• Title/Summary/Keyword: Universal-Kriging

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A Study on the Prediction of Traffic Counts Based on Shortest Travel Path (최단경로 기반 교통량 공간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Tae-Young;Park, Man-Sik;Eom, Jin-Ki;Oh, Ju-Sam
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.459-473
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we suggest a spatial regression model to predict AADT. Although Euclidian distances between one monitoring site and its neighboring sites were usually used in the many analysis, we consider the shortest travel path between monitoring sites to predict AADT for unmonitoring site using spatial regression model. We used universal Kriging method for prediction and found that the overall predictive capability of the spatial regression model based on shortest travel path is better than that of the model based on multiple regression by cross validation.

Design of a Mechanical Joint for Zero Moment Crane By Kriging (크리깅을 이용한 제로 모멘트 크레인에 적용되는 조인트의 설계)

  • Kim, Jae-Wook;Jangn, In-Gwun;Kwak, Byung-Man
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.597-604
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    • 2010
  • This study focuses on the design of a mechanical joint for a zero moment crane (ZMC), which is a specialized loading/unloading system used in a mobile harbor (MH). The mechanical joint is based on the concept of zero moment point (ZMP), and it plays an important role in stabilizing a ZMC. For effective stabilization, it is necessary to ensure that the mechanical joint is robust to a wide variety of loads; further, the joint must allow the structures connected to it to perform rotational motion with two degrees of freedom By adopting a traditional design process, we designed a new mechanical joint; in this design, a universal joint is coupled with a spherical joint, and then, deformable rolling elements are incorporated. The rolling elements facilitate load distribution and help in decreasing power loss during loading/unloading. Because of the complexity of the proposed system, Kriging-based approximate optimization method is used for enhancing the optimization efficiency. In order to validate the design of the proposed mechanical joint, a structural analysis is performed, and a small-scale prototype is built.

Providing the combined models for groundwater changes using common indicators in GIS (GIS 공통 지표를 활용한 지하수 변화 통합 모델 제공)

  • Samaneh, Hamta;Seo, You Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.245-255
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    • 2022
  • Evaluating the qualitative the qualitative process of water resources by using various indicators, as one of the most prevalent methods for optimal managing of water bodies, is necessary for having one regular plan for protection of water quality. In this study, zoning maps were developed on a yearly basis by collecting and reviewing the process, validating, and performing statistical tests on qualitative parameters҆ data of the Iranian aquifers from 1995 to 2020 using Geographic Information System (GIS), and based on Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW), Radial Basic Function (RBF), and Global Polynomial Interpolation (GPI) methods and Kriging and Co-Kriging techniques in three types including simple, ordinary, and universal. Then, minimum uncertainty and zoning error in addition to proximity for ASE and RMSE amount, was selected as the optimum model. Afterwards, the selected model was zoned by using Scholar and Wilcox. General evaluation of groundwater situation of Iran, revealed that 59.70 and 39.86% of the resources are classified into the class of unsuitable for agricultural and drinking purposes, respectively indicating the crisis of groundwater quality in Iran. Finally, for validating the extracted results, spatial changes in water quality were evaluated using the Groundwater Quality Index (GWQI), indicating high sensitivity of aquifers to small quantitative changes in water level in addition to severe shortage of groundwater reserves in Iran.

Sampling-Based Sensitivity Approach to Electromagnetic Designs Utilizing Surrogate Models Combined with a Local Window

  • Choi, Nak-Sun;Kim, Dong-Wook;Choi, K.K.;Kim, Dong-Hun
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.74-79
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a sampling-based optimization method for electromagnetic design problems, where design sensitivities are obtained from the elaborate surrogate models based on the universal Kriging method and a local window concept. After inserting additional sequential samples to satisfy the certain convergence criterion, the elaborate surrogate model for each true performance function is generated within a relatively small area, called a hyper-cubic local window, with the center of a nominal design. From Jacobian matrices of the local models, the accurate design sensitivity values at the design point of interest are extracted, and so they make it possible to use deterministic search algorithms for fast search of an optimum in design space. The proposed method is applied to a mathematical problem and a loudspeaker design with constraint functions and is compared with the sensitivity-based optimization adopting the finite difference method.

