• 제목/요약/키워드: Value Prediction

검색결과 2,402건 처리시간 0.028초

에폭시 아스팔트 혼합물의 에폭시 화학 조성에 따른 양생수준 예측 (A Study on Curing Level Prediction Model for Varying Chemical Composition of Epoxy Asphalt Mixture)

  • 조신행;김낙석
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.465-470
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    • 2015
  • 에폭시 아스팔트 혼합물은 에폭시 수지와 경화제의 화학반응이 진행되어 양생시간을 거쳐 성능 발현이 이루어진다. 에폭시 아스팔트의 양생수준은 후속공정의 진행과 교통개방 및 공정계획의 수립에 절대적인 영향을 미치므로 정확한 예측모델의 개발이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 기존 예측식에 사용되는 인자들의 화학적 의미 분석을 통하여 에폭시 수지의 농도와 경화특성을 반영하여 기존식보다 확대된 적용 범위를 갖는 양생수준 예측식을 제시하였다. 실외양생 실험과 비교 결과 상관계수가 0.971 이상으로 나타나 조성이 다른 에폭시 아스팔트 혼합물의 온도와 시간에 따른 양생수준을 예측할 수 있는 것으로 나타났다.

CNN-LSTM Coupled Model for Prediction of Waterworks Operation Data

  • Cao, Kerang;Kim, Hangyung;Hwang, Chulhyun;Jung, Hoekyung
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.1508-1520
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose an improved model to provide users with a better long-term prediction of waterworks operation data. The existing prediction models have been studied in various types of models such as multiple linear regression model while considering time, days and seasonal characteristics. But the existing model shows the rate of prediction for demand fluctuation and long-term prediction is insufficient. Particularly in the deep running model, the long-short-term memory (LSTM) model has been applied to predict data of water purification plant because its time series prediction is highly reliable. However, it is necessary to reflect the correlation among various related factors, and a supplementary model is needed to improve the long-term predictability. In this paper, convolutional neural network (CNN) model is introduced to select various input variables that have a necessary correlation and to improve long term prediction rate, thus increasing the prediction rate through the LSTM predictive value and the combined structure. In addition, a multiple linear regression model is applied to compile the predicted data of CNN and LSTM, which then confirms the data as the final predicted outcome.

Application of an Optimized Support Vector Regression Algorithm in Short-Term Traffic Flow Prediction

  • Ruibo, Ai;Cheng, Li;Na, Li
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제18권6호
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 2022
  • The prediction of short-term traffic flow is the theoretical basis of intelligent transportation as well as the key technology in traffic flow induction systems. The research on short-term traffic flow prediction has showed the considerable social value. At present, the support vector regression (SVR) intelligent prediction model that is suitable for small samples has been applied in this domain. Aiming at parameter selection difficulty and prediction accuracy improvement, the artificial bee colony (ABC) is adopted in optimizing SVR parameters, which is referred to as the ABC-SVR algorithm in the paper. The simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm with SVR algorithm, and the feasibility of the proposed ABC-SVR algorithm is verified by result analysis. Continuously, the simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm with particle swarm optimization SVR (PSO-SVR) algorithm and genetic optimization SVR (GA-SVR) algorithm, and a better optimization effect has been attained by simulation experiments and verified by statistical test. Simultaneously, the simulation experiments are carried out by comparing the ABC-SVR algorithm and wavelet neural network time series (WNN-TS) algorithm, and the prediction accuracy of the proposed ABC-SVR algorithm is improved and satisfactory prediction effects have been obtained.

Sequential prediction of TBM penetration rate using a gradient boosted regression tree during tunneling

  • Lee, Hang-Lo;Song, Ki-Il;Qi, Chongchong;Kim, Kyoung-Yul
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2022
  • Several prediction model of penetration rate (PR) of tunnel boring machines (TBMs) have been focused on applying to design stage. In construction stage, however, the expected PR and its trends are changed during tunneling owing to TBM excavation skills and the gap between the investigated and actual geological conditions. Monitoring the PR during tunneling is crucial to rescheduling the excavation plan in real-time. This study proposes a sequential prediction method applicable in the construction stage. Geological and TBM operating data are collected from Gunpo cable tunnel in Korea, and preprocessed through normalization and augmentation. The results show that the sequential prediction for 1 ring unit prediction distance (UPD) is R2≥0.79; whereas, a one-step prediction is R2≤0.30. In modeling algorithm, a gradient boosted regression tree (GBRT) outperformed a least square-based linear regression in sequential prediction method. For practical use, a simple equation between the R2 and UPD is proposed. When UPD increases R2 decreases exponentially; In particular, UPD at R2=0.60 is calculated as 28 rings using the equation. Such a time interval will provide enough time for decision-making. Evidently, the UPD can be adjusted depending on other project and the R2 value targeted by an operator. Therefore, a calculation process for the equation between the R2 and UPD is addressed.

Separate Scale for Position Dependent Intra Prediction Combination of VVC

  • Yoon, Yong-Uk;Park, Dohyeon;Kim, Jae-Gon
    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방송∙미디어공학회 2019년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.20-21
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    • 2019
  • The Joint Video Experts Team (JVET) has been working on the development of next generation of video coding standard called Versatile Video Coding (VVC). Position Dependent Intra Prediction Combination (PDPC) which is one of the major tools for intra prediction refines the prediction through a linear combination between the reconstructed samples and the predicted samples according to the sample position. In VVC WD6, nScale which is shift value that adjusts the weight is determined by the width and height of the current block. It may cause that PDPC is applied to regions that do not fit the characteristics of the current intra prediction mode. In this paper, we define nScale for each width and height so that the weight can be applied independently to the left and top reference samples, respectively. Experimental results show that, compared to VTM 6.0, the proposed method gives -0.01%, -0.04% and 0.01% Bjotegaard-Delta (BD)-rate performance, for Y, Cb, and Cr components, respectively, in All-Intra (AI) configuration.

