• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertain Process

Search Result 329, Processing Time 0.034 seconds

An AHP Procedure for Selecting the Best Facility under Uncertain Cost Attributes (비용추정이 불확실한 상황하에서 AHP을 이용한 최적설비 선정방법)

  • Kim, Seong-Jip;Park, Hong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.66-84
    • /
    • 1994
  • The investment to advanced manufacturing techniques is essential to reinforcement of furture competitiveness. To make a decision for selecting an appropriate manufacturing facility is very important ; it is, however, rather difficult to get a precise evaluation through conventional cost analysis methods. The supreme decision-maker does not only take into consideration tangible cost attributes in decision-making ; he also takes into account such intangible attributes as strategic ones. This study combines Analytic Hierarchy Process and Simulation in order to graph the variations of weighted indices of alternatives for effective decision making when cost attributes are uncertain. A numerical example is illustrated to explain the basic mechanics of the proposed decision procedure.

  • PDF

Development of Intelligent Trouble-Shooting System for Grinding Operation (인공지능형 연삭가공 트러블 인식.처리 시스템 개발)

  • Ha, M.K.;Kwak, J.S.;Park, J.W.;Yoon, M.C.;Koo, Y.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
    • /
    • v.4 no.2
    • /
    • pp.25-30
    • /
    • 2000
  • The grinding process is very complex and relates many parameters to control the process. As this reason, a theoretical analysis and a quantitative estimation of the grinding process has not been well established. In this study, the in-process monitoring system was suggested by applying the neural network for monitoring and shooting the malfunction of cylindrical plunge grinding process. This system used the power signals from the electric power meter. This neural network was composed of processing elements [4-(5-5)-3] with 4 identified power parameters. Because sensitivity is blunted some minute vibration components, the simulation result of this system has appeared about 10% erroneous recognition in the uncertain pattern and the average success rate of the trouble recognition was about 90%. Consequently, the developed system, which applied to the power signals, can be recognize enough to monitor the grinding process as in-process.

  • PDF

Sensemaking and Human Judgment Under Dynamic Environment (급변하는 환경에서의 인간의 의사결정과 상황파악)

  • Seong, Youn-Ho;Park, Eui-H.;Lee, Hwa‐Ki
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.49-60
    • /
    • 2006
  • Technological encroachment provides human operators with flood of information that must be analyzed to understand the environment and make judgments that lead to strategic actions. Further, the environment is not static and therefore uncertain, changing its aspect dynamically. Complexity accompanied with its dynamics imposes substantial difficulty to human operators' task. Criticality of having situational understanding becomes more important than ever. Situationalunderstanding requires the human operators possessing tacit knowledge in order for them to make the sense out of the situation while interacting with information from many heterogeneous sources, the notion of sensemaking. Sensemaking refers to the process of developing mental framework to assemble pieces of information representing different aspects of the environment that can be used to develop one's own actionable knowledge to implement their judgments in the uncertain environment. Therefore, judgment process and performance is a key component of sensemaking process. Among many judgment and decision making models, the lens model with its extension can be utilized to partially describe the judgmental aspect of sensemaking. One of the lens model parameters, unmodeled knowledge, can be a corresponding quantitative measure for the tacit knowledge that plays an important role in sensemaking. In this paper, a comprehensive literature for sensemaking is provided to formally define the notion of sensemaking in the military domain. Also, it is proposed that there is a crucial link between the sensemaking and human judgment process and performance from the lens model perspective. Potential implications for experimental framework are also proposed.

A study on process-plan selection via fuzzy quantification theory (퍼지정량화 이론을 이용한 공정계획 선택에 관한 연구)

  • 이노성;임춘우
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 1997.10a
    • /
    • pp.668-671
    • /
    • 1997
  • This paper describes a new process-plan selection method using a modified Fuzzy Quantification Theory(FQT). The problem for process-plan selection can be characterized by multiple attributes and used subjective, uncertain information. Fuzzy Quantification Theory is used for handling such informations because it is a useful tool when human judgment or evaluation is quantified via linguistic variables and the proposed method is concerned with the selection of a process plan by derivation of the values of categories for each attribute. In this paper, a modified Fuzzy Quantification Theory(FQT) is described and the procedure of this approach is explained and examples are illustrated.

  • PDF

A study on process-plan selection via multiple attribute decision-making approach and fuzzy quantification theory (다속성 의사결정법과 퍼지정량화 이론을 이용한 공정계획 선택에 관한 연구)

  • Leem, Choon-Woo;Lee, Noh-Sung
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.3 no.5
    • /
    • pp.490-496
    • /
    • 1997
  • This paper describes a new process-plan selection method using a modified Fuzzy Quantification Theory(FQT). The problem of process-plan selection can be characterized by multiple attributes and used subjective, uncertain information. Fuzzy Quantification Theory is used for handling such information because it is a useful tool when human judgment or evaluation is quantified via linguistic variables, and the proposed method is concerned with the selection of a process plan by derivation of the values of categories for each attribute. In this paper, a modified Fuzzy Quantification Theory(FQT) is described and the procedure of this approach is explained and examples illustrated.

