• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전자공학회 2009년도 정보 및 제어 심포지움 논문집
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• pp.135-137
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• 2009

Mathematical models for describing the Human Immunodeficiency Virus(HIV) infection can be devised to better understand how the HIV causes Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome(AIDS). The HIV models can then be used to find clues to curing AIDS from a control theoretical point of view. Some models take Cytotoxic T Lymphocytes(CTL) response to HIV infection into account, and others consider mutants against the drugs. However, to the best of our knowledge, there has been no model developed, which describes CTL response and mutant HIV together. Hence we propose a unified model to consider both of these. On the basis of the resulting model, we also present a Model Predictive Control(MPC) scheme to find an optimal treatment strategy. The optimization is performed under the assumption that the Structured Treatment Interruption(STI) policy is employed.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제53권1호
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• pp.29-36
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• 2011

HPAI (High pathogenic avian influenza) which is a disease legally designated as an epidemic generally shows rapid spread of disease resulting in high mortality rate as well as severe economic damages. Because Korea is contiguous with China and southeast Asia where HPAI have occurred frequently, there is a high risk for HPAI outbreak. A prompt treatment against epidemics is most important for prevention of disease spread. The spread of HPAI should be considered by both direct and indirect contact as well as various spread factors including airborne spread. There are high risk of rapid propagation of HPAI flowing through the air because of collective farms mostly in Korea. Field experiments for the mechanism of disease spread have limitations such as unstable weather condition and difficulties in maintaining experimental conditions. In this study, therefore, computational fluid dynamics which has been actively used for mass transfer modeling were adapted. Korea has complex terrains and many livestock farms are located in the mountain regions. GIS numerical map was used to estimate spreads of virus attached aerosol by means of designing three dimensional complicated geometry including farm location, road network, related facilities. This can be used as back data in order to take preventive measures against HPAI occurrence and spread.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.63-67
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• 2012

Mosquitoes are the vectors of a number of viral diseases in cattle, such as Akabane disease, bovine ephemeral fever, Ainovirus infection, Chuzan virus infection, and Ibaraki disease. These diseases are transmitted from an infected animal to a non-infected host via the blood feeding of the vector. In Korea, the National Veterinary Research and Quarantine Services, Ministry for Food, Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries is responsible for planning, implementation, laboratory investigations and reporting the results of the national surveillance program for mosquito-borne bovine diseases (MBD). The surveillance program, which was started in 1993, focused to determine the seroprevalence of each disease in cattle herds in space and time. From the epidemiological point of view, more important component of the surveillance program is to monitor infection rates in vectors for specific pathogens because this information is essential for a more precise understanding the dynamics of these diseases in a given environment and for determining risk of transmission. The aim of this study was to describe and compare methods for estimation of vector infection rates using maximum likelihood (MLE) and minimum infection rate in pooled samples. Factors affecting MLE such as number of pools, pooling size and diagnostic test performance are also discussed, assuming some hypothetical sampling scenarios for MBD.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2024

Predicting the spread of COVID-19 remains a challenge due to the complexity of the disease and its evolving nature. This study presents an integrated approach using the classic SIR model for infectious diseases, enhanced by the chemical master equation (CME). We employ a Monte Carlo method (SSA) to solve the model, revealing unique aspects of the SARS-CoV-2 virus transmission. The study, a first of its kind in Korea, adopts a step-by-step and complementary approach to model prediction. It starts by analyzing the epidemic's trajectory at local government levels using both basic and stochastic SIR models. These models capture the impact of public health policies on the epidemic's dynamics. Further, the study extends its scope from a single-infected individual model to a more comprehensive model that accounts for multiple infections using the jump SIR prediction model. The practical application of this approach involves applying these layered and complementary SIR models to forecast the course of the COVID-19 epidemic in small to medium-sized local governments, particularly in Gangnam-gu, Seoul. The results from these models are then compared and analyzed.

