• 제목/요약/키워드: Uncertainty estimation

검색결과 748건 처리시간 0.027초

H infinity control design for Eight-Rotor MAV attitude system based on identification by interval type II fuzzy neural network

  • CHEN, Xiangjian;SHU, Kun;LI, Di
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2016
  • In order to overcome the influence of system stability and accuracy caused by uncertainty, estimation errors and external disturbances in Eight-Rotor MAV, L2 gain control method was proposed based on interval type II fuzzy neural network identification here. In this control strategy, interval type II fuzzy neural network is used to estimate the uncertainty and non-linearity factor of the dynamic system, the adaptive variable structure controller is applied to compensate the estimation errors of interval type II fuzzy neural network, and at last, L2 gain control method is employed to suppress the effect produced by external disturbance on system, which is expected to possess robustness for the uncertainty and non-linearity. Finally, the validity of the L2 gain control method based on interval type II fuzzy neural network identifier applied to the Eight-Rotor MAV attitude system has been verified by three prototy experiments.

시간 지연이 있는 선형 시스템에 대한 반복 학습 제어기의 설계 (Design of an iterative learning controller for a class of linear dynamic systems with time-delay)

  • 박광현;변증남;황동환
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.295-300
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we point out the possibility of the divergence of control input caused by the estimation error of delay-time when general iterative learning algorithms are applied to a class of linear dynamic systems with time-delay in which delay-time is not exactly measurable, and then propose a new type of iterative learning algorithm in order to solve this problem. To resolve the uncertainty of delay-time, we propose an algorithm using holding mechanism which has been used in digital control system and/or discrete-time control system. The control input is held as constant value during the time interval of which size is that of the delay-time uncertainty. The output of the system tracks a given desired trajectory at discrete points which are spaced auording to the size of uncertainty of delay-time with the robust property for estimation error of delay-time. Several numerical examples are given to illustrate the effeciency of the proposed algorithm.

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Development of an uncertainty quantification approach with reduced computational cost for seismic fragility assessment of cable-stayed bridges

  • Akhoondzade-Noghabi, Vahid;Bargi, Khosrow
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.385-401
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    • 2022
  • Uncertainty quantification is the most important challenge in seismic fragility assessment of structures. The precision increment of the quantification method leads to reliable results but at the same time increases the computational costs and the latter will be so undesirable in cases such as reliability-based design optimization which includes numerous probabilistic seismic analyses. Accordingly, the authors' effort has been put on the development and validation of an approach that has reduced computational cost in seismic fragility assessment. In this regard, it is necessary to apply the appropriate methods for consideration of two categories of uncertainties consisting of uncertainties related to the ground motions and structural characteristics, separately. Also, cable-stayed bridges have been specifically selected because as a result of their complexity and the according time-consuming seismic analyses, reducing the computations corresponding to their fragility analyses is worthy of studying. To achieve this, the fragility assessment of three case studies is performed based on existing and proposed approaches, and a comparative study on the efficiency in the estimation of seismic responses. For this purpose, statistical validation is conducted on the seismic demand and fragility resulting from the mentioned approaches, and through a comprehensive interpretation, sufficient arguments for the acceptable errors of the proposed approach are presented. Finally, this study concludes that the combination of the Capacity Spectrum Method (CSM) and Uniform Design Sampling (UDS) in advanced proposed forms can provide adequate accuracy in seismic fragility estimation at a significantly reduced computational cost.

A Fuzzy Logic Based Software Development Cost Estimation Model with improved Accuracy

  • Shrabani Mallick;Dharmender Singh Kushwaha
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2024
  • Software cost and schedule estimation is usually based on the estimated size of the software. Advanced estimation techniques also make use of the diverse factors viz, nature of the project, staff skills available, time constraints, performance constraints, technology required and so on. Usually, estimation is based on an estimation model prepared with the help of experienced project managers. Estimation of software cost is predominantly a crucial activity as it incurs huge economic and strategic investment. However accurate estimation still remains a challenge as the algorithmic models used for Software Project planning and Estimation doesn't address the true dynamic nature of Software Development. This paper presents an efficient approach using the contemporary Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) augmented with the desirable feature of fuzzy logic to address the uncertainty and flexibility associated with the cost drivers (Effort Multiplier Factor). The approach has been validated and interpreted by project experts and shows convincing results as compared to simple algorithmic models.

전력증폭기 부정합 조건에서의 출력 전력 불확도 산출에 관한 연구 (Study for the Uncertainty Estimation of Output Power under the Mismatch Condition of Power Amplifiers)

  • 이가람;박영철
    • 한국전자파학회논문지
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    • 제25권8호
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    • pp.802-807
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    • 2014
  • 본 논문은 전력 증폭기의 출력 전력 측정에 있어 드레인에서의 부정합 정도를 고려한 정교한 측정 불확도 산출 방안을 제시하였다. 기존의 측정 불확도 산출 방법은 최적 성능을 위해 의도적인 부정합을 포함하는 전력증폭기의 정합상황을 정확히 반영하는데 한계를 가지고 있다. 이를 보완하기 위하여, 전력증폭기 드레인의 부정합 정도를 포함하는 복합 반사계수와 S-파라미터 측정 불확도를 활용한 종합적인 전력 측정 불확도를 제안하였으며, 3.7 GHz에서 동작하는 10 watt급 전력증폭기의 출력 전력을 측정한 실제 결과와 비교해 보았다. 결과적으로 제안한 합성 측정 불확도는 기존 불확도에 대비하여 10배 정도의 정교한 출력 전력의 불확도를 얻을 수 있었다.

