• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.44-58
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• 2002

There have been many solutions to overcome theoretical problems of the Discounted Cash Flow Methods, especially on the valuation of technology. Real Options are thought as a solution. There, however, are another problems in applying Real Options for the valuation of technology; diversity and complexity of models. This Paper recommends 5 models for the valuation of technology, especially for practitioners.

• Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.206-224
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• 2017

This article proposes a logic model for assessing the performance of the outcome of public research as a technology valuation method. It consists of two parts and eight steps. The first part is a scoring system and the second part is a validation process of the performance index derived from scoring by valuation method. The scoring in the first part generally requires a focus group method to find out the value drivers and make an evaluation table. The reason why we call it the technology valuation method is that the first part is derived from the simple evaluation of technology value using checklists for value drive. The second part is the regular technology valuation process. The model is designed for the measurement of unquantifiable outcome. Is knowledge or scientific outcome comparable to the measured outcome? If possible, how big is the unquantifiable outcome? This model is based on financial valuation techniques with clear or acceptable market data. Therefore, it cannot work solely for unquantifiable outcomes without comparable measurable outcomes, unlike economic valuation.

• 한국게임학회 논문지
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.67-74
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• 2014

초기 온라인 게임 개발사의 기업가치를 평가함에 있어서 실물옵션이 효과적이라는 것은 이론적으로나 실증적으로 이미 밝혀진 바가 있다. 하지만, 실물옵션 방법론 역시도 비재무정보를 효과적으로 반영하는 데에는 한계가 있기 때문에 이를 효과적으로 반영할 수 있는 수정 실물옵션 방법론이 이론적으로 제안된 바가 있다. 하지만, 이에 대한 실증 연구가 미비해서 그 효과성을 검증하는 데에는 한계가 있었다. 따라서 본 연구는 사례 연구를 통해 수정 실물옵션 방법론이 초기 게임 개발사의 가치를 효과적으로 측정할 수 있는지에 대해 검증하고자 하였다. 분석 결과, 수정 실물옵션 모형은 초기 단계의 게임 개발사의 비재무적 정보를 모형 내에 효과적으로 반영하며, 이로 인해 예측 오차를 크게 감소시키는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대한수학회보
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.259-265
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• 1996

The history of option valuation problem goes back to the year 1900 when Louis Bachelier deduced on option valuation formula under the assumption that the price process follows standard Brownian motion. More than 50 years later, the research for a mathematical theory of option valuation was taken up by Samuelson ([6]) and others. This work was brought into focus in the major paper by Black and Scholes ([1]) in which a complete option valuation model was derived on the assumption that the underlying price model is a geometric Brownian motion. THis paper starts with subjects developed mainly in Harrison and Kreps ([4]) and in Harrison and Pliska ([5]). The ideas established in these papers are essential for option valuation problem, and in particularfor the point of view that we take in this paper.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제9권14호
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• pp.49-58
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• 1986

Those facts I have studied on the theoretical characteristics of stock price earning ratio related with firm evaluation are as followings. First, I have investigated stock valuation analysis under certainty in view of Miller's, Modigliani's and Linter's theories in Chapter Ⅱ, and it is found that stock valuation under uncertainty to which the basic model of MM theory and the concept of capitalization ratio are applied is the same output, as in the case under certainty. And I have examined the stock valuation of growth corporations in which net investment, total capitals and operating profits are expected. Second, I have reexamined the fact that stock price profits are the erotical indices of firm valuation and the firm valuation on the basis of stock price earning ratio in Chapter III. As a whole, I have surveyed the stock price earning ratio theory of the growth stocks and there have been found some problems as such scholars as Malkiel and others have suggested focusing on the stock price structure of growth stocks. To conclude, there must be incessant efforts for the study of security analysis to make it develop ideally.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.95-123
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• 2006

It is needed to evaluate information systems actively which has already developed to improve future performance of the organization and foster the activation of information system. The introduction or development of information system also can bring about a organizational success. To measure exactly the organizational performance of information systems, it is needed to develop a new valuation model for a specific information system from a objective pint of view, as well as to equip a standard methodology using BSC measurement. The information system valuation from a objective point of view is of importance as the basic information for the decision to obtain information system. This paper takes aim at investigating a new information system valuation model and developing a information system valuation system using case-based reasoning for predicting currency value of information system in each organization. A new information system valuation system is developed as a web-enabling base. Using this, users are able to estimate the value of specific information system on a real time efficiently.

