• Title/Summary/Keyword: Value evaluation model

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A Risk Analysis Model Using VERT for R & D Project Management (R & D 프로젝트의 위험분석모형의 연구)

  • 황홍석
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 1995
  • Increasingly, risk analysis is becoming important ingredients in achieving the successful implementation and application in the area of the project management. The project management system is designed to manage or control the project resources on a given activity within time, cost and performance so called TPPM (Total Productive Project Management). In this research, a risk analysis model misproposed to identify potential problem areas, quantify the risks, and generated the chice of the action that can be taken to reduce the risk. In addition two analysis models are proposed : 1) risk factor model and 2) network simulation model using VERT (Venture Evaluation and Review Technique ). The objective of the remodels is to estimate the schedule, cost performance risks. These proposed quantitative models for project risk analysis are proving its value for the project managers who need to assess the risk of changes in cost, schedule, or performance. The proposed models will be used in the area of project selection, evaluation and the allocation of project resources.

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An Economic Evaluation by a Scoring Model in the Nuclear Power Plants under Uncertainty (원전에서 점수산정모형에 의한 경제성 평가)

  • 강영식;함효준
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.22 no.52
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    • pp.311-322
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    • 1999
  • Major problems involved in an electrical utility expansion planning within a time horizon are how to efficiently deal with objectives considering multiple factors and uncertainty. But justification factors in study these days have considered only quantitative factors except qualitative factors. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to develop a new model for economic evaluation of nuclear power plants through the scoring model with the quantitative and qualitative factors under uncertainty. The quantitative factors use a levelized generation cost method considering time value of money. Especially, the environmental, risk, and safety factors in this paper have been also explained for the rational economic justification of the qualitative factors under uncertainty. This paper not only proposes a new approach method using the scoring model in evaluating economy of the nuclear power plant in the long term, but also provides the more efficient decision making criterion for nuclear power plants under uncertainty.

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Evaluation of the Effect of using Fractal Feature on Machine learning based Pancreatic Tumor Classification (기계학습 기반 췌장 종양 분류에서 프랙탈 특징의 유효성 평가)

  • Oh, Seok;Kim, Young Jae;Kim, Kwang Gi
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.24 no.12
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    • pp.1614-1623
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, the purpose is evaluation of the effect of using fractal feature in machine learning based pancreatic tumor classification. We used the data that Pancreas CT series 469 case including 1995 slice of benign and 1772 slice of malignant. Feature selection is implemented from 109 feature to 7 feature by Lasso regularization. In Fractal feature, fractal dimension is obtained by box-counting method, and hurst coefficient is calculated range data of pixel value in ROI. As a result, there were significant differences in both benign and malignancies tumor. Additionally, we compared the classification performance between model without fractal feature and model with fractal feature by using support vector machine. The train model with fractal feature showed statistically significant performance in comparison with train model without fractal feature.

Feasibility Evaluation of High-Tech New Product Development Projects Using Support Vector Machines

  • Shin, Teak-Soo;Noh, Jeon-Pyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Inteligent Information System Society Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2005
  • New product development (NPD) is defined as the transformation of a market opportunity and a set of assumptions about product technology into a product available for sale. Managers charged with project selection decisions in the NPD process, such as go/no-go choices and specific resource allocation decisions, are faced with a complicated problem. Therefore, the ability to develop new successful products has identifies as a major determinant in sustaining a firm's competitive advantage. The purpose of this study is to develop a new evaluation model for NPD project selection in the high -tech industry using support vector machines (SYM). The evaluation model is developed through two phases. In the first phase, binary (go/no-go) classification prediction model, i.e. SVM for high-tech NPD project selection is developed. In the second phase. using the predicted output value of SVM, feasibility grade is calculated for the final NPD project decision making. In this study, the feasibility grades are also divided as three level grades. We assume that the frequency of NPD project cases is symmetrically determined according to the feasibility grades and misclassification errors are partially minimized by the multiple grades. However, the horizon of grade level can be changed by firms' NPD strategy. Our proposed feasibility grade method is more reasonable in NPD decision problems by considering particularly risk factor of NPD in viewpoints of future NPD success probability. In our empirical study using Korean NPD cases, the SVM significantly outperformed ANN and logistic regression as benchmark models in hit ratio. And the feasibility grades generated from the predicted output value of SVM showed that they can offer a useful guideline for NPD project selection.

