• Title/Summary/Keyword: Urban Runoff Model

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Reliability evaluations of time of concentration using artificial neural network model -focusing on Oncheoncheon basin- (인공신경망 모형을 이용한 도달시간의 신뢰성 평가 -온천천 유역을 대상으로-)

  • Yoon, Euihyeok;Park, Jongbin;Lee, Jaehyuk;Shin, Hyunsuk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2018
  • For the stream management, time of concentration is one of the important factors. In particular, as the requirement about various application of the stream increased, accuracy assessment of concentration time in the stream as waterfront area is extremely important for securing evacuation at the flood. the past studies for the assessment of concentration time, however, were only performed on the single hydrological event in the complex basin of natural streams. The development of a assessment methods for the concentration time on the complex hydrological event in a single watershed of urban streams is insufficient. Therefore, we estimated the concentration time using the rainfall- runoff data for the past 10 years (2006~2015) for the Oncheon stream, the representative stream of the Busan, where frequent flood were taken place by heavy rains, in addition, reviewed the reliability using artificial neural network method based on Matlab. We classified a total of 254 rainfalls events based on over unrained 12 hours. Based on the classification, we estimated 6 parameters (total precipitation, total runoff, peak precipitation/ total precipitation, lag time, time of concentration) to utilize for the training and validation of artificial neural network model. Consequently, correlation of the parameter, which was utilized for the training and the input parameter for the predict and verification were 0.807 and 0.728, respectively. Based on the results, we predict that it can be utilized to estimate concentration time and analyze reliability of urban stream.

Analysis of Runoff Reduction Effect of Flood Mitigation Policies based on Cost-Benefit Perspective (비용-편익을 고려한 홍수 대응 정책의 유출 저감 효과 분석)

  • Jee, Hee Won;Kim, Hyeonju;Seo, Seung Beom
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.721-733
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    • 2023
  • As the frequency of extreme rainfall events increase due to climate change, climate change adaptation measures have been proposed by the central and local governments. In order to reduce flood damage in urban areas, various flood response policies, such as low impact development techniques and enhancement of the capacity of rainwater drainage networks, have been proposed. When these policies are established, regional characteristics and policy-effectiveness from the cost-benefit perspective must be considered for the flood mitigation measures. In this study, capacity enhancement of rainwater pipe networks and low impact development techniques including green roof and permeable pavement techniques are selected. And the flood reduction effect of the target watershed, Gwanak campus of Seoul National University, was analyzed using SWMM model which is an urban runoff simulation model. In addition, along with the quantified urban flooding reduction outputs, construction and operation costs for various policy scenarios were calculated so that cost-benefit analyses were conducted to analyze the effectiveness of the applied policy scenarios. As a result of cost-benefit analysis, a policy that adopts both permeable pavement and rainwater pipe expansion was selected as the best cost-effective scenario for flood mitigation. The research methodology, proposed in this study, is expected to be utilized for decision-making in the planning stage for flood mitigation measures for each region.

Prioritizing the target watersheds for permeable pavement to reduce flood damage in urban watersheds considering future climate scenarios (미래 기후 시나리오를 고려한 도시 유역 홍수 피해 저감을 위한 투수성 포장 시설 대상 유역 우선순위 선정)

  • Chae, Seung Taek;Song, Young Hoon;Lee, Joowon;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.159-170
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    • 2022
  • As the severity of water-related disasters increases in urban watersheds due to climate change, reducing flood damage in urban watersheds is one of the important issues. This study focuses on prioritizing the optimal site for permeable pavement to maximize the efficiency of reducing flood damage in urban watersheds in the future climate environment using multi-criteria decision making techniques. The Mokgamcheon watershed which is considerably urbanized than in the past was selected for the study area and its 27 sub-watersheds were considered as candidate sites. Six General Circulation Model (GCM) of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6(CMIP6) according to two Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios were used to estimate future monthly precipitation for the study area. The Driving force-Pressure-State-Impact-Response (DPSIR) framework was used to select the water quantity evaluation criteria for prioritizing permeable pavement, and the study area was modeled using ArcGIS and Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). For the values corresponding to the evaluation criteria based on the DPSIR framework, data from national statistics and long-term runoff simulation value of SWMM according to future monthly precipitation were used. Finally, the priority for permeable pavement was determined using the Fuzzy TOPSIS and Minimax regret method. The high priorities were concentrated in the downstream sub-watersheds where urbanization was more progressed and densely populated than the upstream watersheds.

