• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty evaluation

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DCT and DWT based Damaged Weather Radar Image Retrieval (DCT 및 DWT 기반의 손상된 기상레이더 영상 복원 기법)

  • Jang, Bong-Joo;Lim, Sanghun;Kim, Won;Noh, Huiseong
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.153-162
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    • 2017
  • Today, weather radar is used as a key tool for modern high-tech weather observations and forecasts, along with a wide variety of ground gauges and weather satellites. In this paper, we propose a frequency transform based weather radar image processing technique to improve the weather radar image damaged by beam blocking and clutter removal in order to minimize the uncertainty of the weather radar observation. In the proposed method, DCT based mean energy correction is performed to improve damage caused by beam shielding, and DWT based morphological image processing and high frequency cancellation are performed to improve damage caused by clutter removal. Experimental results show that the application of the proposed method to the damaged original weather radar image improves the quality of weather radar image adaptively to the weather echo feature around the damaged area. In addition, radar QPE calculated from the improved weather radar image was also qualitatively confirmed to be improved by the damage. In the future, we will develop quantitative evaluation scales through continuous research and develop an improved algorithm of the proposed method through numerical comparison.

Development of an Automatic Steering-Control Algorithm based on the MPC with a Disturbance Observer for All-Terrain Cranes (외란 관측기를 이용한 모델 예견 기반의 전지형 크레인 자동조향 제어알고리즘 개발)

  • Oh, Kwangseok;Seo, Jaho
    • Journal of Drive and Control
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2017
  • The steering systems of all-terrain cranes have been developed with various control strategies for the stability and drivability. To optimally control the input steering angle, an accurate mathematical model that represents the actual crane dynamics is required. The derivation of an accurate mathematical model to optimally control the steering angle, however, is difficult since the steering-control strategy generally varies with the magnitude of the crane's longitudinal velocity, and the postures of the crane's working parts vary while it is being driven. To address this problem, this paper proposes an automatic steering-control algorithm that is based on the MPC (model predictive control) with a disturbance observer for all-terrain cranes. The designed disturbance observer of this study was used to estimate the error between the base steering model and the actual crane. A model predictive controller was used for the computation of the optimal steering angle, along with the use of the base steering model with an estimated uncertainty. Performance evaluations of the designed control algorithms were conducted based on a curved-path scenario in the Matlab/Simulink environment. The performance-evaluation results show a sound reference-path-tracking performance despite the large uncertainties.

Application of Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics Technique Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 확률론적 파괴역학 수법의 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, Joon-Seong;Kwak, Sang-Log;Kim, Young-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.18 no.10
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    • pp.154-160
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    • 2001
  • For major structural components periodic inspections and integrity assessments are needed for the safety. However, many flaws are undetectable because sampling inspection is carried out during in-service inspection. Probabilistic integrity assessment is applied to take into consideration of uncertainty and variance of input parameters arise due to material properties and undetectable cracks. This paper describes a Probabilistic Fracture Mechanics(PFM) analysis based on the Monte Carlo(MC) algorithms. Taking a number of sampling data of probabilistic variables such as fracture toughness value, crack depth and aspect ratio of an initial surface crack, a MC simulation of failure judgement of samples is performed. for the verification of this analysis, a comparison study of the PFM analysis using a commercial code, mathematical method is carried out and a good agreement was observed between those results.

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Evaluation of the Dam Release Effect on Water Quality using Time Series Models (시계열 모형의 적용을 통한 댐 방류의 수질개선 효과 검토)

  • Kim, Sangdan;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.685-691
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    • 2004
  • Water quality forecasting with long term flow is important for management and operation of river environment. However, it is difficult to set up and operate a physical model for water quality forecasting due to large uncertainty in the data required for model setting. Therefore, relatively simpler stochastic approaches are adopted for this problem. In this study we try several multivariate time series models such as ARMAX models for the possible substitute for water quality forecasting. Those models are applied to the BOD and COD levels at Noryangin station, Han river, and also evaluated the effect of release from Paldang dam on them. Monthly BOD and COD data from 1985 to 1991 (7 years) are used for model building and another two year data for model testing. As a result of the study, the effect of improvement on water quality is much more effective combining with the water quality improvement of dam release than considering only increment of dam release in the downstream Han river.

Local and Global Information Exchange for Enhancing Object Detection and Tracking

  • Lee, Jin-Seok;Cho, Shung-Han;Oh, Seong-Jun;Hong, Sang-Jin
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.1400-1420
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    • 2012
  • Object detection and tracking using visual sensors is a critical component of surveillance systems, which presents many challenges. This paper addresses the enhancement of object detection and tracking via the combination of multiple visual sensors. The enhancement method we introduce compensates for missed object detection based on the partial detection of objects by multiple visual sensors. When one detects an object or more visual sensors, the detected object's local positions transformed into a global object position. Local and global information exchange allows a missed local object's position to recover. However, the exchange of the information may degrade the detection and tracking performance by incorrectly recovering the local object position, which propagated by false object detection. Furthermore, local object positions corresponding to an identical object can transformed into nonequivalent global object positions because of detection uncertainty such as shadows or other artifacts. We improved the performance by preventing the propagation of false object detection. In addition, we present an evaluation method for the final global object position. The proposed method analyzed and evaluated using case studies.

