• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty Process

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Development of an Uncertainty Scale for Infertile Women (불임 여성의 불확실성 측정도구 개발)

  • Kim, Mi-Ok;Kim, Sue
    • Women's Health Nursing
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.370-380
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    • 2010
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop an uncertainty scale for infertile women. Methods: The process included construction of a conceptual framework, generation of 12items, verification of content validity, selection of secondary items, verification of construct validity and extraction of final items. In order to verify the reliability and validity of the preliminary instrument, data were collected from 50 infertile women in an In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) clinic. Data were analyzed by item analysis, Varimax factor analysis and Cronbach's alpha. Results: There were 10 items in the final instrument categorized into 2 factors labeled as "personal (6 items)" and "relational (4 items)" The total variance explained was 73.36%. The instrument was shown to have good reliability with a Cronbach's alpha of .899. Conclusion: Validity and reliability of the scale were confirmed in this study showing its utility to measure uncertainty for infertile women. The instrument can help understand sterility and accurately measure uncertainty for infertile women. The instrument can also be used to evaluate nursing interventions designed for mitigating uncertainty for infertile women.

Manufacture and Measurement Uncertainty Analysis of a Venturi Pipe for Airflow Measurement in Altitude Engine Test (엔진 고공 시험에서 공기 유량 측정용 벤투리 파이프의 제작 및 측정 불확도 분석)

  • Yang, In-Young;Oh, Joong-Hwan
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.36-41
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    • 2010
  • Design, manufacture and calibration procedures of a venturi pipe flowmeter for airflow measurement in altitude engine test were discussed. Altitude engine test using venturi pipe was given as an example. The venturi was designed per the ISO standard of ISO5167, and was intented to include the entire airflow range in the test envelope of the gas turbine engine. Measurement uncertainty analysis was performed in the design procedure to investigate the effect of venturi geometry and sensor specification upon the measurement uncertainty. Manufacturing process was designed to minimize the deviation from the geometry of design. Calibration was performed to get the relationship between the discharge coefficient and the pipe Reynolds number. Then the uncertainty was assessed again using real data acquired during engine test. Through these procedures, it was possible to maintain the uncertainty of airflow measurement under 1 % for most of the operating envelope of the gas turbine engine. The discharge coefficient of the venturi pipe showed agreement with the value suggested in the ISO standard ISO5167-4 within 0.6 %.

Implicit Treatment of Technical Specification and Thermal Hydraulic Parameter Uncertainties in Gaussian Process Model to Estimate Safety Margin

  • Fynan, Douglas A.;Ahn, Kwang-Il
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.684-701
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    • 2016
  • The Gaussian process model (GPM) is a flexible surrogate model that can be used for nonparametric regression for multivariate problems. A unique feature of the GPM is that a prediction variance is automatically provided with the regression function. In this paper, we estimate the safety margin of a nuclear power plant by performing regression on the output of best-estimate simulations of a large-break loss-of-coolant accident with sampling of safety system configuration, sequence timing, technical specifications, and thermal hydraulic parameter uncertainties. The key aspect of our approach is that the GPM regression is only performed on the dominant input variables, the safety injection flow rate and the delay time for AC powered pumps to start representing sequence timing uncertainty, providing a predictive model for the peak clad temperature during a reflood phase. Other uncertainties are interpreted as contributors to the measurement noise of the code output and are implicitly treated in the GPM in the noise variance term, providing local uncertainty bounds for the peak clad temperature. We discuss the applicability of the foregoing method to reduce the use of conservative assumptions in best estimate plus uncertainty (BEPU) and Level 1 probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) success criteria definitions while dealing with a large number of uncertainties.

The Application of Buffers in Construction Planning and Scheduling (건축공사 공정관리에서 버퍼(buffer)의 활용방안)

  • Suh Sang-Wook;Yoon You-Sang
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • autumn
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    • pp.257-260
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    • 2001
  • Buffers, on which much research is being done, are being used as a means to alleviate impacts in processes. Impacts occur from variation which is caused by uncertainty. Current buffers just accept variation as it comes and have just been used as a means to reduce impact. The purpose of this research try to understand the assorted variations which arise from limited resources and information and then we present a division of buffers as the way to overcome these variations. Through the process of dividing buffers into screening buffers, pulling buffers, shielding buffers, and working buffers, we try to make the process more compact, eliminate unnecessary reduction, speed up the decision making process by excluding excessive information, and improve the reliability of work.

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ASUSD nuclear data sensitivity and uncertainty program package: Validation on fusion and fission benchmark experiments

  • Kos, Bor;Cufar, Aljaz;Kodeli, Ivan A.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.2151-2161
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    • 2021
  • Nuclear data (ND) sensitivity and uncertainty (S/U) quantification in shielding applications is performed using deterministic and probabilistic approaches. In this paper the validation of the newly developed deterministic program package ASUSD (ADVANTG + SUSD3D) is presented. ASUSD was developed with the aim of automating the process of ND S/U while retaining the computational efficiency of the deterministic approach to ND S/U analysis. The paper includes a detailed description of each of the programs contained within ASUSD, the computational workflow and validation results. ASUSD was validated on two shielding benchmark experiments from the Shielding Integral Benchmark Archive and Database (SINBAD) - the fission relevant ASPIS Iron 88 experiment and the fusion relevant Frascati Neutron Generator (FNG) Helium Cooled Pebble Bed (HCPB) Test Blanket Module (TBM) mock-up experiment. The validation process was performed in two stages. Firstly, the Denovo discrete ordinates transport solver was validated as a standalone solver. Secondly, the ASUSD program package as a whole was validated as a ND S/U analysis tool. Both stages of the validation process yielded excellent results, with a maximum difference of 17% in final uncertainties due to ND between ASUSD and the stochastic ND S/U approach. Based on these results, ASUSD has proven to be a user friendly and computationally efficient tool for deterministic ND S/U analysis of shielding geometries.

