• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unemployment Rate

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Unemployment Duration and Re-employment Pattern : An Analysis using Weibull Model and Logistic Regression Model (실업자의 재취업과 재취업 형태에 관한 연구 : Weibull Survival Model과 Logistic Regression을 이용한 분석)

  • Kang, Chul-Hee;Kim, Kyo-Seong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.39
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    • pp.5-40
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    • 1999
  • Little is known about unemployment duration and re-employment pattern. This paper empirically examines unemployment duration and re-employment pattern using data by the 1998 national survey about the unemployed and their needs. A parametric survival model(Weibull model) is adopted to identify variables predicting unemployment duration. It is found that the data including people without unemployment insurance as well as people with unemployment insurance fit the Weibull model including the hazard distribution that the hazard of reemployment is increasing at an decreasing rate. Variables that affect unemployment duration are age, householdership, family income, size of prior employment organization, and cause of unemployment. In re-employment pattern, statistically significant variables are age, type of prior employment industry, prior employment pattern, and membership in unemployment insurance. This paper provides a basic knowledge about realities of unemployed individuals in the economic crisis period of Korea, identifies research areas for further research, and develops policy implications for the unemployed.

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Unemployment Insurance Take-up Rates in Korea (한국의 구직급여 수급률 결정요인 분석)

  • Lee, Daechang
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.1-31
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    • 2016
  • This paper investigates the cyclical behavior of UI benefit take-up rate, the share of unemployed persons who are eligible for job seekers' allowances(JSA) and actually receive them. Using Korea's Employment Insurance DB, it also identifies the factors linked to the decision to take up job seekers' allowances. The results show that the take-up rate is countercyclical and leads both unemployment rate and Coincident Composite Index cyclical component by 6 months and is positively correlated with replacement rate and benefit duration, suggesting that extending benefit duration and raising benefit level can boost benefit claims to increase take-up rates in Korea.

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Do Phillips Curve Respond Asymmetrically to Unemployment? Evidence from Korea and the U.S.

  • Lee, Donghae;Lee, Sangki
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.19-29
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - This study empirically analyses the changes in unemployment rates to understand push factors of generating wage pressure and how it affects the aggregate demand in Korea and the United States. We use a structural macroeconomic model which is centered on the labor market and simultaneously explains the natural rate of unemployment and deviations. Research design, data and methodology - We attempt to empirically analyse the unemployment rates through two countries to analyse the economic effects of real wages and aggregate demand between 2000 and 2016. We introduce having estimated the whole model that the growth of unemployment into the part caused by each of these factors. Results - The results of this study show that in the long run, there is not only a natural level of employment but also a natural level of real demand are positively related. in the short run, demand can vary from bring about changes in employment by means of price or wage surprises. Conclusions - The pressure of demand in the labor market shows up strongly in both countries. The estimated labor-demand equation are consistent with this framework and generally have well defined real wage and demand effects.

The Effects of COVID-19 on Unemployment in Realising Sustainable Development Goals: Evidence from Malaysia

  • JASNI, Nur Syuhada;KAMARUDIN, Siti Nurhazwani;ABDULLAH, Azmira
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.201-208
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    • 2023
  • The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic poses disastrous effects on human lives and hinders global efforts to realize the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030. The study examined the effects of the pandemic on unemployment toward realizing the SDGs. The downsizing and collapse of businesses have forcibly left many unfortunate Malaysians jobless and without income. The situation may directly influence government efforts to achieve SDG 8 'Decent work and economic growth', which indirectly affects SDG 1 'No poverty', SDG 2 'Zero hunger', and SDG 3 'Good health and well-being'. Pre-and post-pandemic assessments on unemployment and retrenchment level by sector were performed by adopting observation and data comparison methods. Critical findings revealed that the unemployment rate has risen among males and females and the youth, as well as the number of retrenchments. The services sector, specifically the wholesale, retail, trade, and hotel industry showed the highest number of retrenchments. Some important unemployment issues were also covered in this study, including the demand for employment, the role of government and business, and the effect of the gig economy on the current employment landscape. The avenue for future studies can focus on additional societal effects that could prevent the country from attaining the SDGs by 2030.

An Analysis of the Factors of Youth Unemployment and Nonparticipation in Korea (청년층 미취업의 실태 및 원인 분석)

  • Kim, Ahnkook
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.23-52
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    • 2003
  • This study focus on unemployment and nonparticipation of youth. By dividing youth nonparticipants into 'house work and child care', 'studying and training', 'the others' categories, we estimate the potential wages with selectivity bias model and analyse the factors of choosing unemployment or nonparticipation with multinomial logit model. The differences between the potential market wage and the desired wage of the groups of 'studying and training', 'the others' in the nonparticipants are greater than those of the unemployment group. In the case of the man and lower age, and low schooling the differences of potential and desire wage are larger than woman and higher age, and high schooling. In the choice of unemployment and nonparticipation, man and higher age, and householder, and holder of qualification are not likely to opt nonparticipation. The experience of job lower the rate of probability to choose employment, but raise the rate of probability to choose unemployment and nonparticipation. These results mean that the quality of youth employment is very inferior.

