• 제목/요약/키워드: Various Demand Patterns

검색결과 137건 처리시간 0.028초

서울시 공영주차장 군집화 및 수요 예측 (Clustering of Seoul Public Parking Lots and Demand Prediction)

  • 황정준;신영현;심효섭;김도현;김동근
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제51권4호
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    • pp.497-514
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to estimate the demand for various public parking lots in Seoul by clustering similar demand types of parking lots and predicting the demand for new public parking lots. Methods: We examined real-time parking information data and used time series clustering analysis to cluster public parking lots with similar demand patterns. We also performed various regression analyses of parking demand based on diverse heterogeneous data that affect parking demand and proposed a parking demand prediction model. Results: As a result of cluster analysis, 68 public parking lots in Seoul were clustered into four types with similar demand patterns. We also identified key variables impacting parking demand and obtained a precise model for predicting parking demands. Conclusion: The proposed prediction model can be used to improve the efficiency and publicity of public parking lots in Seoul, and can be used as a basis for constructing new public parking lots that meet the actual demand. Future research could include studies on demand estimation models for each type of parking lot, and studies on the impact of parking lot usage patterns on demand.

수요량과 다양성 패턴에 의해 유형화된 단기간 표준화 관리도와 단기간 합격판정 관리도의 개발 (Development of Short-Run Standardized Control Charts and Acceptance Control Charts Classified by the Demand Volume and Variety)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.255-263
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    • 2010
  • The research developes short-run standardized control charts(SSCC) and short-run acceptance control charts(SACC) under the various demand patterns. The demand patterns considered in this paper are three types such as high-variety and repetitive low-volume pattern, extremely-high-variety and nonrepetitive low-volume pattern, and high-variety and extremely-low-volume pattern. The short-run standardized control charts developed by extending the long-run ${\bar{x}}$-R, ${\bar{x}}$-s and I-MR charts have strengths for practioners to understand and use easily. Moreover, the short-range acceptance control charts developed in the study can be efficiently used through combining the functions of the inspection and control chart. The weighting schemes such as Shewhart, moving average (MA) and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) can be considered by the reliability of data sets. The two types according to the use of control chart are presented in the short-range standardized charts and acceptance control charts. Finally, process capability index(PCI) and process performance index(PPI) classified by the demand patterns are presented.

개봉 규모와 수익성에 따른 영화의 분류와 확산 패턴 분석 (Identifying the Diffusion Patterns of Movies by Opening Strength and Profitability)

  • 김태구;홍정식
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.412-421
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    • 2013
  • Motion picture industry is one of the most representative fields in the cultural industry and has experienced constant growth both worldwide and within domestic markets. However, little research has been undertaken for diffusion patterns of motion pictures, whereas various issues such as demand forecasting and success factor analysis have been widely explored. To analyze diffusion patterns, we adopted extended Bass model to reflect the potential demand of movies. Four clusters of selected movies were derived by k-means clustering method with criteria of opening strength and profitability and then compared by their diffusion patterns. Results indicated that movies with high profitability and medium opening strength are most significantly influenced by word of mouth effect, while low profitability movies display nearly monotonic decreasing diffusion patterns with noticeable initial adoption rates and relatively early peak points in their runs.

항공화물의 간헐적 수요예측에 대한 비교 모형 연구 - Croston모형과 Holts모형을 중심으로 - (A Comparative Model Study on the Intermittent Demand Forecast of Air Cargo - Focusing on Croston and Holts models -)

  • 유병철;박영태
    • 한국항만경제학회지
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2021
  • 기업이 물류비용을 절감할 수 있는 정교한 수요 예측 모형은 그동안 수많은 연구를 통해 다양한 방법들이 제시되었다. 이러한 연구들은 주로 수요 패턴에 의해서 적용 가능한 수요 예측 모형을 결정하고, 통계적 검증을 통해서 모형의 정확성을 판단하였다. 수요 패턴은 크게 규칙성과 불규칙성으로 나뉘어 질 수 있다. 규칙적인 패턴은 주문이 정기적이고 주문량이 일정한 경우를 의미한다. 이러한 경우에는 주로 회귀모형이나 시계열 모형을 통해서 수요를 예측하는 방법들이 사용된다. 그러나 불규칙적이고 주문량의 변동 폭이 큰 경우는 간헐적 수요(Intermittent Demand)라고 하는데, 기존의 회귀 모형이나 시계열 모형으로는 수요 예측의 오류 발생 가능성이 높기 때문이다. 간헐적 수요를 보이는 품목에 대해서는 주로 Croston모형 혹은 Holts모형 등을 사용하여 수요를 예측한다. 본 연구에서는 간헐적 수요 패턴을 보이는 항공 화물의 다양한 품목에 대해서 수요 패턴을 분석하고, 다양한 모형을 통해 수요를 예측하여 각 모형의 예측력을 비교 분석하였다. 이 과정에서 항공 화물의 품목별, 지역별로 다양한 모형의 적합도를 분석하여 항공사가 가장 효율적으로 운영할 수 있는 항공 화물의 수요 예측 모형에 대한 개발 방향을 제시하고자 함이 본 논문의 목적이다.

