• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 1995.10a
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• pp.360-363
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• 1995

In this paper, we describe the composition of frequency response bands based on experimental data of plants (controlled systems) with uncertainty and nonlinearity, and the robust stability evaluation of feedback control systems. Analysis and design of control systems using the upper and lower bounds of such experimental data would be effective as a practicable method which is not heavily dependent upon mathematical models such as the transfer function. First, we present a method to composite gain characteristic bands of frequency response of cascade connected plants with uncertainty and a recurrent inequality for the composition. Next, evaluation methods of the robust stability of multi-loop control systems obtained through feedback from the output terminals and multi-loop control systems obtained through feedback into the input terminals are described. In actual control systems, experimental data of frequency responses often depends on the amplitude of input. Therefore, we present the evaluation method of the nominal value and the width of the frequency response band in such a case, and finally give numerical examples based on virtual experimental data.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.3-17
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• 1993

The fuzzy pattern matching technique has been developed in the framework of fuzzy set and possibility theory in order to take into account the imprecision and the uncertainty pervading values which have to be compared to requirements (which may be fuzzy) in a pattern matching process. This paper restates the basic principles and extends them to situations where (sub)patterns are only required to be satisfied up to a given tolerance (which may be fuzzy), or where the different subparts of a compound pattern may have various levels of importance. Both cases correspond to a weakening of elementary patterns. which can be expressed by a fuzzy relations modelling an approximate equality or an uncertain strict equality respectively. We also study the more sophisticated case where some elementary patterns have not to be satisfied with the highest priority provided that weaker requirements remain satisfied. The fuzzy pattern matching technique applies in a variety of problems including the evaluation of soft queries with respect to a fuzzy database, the evaluation of the fuzzy condition parts of rules in approximate reasoning, or the evaluation of the belonging of an ill-known object to a flexible class in classification problems.

• Plant Journal
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• v.8 no.3
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• pp.42-48
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• 2012

Under traditional analysis of the capital budgeting, NPV, it is assumed that management cannot react to deviation from the expected scenario of cash flow at the time of evaluation. In practice, however, it is less likely that the expected scenario will come true when new information arrives and uncertainty is resolved. Uncertainty and risk can be influenced through 'managerial flexibility', which becomes a central instrument for value creation. Real option framework including option to defer, option for staged investment, option to alter, option to abandon, option to switch, etc. takes this managerial flexibility into account. Therefore, it is more appropriate to use real option method to evaluate the project than the traditional DCF(discounted cash flow) tool if the firm has high volatility of the expected returns.

• Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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• v.17 no.1
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• pp.47-58
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• 2019

The paper presents the results of a multi-criteria comparative evaluation of 12 feasible Russian nuclear energy deployment scenarios with thermal and fast reactors in a closed nuclear fuel cycle. The comparative evaluation was performed based on 6 performance indicators and 5 different MCDA methods (Simple Scoring Model, MAVT / MAUT, AHP, TOPSIS, PROMETHEE) in accordance with the recommendations elaborated by the IAEA/INPRO section. It is shown that the use of different MCDA methods to compare the nuclear energy deployment scenarios, despite some differences in the rankings, leads to well-coordinated and similar results. Taking into account the uncertainties in the weights within a multi-attribute model, it was possible to rank the scenarios in the absence of information regarding the relative importance of performance indicators and determine the preference probability for a certain nuclear energy deployment scenario. Based on the results of the uncertainty/sensitivity analysis and additional analysis of alternatives as well as the whole set of graphical and attribute data, it was possible to identify the most promising nuclear energy deployment scenario under the assumptions made.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2011.02a
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• pp.132-141
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• 2011

Australia has joined many governments to adopt public-private partnership (PPP) as a major strategy for procuring infrastructure for decades. However, failures have occurred although the market has been considered to be a mature and sophisticated one. Failures have typically been traced back to inappropriate economic evaluation and a lack of value-for-money. In particular, a literature review has identified that there was no holistic consideration on the evaluation of procurement transactions of PPP projects. The transaction costs of PPPs were not handled properly. In this paper, theories of transaction cost economics are proposed for the purpose of such a holistic institutional economic evaluation. These theories are analysed in order to identify potential critical success factors for a strategic infrastructure procurement framework. The potential critical success factors are identified and grouped into a number of categories that match the theories of transaction cost economics. These categories include (1) Asset Specificity, (2) Organizational Capability, (3) Transaction Frequency, (4) Behavioural Uncertainty, and (5) Environmental Uncertainty. These potential critical success factors may be subject to an empirical test in the future. The proposed framework will offer decision makers with an insight into project life cycle economic outcomes needed to successfully deliver PPPs.

