• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertainty Evaluation

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Implementation and Performance Evaluation of a Firm's Green Supply Chain Management under Uncertainty

  • Lin, Yuanhsu;Tseng, Ming-Lang;Chiu, Anthony S.F.;Wang, Ray
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.15-28
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    • 2014
  • Evaluation of the implementation and performance of a firm's green supply chain management (GSCM) is an ongoing process. Balanced scorecard is a multi-criteria evaluation concept that highlights implementation and performance measures. The literature on the framework is abundant literature but scarce on how to build a hierarchical framework under uncertainty with dependence relations. Hence, this study proposes a hybrid approach, which includes applied interpretive structural modeling to build a hierarchical structure and uses the analytic network process to analyze the dependence relations. Additionally, this study applies the fuzzy set theory to determine linguistic preferences. Twenty dependence criteria are evaluated for a GSCM implemented firm in Taiwan. The result shows that the financial aspect and life cycle assessment are the most important performance and weighted criteria.

Absolute Evaluation of Capacitor and Inductor Using Voltage Transformer Comparator (전압변성기 비교기를 이용한 커패시터와 인덕터의 절대 평가)

  • Han, Sang-Gil;Kim, Yoon-Hyoung;Jung, Jae-Kap;Kim, Han-Jun;Han, Sang-Ok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.285-290
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    • 2008
  • We have developed the absolute evaluation technique of capacitor and inductor by measuring the phase displacement as a function of resistance of employed resistors in voltage transformer(VT) comparator. The methods were applied to the capacitor with the range of 100 nF - $5{\mu}F$ and the inductor with the range of $100{\mu}H{\sim}1\;H$. The capacitance values of capacitor obtained using our method are consistent within the expanded uncertainty those obtained using capacitor bridge. The inductance values of inductor obtained using our method are also consistent within the expanded uncertainty those obtained using LCR meter.

Evaluation of Overtopping Risks of Levee by using Reliability Analysis (신뢰성 해석에 의한 제방의 월류 위험도 산정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung;Park, Dong-Heon;Shim, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.29 no.A
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2009
  • Due to frequent occurrence of a localized torrential downpour caused by global warming and change of outflow tendency caused by rapid urbanization and industrialization, risk analysis must be carried out in levee design with uncertainty. In this study, reliability analysis was introduced to quantitatively evaluate the overtopping risk of levee by the uncertainty. First of all, breaking function was established as a function of flood stage and height of levee. All variables of breaking function were considered as random variables following any distribution functions, and the risk was defined as the possibility that the flood stage is formed higher than height of levee. The risk evaluation model was developed with AFDA (Approximate Full Distribution Approach). The flood stage computed by 2-D numerical model FESWMS-2DH was used as input data for the model of levee risk evaluation. Risk for levee submergence were quantitatively presented for levee of Wol-Song-Cheon.

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Air Similarity Test for the Evaluation of Aerodynamic Performance of Steam Turbine (스팀터빈의 공력성능 평가를 위한 공기 상사실험)

  • Lim, Byeung-Jun;Lee, Eun-Seok;Lee, Ik-Hyoung;Kim, Young-Sang;Kwon, Gee-Bum
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.12a
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2003
  • The steam turbine efficiency is an important factor in power plant. Accurate evaluation of steam turbine performance is essential. However, it is not easy to evaluate the steam turbine performance due to its high temperature and high pressure circumstance. Therefore most steam turbine performance tests were conducted by air similarity test. This paper described a test program for air similarity test of steam turbine at Korea Aerospace Research Institute. A test facility has been designed and built to evaluate aerodynamic performance of turbines. The test facility consists of air supply system, single stage test section, power absorption system, instrumentation and auxiliary system. For evaluation of steam turbine performance, the test of single stage axial turbine air similarity performance was conducted and uncertainty analysis was performed.

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Sensitivity Analysis and Confidence Evaluation for Planar Errors of a Vertical Turning Center (수직형 선반의 평면 오차 민감도 분석 및 신뢰도 평가)

  • 여규환;양승환
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 1998
  • Geometric and thermal errors are key contributors to the errors of a computer numerically controlled turning center. A planar error synthesis model is obtained by synthesizing 11 geometric and thermal error components of a turning center with homogeneous coordinate transformation method. This paper shows the sensitivity analysis on the temperature change, the confidence evaluation on the uncertainty Of measurement systems, and the error contribution analysis from the planar error synthesis model. Planar error in the z direction was very sensitive to the temperature change. and planar errors in the x and z directions were not affected by the uncertainty of measurement systems. The error contribution analysis ,which is applicable to designing a new turning center, was helpful to find the large error components which affect planar errors of the turning center.