The Uncertainties in Contemporary Art

  • Pan Bo
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.170-177
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    • 2023
  • In quantum mechanics, uncertainty refers to the uncertainty of a measurement physical quantity, because some mechanical quantity can only be in its eigenstate under certain conditions, and the values shown are discrete.The exact value can only be obtained by measuring it in the eigenstate of this mechanical quantity.Uncertainty is like a double-edged sword, which has both advantages and disadvantages in art itself and in the process of artistic creation. In this study, it is divided into three main parts. First, the existence of uncertainties in contemporary art is sorted out in two broad parts, the definition of the uncertainties in art and the specific expression in contemporary art, respectively, with examples from four aspects of psychological impact, accidental presentation effect, expression form and connection with the viewer. The purpose is to understand how uncertainties are expressed in the process of artistic creation. Second, the role of the uncertainties in artistic creation is analyzed through examples, and then it is proposed that artists should use uncertainties to serve art with a scientific and rational attitude. Thirdly, the application of uncertainties in my creative practice and their influences on my painting creation. In summary, every artistic creator should take art seriously and sincerely. The relationship among the creative subject, society and life is an eternal and continuous interaction, and art is a carrier of reflection. For the problems brought by uncertainties in artistic creation, from choosing new certainty by thinking to the emergence of uncertainties, such a cycle is the process of art sublimating from life and being closely related to life.

The Effects of Uncertainty Tolerance on Attitude toward Business Start-up Trying (불확실성에 대한 인내력이 창업시도태도에 미치는 영향)

  • Ha, Hwan Ho;Byun, Chung Gyu
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.167-175
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the linkage between uncertainty tolerance and attitude toward trying business start-up. Uncertainty tolerance can classify by degrees of uncertainty as risk and ambiguity. We examined the effects of risk tolerance and ambiguity tolerance on attitudes toward trying success and failure. And we also examined the effect of attitudes toward trying success and failure on business start-up trying. This study investigated these relationships using 173 under graduate students. The result of analysis indicated that the risk tolerance had positive effects on attitude toward trying failure, but it had not any effect on attitude toward success and process. The ambiguity tolerance has positive effects on attitude toward trying failure and trying process, but it had not any effect on attitude toward success. The attitudes toward trying success, trying failure, and trying process had positive effect on attitude toward business start-up trying. Then results of this study suggests that the uncertainty(risk and ambiguity) tolerance showed a role of antecedent of attitudes toward trying success and failure. Finally, this study concluded with a discussion of the implications of the research findings and directions for future research.

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Management Control System in Research and Development Organizations: Exploring Relationships between Management Controls and R&D Characteristics (연구개발활동과 관리통제시스템의 적합성 분석 - 정부출연연구기관을 중심으로-)

  • 이민형;김계수
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.155-172
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    • 2000
  • Management control is the process by which managers ensure that resources are obtained and used effectively and efficiently in achieving the organization's objectives. This paper explores relationships between characteristics of R&D and management control. R&D characteristics measured in this research include the degree of technological uncertainty and the measurability of outputs. Management control was classified and categorized into observable dimensions of control such as behavior, budget, process, results and personnel control. The relationships were tested with questionnaire survey data from a sample of 206 principal investigators(PIs) in the thirteen Government supported research institutes(GSRIs) in Korea. There are significant negative relations between the degree of technological uncertainty and budget, process and personnel control, and significant positive relations between the measurability of outputs and process, results and personnel control. These results indicate that the relations between task characteristics and management control in R&D are different from those to be found in other activities of organizations.

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Robust Controller Implementation in DCS for a MIMO Paper-making Process with long transport delays

  • Kang, Ki-Ho;Lee, Bong-Kuk;Lim, Kye-Young
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.70.3-70
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents a procedure of implementing a robust controller for a paper-making plant in DCSs. A paper-making process generally has triple problems to automatically tune its output qualities . Long transport delays which are not able to be simply linearized. The transfer matrix of the process is not square. And every plant model has some uncertainty in low and middle frequency region. To tackle these problems, a multi-input / multi-output (MIMO) plant model having some uncertainty was derived by considering some physical and mechanical principles of the process. Then a MIMO robust-controller is designed and implemented in a real DCS as function block type. Some special co...

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An Enhanced Axiomatic Design Process Using Combinative Index (결합지수를 이용한 강화된 공리적 설계 프로세스)

  • 고희병;문용락;김주호;김영돈;이수홍;장민호;차성운
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.595-599
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes an Axiomatic Design Process enhanced by the Combinative Index that represents combinative strength between function requirements and design parameters. This method combines the advantages of these two methods : 1) Combinative Index that represents combinative strength between function requirements and design parameters so that we clearly understand these information. 2) engineering specifications are categorized into strategies, constraints and Functional Requirements. In this paper, relationship of FR's and DP's is regarded as one in which uncertainty of information are fundamentally involved. In the reduction of problem with uncertainty, we propose an enhanced Axiomatic Design Process using Combinative Index.

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