• Title/Summary/Keyword: Urban Growth Model

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Analysis of Functional Autocorrelation and Development of Functional Econometric Model through Urban Interactions - Focusing on Economic Growth of Small and Medium Sized Cities - (도시 상호작용에 따른 기능적 자기상관분석 및 기능계량경제모형 개발 - 중소도시의 경제성장을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Dohyeong;Woo, Myungje
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2019
  • Korean government has implemented policies to strengthen the competitiveness of small and medium sized cities. However, since it is often difficult to enhance the competitiveness through individual projects, many local governments in metropolitan areas are working together to pursue local growth. On the other hand, small and medium sized cities that are not included in metropolitan areas due to their spatial limitations have difficulties in implementing effective growth policies. Given this background, the purpose of this study is to identify the functional correlation based on urban interactions and develop functional econometric model for the economic growth of small and medium sized cities. This study uses spatial econometrics models and functional weight matrix to identify the effects of functional networks on small and medium sized cities. The results show the effect of functional networks on the growth of small and medium sized cities and provide policy implications for regional spatial planning that addresses effective management of small and medium sized cities.

Research about Urban Growth Model's Automation (도시성장모형의 시뮬레이션 자동화에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Jeong-Mi;Park, Jeong-Wo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • Recently, various researches have been studied on the predict method of land change according to its development. The Cellular Automata(CA) is one of the most popular methods in the urban growth modeling. The basis principle of CA is to repeat operations, which convert the current cell into new cell state by the transaction rule. It will minimize the loss of data by using Fuzzy-AHP and it can lead the flexible urban growth modeling. However, AHP would have a disadvantage to repeat the procedure of the collecting intentions until it derives the weight. Also, it is necessary for the simulation of CA to repeat the operations and the test of data accuracy should be accompanied. The purpose of this study is to predict the Busan city growth model and analyze it according to the automated test method by applying CA as well as Fuzzy-AHP. This study shall improve the difficulties caused by complexity and repetitiveness in the urban grow modeling. The practical modeling could be derived from the verification, and the derived modules could be applied to the similar case studies.

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A Development Model of Korean Urban Neighborhood: - focusing on the Neighborhood Growth and the Educational Facility - (한국 도시동네의 형태변화 모델 - 동네의 성장과 교육시설과의 관계를 중심으로 -)

  • Han, GwangYa;Kim, Min-ji;Ha, Sung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Educational Facilities
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    • v.28 no.6
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    • pp.15-28
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to propose a hypothetical urban neighborhood, HanGyo-dong, which is a model for understanding the relationship between the neighborhood change and educational facilities. Three issue layers of the model derived from preceding case studies are: establishment, relocation and redevelopment of educational facilities; formation and redevelopment of adjacent residential areas; and growth of neighborhood commercial cores. The neighborhood changes observed through HanGyo-dong include (1) the formation of educational base and commercial activities along the stream, (2) the growth of student and intellectual community and the installment of public transportation nodes, and (3) the relocation of schools and hospitals followed by a series of redevelopments of single family house into multi-family housing of low-rise residence and high rise apartment complex. The findings call for the collaborative practice of educational administration and neighborhood planning regarding how educational facilities, which were the tool for urban expansion policy, will contribute to the development of the neighborhood's identity as a localized hub.

A Study on Modeling for Urban Growth Management using GIS -The Case of Pa-Ju City- (GIS를 활용한 도시성장관리모델의 구축에 관한 연구 -파주시 사례를 중심으로-)

  • Chung, II-Hoon;Cho, Kyu-Young;Chung, Won-Mo
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2010
  • Many cities have provided growth management measure for preventing urban sprawl and disordered development by rapid urbanization. Many Korean cities also, have been pressed by development issues as well as the Seoul Metropolitan Area. This study aims to predict urban growth and develop Urban Growth Management Model with Geographic Information System and quantitative method. Especially, this study provides reasonable management method by presenting prediction scenario considered institutional-oriented and demand-oriented. This study also, provides a scientific basis using GIS and quantitative analysis, and present decision making of planning and implementation process through simulation.