Investigation of thermal deformation of wing skin induced by temperature gradient (온도 구배에 의한 날개 외피의 열변형 특성 연구)

  • Kim, Jeong-Beom;Kim, Hong-Il;Kim, Jae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.43 no.10
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    • pp.896-901
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    • 2015
  • The skin-frame type structure is designed to investigate the thermal deformation of the wing skin induced by the temperature gradient. In order to effectively simulate the temperature gradient on the wing specimen, a water cooling system is devised on the frame of the specimen. Out of surface skin deformation of the skin-frame type structure made of SUS304 material with respect to the temperature is successfully measured using the digital image correlation (DIC) technique including quantitative evaluation of the measurement uncertainty.

Experimental method and evaluation of the calibration capability for the national calibration centers using the platinum resistance temperature sensors (백금저항온도센서를 이용한 국가교정기관의 교정능력 평가 및 실험방법)

  • Gam, Kee-Sool;Yoo, Sung-Ho;Kim, Sung-Min;Lee, In-Sick
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.231-236
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    • 2005
  • Calibration capability was evaluated using the reference-grade platinum resistance thermometer (PRT) in the temperature range of $-50^{\circ}C$ to $250^{\circ}C$ for the national calibration centers. The reference-grade PRT was calibrated at the several fixed points, which was composed by the freezing points of Sn, In, the melting point of Ga and the triple point of water and Hg, before and after the round-robin test (RRT) experiments. The temperature scale of reference-grade PRT was compared to the local standard PRT's using the system of the national calibration centers. $E_{n}$ values was calculated by the temperature difference between the reference-grade PRT and the local standard PRT, and the best measurement capability. Finally, the capability of the national calibration centers was evaluated by the $E_{n}$ values.

A Study on the Safety Prediction of Embankment Using Simple Parameter Estimation Method (물성치 추정을 통한 성토안정성 예측)

  • Park, Jong-Sung;Hong, Chang-Soo;Hwang, Dae-Jin;Seok, Jeong-Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2009.03a
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    • pp.888-895
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    • 2009
  • Compaction is a process of increasing soil density using physical energy. It is intended to improve the strength and stiffness of soil. In embankment, degree of compaction affects the construction time, money, also method of soil improvement. In large scale embankment project, difficulties of embankment should change due to uncertainty of settlement. So it is very important to predict the final settlement and factor of safety induced by embankment. In many construction site, there are primarily design of high embankment using in-situ soil. Therefore numerical analyses are necessary for valid evaluation of the settlement prediction. But due to the construction cost and schedule, there were lacking in properties of soil and also limited number of in-situ test were performed. So we proposed the method that can easily estimate the proper soil parameters and suggest the proper method of numerical analysis. From this, two-dimensional finite-difference numerical analysis was conducted to investigate the settlement and factor of safety induced by embankment with various case of compaction rate and embankment height.

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Slope Stability Evaluation System of Sanitary Landfill on Soft Ground and Its Reliability (연약지반상 위생매립지 안정성 평가에 대한 문제점 분석과 개선방향)

  • 우동찬;송좌빈
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 1997.03a
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    • pp.161-168
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the possibility of normalization of the distibutions of soil parameters taken from soft ground and the reliability of the safety factors of specific objects on it, including sanitary landfill. Through this study it is found that distributions of soil parameters could be adjusted to appropriate normal distributions as possibility density functions(PDF), and that especially the group of initial cohesions and the coresponding safety factors has a perfect linear correlation. According to those results the PDF to initial cohesion as possibility parameter can not only be tmsformed to the PDF to safety factor but also, conseqently, the reliability of the safety factor(SF) simply based on the mean value of soil parameter(Co) can be calculated or easily picked up from the standrad normal distribution table. It is therefore concluded that even though calculated values of safety factors are over any standard requirements some possibility of risk both to the objects and natural soft ground could be still existing, and also a new standard value for this slope stability control system should be derived just by adjusting old one according to the magnitude of risk possibility.

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Statistical analysis of parameter estimation of a probabilistic crack initiation model for Alloy 182 weld considering right-censored data and the covariate effect

  • Park, Jae Phil;Park, Chanseok;Oh, Young-Jin;Kim, Ji Hyun;Bahn, Chi Bum
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2018
  • To ensure the structural integrity of nuclear power plants, it is essential to predict the lifetime of Alloy 182 weld, which is used for welding in nuclear reactors. The lifetime of Alloy 182 weld is directly related to the crack initiation time. Owing to the large time scatter in most crack initiation tests, a probabilistic model, such as the Weibull distribution, has mainly been adopted for prediction. However, since statistically more advanced methods than current typical methods may be applied, we suggest a statistical procedure for parameter estimation of the crack initiation time of Alloy 182 weld, considering right-censored data and the covariate effect. Furthermore, we suggest a procedure for uncertainty evaluation of the estimators based on the bootstrap method. The suggested statistical procedure can be applied not only to Alloy 182 weld but also to any material degradation data set including right-censored data with covariate effect.