단결정 다이아몬드 공구를 이용한 미세 패턴 가공성에 대한 실험적 분석 (Experimental Investigation on Machining Feasibility of Micro Patterns using a Single Crystal Diamond Tool)

  • 김현철
    • 한국기계가공학회지
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.76-81
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    • 2012
  • The continuing demand for increasingly slimmer and brighter liquid crystal display(LCD) panels has led to an increased focus on the role of the light guide panels(LGPs) or optical films that are used to obtain diffuse, uniform light from the backlight unit(BLU). And the most basic process in the production of such BLU components is the micromachining. LCD BLUs comprise various optical elements such as a LGP, diffuser sheet, prism sheet, and protector sheet with micro patterns. High aspect ratio patterns are required to reduce the number of sheets and enhance light efficiency, but there is a limit to the aspect ratio achievable for a given material and cutting tool. Therefore, this study comprised a series of experimental evaluations conducted to determine the machining feasibility in microcutting various aspect ratio patterns on electroless nickel plated die materials when using single-crystal diamond tools. Cutting performance was evaluated at various cutting speeds and depths of cut using different machining methods and machine tools.

컴퓨터 편기를 사용한 철화자기 문양의 편성에 관한 연구 (Study on Computer Knitting for Patterns on Porcelain of Underglaze Iron)

  • 김지현
    • 한국의상디자인학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.91-103
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    • 2008
  • Because of comfortable texture and easy treatment, more and more knit products has been required for leisure such as sports, traveling, hobbies, and various social activities. Therefore, the demand of knit is gradually increasing in the clothing industry. There are, however, several issues, which require solutions, and we must develop higher value-added products, which differentiate from those of developing countries allowing us to compete and win in the world market. The patterns on porcelain of underglaze iron, which had been popular from late-l5th century to mid-16th century, are diverse, unique, and traditional--so valuable patterns of our own. The computer hitting machine enables the designer to conceive new designs and produce samples of fabrics within a few minutes, which allows us to save time for mass production. Therefore, it is an essential tool for the knitting industry. After collecting, analyzing, and choosing various patterns on porcelains of underglaze iron, This study reflects the actual experience of hitting the fabrics with the patterns through the computer knitting machine which is also used to produce patterns after designing the new patterns through Adobe Illustrator and Photoshop, which has several merits. This article compares and analyzes them for production, which uses the patterns that has been designed from the patterns on porcelains of underglaze iron.

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전력소비자의 단기수요예측을 위한 전력소비패턴과 환경요인과의 관계 분석 (Relationship Analysis of Power Consumption Pattern and Environmental Factor for a Consumer's Short-term Demand Forecast)

  • 고종민;송재주;김영일;양일권
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제59권11호
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    • pp.1956-1963
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    • 2010
  • Studies on the development of various energy management programs and real-time bidirectional information infrastructures have been actively conducted to promote the reduction of power demands and CO2 emissions effectively. In the conventional energy management programs, the demand response program that can transition or transfer the power use spontaneously for power prices and other signals has been largely used throughout the inside and outside of the country. For measuring the effect of such demand response program, it is necessary to exactly estimate short-term loads. In this study, the power consumption patterns in both individual and group consumers were analyzed to estimate the exact short-term loads, and the relationship between the actual power consumption and seasonal factors was also analyzed.

수소 충전소의 수소 판매량 데이터 분석 (Analysis of Hydrogen Sales Data at Hydrogen Charging Stations)

  • 김민수;전성탁;정태영
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제34권3호
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    • pp.246-255
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    • 2023
  • Due to lack of hydrogen charging stations and hydrogen supply compared to the supply of hydrogen vehicles, social phenomena such as 2-hour queues and restrictions on charging capacity are occurring, which negatively affects the spread of hydrogen vehicles. In order to resolve these problems, it is essential to have a strategic operation of the hydrogen charging stations. To establish operational strategies, it is necessary to derive customer demand patterns and characteristics through the analysis of sales data. This study derived the demand patterns and characteristics of customers visiting hydrogen charging stations through data analysis from various perspectives, such as charging volume, charging speed, number of visits, and correlation with external factors, based on the hydrogen sales data of off-site hydrogen charging stations located in domestic residential areas.

ELM을 이용한 특수일 최대 전력수요 예측 모델 개발 (Development of Peak Power Demand Forecasting Model for Special-Day using ELM)

  • 지평식;임재윤
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제64권2호
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    • pp.74-78
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    • 2015
  • With the improvement of living standards and economic development, electricity consumption continues to grow. The electricity is a special energy which is hard to store, so its supply must be consistent with the demand. The objective of electricity demand forecasting is to make best use of electricity energy and provide balance between supply and demand. Hence, it is very important work to forecast electricity demand with higher precision. So, various forecasting methods have been developed. They can be divided into five broad categories such as time series models, regression based model, artificial intelligence techniques and fuzzy logic method without considering special-day effects. Electricity demand patterns on holidays can be often idiosyncratic and cause significant forecasting errors. Such effects are known as special-day effects and are recognized as an important issue in determining electricity demand data. In this research, we developed the power demand forecasting method using ELM(Extreme Learning Machine) for special day, particularly, lunar new year and Chuseok holiday.

Single-period Stochastic Inventory Problems with Quadratic Costs

  • Song, Moon-Ho
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1979
  • Single-period inventory problems such as the newspaper boy problem having quadratic cost functions for both shortages and overage are examined to determine the optimal order level under various principles of choice such as minimum expected cost, aspiration level, and minimax regret. Procedures for finding the optimum order levels are developed for both continuous and discrete demand patterns.

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