• Title/Summary/Keyword: Unemployment Rate

Search Result 273, Processing Time 0.027 seconds

BAYESIAN INFERENCE FOR MTAR MODEL WITH INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Park, Soo-Jung;Oh, Man-Suk;Shin, Dong-Wan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2003.05a
    • /
    • pp.183-189
    • /
    • 2003
  • A momentum threshold autoregressive (MTAR) model, a nonlinear autoregressive model, is analyzed in a Bayesian framework. Parameter estimation in the presence of missing data is done by using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. We also propose simple Bayesian test procedures for asymmetry and unit roots. The proposed method is applied to a set of Korea unemployment rate data and reveals evidence for asymmetry and a unit root.

  • PDF

Analysis on the Change and Its Cause of Income Distribution before and after the Financial Crisis: Income Mobility Perspective

  • Yoo, Gyeongjoon
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.141-190
    • /
    • 2004
  • Income inequality in Korea has increased after the economic crisis, and the main reason for the widening of income distribution is due to the increase of the unemployed when analyzed using the Urban Household Report(UHR). However, income inequality has not decreased although the rate of unemployment decreased after 2000. Further data bases for income-related statistics are necessary to examine the exact causes of changing income inequality as a whole since the UHR covers only statistics on urban employees' wage and salary in Korea.

  • PDF

외환위기 전후 소득분배의 변화추이 및 원인분석: 소득이동을 중심으로

  • Yu, Gyeong-Jun
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • v.24 no.2
    • /
    • pp.3-51
    • /
    • 2002
  • Income inequality in Korea has increased after the economic crisis, and the main reason for the widening of income distribution is due to the increase of the unemployed when analyzed using the Family Icome and Expenditure Survey(FIES). However, income inequality has not decreased although the rate of unemployment decreased after 2000. Further data bases for income-related statistics are necessary to examine the exact causes of changing income inequality as a whole since the FIES covers only statistics on urban employees' wage and salary in Korea.

  • PDF

Youth Unemployment and Labor Policy in Contemporary Japan (일본 노동시장의 변화와 정책대응)

  • Hiroo, Kamiya
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.396-409
    • /
    • 2006
  • In this paper, first I try to sketch the changing Japanese labor market after 1990s, and then examine the so-called "Job $Caf{\acute{e}}$ program" in detail, which was initiated in 2004 by central and local governments to help young people fine suitable jobs, and finally investigate the possible direction for future labor policy as an important tool for revitalize the local economy. Latter half of 1990s witnessed the high unemployment rate among the population aged twenties in Japan, and the number of 'shinsotsu-mugyo', i.e. population not at work after completing high school or university, NEET (not in employment, education or training) and 'freeters' have grown rapidly. "Job $Caf{\acute{e}}$ program" was initiated as a public response to the increased youth unemployment, aiming at assisting young people's transition from education to career. In the Job $Caf{\acute{e}}$ program, job information service by MHLW, information service for high school students and university students by MEXT, placement service of career internship by METI are integrated into one service, and are provided by local government initiative, therefore named as "one stop service of employment". Although it is highly appreciated for one stop service, the Job cafe program has criticized for paying too much attention to the performance of projects, such as the number of users, and the number of successful job matching. At the final section of the paper, more practical spatial unit for executing effective regional plan on local employment and more empirical research on job search behavior are discussed.

  • PDF

Exchange Rate Pass-through, Nominal Wage Rigidities, and Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy

  • Rhee, Hyuk-Jae;Song, Jeongseok
    • East Asian Economic Review
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.337-370
    • /
    • 2018
  • This paper discusses the design of monetary policy in a New Keynesian small open economy framework by introducing nominal wage rigidities and incomplete exchange rate pass-through on import prices. Three main findings are summarized. First, with the existence of an incomplete exchange rate pass-through and nominal wage rigidities, the optimal policy is to seek to minimize the output gap, the variance of domestic price and wage inflation, as well as deviations from the law of one price. Second, the CPI inflation targeting Taylor rule is welfare enhancing when there is a technological shock to the economy. The exception occurs when there is a foreign income shock, which minimizes welfare losses under the domestic inflation targeting Taylor rule. Last, two stylized Taylor rules turn out to be a bad approximation, but the modified Taylor rules that respond to the unemployment gap rather than the output gap are a closer approximation to the optimal policy.

한국의 집권정당별 거시경제정책 실증분석 - 그랜져 인과성 검정 및 충격반응분석 중심으로 -

  • Kim, Jong-Kwon
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
    • /
    • 2007.11a
    • /
    • pp.503-516
    • /
    • 2007
  • USA has distinct differences of economic policy by a ruling party. And, USA economy has mainly influenced on it of Korea. So, we examine whether a ruling party of Korea has different regime including rate of return in stock market. The Republican Party and Democratic Party have based on Milton Friedman and Keynes economy at each other's economic policy in the USA The Republican Party and Democratic Party have different interest level and excess return on equity, GDP growth rate, unemployment rate. Also, a ruling party of Korea has different regime and economic activity in this paper.