Determinants of Urban Growth in Korea (시.공입체모형에 의한 한국의 도시성장 결정요인 분석)

  • 박연수
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.93-118
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    • 1997
  • Main findings of this study are as follows. Time-space model of Korea for urban growth model is established. The variables of space model resulted in job and education, which both are significant at 0.01 level and positive. The effect of job and education on the urban growth are 0.76 and 0.29 respectively in average. the determinants for deciding the influences for job variable are income variable and price-level variable. Income variable contributes 68.66% and the direction is negative while contribution of price-level variable is 29.90% and the direction is positive. The determinants for education variable are income, unemployment and wage difference between university graduates and high school graduates. The contribution and the high school graduates. The contribution and the direction of each variable for education variable are 63.6% and positive for the unemployment variable, 15.99% and negative for the income variable and 13.75% and positive for the wage difference variable. This study in different from previous works in three ways. The first is to establish the time-space model which could consider the time and space factor simultaneously. The second is to build data bases which contain the data of almost every city and every year in Korea during the objective period, which make the analysis continuous. The third is that the general analytic framework for the study is macrosocial one rather than a behavioral one, which means the unit of analysis is the metropolitan community and each city occupies population actively through it's potential power such as jobs, education and so on rather than a city population is the passive result of migration.

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Driving Projects of Urban Agriculture for the Energy Independence (에너지 자립을 위한 도시농업 활성화 추진정책 방안)

  • Na, Young-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.304-308
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    • 2010
  • This study compared and analyzed existing studies and released papers to identify the "definition and scope of urban agriculture" which correspond to the circumstances of Korea based on the fact that urban agriculture was selected as one of the measures to pursue green growth by the Presidential Committee on Green Growth (PCGG) and the discussions and deliberations among PCGG, government, academia, civic organizations, and experts. It also aims to present the ways of policy to facilitate the development of urban agriculture based on the mentioned identification. This research proposes the definition of urban agriculture as 'all agricultural activities that incorporates multi-functional public benefits of agriculture performed within the administrative district of a city. However, the scope of urban agriculture should exclude the agricultural sites, the methods, and the activities that are against the multi-functional public benefits of agriculture, which will be determined depending on the spaces, methods, and purposes of planting food crops. In order to facilitate the development of urban agriculture, the government should implement the policy measures as following: (1) to analyze spaces for farming, and provide the spaces to the citizens; (2) to prepare legislation and institution that will allow citizens to use the farming spaces continuously; (3) to develop Korean-style urban agriculture model that fully reflects the features of Korean cities; (4) to develop a system where the urban citizens can easily learn and experience the urban agriculture; and, (5) to provide incentives that will attract active participation of urban citizens such as carbon mileage. (6) to analyze effect of urban agriculture to save energy and food self-sufficiency.

A Study on the Urban Growth Patterns Focusing on Regional Characteristics (지역적 특성을 고려한 도시 성장 패턴에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Jeong-Mi;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.116-126
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the growing course of Busan, Gimhae and Jinhae and further find patterns of the urban growth. This study shows that patterns of the urban growth differ from city to city, being influenced by the city's characteristics. Acknowledging this fact would help the decision maker to determine the developing plan of the urban. The methodology for this study is as follows; Fuzzy set concept is applied to minimize the data loss. At the same time, the AHP is used to give a relative weight to each factor. In order to be able to manage the change based on the dynamic model and time, Cellular Automata is introduced to simulate the growth of urban. The results show that the pattern of Gimhae's and Jinhae's growth is the same, whereas that of Busan is different from them. That is to say, each city has regional characteristics. And the pattern of the urban growth is influenced by the regional conditions of the city.