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변형된 선형 예측 방법으로 부터 주파수 측정 (ESTIMATION OF FREQUENCIES FROM MODIFIED LINEAR PREDICTION METHODS)

  • 안태천;박용서;황금찬
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 1988년도 추계학술대회 논문집 학회본부
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    • pp.473-476
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    • 1988
  • The problem of estimating the frequencies of multiple sinusoids from noisy measurements by using the modified linear prediction methods - Modified Forward-Backward Linear Prediction(MFBLP) and Model Reduction(MR) methods is addressed in this paper. The MFBLP and MR methods are derived by singular value decomposition and approximation of linear system. respectively. Monte Carlo simulations are done and the performances compared with linear prediction and forward-backward linear prediction. Simulations show a great promise for MFBLP and MR.

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풍화잔적토의 불포화전단강도 예측 및 특성연구 (Characteristics and Prediction of Shear Strength for Unsaturated Residual Soil)

  • 이인모;성상규;양일순
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2000년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.377-384
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    • 2000
  • The characteristics and prediction model of the shear strength for unsaturated residual soils was studied. In order to investigate the influence of the initial water content on the shear strength, unsaturated triaxial tests were carried out varying the initial water content, and the applicability of existing prediction models for the unsaturated shear strength was testified. It was shown that the soil - water characteristic curve and the shear strength of the unsaturated soil varied with the change of the initial water content. A sample compacted in the lower initial water content needs a higher suction to get the same degree of saturation while the shear strength of a sample with the lower initial water content displays a lower value. In order to apply the existing prediction models of the unsaturated shear strength to granite residual soils, a correction coefficient, α, on the internal friction angle, ø'was added.

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지하철 개착구 굴착시 주변자반과 구조물에 대한 거동예측과 실측의비교평가 (The Study on the Prediction and Measurement for the Behaviour of Structures and Weathered Soil & Rock in Excavating the Ventilation Shaft)

  • 김융태;안대영;김득기;한창헌
    • 터널과지하공간
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.63-76
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    • 1994
  • This paper discusses contents of the existing design, the behaviours prediction on the strut and retaining wall around subsurfaces, and also evaluates the measured results in comparison with the management criterion during excavation period of ventilation shaft at Pusan-Subway 220. Field measurements showed that maximum displacement 23.74 mm at boundary site of multistratification and the weathered rock to be formed at 0.2~0.6 H of total excavating depth(H), 68 ton of maximum axial force and 4.4X102 kg/cm2 of stress on strut. The measured axial force exceeds prediction levels by up to 50 percent at the weathered soil & rock, and the others come under the category of their levels. The great gap of both field measurements and prediction on behaviour makes a difference of the site situation at the design stage and the practical working. This measured value is greatly safety in comparison with that of the safety criterion, but axial force at 4~5 strut of ventilation shaft l is higher than the prediction.

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누설 전류 모니터링에 의한 오손된 고분자 애자에서의 섬락 예지 방법 (A Flashover Prediction Method by the Leakage Current Monitoring in the Contaminated Polymer Insulator)

  • 박재준;송영철
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기물성ㆍ응용부문C
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    • 제53권7호
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    • pp.364-369
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    • 2004
  • In this Paper, a flashover prediction method using the leakage current in the contaminated EPDM distribution polymer insulator is proposed. The leakage currents on the insulator were measured simultaneously with the different salt fog application such as 25g, 50g, and 75g per liter of deionized water. Then, the measured leakage currents were enveloped and transformed as the CDFS using the Hilbert transform and the level crossing rate, respectively. The obtained CDFS having different gradients(angles) were used as a important factor for the flashover prediction of the contaminated polymer insulator. Thus, the average angle change with an identical salt fog concentration was within a range of 20 degrees, and the average angle change among the different salt fog concentrations was 5 degrees. However, it is hard to be distinguished each other because the gradient differences among the CDFS were very small. So, the new weighting value was defined and used to solve this problem. Through simulation, it Is verified that the proposed method has the capability of the flashover prediction.

페이스북 사용자간 내재된 신뢰수준 예측 방법 (Prediction Method for the Implicit Interpersonal Trust Between Facebook Users)

  • 송희석
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.177-191
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    • 2013
  • Social network has been expected to increase the value of social capital through online user interactions which remove geographical boundary. However, online users in social networks face challenges of assessing whether the anonymous user and his/her providing information are reliable or not because of limited experiences with a small number of users. Therefore. it is vital to provide a successful trust model which builds and maintains a web of trust. This study aims to propose a prediction method for the interpersonal trust which measures the level of trust about information provider in Facebook. To develop the prediction method. we first investigated behavioral research for trust in social science and extracted 5 antecedents of trust : lenience, ability, steadiness, intimacy, and similarity. Then we measured the antecedents from the history of interactive behavior and built prediction models using the two decision trees and a computational model. We also applied the proposed method to predict interpersonal trust between Facebook users and evaluated the prediction accuracy. The predicted trust metric has dynamic feature which can be adjusted over time according to the interaction between two users.