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The Influence of Community Characteristics on Food Insecurity Korean Adults (지역사회의 특성이 우리나라 성인의 식품불안정에 미치는 영향)

  • Park, Jun;Kang, Gilwon;Tak, Yangju;Chang, Sounghoon;Lee, Kunsei;Kim, Hyeongsu
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.226-232
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    • 2016
  • Background: This study was conducted to analyze the influence of socioeconomic characteristics of community on the food insecurity under the control of personal socioeconomic factors which may be influence to the food security. Methods: Food insecurity and individual socioeconomic characteristics were obtained from 2012 community health survey. Socioeconomic characteristics of communities were extracted from the data of Statistics Korea and local governments. Personal socioeconomic factors were sex, age, educational status, job, and monthly family income. Socioeconomic characteristics of communities were administrative district (urban vs. rural), senior population rate, degree of financial self reliance, degree of financial independence, portion of welfare budget, number of welfare facilities, and unemployment rate. We analysed the relationships between the food insecurity and socioeconomic characteristics of community using multi-level analysis under the control of personal characteristics. Results: On personal level age, sex, education status, and monthly family income were related with food insecurity. On community level administrative district (urban vs. rural), degree of financial independence, unemployment rate, and proportion of welfare budget among local general government accounts were related to individual food insecurity. Rural area, district with low levels of financial independence, low portion of welfare budget, and greater unemployment rate showed a higher level of food insecurity. Conclusion: To reduce the level of food insecurity in a community it is necessary to decrease the unemployment rate, in addition to providing support from the central government by increasing the proportion of the welfare budget so that both factors contribute to raising the degree of financial independence.

The Relationship between the State of the Economy and High Heel Height - Based on Pump Style Shoes on Fashion Editorial Section of US Vogue - (경제와 여성 구두 굽 높이 변화의 관계 - 미국 Vogue 패션편집란에 실린 펌프스타일을 중심으로 -)

  • Ahn, Insook
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.65 no.7
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    • pp.86-100
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    • 2015
  • This study is to investigate the relationships between heel height and macro-economic factors - recession and unemployment; and to analyze the time lags reflecting economic factors on heel height index using U.S. data. The life-history evolution theory was applied to propose the relationships studied. The data for the heel height measurements of women's shoes - pump style only - were obtained from US Vogue fashion editorial sections on spring and fall editions from 1950 to 2014. I divided the heel height by the length of the shoes in order to standardize the data. Total of 1581 samples were used, and heel height data were aggregated to create a yearly average. To explore the relationships between macro-economic factors and heel height, this study used OLS of Stata 13 program. The main findings show that unemployment rates influenced heel height for three years in a positive direction. Furthermore, the effects of unemployment rate from two years ago on the current heel height were very close to being on a significant level.

On Estimating the Odds Ratio between Male and Female Unemployment Rate in Small Area

  • Park, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.1029-1039
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    • 2006
  • There are different kinds of methods to estimate the odds ratio for unemployment statistics in small areas, namely, the composite estimator, the Woolf estimator and the Mantel-Haenszel estimator. We can compare the reliability of these estimators according to the bias and MSE. The estimation procedures considered by this study have been applied to estimate the bias and MSE of the odds ratio between the male and female unemployment rate in some small areas. The Woolf estimator or the Mantel-Haenszel estimator is more stable than the composite estimator, but all these three estimators are similar to each other from the aspect of efficiency.

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Application of Google Search Queries for Predicting the Unemployment Rate for Koreans in Their 30s and 40s (한국 30~40대 실업률 예측을 위한 구글 검색 정보의 활용)

  • Jung, Jae Un;Hwang, Jinho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.17 no.9
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    • pp.135-145
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    • 2019
  • Prolonged recession has caused the youth unemployment rate in Korea to remain at a high level of approximately 10% for years. Recently, the number of unemployed Koreans in their 30s and 40s has shown an upward trend. To expand the government's employment promotion and unemployment benefits from youth-centered policies to diverse age groups, including people in their 30s and 40s, prediction models for different age groups are required. Thus, we aimed to develop unemployment prediction models for specific age groups (30s and 40s) using available unemployment rates provided by Statistics Korea and Google search queries related to them. We first estimated multiple linear regressions (Model 1) using seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average approach with relevant unemployment rates. Then, we introduced Google search queries to obtain improved models (Model 2). For both groups, consequently, Model 2 additionally using web queries outperformed Model 1 during training and predictive periods. This result indicates that a web search query is still significant to improve the unemployment predictive models for Koreans. For practical application, this study needs to be furthered but will contribute to obtaining age-wise unemployment predictions.

OPTIMAL UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE BENEFIT STRUCTURE

  • Yun, Jungyoll
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.39-59
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    • 2000
  • Given the constraint that the unemployment benefit is not allowed to vary freely over the unemployment duration, this paper examines the optimal UI benefit structure. In particular, identifying the conflicting effects of benefit amount and benefit duration upon incentive and insurance, this paper characterizes the optimal combination of UI benefit amount and duration. Based upon some important factors determining the optimal UI benefit structure that are derived from the model, a set of directions for UI reform in Korea have been proposed.

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