Urban Inundation Analysis using the Integrated Model of MOUSE and MIKE21 (MOUSE 및 MIKE21 통합모델을 이용한 도시유역의 침수분석)

  • Choi, Gye-Woon;Lee, Ho-Sun;Lee, So-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2007
  • Urbanized area has complex terrain with many flow paths. Almost stormwater is drained through pipe network because most area is impervious. And overland flow from the pipe network reform the surface flow. Therefore, it should be considered the drainage system and surface runoff both in urban inundation analysis. It is analyzed by using MIKE FLOOD integrated 1 dimension - 2 dimension model about Incheon Gyo urbanized watershed and compared with the results of 1 dimension model and 2 dimension model. At the result this approach linking of 2 dimension and 1 dimension pipe hydraulic model in MIKE FLOOD give accuracy that offers substantial improvement over earlier approach and more information about inundation such as water dapth, velocity or risk of flood, because it is possible to present storage of overland flow and topographical characteristic of area.

ILLUDAS-NPS Model for Runoff and Water Quality Analysis in Urban Drainage (도시유역의 유출·수질해석을 위한 ILLUDAS-NPS 모형)

  • Kim, Tae-Hwa;Lee, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.9 s.158
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    • pp.791-800
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    • 2005
  • An ILLUDAS-NPS model was developed which is able to compute pollutant loadings and the concentrations of water quality constituents. This model is based on the existing ILLUDAS model, and added for use in the water quality analysis process during dry and rainy periods. For dry period, the specifications of coefficients for discharge and water quality were used. During rainfall, we used the daily pollutant accumulation method and the washoff equation for computing water quality each time. According to the results of verification, the ILLUDAS-NPS model provides generally similar outputs with the measured data on total loadings, peak concentration and time of peak concentration for three rainfall events in the Hong-je Basin. In comparison with the SWMM and STORM models, it was shown that there is little difference between ILLUDAS-NPS and SWMM.

Integrated Storage Function Model with Fuzzy Control for Flood Forecasting (II) - Theory and Proposal of Model - (홍수예보를 위한 통합저류함수모형의 퍼지제어 (II) - 이론의 모형의 수립 -)

  • Lee, Jeong-Gyu;Kim, Han-Seop
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.701-709
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    • 2000
  • Integrated storage function model (ISFM) is applied to some rainfall-runoff events of the selected basins in Korea to show validity of the proposed model. Comparing the numerical results of the model with the field measurements, the simulated hydrographs and peak flood discharges for the most part showed good agreements, except the occurrence time of the peak discharges which showed a bit discrepancy, and they showed it was very hard to have a sufficient lead-time to forecast the flood when the upstream inflow of the channel reach was more dominant than the inflow from the residual watershed of the channel.hannel.

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Estimation of Stream Water Quality Changes Brought by a New Town Development (신도시 개발 후 도시하천의 장래수질 평가)