• 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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• 제2권3호
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• pp.70-79
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• 2002

무형자산에 대한 가치평가가 최근 관련자산을 기반으로 한 투자는 물론, 개별기술의 거래 등을 목적으로 활발하게 논의되고 있다. 그러나 전문 컨텐츠로서 자동화된 전자적 데이터베이스에 대한 가치평가는 아직 실용적 기법이 제시되지 못하고 있다. 본 고에서는 지식정보 콘텐츠를 평가하기 위한 적절한 방법을 검토하기 위해 기존의 무형자산 가치평가 기법을 제시하고, 평가과정에서 특별히 고려해야 할 요소들에 대해 상세히 살펴본 후 각 기법의 적용 가능성을 검토한다.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제8권3호
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• pp.1175-1198
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• 2005

The objective of the study is to verify the relationship between technology valuation indexes and corporate's performance in ventures by business operating periods. The result of the study is expected to be useful in loan evaluation, investment decision, internal management decision making and business improvement. The results of study is as follows. First, in early stage ventures, we find that three major valuation index(technology feasibility, economic efficiency, productivity) are significant ex-ante variables which are discriminating between firms' going concern and firms' failure. Second, in growth stage ventures, we find that three major valuation index(business feasibility, general marketability, technology marketability) are significant ex-ante variables which are discriminating between firms' going concern and firms' failure. Third, in early stage ventures, we find that at least thirty-eight minor valuation index elements are significant ex-ante variables which are discriminating between firms' going concern and firms' failure and in growth stage ventures, thirty-one minor valuation index elements are significant in various analysis' results.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제40권2호
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• pp.195-204
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• 2014

The transition from fossil to renewable energy is inevitable due to fossil depletion. So, Renewable energy is very important for energy security and economic growth although it's R&D is long-term and high risky project. We propose new valuation method which combined system dynamics and compound real option method for long-term and high risk projects such as renewable energy. This method can show dynamic valuation results for the complex causal interaction and be easy for Monte-Carlo simulation to estimate volatility. And it can reflect the value of flexible decision for uncertainty. We applied the empirical analysis for Korea's photovoltaic industry by using this method. As results by empirical analysis, photovoltaic's R&D has high valuation using this method compared by traditional valuation methods such as DCF.

• 산경연구논집
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.39-47
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• 2020

Purpose: This study investigated the effects of valuation errors on the capital market through the earnings forecasting errors of financial analysts. As a follow-up to Jensen (2005)'s study, which argued of agency cost of overvaluation, it was intended to analyze the effect of valuation errors on the earnings forecasting behavior of financial analysts. We hypothesized that if the manager tried to explain to the market that their firms are overvalued, the analysts' earnings forecasting errors would decrease. Research design, data and methodology: To this end, the analysis period was set from 2011 to 2018 of KOSPI and KOSDAQ-listed markets. For overvaluation, the study methodology of Rhodes-Kropf, Robinson, and Viswanathan (2005) was measured. The earnings forecasting errors of the financial analyst was measured by the accuracy and bias. Results: Empirical analysis shows that the accuracy and bias of analysts' forecasting errors decrease as overvaluation increase. Second, the negative relationship showed no difference, depending on the size of the auditor. Third, the results have not changed sensitively according to the listed market. Conclusions: Our results indicated that the valuation error lowered the financial analyst earnings forecasting errors. Considering that the greater overvaluation, the higher the compensation and reputation of the manager, it can be interpreted that an active explanation of the market can promote the accuracy of the financial analyst's earnings forecasts. This study has the following contributions when compared to prior research. First, the impact of valuation errors on the capital market was analyzed for the domestic capital market. Second, while there has been no research between valuation error and earnings forecasting by financial analysts, the results of the study suggested that valuation errors reduce financial analyst's earnings forecasting errors. Third, valuation error induced lower the earnings forecasting error of the financial analyst. The greater the valuation error, the greater the management's effort to explain the market more actively. Considering that the greater the error in valuation, the higher the compensation and reputation of the manager, it can be interpreted that an active explanation of the market can promote the accuracy of the financial analyst's earnings forecasts.