building typology catalogue for Croatia has not been prepared yet, but a database for the fourth largest city in Croatia is currently in its initial stage. Two methods for earthquake vulnerability assessment are applied and compared. The first is a relatively simple and fast analysis of potential seismic vulnerability proposed by Croatian researchers using damage index (DI) as a numerical value indicating the level of structural damage, while the second is the Macroseismic method.

County-Based Vulnerability Evaluation to Agricultural Drought Using Principal Component Analysis - The case of Gyeonggi-do - (주성분 분석법을 이용한 시군단위별 농업가뭄에 대한 취약성 분석에 관한 연구 - 경기도를 중심으로 -)

  • Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.12 no.1 s.30
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    • pp.37-48
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    • 2006
  • The objectives of this study were to develop an evaluation method of regional vulnerability to agricultural drought and to classify the vulnerability patterns. In order to test the method, 24 city or county areas of Gyeonggi-do were chose. First, statistic data and digital maps referred for agricultural drought were defined, and the input data of 31 items were set up from 5 categories: land use factor, water resource factor, climate factor, topographic and soil factor, and agricultural production foundation factor. Second, for simplification of the factors, principal component analysis was carried out, and eventually 4 principal components which explain about 80.8% of total variance were extracted. Each of the principal components was explained into the vulnerability components of scale factor, geographical factor, weather factor and agricultural production foundation factor. Next, DVIP (Drought Vulnerability Index for Paddy), was calculated using factor scores from principal components. Last, by means of statistical cluster analysis on the DVIP, the study area was classified as 5 patterns from A to E. The cluster A corresponds to the area where the agricultural industry is insignificant and the agricultural foundation is little equipped, and the cluster B includes typical agricultural areas where the cultivation areas are large but irrigation facilities are still insufficient. As for the cluster C, the corresponding areas are vulnerable to the climate change, and the D cluster applies to the area with extensive forests and high elevation farmlands. The last cluster I indicates the areas where the farmlands are small but most of them are irrigated as much.

Development of a Climate Change Vulnerability Index on the Health Care Sector (기후변화 건강 취약성 평가지표 개발)

  • Shin, Hosung;Lee, Suehyung
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.69-93
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    • 2014
  • The aim of this research was to develop a climate change vulnerability index at the district level (Si, Gun, Gu) with respect to the health care sector in Korea. The climate change vulnerability index was esimated based on the four major causes of climate-related illnesses : vector, flood, heat waves, and air pollution/allergies. The vulnerability assessment framework consists of six layers, all of which are based on the IPCC vulnerability concepts (exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity) and the pathway of direct and indirect impacts of climate change modulators on health. We collected proxy variables based on the conceptual framework of climate change vulnerability. Data were standardized using the min-max normalization method. We applied the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) weight and aggregated the variables using the non-compensatory multi-criteria approach. To verify the index, sensitivity analysis was conducted by using another aggregation method (geometric transformation method, which was applied to the index of multiple deprivation in the UK) and weight, calculated by the Budget Allocation method. The results showed that it would be possible to identify the vulnerable areas by applying the developed climate change vulnerability assessment index. The climate change vulnerability index could then be used as a valuable tool in setting climate change adaptation policies in the health care sector.

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Spatial prioritization of climate change vulnerability using uncertainty analysis of multi-criteria decision making method (다기준 의사결정기법의 불확실성 분석기법을 이용한 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지역별 우선순위 결정)

  • Song, Jae Yeol;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.2
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    • pp.121-128
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    • 2017
  • In this study, robustness index and uncertainty analysis were proposed to quantify the risk inherent in the process of climate change vulnerability assessment. The water supply vulnerability for six metropolitan cities (Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, and Ulsan), except for Seoul, were prioritized using TOPSIS, a kind of multi-criteria decision making method. The robustness index was used to analyze the possibility of rank reversal and the uncertainty analysis was introduced to derive the minimum changed weights of the criteria that determine the rank reversal between any paired cities. As a result, Incheon and Daegu were found to be very vulnerable and Daegu and Busan were derived to be very sensitive. Although Daegu was relatively vulnerable against the other cities, it can be largely improved by developing and performing various climate change adaptation measures because it is more sensitive. This study can be used as a preliminary assessment for establishing and planning climate change adaptation measure.

Heavy Snow Vulnerability in South Korea Using PSR and DPSIR Methods (PSR과 DPSIR을 이용한 대한민국 대설 취약성 분석)

  • Keunwoo Lee;Hyeongjoo Lee;Gunhui Chung
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.345-352
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the risk of snow disasters has been increasing South Korea. The damages of heavy snow were categorized into direct and indirect. Direct damage is usually the collapse of buildings as houses, greenhouse or barns. Indirect damage is various, for example, traffic congestion, traffic acident, drop damage, and so on. In South Korea, direct damage is severe in rural area, mosty collapse of greenhouse or barns. However, indirect damage such as traffic accident is mostly occurred in urban area. Therefore, the regional characteristics should be considered when vulnerability is evaluated. Therefore, in this study, the PSR and DPSIR method were applied by regional scale in South Korea. The PSR evaluation method is divided into pressure, state, and reaction index. however, the DPSIR evaluation method is divided into Driving force, Pressure, State, Impact, and Response index. the DPSIR evaluation method is divided into Driving force, Pressure, State, Impact, and Response index. Data corresponding to each indicator were collected, and the weight was calculated using the entropy method to calculate the snowfall vulnerability index by regional scale in South Korea. Calculated heavy snow damage vulnerabilities from the two methods were compared. The calculated vulnerabilities were validated using the recent snow damage in South Korea from 2018 to 2022. Snow vulnerability index calculated using the DPSIR method showed more reliable results. The results of this study could be utilized as an information to prepare the mitigation of heavy snow damage and to establish an efficient snow removal response system.