• Journal of Nuclear Fuel Cycle and Waste Technology(JNFCWT)
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.369-380
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• 2017

In order to manage the uncertainty about the evaluation and analysis of the human intrusion scenario of the Gyeongju Low and Intermediate Level Radioactive Waste(LILW) disposal facility, the calculation result by the GENII code was assessed using the RESRAD code, which was developed to evaluate the radiation effects of contaminated soil. The post-drilling scenario was selected as a human intrusion scenario into the near-surface disposal facility to analyze the uncertainty of the modeling by identifying any limitations in the simulation of each code and comparing the evaluation results under the same input data conditions. The results revealed a difference in the migration of some nuclides between the codes, but confirmed that the dose trends at the end of the post-closure control period were similar for all exposure pathways. Based on the results of the dose evaluation predicted by RESRAD, sensitivity analysis on the input factors was performed and major input factors were derived. The uncertainty of the modeling results and the input factors were analyzed and the reliability of the safety evaluation results was confirmed. The results of this study can be applied to the implementation 'Safety Case Program' for the Gyeongju LILW disposal facility.

• Analytical Science and Technology
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.490-497
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• 2006

The sources of uncertainty in the analysis of liquified natural gas (LNG) process are evaluated. The uncertainty sources evaluated are the repeatability of measurement, non-linearity of GC, the uncertainty of standard gas used for calibration, difference of gas sampling and deviation after GC calibration and major revealed sources are the non-linearity of GC, the uncertainty of standard gas and the deviation after GC calibration. The determined values and uncertainties of methane and ethane as the major components are $90.0%mol/mol{\pm}1.9%$ (relative and 95% level of confidence) and $6.26%mol/mol{\pm}0.08$ (relative and 95% level of confidence), respectively. The contribution of uncertainty varies depending on the source of uncertainty and gas component. In the case of methane, non-linearity of GC, the uncertainty of standard gas and deviation after GC calibration contribute 0.28%, 0.25% and 0.24% of relative expanded uncertainty, respectively.

• The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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• v.17 no.10
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• pp.231-240
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• 2017

Although the value of technology is evaluated by various methods, the result of technology valuation is different from evaluator and evaluation methods. Also the uncertainty on the result occurs with respect to the evaluation factors and evaluation model which should be considered. In the case of lack of data or comparison target, the credibility of the technology valuation result could be unsure. To decrease uncertainty of the technology valuation, Fuzzy concept and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation method are applied instead of using existing methods which evaluate technology value(level) by the number. In the research, we firstly devide evaluation criteria into technology value factor and business value factor and evaluate the technology level for micro pressure wave reduction technology which has been developed in Korea. Technology value factor is marked as high level with 46%, and business value factor is very high with 44%, and the overall level of technology is evaluated between very high and high. It helps to compare to other technology in the rivalry by the factors as it can evaluate the value of technology by factors. The technology valuation method which is applied in this research is expected to use on analyzing technology level of new technology or alternative technology in many different field.

• Analytical Science and Technology
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• v.18 no.6
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• pp.552-558
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• 2005

A type of dimethyl sulfide gas CRM in the ppb level was developed for the analysis of trace-level odorous gas in environmental atmosphere. The concentration of dimethyl sulfide ($(CH_3)_2S$) was 10 umol/mol level in the cylinder filled with nitrogen, 1500 psi. And the variability of the concentration for 3 years was about 0.1% due to the adsorption or instability of $(CH_3)_2S$. The gas standards produced simultaneously in 4 bottles and examined by GC-FID were shown with 0.4%, reproducibility of preparation and 0.25%, standard uncertainty due to weighing and purity. The relative expended uncertainty of 1.1% (95% of confidence level, k=2) was assigned to the certified value of 10 umol/mol level of $(CH_3)_2S$ after quantitative evaluation on the purity, mixing, weighing, analysis, adsorption and stability of dimethyl sulfide gas.

• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.341-347
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• 2011

This paper presents the performance evaluation. optimal design. and complex obstacle detection of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring by introducing a new concept of effective beam width. It is assumed that a set of ultrasonic sensors of the same type are arranged along a circle of nonzero radius at regular spacings with their beams overlapped. First, the global positional uncertainty of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring is expressed by the average value of local positional uncertainty over the entire obstacle detection range. The effective beam width of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring is assessed as the beam width of a single ultrasonic sensor having the same amount of global positional uncertainty, from which a normalized obstacle detection performance index is defined. Second. using the defined index, the design parameters of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring are optimized for minimal positional uncertainty in obstacle detection. For a given number of ultrasonic sensors, the optimal radius of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring is determined, and for a given radius of an overlapped ultrasonic sensor ring, the optimal number of ultrasonic sensors is determined. Third, the decision rules of positional uncertainty zone for multiple obstacle detection are provided based on the inequality relationships among obstacle distances by three adjacent ultrasonic sensors. Using the provided rules, the obstacle outline detection is performed in a rather complex environment consisting of several obstacles of different shapes.