Application of Cokriging for the Estimation of Groundwater Level Distribution at the Nanjido Waste Landfill Area (난지도 매립지 일대의 지하수위 분포 추정을 위한 복합 크리깅의 응용)

  • 정상용;이강근
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Groundwater Environment
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 1995
  • Cokriging was applied for the estimation of the water levels of the basal leachate and the surrounding groundwater at the Nanjido waste landfill area. When the groundwater level is estimated at the high relief area, it makes a good result to use the data of groundwater level and elevation simultaneously because groundwater level is correlated with topography. This study determined the best semivariogram model of 87 groundwater levels and 144 elevations through cross validation test, and produced the contour maps of groundwater levels using ordinary kriging and universal kiging. Two contour maps don't make big difference at the waste site because this area has a large number of groundwater level data. However, they show big difference at the upper left part of the study area because this area has high relief and a small number of sample data. Their difference is also found at the south area near the Han river. When the topography is considered for the both areas, the contour map of cokriging is thought to be closer to the real groundwater distribution than that of kriging.

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Real-time data processing and visualization for road weather services (도로기상 서비스를 위한 실시간 자료처리 및 시각화)

  • Kim, DaeSung;Ahn, Sukhee;Lee, Chaeyeon;Yoon, Sanghoo
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2020
  • As industrial technology advances, convenience is also being developed. Many people living in big cities are commuting using transportation such as buses, taxis, cars, etc. and enjoy leisure, so research is needed to reduce the damages caused by traffic accidents. This study deals with estimating road-level rainfall in real-time. A rainfall observation data and radar data provided by the Korea meteorological administration were collected in real-time to create an integrated database, which was estimated as road-level rainfall by universal kriging method. Besides, we conducted a study to interactively visualization of mash-up road traffic information in real-time with integrating rainfall information.

Determination of the Optimal Spatial Interpolation Methods for Estimating Missing Precipitation Data in Not Covered Area by Climate Change Scenario (기후변화시나리오 데이터 누락지역의 강수자료 보완을 위한 최적 공간보간기법 선정)

  • Jang, Dong Woo;Park, Hyo Seon;Choi, Jin Tak
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.14-14
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    • 2015
  • 공간보간기법은 미계측지역의 강수예측을 위해 통상적으로 사용되는 방법 중의 하나이다. 이 연구에서는 기상청에서 제공하고 있는 RCP 8.5 시나리오에 의한 남한상세 강수자료 중 지형이 복잡한 도서지역에서 제공되지 않는 데이터 누락격자에 대하여 최적의 공간보간기법을 선정하여 강수자료를 생성할 수 있도록 하였다. 적합한 보간기법을 선정하기 위해 데이터 누락지역에 대한 분석을 수행하였고, 최신 행정구역도에 맞추어 $1km{\times}1km$ 격자를 한반도 전체지역에 맞추어 생성된 격자를 사용하였다. ESRI사의 ArcGIS 프로그램을 이용하여 공간보간기법을 적용하였다. 사용된 보간법은 역거리가중치법(IDW), 정규크리깅(Ordinary Kriging), 보편크리깅(Universal Kriging), 스플라인(Spline)이며 가장 적합한 공간보간기법을 선정하기 위해 기후변화시나리오에 의한 데이터 중 해안선 주변 특정격자에서의 값을 누락시켜 공간보간기법을 통해 생성된 값과 기후변화 시나리오에 의한 값을 정량적으로 비교하였다. 공간보간기법의 적합도 평가를 위해 MAE(Mean Absolute Error), MSE(Mean Squared Error), PBIAS(Percent of BIAS), G(goodness of prediction) 분석을 수행하였고, 산점도 분석을 통해 실제값과 보간값의 오차율 평가를 병행하여 최적 공간보간기법을 결정하였다. 사용된 강수데이터는 RCP 8.5 시나리오에서 2015~2019년 중 강수가 높게 나타난 8월 자료를 이용하였다. 해안선 지역의 강수량 추정시 역거리 가중치법과 크리깅방법은 일부 지점에서 과다 추정되는 경향이 있고, 스플라인 방법이 전체적인 총 강수량이 기후변화시나리오에 의한 실제값과 유사한 것으로 나타났다. 실제값과 보간값의 교차검증을 수행한 결과 정규크리깅 기법이 가장 높은 정확도를 보였으며, 전체적으로 실제값과 유사한 범위내의 강수량이 생성되는 것으로 나타났다.

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Precipitation Analysis Based on Spatial Linear Regression Model (공간적 상관구조를 포함하는 선형회귀모형을 이용한 강수량 자료 분석)

  • Jung, Ji-Young;Jin, Seo-Hoon;Park, Man-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.1093-1107
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    • 2008
  • In this study, we considered linear regression model with various spatial dependency structures in order to make more reliable prediction of precipitation in South Korea. The prediction approaches are based on semi-variogram models fitted by least-squares estimation method and restricted maximum likelihood estimation method. We validated some candidate models from the two different estimation methods in terms of cross-validation and comparison between predicted values and observed values measured at different locations.