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Estimation of Air Temperature Changes due to Future Urban Growth in the Seoul Metropolitan Area (수도권지역 미래 도시성장에 따른 기온변화 추정)

  • Kim, Yoo-Keun;Kim, Hyun-Su;Jeong, Ju-Hee;Song, Sang-Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.237-245
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    • 2010
  • The relationship between air temperatures and the fraction of urban areas (FUA) and their linear regression equation were estimated using land-use data provided by the water management information system (WAMIS) and air temperatures by the Korea Meteorology Administration (KMA) in the Seoul metropolitan area (SMA) during 1975 through 2000. The future FUA in the SMA (from 2000 to 2030) was also predicted by the urban growth model (i.e., SLEUTH) in conjunction with several dataset (e.g., urban, roads, etc.) in the WAMIS. The estimated future FUA was then used as input data for the linear regression equation to estimate an annual mean minimum air temperature in the future (e.g., 2025 and 2030). The FUA in the SMA in 2000 simulated by the SLEUTH showed good agreement with the observations (a high accuracy (73%) between them). The urban growth in the SMA was predicted to increase by 16% of the total areas in 2025 and by 24% in 2030. From the linear regression equation, the annual mean minimum air temperature in the SMA increased about $0.02^{\circ}C$/yr and it was expected to increase up to $8.3^{\circ}C$ in 2025 and $8.7^{\circ}C$ in 2030.

Prediction of Land-Use Change based on Urban Growth Scenario in South Korea using CLUE-s Model (도시성장 시나리오와 CLUE-s 모형을 이용한 우리나라의 토지이용 변화 예측)

  • LEE, Yong-Gwan;CHO, Young-Hyun;KIM, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.75-88
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we used the CLUE-s model to predict the future land-use change based on the urban growth scenario in South Korea. The land-use maps of six classes (water, urban, rice paddy, upland crop, forest, and grass) for the year 2008 were obtained from the Ministry of Environment (MOE), and the land-use data for 5-year intervals between 1980 and 2010 were obtained from the Water Resources Management Information System (WAMIS), South Korea. For predicting the future land-use change, the MOE environmental conservation value assessment map (ECVAM) was considered for identifying the development-restricted areas, and various driving factors as location characteristics were prepared for the model. The predicted results were verified by comparing them with the land-use statistics of urban areas in each province for the year 2008. The prediction error rates were 9.47% in Gyeonggi, 9.96% in Gangwon, 10.63% in Chungbuk, 7.53% in Chungnam, 9.48% in Jeonbuk, 6.92% in Jeonnam, 2.50% in Gyeongbuk, and 8.09% in Gyeongnam. The sources of error might come from the gaps between the development of political decisions in reality with spatio-temporal variation and the mathematical model for urban growth rate in CLUE-s model for future scenarios. Based on the land-use scenario in 2008, the land-use predictions for the year 2100 showed that the urban area increased by 28.24%, and the rice paddy, upland crop, and forest areas decreased by 8.27, 6.72, and 1.66%, respectively, in South Korea.

Analysis of Characteristics and Land Use Regulation of Urban Growth Potential Area in Busan Metropolitan City (부산권 도시성장 잠재지역의 특성 및 토지이용규제 실태 분석)

  • KIM, Ho-Yong;KIM, Ji-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.138-148
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    • 2018
  • Land use regulations introduced for rationalization of land use due to the diversification of socio-economic development, resulting in inconvenience to the people's economic life, have recently changed the paradigm due to deregulation. In this study, the potential areas for urban growth in the Busan area were derived by simulating using the CA model and spatial characteristics were analyzed along with land use regulated areas. The analysis examined whether the land use regulations were actually intended to curb urban growth and promote the efficiency of land use, or if there were other factors that could cause inconvenience to the people's lives. The analysis showed that the greenbelt zones in areas with high development pressure outside urban areas were acting as land use regulations, but there were multiple regulations on land use in many areas. Therefore, it is deemed that various approaches and reviews will be needed, including reconsideration of multiple regulations in areas with high urban growth potential, while maintaining the net function of land use regulations.