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INVESTMENT EVALUATION OF TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUTURE PROJECTS USING BINOMIAL REAL OPTION MODEL

  • Qiyu Qian;Xueqing Wang;Charles Y.J. Cheah
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2007.03a
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    • pp.563-572
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    • 2007
  • Transportation infrastructure is critical to economic growth of a country such as China. Careful evaluation of investments in traffic infrastructure projects is therefore pertinent. As traditional evaluation methods do not consider the uncertainty of future cash flows and mobility during project execution, the real option approach is gradually gaining recognition in the context of valuing construction and infrastructure projects. However, many of the cases only evaluate individual options separately although multiple options often exist in a typical large infrastructure project. Using a highway project in China as a case study, this paper first evaluates a deferment option and a growth option embedded in the project. Subsequently, the values are combined using the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process. It is found that the combined value is less than the sum of the two option values. This finding is consistent with the theoretical observations given in past real option literature despite the use of a different approach.

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Research Issues in Robust QFD

  • Kim, Kwang-Jae;Kim, Deok-Hwan
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2008
  • Quality function deployment (QFD) provides a specific approach for ensuring quality throughout each stage of the product development and production process. Since the focus of QFD is placed on the early stage of product development, the uncertainty in the input information of QFD is inevitable. If the uncertainty is neglected, the QFD analysis results are likely to be misleading. It is necessary to equip practitioners with a new QFD methodology that can model, analyze, and dampen the effects of the uncertainty and variability in a systematic manner. Robust QFD is an extended version of QFD methodology, which is robust to the uncertainty of the input information and the resulting variability of the QFD output. This paper discusses recent research issues in Robust QFD. The major issues are related with the determination of overall priority, robustness evaluation, robust prioritization, and web-based Robust QFD optimizer. Our recent research results on the issues are presented, and some of future research topics are suggested.

Setup and Uncertainty of Standard System for Calibrating Pulse Generator of Partial Discharge (부분방전 교정펄스 발생기의 표준화 시스템구축과 불확도)

  • Kim, K.H.;Yi, S.H.;Lee, H.J.;Kang, D.S.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2009.07a
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    • pp.1355_1357
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    • 2009
  • This paper describes the standard system for calibrating pulse generator of partial discharge(PD) and its uncertainty. The system is consisted of digital pulse generator, digital recorder and evaluation software. The uncertainty requirement of calibrator charge is less than $\pm$ (0.1pC + 0.03q) and that of pulse duration is less than $\pm$ 10 %. The system can generate various kind of calibration pulses such as single pulse, double pulses, oscillation pulse, long-duration pulse, random pulses and evaluate their uncertainty.

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EVALUATION OF THE UNCERTAINTIES IN THE MODELING AND SOURCE DISTRIBUTION FOR PRESSURE VESSEL NEUTRON FLUENCE CALCULATIONS

  • Kim, Yong-Il;Hwang, Hae-Ryong
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.237-241
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    • 2001
  • The uncertainties associated with fluence calculation at the pressure vessel have been evaluated for the Korean Next Generation Reactor, APR1400. To obtain uncertainties, sensitivity analyses were performed for each of the parameters important to calculated fast neutron fluence. Among the important parameters to the overall uncertainties, reactor modeling and core neutron source were examined. Mechanical tolerances, composition and density variations in the reactor materials as well as application of $r-{\theta}$ geometry in rectilinear region contribute to uncertainty in the reactor modeling. Depletion and buildup of fissile nuclides, instrument error related to core power level, uncertainty of fuel pin burnup, and variation of long-term axial peaking factors are main contributors to the core neutron source uncertainty. The sensitivity analyses have shown that the uncertainty in the fluence calculation at the reactor pressure vessel is +12%.

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ANALYSIS OF POWER PERFORMANCE AND UNCERTAINTY FOR A 3.0MW WIND TURBINE (3.0MW 풍력발전기 출력 성능 및 불확실성 분석)

  • Her, S.Y.;Kim, K.B.;Huh, J.C.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.28-31
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    • 2010
  • In order to clarify the characteristics of power performance and uncertainty of a wind turbine, an investigation was performed in Hangyeong wind farm, Jeju island, Korea. Data were collected for 12 months from Feb. 2, 2008 to Jan. 1, 2009. This study was conducted on the base of the International standard, and observed the methods of mesurement and evaluation form IEC 61400-12. As a result, power performance curve was calculated by measured data and compared with the sixth unit of VESTAS V90-3.0MW in Hangyeong wind farms. In consequence of this paper, uncertainty was estimated from 7% to 14% on the range of the average wind speed from 4m/s to 11m/s.

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