• 한국응용곤충학회지
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• 제58권4호
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• pp.347-354
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• 2019

벼에 줄무늬잎마름병을 유발하는 애멸구(Laodelphax striatellus)의 온도에 따른 산란 등 성충 활동 특성을 12.5~35.0℃ 10개 항온조건 광주기 14L:10D에서 조사하였다. 산란모델을 만들기 위한 단위 함수를 개발하고 DYMEX를 이용하여 개체군 밀도 변동 모델을 구축하였다. 성충 수명은 15.0℃에서 56.0일로 가장 길었고, 35.0℃에서 17.7일로 가장 짧았으며 온도가 올라감에 따라 수명도 짧아지는 경향을 보였다. 암컷 한 마리당 총산란수는 22.5℃에서 515.9개로 가장 많았으며, 35℃에서 18.6개로 가장 적었다. 산란 모델 개발을 위해 성충발육율, 총산란수, 성충사망율 및 누적산란율 단위모델을 추정한 결과, 단위모델 모두에서 높은 수준의 모델 적합성을 보였다(r²=0.94~0.97). 개체군 밀도 변동 모델은 포트와 포장 실험을 통하여 예측 정확도를 평가하였다. 포트 및 포장 실험 결과 접종 후 30일까지는 각 조사 시점에서 밀도 및 영기 분포 비율의 예측 정확도가 비교적 높았으나 이후에는 1, 2령의 조사 밀도와 예측 밀도 간에 큰 차이가 발생하였고, 영기 분포 변화의 경우도 모델에서 실제 조사 자료보다 1~2단계의 발육 영기가 빠르게 추정되는 경향을 보였다.

• 대한수의학회지
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• 제48권1호
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• pp.67-73
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• 2008

Porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) is the most economically important viral infectious disease in pig populations worldwide. This study was conducted to better understand the epidemic and dynamics of PRRS virus (PRRSV) on each farm and to evaluate the risk of PRRSV infection in Korea. Interviews with pig farmers were carried out to obtain PRRS vaccination programmes in 60 pig farms throughout Korea. Blood samples were also collected from the 59 pig farms to investigate outbreak patterns of each farm. Vaccination against PRRS was performed in 16.7% farms for breeding pigs and 8.3% of farms for nursery pigs. According to the seroepidemiological analysis, 56 (94.9%) out of 59 farms were considered to be affected by PRRSV infection. The results revealed that 68.9% of sows tested were seroconverted and interestingly, gilt herds had the highest seropositive rate (73%), suggesting that gilts may play a key role in PRRSV transmission in sow herds. Among the PRRS-affected piglet herds, 33 (55.9%), 14 (23.7%) and 6 (10.2%) farms were initially infected with PRRSV during the weaning, suckling and nursery period, respectively. It seems likely, therefore, that PRRSV infection predominantly occurs around the weaning period in piglet herds. Based on antibody seroprevalence levels in both sow and piglet groups, we were able to classify patterns of PRRSV infection per farm unit into 4 categories; category 1 (stable sow groups and non-infected piglet groups), category 2 (unstable sow groups and non-infected piglet groups), category 3 (stable sow groups and infected piglet groups), and category 4 (unstable sow groups and infected piglet groups). Our data suggested that 43 (72.9%) farms were analysed to belong to category 4, which is considered to be at high-risk for PRRS outbreak. Taken together, our information from this study will provide insight into the establishment of an effective control strategy for PRRS on the field.

• 생명과학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.283-288
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• 2017

양돈산업에 있어 돼지 써코바이러스 2형(PCV2)의 복합감염으로 인한 이유자돈의 질병 피해가 막대하다. PCV2 감염에 대한 숙주의 민감도는 상이한 것으로 알려져 있으며, 따라서 숙주의 민감도를 구분하는 것은, 이를 이용한 숙주의 저항성 향상 연구에 필수이다. 본 연구의 목적은 이유자돈군의 혈액 내에서 PCV2 바이러스에 대한 숙주의 민감도를 구분 짓고 구명하는데 있었다. 본 연구에서는 자연적으로 바이러스에 감염된 10주령의 이유자돈군으로부터 혈청을 채취하여 PCV2 바이러스량과 항체가를 측정하고 혈구분석을 실시했다. 또한, 측정된 PCV2 바이러스량과 항체가를 기준으로 자돈군 내에서 저항성군과 민감성군을 선정하였고, 통계분석결과 저항성군에 비해 민감성군에서 백혈구 수가 현저히 줄어든 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구를 통해서 PCV2 감염에 대한 돼지의 민감도를 구분짓기 위한 PCV2 바이러스량과 항체가를 이용한 복합기준을 제시할 수 있었으며, 이유자돈군의 PCV2 관련 질병저항성 및 백혈구감소증을 확인할 수 있는 방법을 마련하였다.

