• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.655-669
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• 2019

Supplier evaluation is of great significance in green supply chain management. Influenced by factors such as economic globalization, sustainable development, a holistic index framework is difficult to establish in green supply chain. Furthermore, the initial index values of candidate suppliers are often characterized by uncertainty and incompleteness and the index weight is variable. To solve these problems, an index framework is established after comprehensive consideration of the major factors. Then an adaptive weight D-S theory model is put forward, and a fuzzy-rough-sets-AHP method is proposed to solve the adaptive weight in the index framework. The case study and the comparison with TOPSIS show that the adaptive weight D-S theory model in this paper is feasible and effective.

• 한국연초학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.114-119
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• 2005

The study was carried out to develope quantitative analysis method of individual sugars in licorice extract. Individual sugars were analyzed by HPLC equipped with Refractive Index(RI) Detector. R values of sucrose and glucose were 1.0000 and R values of fructose and maltose were 0.9999. Standard calibration curve showed good linearity. Detection limit of sugars was in the range of 1.58 to 3.92 ${\mu}g$. Recovery rate of fructose, glucose, sucrose and maltose was $99.4\~102.2\%,\;92.3\~97.9\%,\;99.4\~102.0\%,\;91.1\~101.0$ respectively. Measure uncertainty was calculated to confirm trust and accuracy of analytical results. Main uncertainty factors were standard purity and HPLC replication injection. In $95\%$ trust level expanded uncertainty of sugars in licorice extract were fructose $1.98\pm0.047,\;glucose\;1.32\pm0.065,\;sucrose\;11.69\pm1.177,\;maltose\;1.06\pm0.042\;g/100\;g$.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2008년도 정기 학술대회
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• pp.387-390
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• 2008

The importance of the life cycle cost analysis for construction projects of bridge has been recognized over the last decades. Accordingly, theoretical models, guidelines, and supporting softwares have been developed for the life cycle cost analysis of bridges. However, it is difficult to predict life cycle cost considering uncertainties precisely. This paper presents methodology for optimal design of substructure for a steel box bridge. Total life cycle cost for the service life is calculated as sum of initial cost, damage cost considering uncertainty, maintenance cost, repair and rehabilitation cost. The optimization method is applied to design of a bridge substructure with minimal cost, in which the objective function is set to life cycle cost and constraints are formulated on the basis of Korean Bridge Design Specification. Initial cost is calculated based on standard costs of the Korea Construction Price Index and damage cost on the damage probabilities to consider the uncertainty of load and resistance. An advanced first-order second moment method is used as a practical tool for reliability analysis using damage probability. Maintenance cost and cycle is determined by a stochastic method and user cost includes traffic operation costs and time delay costs.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 1991년도 하계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.402-405
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• 1991

This paper represents a new method for computing reliability indices by using Large Deviation method which is one of the probabilistic production cost simulations. The reliability measures are based on the models used for the loads and for the generating unit failure states. In computing these measures it has been tacitly assumed that the values of all parameters in the models are precisely known. In fact, however, some of these values must often be chosen with a considerable degree of uncertainty involved. This is particularly true for the forecast peak loads in the load model, where there is an inherent uncertainty in the method of forecasting, which are frequently based on insufficient statistics. In this paper, the effect of load forecasting uncertainty on the LOLP(Loss of Load Probability), is investigated. By applying the Large Deviation method to the IEEE Rilability Test System, it is verified that the proposed method is generally very accurate and very fast for computing system reliability indices.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제8권2호
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• pp.747-757
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• 2021

The primary purpose of the study is to investigate the volatility spillover from financial uncertainty (FU) of the United States (US) to the stock markets of SAARC member countries including India, Sri-Lanka, Pakistan, and Bangladesh. The empirical literature overlooked SAARC countries and the FU index. Based on the estimation method, the data of FU is available for three different forecast horizons including 1-month, 3-months, and 12-months. For empirical analysis, monthly data is used from February 2013 to September 2019. EGARCH model is employed to investigate the volatility spillover effects. The findings of the study show that the spillover effect of FU varies with the forecast horizon. The FU with a higher forecast horizon has a significant spillover effect on more countries. The spillover effect of US financial uncertainty is negative in most of the SAARC countries. Bangladesh stock market is influenced by FU with all three forecast horizons whereas the volatility of the Pakistan stock market is not influenced by FU with any forecast horizon. The findings are consistent with the concept of "limited trade openness" in the financial markets of emerging economies. The emerging economies avoid financial market openness to minimize the risk of spillover of other countries.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2023년도 학술발표회
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• pp.326-326
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• 2023