  • PDF

Aging Influence on Labor Productivity (고령화가 노동 생산성에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee Keun-Boo;Oh Se-Ho;Yang Hee-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
    • /
    • v.8 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-90
    • /
    • 2006
  • As aging society makes rapid progress, various social problems arise. The drop of productive labor and the increase of welfare cost can be taken as examples. From this point of view, a use of aged labor is a matter of great Important to national productivity improvement. But, the participation rate of the aged in economical activity amounts to 49.8 percent and their unemployment rate does 2.1 percent. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the deterioration of skill and the lowering of adaption to new working environments due to aging. Since the aging effect is closely related to worker's productivity, it should be properly measured and analyzed. The coordination tester is used to find out activity limitations. Experimental results show that the expert skill of the workers can be improved through the effective of their experience. Therefore we can say that some operation is not influenced by aging.

An Analysis for the Structural Variation in the Unemployment Rate and the Test for the Turning Point (실업률 변동구조의 분석과 전환점 진단)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.18 no.2
    • /
    • pp.253-269
    • /
    • 2005
  • One of the basic assumptions of the regression models is that the parameter vector does not vary across sample observations. If the parameter vector is not constant for all observations in the sample, the statistical model is changed and the usual least squares estimators do not yield unbiased, consistent and efficient estimates. This study investigates the regression model with some or all parameters vary across partitions of the whole sample data when the model permits different response coefficients during unusual time periods. Since the usual test for overall homogeneity of regressions across partitions of the sample data does not explicitly identify the break points between the partitions, the testing the equality between subsets of coefficients in two or more linear regressions is generalized and combined with the test procedure to search the break point. The method is applied to find the possibility and the turning point of the structural change in the long-run unemployment rate in the usual static framework by using the regression model. The relationships between the variables included in the model are reexamined in the dynamic framework by using Vector Autoregression.

The Relationship between Socioeconomical Status and Incidence of Facial Bone Fracture (최근 10년간 안면골 골절의 발생 양상과 사회경제학적 상황간의 연관성 분석)

  • Yang, Eun-Zin;Kim, Chang-Yeon
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
    • /
    • v.38 no.3
    • /
    • pp.263-272
    • /
    • 2011
  • Purpose: The human face is the most exposed part of the body, and in patients with simple or complex trauma from traffic accidents, industrial calamities, sports injuries, human assaults, and daily accidents, facial trauma occupies an important portion. The etiology of facial trauma vary on a society's economic, cultural, and environmental status. Methods: Regarding patients who were admitted from between the years 2000 to 2009 at the Hanyang University hospital, the authors studied how the changes in the economic status in the past 10 years of our country influences the incidence of facial bone fractures. Results: In this study, 1) The unemployment rate showed a strong negative relationship with the total number of inpatients with facial bone fractures, the number of male patients, the number of female patients, the number of patients with facial bone fractures caused by fall down, the number of patients who were admitted for shorter than 7 days, and the number of the facial bone fracture patients with their age in the twenties. 2) The consumer price index showed a strong positive relationship with the number of female patients, the number of patients who were admitted for shorter than 7 days, and the number of the facial bone fracture patients with their age in the teens and fifties. Conclusion: Looking at the results of correlation analysis and multiple regression analysis with economic indicators, the unemployment rate showed negative influence to the total number of inpatients with facial bone fractures, and the number of inpatients with facial bone fractures caused by fall down, with statistical significance.

The Impact of Foreign Remittances and Financial Development on Poverty and Income Inequality in Pakistan: Evidence from ARDL - Bounds Testing Approach

  • Kousar, Rizwana;Rais, Syed Imran;Mansoor, Abdul;Zaman, Khalid;Shah, Syed Tahir Hussain;Ejaz, Shakira
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.71-81
    • /
    • 2019
  • The objective of the study is to examine the impact of financial development and foreign remittances on poverty and income inequality in the context of Pakistan. The study used ARDL-Bounds testing approach for robust inferences. The results show that in the short-run, remittances increases poverty and income inequality, which further translated into its long-run impact. The result confirmed the inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita income and income inequality, while the second order coefficient of per capita income substantially decline poverty incidence in a country. In the long-run, the results disappeared and it's turned into U-shaped relationship between income inequality and country's per capita income. Education largely decreases income inequality both in the short and long-run, however, it increases poverty in the long-run. Unemployment rate substantially damaged the pro-poor growth scenario, as high unemployment rate increases both the poverty rates and income inequality, which suffered poor more than non-poor in a country. Financial development has a positive impact on poverty reduction and income inequality in the short-run. The impact of income inequality on poverty incidence is positive both in the short- and long-run, which need pro-poor growth policies and rationale income distribution in a country.