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A Study on the Estimation Method of Carbon Storage Using Environmental Spatial Information and InVEST Carbon Model: Focusing on Sejong Special Self-Governing City - Using Ecological and Natural Map, Environmental Conservation Value Assessment Map, and Urban Ecological Map - (환경공간정보와 InVEST Carbon 모형을 활용한 탄소저장량 추정 방법에 관한 연구: 세종시를 중심으로 - 생태·자연도, 국토환경성평가지도, 도시생태현황지도를 대상으로 -)

  • Hwang, Jin-Hoo;Jang, Rae-ik;Jeon, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.15-27
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    • 2022
  • Climate change is considered a severe global problem closely related to carbon storage. However, recent urbanization and land-use changes reduce carbon stocks in terrestrial ecosystems. Recently, the role of protected areas has been emphasized as a countermeasure to the climate change, and protected areas allow the area to continue to serve as a carbon sink due to legal restrictions. This study attempted to expand the scope of these protected areas to an evaluation-based environmental spatial information theme map. In this study, the area of each grade was compared, and the distribution of land cover for each grade was analyzed using the Ecological and Nature Map, Environmental Conservation Value Assessment Map and Urban Ecological Map of Sejong Special Self-Governing City. Based on this, the average carbon storage for each grade was derived using the InVEST Carbon model. As a result of the analysis, the high-grade area of the environmental spatial information generally showed a wide area of the natural area represented by the forest area, and accordingly, the carbon storage amount was evaluated to be high. However, there are differences in the purpose of production, evaluation items, and evaluation methods between each environmental spatial information, there are differences in area, land cover, and carbon storage. Through this study, environmental spatial information based on the evaluation map can be used for land use management in the carbon aspect, and it is expected that a management plan for each grade suitable for the characteristics of each environmental spatial information is required.

Development of Algorithm in Analysis of Single Trait Animal Model for Genetic Evaluation of Hanwoo (단형질 개체모형을 이용한 한우 육종가 추정프로그램 개발)

  • Koo, Yangmo;Kim, Jungil;Song, Chieun;Lee, Kihwan;Shin, Jaeyoung;Jang, Hyungi;Choi, Taejeong;Kim, Sidong;Park, Byoungho;Cho, Kwanghyun;Lee, Seungsoo;Choy, Yunho;Kim, Byeongwoo;Lee, Junggyu;Song, Hoon
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.359-365
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    • 2013
  • Estimate breeding value can be used as single trait animal model was developed directly using the Fortran language program. The program is based on data computed by using the indirect method repeatedly. The program develops a common algorithm and imprves efficiency. Algorithm efficiency was compared between the two programs. Estimated using the solution is easy to farm and brand the service, pedigree data base was associated with the development of an improved system. The existing program that uses the single trait animal model and the comparative analysis of efficiency is weak because the estimation of the solution and the conventional algorithm programmed through regular formulation involve many repetition; therefore, the newly developed algorithm was conducted to improve speed by reducing the repetition. Single trait animal model was used to analyze Gauss-Seidel iteration method, and the aforesaid two algorithms were compared thorough the mixed model equation which is used the most commonly in estimating the current breeding value by applying the procedures such as the preparation of information necessary for modelling, removal of duplicative data, verifying the parent information of based population in the pedigree data, and assigning sequential numbers, etc. The existing conventional algorithm is the method for reading and recording the data by utilizing the successive repetitive sentences, while new algorithm is the method for directly generating the left hand side for estimation based on effect. Two programs were developed to ensure the accurate evaluation. BLUPF90 and MTDFREML were compared using the estimated solution. In relation to the pearson and spearman correlation, the estimated breeding value correlation coefficients were highest among all traits over 99.5%. Depending on the breeding value of the high correlation in Model I and Model II, accurate evaluation can be found. The number of iteration to convergence was 2,568 in Model I and 1,038 in Model II. The speed of solving was 256.008 seconds in Model I and 235.729 seconds in Model II. Model II had a speed of approximately 10% more than Model I. Therefore, it is considered to be much more effective to analyze large data through the improved algorithm than the existing method. If the corresponding program is systemized and utilized for the consulting of farm and industrial services, it would make contribution to the early selection of individual, shorten the generation, and cultivation of superior groups, and help develop the Hanwoo industry further through the improvement of breeding value based enhancement, ultimately paving the way for the country to evolve into an advanced livestock country.