• 한국임상수의학회지
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• 제33권5호
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• pp.278-285
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• 2016

Epidemiological studies have shown the association between transportation of live animals and the potential transmission of infectious disease between premises. This finding was also observed in the 2014-2015 foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreak in Korea. Furthermore, slaughterhouses played a key role in the global spread of the FMD virus during the epidemic. In this context, in-depth knowledge of the structure of direct and indirect contact between slaughterhouses is paramount for understanding the dynamics of FMD transmission. But the social network structure of vehicle movements to slaughterhouses in Korea remains unclear. Hence, the aim of this study was to configure a social network topology of vehicle movements between slaughterhouses for a better understanding of how they are potentially connected, and to explore whether FMD outbreaks can be explained by the network properties constructed in the study. We created five monthly directed networks based on the frequency and chronology of on- and off-slaughterhouse vehicle movements. For the monthly network, a node represented a slaughterhouse, and an edge (or link) denoted vehicle movement between two slaughterhouses. Movement data were retrieved from the national Korean Animal Health Integrated System (KAHIS) database, which tracks the routes of individual vehicle movements using a global positioning system (GPS). Electronic registration of livestock movements has been a mandatory requirement since 2013 to ensure traceability of such movements. For each of the five studied networks, the network structures were characterized by small-world properties, with a short mean distance, a high clustering coefficient, and a short diameter. In addition, a strongly connected component was observed in each of the created networks, and this giant component included 94.4% to 100% of all network nodes. The characteristic hub-and-spoke type of structure was not identified. Such a structural vulnerability in the network suggests that once an infectious disease (such as FMD) is introduced in a random slaughterhouse within the cohesive component, it can spread to every other slaughterhouse in the component. From an epidemiological perspective, for disease management, empirically derived small-world networks could inform decision-makers on the higher potential for a large FMD epidemic within the livestock industry, and could provide insights into the rapid-transmission dynamics of the disease across long distances, despite a standstill of animal movements during the epidemic, given a single incursion of infection in any slaughterhouse in the country.

• 사물인터넷융복합논문지
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.13-19
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• 2021

에너지 패턴은 국가 경제 침체에 따라 에너지 소비가 감소한 질병 트렌드의 사회 문제에 영향을 받는 것으로 분석됩니다. 사람들을 위한 사회적 거리 캠페인은 2019 년 코로나 바이러스 질병 (COVID-19)의 전염병으로 인해 자발적으로 또는 법적으로 수행되었습니다. 미국, 한국 등 일부 국가에서 일부 경제 부양 정책이 시행되었습니다. S, I, R로 논리적 모델링이 구성되는 시스템 역학 (SD)에 의해 적용된 SIR (Sceptible, Infectious, Recovery) 모델링을 보여줍니다. 특히 I 는 인구, 인종, 성숙도를 포함한 사회와 연결되어 있습니다. 또한 경제 및 정치는 소득, GDP, 자원, 대통령, 인기, 통치 정부 및 리더십과 관련이 있습니다. 그래프는 S 값 곱셈이 시작되는 2020년 4월의 큰 도약을 보여줍니다. 이것은 COVID-19의 영향과 관련 유행병 이후 추세를 보여줍니다. OECD와 비 OECD의 경향은 매우 유사하며 바이러스 위험의 영향은 경제 침체를 크게 유발합니다.

• Journal of Veterinary Science
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.5.1-5.16
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• 2021

Background: Arctic-like (AL) lineages of rabies viruses (RABVs) remains endemic in some Arctic and Asia countries. However, their evolutionary dynamics are largely unappreciated. Objectives: We attempted to estimate the evolutionary history, geographic origin and spread of the Arctic-related RABVs. Methods: Full length or partial sequences of the N and G genes were used to infer the evolutionary aspects of AL RABVs by Bayesian evolutionary analysis. Results: The most recent common ancestor (tMRCA) of the current Arctic and AL RABVs emerged in the 1830s and evolved independently after diversification. Population demographic analysis indicated that the viruses experienced gradual growth followed by a sudden decrease in its population size from the mid-1980s to approximately 2000. Genetic flow patterns among the regions reveal a high geographic correlation in AL RABVs transmission. Discrete phylogeography suggests that the geographic origin of the AL RABVs was in east Russia in approximately the 1830s. The ancestral AL RABV then diversified and immigrated to the countries in Northeast Asia, while the viruses in South Asia were dispersed to the neighboring regions from India. The N and G genes of RABVs in both clades sustained high levels of purifying selection, and the positive selection sites were mainly found on the C-terminus of the G gene. Conclusions: The current AL RABVs circulating in South and North Asia evolved and dispersed independently.