SWAT-CUP을 이용한 유출 및 유사모의 불확실성 분석 (Uncertainty Analysis on the Simulations of Runoff and Sediment Using SWAT-CUP)

  • 김민호;허태영;정세웅
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제29권5호
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    • pp.681-690
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    • 2013
  • Watershed models have been increasingly used to support an integrated management of land and water, non-point source pollutants, and implement total daily maximum load policy. However, these models demand a great amount of input data, process parameters, a proper calibration, and sometimes result in significant uncertainty in the simulation results. For this reason, uncertainty analysis is necessary to minimize the risk in the use of the models for an important decision making. The objectives of this study were to evaluate three different uncertainty analysis algorithms (SUFI-2: Sequential Uncertainty Fitting-Ver.2, GLUE: Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation, ParaSol: Parameter Solution) that used to analyze the sensitivity of the SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) parameters and auto-calibration in a watershed, evaluate the uncertainties on the simulations of runoff and sediment load, and suggest alternatives to reduce the uncertainty. The results confirmed that the parameters which are most sensitive to runoff and sediment simulations were consistent in three algorithms although the order of importance is slightly different. In addition, there was no significant difference in the performance of auto-calibration results for runoff simulations. On the other hand, sediment calibration results showed less modeling efficiency compared to runoff simulations, which is probably due to the lack of measurement data. It is obvious that the parameter uncertainty in the sediment simulation is much grater than that in the runoff simulation. To decrease the uncertainty of SWAT simulations, it is recommended to estimate feasible ranges of model parameters, and obtain sufficient and reliable measurement data for the study site.

Sensorless Speed Control System Using a Neural Network

  • Huh Sung-Hoe;Lee Kyo-Beum;Kim Dong-Won;Choy Ick;Park Gwi-Tae
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.612-619
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    • 2005
  • A robust adaptive speed sensorless induction motor direct torque control (DTC) using a neural network (NN) is presented in this paper. The inherent lumped uncertainties of the induction motor DTC system such as parametric uncertainty, external load disturbance and unmodeled dynamics are approximated by the NN. An additional robust control term is introduced to compensate for the reconstruction error. A control law and adaptive laws for the weights in the NN, as well as the bounding constant of the lumped uncertainties are established so that the whole closed-loop system is stable in the sense of Lyapunov. The effect of the speed estimation error is analyzed, and the stability proof of the control system is also proved. Experimental results as well as computer simulations are presented to show the validity and efficiency of the proposed system.

섭동관측기를 연합한 강인 상태추정기 설계 및 해석 (Design and Analysis of a Robust State Estimator Combining Perturbation Observer)

  • 권상주
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제11권6호
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    • pp.477-483
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    • 2005
  • This article describes a robust state estimation method which enables to produce reliable estimates in spite of heavy perturbation including plant uncertainty and external disturbances. The main idea is to combine the standard state estimator with the perturbation observer in the estimator frame. The perturbation observer reflects equivalent quantity of plant uncertainty and external disturbances during the estimation process so that the state estimator dynamics gets as close as possible to the real plant dynamics. The robust state estimator proposed in this paper is given in a recursive discrete-time form which is very useful fur implementation purpose. In terms of the error dynamics derived for the robust state estimator, we discuss the stability issue and noise sensitivity. The effectiveness and practicality of the robust state estimator are verified through numerical examples and experimental results.

An Interval Algebra-based Modeling and Routing Method in Bus Delay Tolerant Network

  • Wang, Haiquan;Ma, Weijian;Shi, Hengkun;Xia, Chunhe
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.1376-1391
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    • 2015
  • In bus delay-tolerant networks, the route of bus is determinate but its arrival time is indeterminate. However, most conventional approaches predict future contact without considering its uncertainty, which makes a limitation on routing performance. A novel approach is proposed by employing interval algebra to characterize the contact's uncertainty and time-varying nature. The contact is predicted by using the Bayesian estimation to achieve a better routing performance. Simulation results show that this approach achieves a good balance between delivery latency and delivery ratio.

Robust State Estimation Based on Sliding Mode Observer for Aeroelastic System

  • Jeong In-Joo;Na Sungsoo;Kim Myung-Hyun;Shim Jae-Hong;Oh Byung-Young
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.540-548
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    • 2005
  • This paper concerns the application and demonstration of sliding mode observer for aeroelastic system, which is robust to model uncertainty including mass and stiffness of the system and various disturbances. The performance of a sliding mode observer is compared with that of a conventional Kalman filter to demonstrate robustness and disturbance decoupling characteristics. Aeroelastic instability may occur when an elastic structure is moving even in subcritical flow speed region. Simulation results using sliding mode observer are presented to control aeroelastic response of flapped wing system due to various external excitations as well as model uncertainty and sinusoidal disturbances in subcritical incompressible flow region.