본 연구에서는 유역 내 다른 년도 관측 유량 데이터를 이용한 매개변수 최적화를 수행한 후, 최적화된 매개변수에 따라 다르게 추정된 유량 데이터를 이용해 발생하는 수문학적 가뭄 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 수문 모형은 장기 강우-유출분석에 주로 사용되는 Soil Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) 모형을 이용하였으며, Symmetric uncertainty을 이용해 불확실성 분석을 수행하였다. 모형 매개변수 최적화는 SWAT-CUP을 이용해 영산강 유역의 과거 1999년부터 2022년까지의관측 유량 데이터로 수행하였다. 최적화된 매개변수에 따라 추정되는 연평균 유량은 최대 5.59%의 차이를 발생시켰으며, 계절 유량은 봄 (6.1%), 여름 (14.6%), 가을 (9.7%), 겨울 (46.1%)의 차이를 발생시켰다. 그 후, 수문학적 가뭄지수인 Streamflow Drought Index (SDI)을 이용해 일 단위가뭄과 월 단위 가뭄 분석을 수행하였다. 매개변수에 따른 일 단위 가뭄 분석은 연평균 가뭄 발생일수가 최대 25.2일까지 차이가 발생하였으며, 월 단위 가뭄 역시 최적화된 매개변수에 가뭄 심도와 발생이 다르게 분석되었다. 그 후, Symmetric uncertainty을 이용한 불확실성 분석은 최적화된 매개변수에 따라 다르게 산정된 가뭄지수의 불확실성을 확인할 수 있었다. 본 연구는 수문학적 가뭄 분석 시, 다양한 관측 유량 데이터를 이용한 매개변수 최적화를 수행한 후, 이를 이용한 유량추정의 필요성을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 융합신호처리학회논문지
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.341-347
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• 2011

본 논문에서는 유효 빔 폭 개념을 새로이 도입하여 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 성능 평가, 최적 설계, 그리고 복합 장애물 탐지에 대해 기술하도록 한다. 일군의 동종 저지향성 초음파 센서들이 반경이 영이 아닌 원주 상에 일정 간격으로 상호 빔 폭이 중첩되도록 배치된다고 가정한다. 첫째, 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 전역 위치 불확실성을 전체 장애물 탐지 범위 내에서의 국부적 위치 불확실성의 평균값으로 나타낸다. 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 유효 빔 폭을 동일한 전역 위치 불확실성을 갖는 단일 초음파 센서의 빔 폭으로 산정하고 이를 바탕으로 정규화된 장애물 탐지 성능 평가 지수를 정의한다. 둘째, 정의된 성능 평가 지수를 이용하여 장애물 탐지 시 위치 불확실성이 최소화되도록 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 설계 사양을 최적화한다. 주어진 초음파 센서의 사용 개수에 대한 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 최적 반경 그리고 주어진 중첩 초음파 센서 링의 반경에 대한 초음파 센서의 최적 사용 개수를 결정한다. 셋째, 3개의 인접 초음파 센서로부터의 장애물 거리 간의 대소 관계에 의거한 복수 장애물의 위치 불확실성 영역 판정 기준을 제시한다. 제시된 위치 불확실성 영역판정 기준을 이용하여 다양한 형태의 장애물로 구성된 복합 장애물 환경에서의 장애물 윤곽 추출 결과를 보인다.

• 여성건강간호학회지
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.58-66
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• 2005

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify the patterns of activities of daily living (ADL) functional status and to examine the relationships between sense of coherence(SOC), depression, and uncertainty in gynecologic cancer patients who were receiving chemotherapy. Method: A prospective, longitudinal design with repeated measures was utilized. Women reported depression, SOC, and uncertainty at the beginning of the first cycle of chemotherapy, and they recorded ADL functional status everyday for two consecutive treatment cycles. the The instruments used were the Karnofsky Performance Status Index, Orientation to Life Questionnaire, Beck Depression Inventory, and Mishel Uncertainty in Illness Scale-Adult Form. Result: Data from 42 women showed that the ADL functional status during the second cycle was better than that of the first cycle with significant improvement each week. However, it did not completely recover to the baseline level even three weeks after the treatment ended in both cycles. SOC was correlated with depression(r=-.64, p<.001) and uncertainty(r=-.62, p<.001). Uncertainty was related to depression (r=.66, p<.001) and to functional status during the second cycle(r=-.45, p<.05), while the scores of the functional status during the two cycles were not related. Conclusion: Changing patterns and level of functional status during the treatment phase would be useful information for cancer patients to prepare coping strategies for positive health outcomes.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제4권4호
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• pp.36-42
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• 1987

Very accurate calibration is needed to index tables which are necessary for precision angle measurement. The repeatability of index table is less than 0.2 second, so that attentions should be paid to choosing devices to be used in the calibration of index tables. The auto- collimators have been used in the calibration of index tables, but the repeatability of auto- collimators is bad compared with that of index table. In place of autocollimators, we described a method which uses electric comparators which are possessed by most precision measurement laboratories. Electric comparators are set to measure small angle displacement without interrupting the rotation of index tables and the signals of two electric comparators are added to remove the run-out errors of the shafts of index tables. Two index tables have been calibrated simulataneously by this method and the measurement data have been analyzed by the least squares method. We compare the calibration results with those of methods using autocollimator and auto- matic autocollimator and are able to know that the data of electric comparator method lie between the data of autocollimator methods. The repeatability of measurement is less than 0.02 second. The electric comparator method is economical and capable of reducing the uncertainty of the measurement.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2005년도 창립60주년 기념 추계 학술대회
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• pp.108.1-108.1
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• 2005