  • Park, Ji-Young;Lim, Hyun-Man;Yoon, Young-Han;Jung, Jin-Hong;Kim, Weon-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.58-66
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    • 2014
  • Water pollution problems of urban rivers due to the urbanization and industrialization have been the subject of public attention. In particular, considering the fact that the characteristics of water cycle of each basin change dramatically through the development of new towns, a large number of concerns about future water quality have been raised. However, reasonable measures to predict future water quality quantitatively have not been presented by this moment. In this study, by the linkage of annual unit load generation based on long-term monitoring results of the ministry of environment (MOE) to a semi-distributed rainfall runoff model, SWMM (Storm Water Management Model), we proposed a new methodology to estimate future water quality macroscopically and testified it to verify its applicability for the estimation of future water quality of a small watershed at G new town. As a result of the estimation using Y-EMC (Yearly based Event Mean Concentration), future water quality were simulated as BOD 18.7, T-N 16.1 and T-P 0.85 mg/L respectively which could not achieve the grade III of domestic river life guidance and these criteria could be satisfied by the reduction of domestic wastewater discharge load by over 80%. The results of this study are shown to be utilized for one of basic tools to estimate and manage water quality of urban rivers in the course of new town developments.

A study on the variation of design flood due to climate change in the ungauged urban catchment (기후변화에 따른 미계측 도시유역의 확률홍수량 변화에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Jeongyoon;Ahn, Jeonghwan;Jeong, Changsam;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.5
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    • pp.395-404
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    • 2018
  • This research evaluated the change in rainfall quantile during S1, S2, and S3 by using Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 climate scenario HadGEM3-RA Regional Climate Model (RCM) produced by downscaling and bias correlation compared to the past standard observation data S0. Also, the maximum flood peak volume and flood area were calculated by using the urban runoff model and the impact of climate change was analyzed in each period. For this purpose, Gumbel distribution was used as an appropriate model based on the method of maximum likelihood. As a result, in the case of the 10 year-frequency which is the design of most urban drainage facilities, the rainfall quantile is in increased about 10% if we assume 50 years from now with the $3^{rd}$ quarter value and about 20% if we assume 70 years from now. This result implies that the installed urban drainage facility based on the currently set design flood volume cannot be met the design criteria in the future. Therefore, it is necessary to reflect future climate conditions to current urban drainage facilities.

The Development of a Input Data Automatic Generation System for the Storm Management Simulation based on UIS (UIS기반 홍수관리 시뮬레이션을 위한 입력 데이터 자동 생성 시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Ki-Uk;Lee, Jeong-Eun;Hwang, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Chang-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.247-256
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    • 2008
  • Recently, natural disasters like flooding damages have frequently occurred as to typhoons and local downpours affected by the climate changes. Many researches have actively been studied in analysing runoff models, the verification of their parameters, and the inflow on surfaces in order to lessen the damages. However, much time and effort needs in generating input files of the models in most current researches. Therefore, in this paper we develop a system for generating a simulation input data automatically. This system is connected to the EPA-SWMM based on the spatial data in the UIS systems and consists the simulation module for analysing urban flooding and the SWMM simulator module. Also, we construct a prototype using a range of regular inundation to generate a simulation input file. This system gives advantages showing inundation areas based on the map viewer as well as lessening errors of input data and simulation time.

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A Sensitivity Analysis of Model Parameters involved in Clark Method on the Magnitude of Design Flood for urban Watersheds (CLARK 유역추적법에 의한 계획홍수량 산정에 미치는 매개변수의 민감도 분석)

  • Yoon, Kwang-Wonn;Wone, Seog-Yeon;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Water for future
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 1994
  • A Sensitivity analysis on the model parameters involved in the Clark watershed routing method is made to demonstrate the effect of each parameter on the magnitude of 50-year design flood for small urban streams. As for the rainfall parameter the time distribution pattern of design storm was selected. For short duration storms Huff, Yen & Chow and Japanese Central type distributions were selected and the Mononobe distribution of 24-hour design storm was also selected and tested for Clark method application. The effect of SCS runoff curve number for effective rainfall and the methods of subbasin division for time-area curve were also tested. The routing parameter, i.e. the storage constant(K), was found to be the dominating parameter once design storm is selected. A multiple regression formula for K correlated with the drainage area and main channel slope of the basin is proposed for the use in urban stream practice for the determination of design flood by Clark method.

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