Examination of Applicability of Liquefaction Potential Index to Seismic Vulnerability Evaluation of the Korean River Levees (액상화 가능 지수의 국내 하천제방 지진취약도 평가 적용성 검토)

  • Ha, Iksoo;Moon, Injong;Yun, Jungwon;Han, Jintae
    • Journal of the Korean GEO-environmental Society
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2017
  • In this study, a simple method to evaluate the seismic vulnerability of river levees was examined considering the structural characteristic of river levee, that is long, and the functional characteristic of river levee that performs temporary function against flood but is a permanent structure in the ordinary way. Considering the fact that one of the main failure modes of the levee during the earthquake are the settlement due to the strength reduction of the ground caused by the increase of the excess pore pressure in the levee body and foundation and the settlement due to liquefaction, the 2-dimensional section of the levee was regarded as the 1-dimensional section and the liquefaction potential index (LPI) for the regarded section was estimated. The estimated LPI was correlated with the seismic vulnerability of river levees. The relationship between the displacement of the levee crest caused by the earthquake and the seismic vulnerability of the levees was obtained from the results of previous researches and the correlation between the displacements of the levee crest computed by 2-dimensional dynamic coupled analyses and LPIs based on the results of 1-dimensional seismic response analyses was investigated. In connection with this correlation, as a result of examination of the correlation between LPI and the seismic vulnerability of the levee, it was concluded that the method for evaluation of the seismic vulnerability of the Korean river levee using LPI is applicable.

Site classes effect on seismic vulnerability evaluation of RC precast industrial buildings

  • Yesilyurt, Ali;Zulfikar, Abdullah C.;Tuzun, Cuneyt
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.627-639
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    • 2021
  • Fragility curves are being more significant as a useful tool for evaluating the relationship between the earthquake intensity measure and the effects of the engineering demand parameter on the buildings. In this paper, the effect of different site conditions on the vulnerability of the structures was examined through the fragility curves taking into account different strength capacities of the precast columns. Thus, typical existing single-story precast RC industrial buildings which were built in Turkey after the year 2000 were examined. The fragility curves for the three typical existing industrial structures were derived from an analytical approach by performing non-linear dynamic analyses considering three different soil conditions. The Park and Ang damage index was used in order to determine the damage level of the members. The spectral acceleration (Sa) was used as the ground motion parameter in the fragility curves. The results indicate that the fragility curves were derived for the structures vary depending on the site conditions. The damage probability of exceedance values increased from stiff site to soft site for any Sa value. This difference increases in long period in examined buildings. In addition, earthquake demand values were calculated by considering the buildings and site conditions, and the effect of the site class on the building damage was evaluated by considering the Mean Damage Ratio parameter (MDR). Achieving fragility curves and MDR curves as a function of spectral acceleration enables a quick and practical risk assessment in existing buildings.

Seismic vulnerability assessment of low-rise irregular reinforced concrete structures using cumulative damage index

  • Shojaei, Fahimeh;Behnam, Behrouz
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.407-422
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    • 2017
  • Evaluating seismic performance of urban structures for future earthquakes is one of the key prerequisites of rehabilitation programs. Irregular structures, as a specific case, are more susceptible to sustain earthquake damage than regular structures. The study here is to identify damage states of vertically irregular structures using the well-recognized Park-Ang damage index. For doing this, a regular 3-story reinforced concrete (RC) structure is first designed based on ACI-318 code, and a peak ground acceleration (PGA) of 0.3 g. Some known vertical irregularities such as setback, short column and soft story are then applied to the regular structure. All the four structures are subjected to seven different earthquakes accelerations and different amplitudes which are then analyzed using nonlinear dynamic procedure. The damage indices of the structures are then accounted for using the pointed out damage index. The results show that the structure with soft story irregularity sustains more damage in all the earthquake records than the other structures. The least damage belongs the regular structure showing that different earthquake with different accelerations and amplitudes have no significant effect on the regular structures.

Correlation of Dehydration with Body Mass Index and Blood Lipid Levels (탈수와 체질량지수 및 혈중지질 농도와의 관련성)

  • Kim, Sun-Hee;Yun, Mi-Eun;Yoo, Jae-Hyun;Chun, Sung-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Dietetic Association
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2017
  • Maintaining adequate fluid balance is essential for all biological functions in the body. The purpose of this study was to evaluate vulnerability to dehydration by analyzing age, gender, body mass index (BMI), and blood lipid parameters in health checkup examinees who visited Sahmyook Seoul Hospital for comprehensive health checkups. In a binary logistic regression analysis stratified by age and body mass index the odd ratio for dehydration was as high as 3.317 (95% CI: 1.666~6.605) in the 50s age group, 4.224 (95% CI: 2.038~ 8.755) in the 60s age group, and 4.610 (95% CI: 1.943~10.940) in the above 70s age group compared to 20s reference age group. Aged females showed greater vulnerability to dehydration with significance levels of P<0.01 and P<0.001. Compared to a normal weight (BMI: 18.5~22.9) the odd ratio was higher in males with an under weight (BMI: less than 18.5) (5.130 [95% CI: 1.631~16.132]) and in females with an over weight (BMI: 23.0~24.9) (1.500 [95% CI: 1.065~2.114]). In conclusion, our results showed that vulnerability to dehydration increased with age and was higher in under weight males and over weight females than that in normal weight.