The Development and Application of Biotop Value Assessment Tool(B-VAT) Based on GIS to Measure Landscape Value of Biotop (GIS 기반 비오톱 경관가치 평가도구(B-VAT)의 개발 및 적용)

  • Cho, Hyun-Ju;Ra, Jung-Hwa;Kwon, Oh-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to select the study area, which will be formed into Daegu Science Park as an national industrial complex, and to assess the landscape value based on biotop classification with different polygon forms, and to develop and computerize Biotop Value Assessment Tool (B-VAT) based on GIS. The result is as follows. First, according to the result of biotop classification based on an advanced analysis on preliminary data, a field study, and a literature review, total 13 biotop groups such as forrest biotop groups and total 63 biotop types were classified. Second, based on the advanced research on landscape value assessment model of biotop, we development biotop value assessment tool by using visual basic programming language on the ArcGIS. The first application result with B-VAT showed that the first grade was classified into 19 types including riverside forest(BE), the second grade 12 types including artificial plantation(ED), and the third class, the fourth grade, and the fifth grade 12 types, 2 types, and 18 types respectively. Also, according to the second evaluation result with above results, we divided a total number of 31 areas and 34 areas, which had special meaning for landscape conservation(1a, 1b) and which had meaning for landscape conservation(2a, 2b, 2c). As such, biotop type classification and an landscape value evaluation, both of which were suggested from the result of the study, will help to scientifically understand a landscape value for a target land before undertaking reckless development. And it will serve to provide important preliminary data aimed to overcome damaged landscape due to developed and to manage a landscape planning in the future. In particular, we expect that B-VAT based on GIS will help overcome the limitations of applicability for of current value evaluation models, which are based on complicated algorithms, and will be a great contribution to an increase in convenience and popularity. In addition, this will save time and improve the accuracy for hand-counting. However, this study limited to aesthetic-visual part in biotop assessment. Therefore, it is certain that in the future research comprehensive assessment should be conducted with conservation and recreation view.

A Study on Valuation of Micro-pressure Wave Reduction Technology Using Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation (퍼지 기법을 이용한 소음 저감 원천기술의 기술가치 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Won, Yoo-Kyung;Kim, Dong-Jin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.17 no.10
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 2017
  • Although the value of technology is evaluated by various methods, the result of technology valuation is different from evaluator and evaluation methods. Also the uncertainty on the result occurs with respect to the evaluation factors and evaluation model which should be considered. In the case of lack of data or comparison target, the credibility of the technology valuation result could be unsure. To decrease uncertainty of the technology valuation, Fuzzy concept and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method are applied instead of using existing methods which evaluate technology value(level) by the number. In the research, we firstly devide evaluation criteria into technology value factor and business value factor and evaluate the technology level for micro pressure wave reduction technology which has been developed in Korea. Technology value factor is marked as high level with 46%, and business value factor is very high with 44%, and the overall level of technology is evaluated between very high and high. It helps to compare to other technology in the rivalry by the factors as it can evaluate the value of technology by factors. The technology valuation method which is applied in this research is expected to use on analyzing technology level of new technology or alternative technology in many different field.

A Basic Study on Development of ISM Code Operation Evaluation Model Using AHP (AHP를 이용한 ISM Code 운영평가 모형 개발에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • 신철호;노창균
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2003
  • This study conducted a basic study to develop ISM Code operation evaluation module, which is part of development of Safety Management System(ISM Code) Implementation supporting module. In particular, the significant of this study is that it established AHP operation evaluation analysis process, the design of questionnaire, and the hierarchical structure of operation evaluation model standard, focusing on the development of ISM Code operation evaluation module. Also, this study has its value in the point that it attempted to apply AHP scheme, which is part of the main decision­making in management science field, to develop operation evaluation module.

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A Basic Study on Development of ISM Code Operation Evaluation Model Using AHP (AHP를 이용한 ISM Code운영평가 모형 계발에 관한 기초적 연구)

  • Shin Chul Ho;Noh Chang Kyun
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.93-97
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    • 2003
  • This study conducted a basic study to develop ISM Code operation evaluation module, which is part of development of Safety Management System(ISM Code) Implementation supporting module. In particular, the significant of this study is that it established AHP operation evaluation analysis process, the design of questionnaire, and the hierarchical structure of operation evaluation model standard, focusing on the development of ISM Code operation evaluation module. Also, this study has its value in the point that it attempted to apply AHP scheme, which is part of the main decision-making in management science field, to develop operation evaluation module.

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