  • PDF

A Study on the Analysis of Stochastic Nonlinear Dynamic System (확률적 비선형 동적계의 해석에 관한 연구)

  • 남성현;김호룡
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.697-704
    • /
    • 1995
  • The dynamic characteristics of a system can be critically influenced by system uncertainty, so the dynamic system must be analyzed stochastically in consideration of system uncertainty. This study presents the stochastic model of a nonlinear dynamic system with uncertain parameters under nonstationary stochastic inputs. And this stochastic system is analyzed by a new stochastic process closure method and moment equation method. The first moment equation is numerically evaluated by Runge-Kutta method and the second moment equation is numerically evaluated by stochastic process closure method, 4th cumulant neglect closure method and Runge-Kutta method. But the first and the second moment equations are coupled each other, so this equations are approximately evaluated by a iterative method. Finally the accuracy of the present method is verified by Monte Carlo simulation.

A Study on the Design Decision Process for Flexibility in Apartment Housing (가변성을 고려한 공동주택 설계의사결정 프로세스에 관한 연구)

  • 김병환;김현주;최무혁
    • Proceeding of Spring/Autumn Annual Conference of KHA
    • /
    • 2002.11a
    • /
    • pp.345-348
    • /
    • 2002
  • Recent demographic changes have increased the heterogeneity of user groups in the housing market. Smaller households(e.g. elderly, single parent) have non-traditional spatial requirements that cannot be accommodated within the conventional house layout. This has created renewed interest in Demountable/Flexible housing systems. However, the process by which designers decide which project or user groups are most suited for the use of these systems is quite often complex, uncertain and dynamic, since the decisions involve natural processes and human values that are apparently random. This study is a proposal on the design process model for the flexibility of apartment.

  • PDF

Optimal pricing under uncertain product lifetime conditions and simulation study

  • 이훈영;주기인;이시환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 1996.10a
    • /
    • pp.103-112
    • /
    • 1996
  • Optimal pricing research in general has been focused on profit maximizing strategy under the given product life-time T. Here we have tried to study the effect of uncertain product life-time on dynamic optimal pricing strategy. In reality, the life-time of product is more likely to be uncertain and not known as well. In terms of approximating the model to the concerned reality, so-called model validity, it seems to be more desirable to consider the uncertainty of product life-time into the optimal pricing strategy model, For this purpose, we tried two different approaches. One is to consider diverse product life-time probability functions under fixed life-time T. In this case, we might have the same product life-time as the previous study, but the process could be different in the expectation of product's discontinuity. The other is that life-time itself is not determined and thus it is the situation in which we can only decide optimal price on incremental basis. The former is the situation in which although we got some strong guess on life-time of a certain product, the pattern of expected life-time probability could be different. The question is what could be optimal pricing strategies on such different product life-time situations. But since in the latter, we don't assume any idea on the life-time of product. proper optimal pricing could be derived only from the past prices and diffusion information. While the latter seems to be safer in the aspect of model assumption, the former could be more realistic because we might have more or less a prior knowledge on the product life-time itself.

  • PDF

Analysis of Consolidation considering Uncertainties of Geotechnical Parameters and Reliability method (지반특성의 불확실성과 신뢰성 기법을 고려한 압밀해석)

  • Lee, Kyu-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
    • /
    • v.11 no.4
    • /
    • pp.138-146
    • /
    • 2007
  • Geotechnical performance at the soft ground is strongly dependent on the properties of the soil beneath and adjacent to the structure of interest. These soil properties can be described using deterministic and/or probabilistic models. Deterministic models typically use a single discrete descriptor for the parameter of interest. Probabilistic models describe parameters by using discrete statistical descriptors or probability distribution density functions. The consolidation process depends on several uncertain parameters including the coefficients of consolidation and coefficients of permeability in vertical and horizontal directions. The implication of this uncertain parameter in the design of prefabricated vertical drains for soil improvement is discussed. A sensitivity analysis of the degree of consolidation and calculation of settlements to these uncertain parameters is presented for clayey deposits.

Estimating the Position of Mobiles by Multi-Criteria Decision Making

  • Lee, Jong-Chan;Ryu, Byung-Han;Ahn, Jee-Hwan
    • ETRI Journal
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.323-327
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this study, we propose a novel mobile tracking method based on Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM), in which uncertain parameters-the received signal strength, the distance between the mobile and the base station, the moving direction, and the previous location-are used in the decision process using the aggregation function in the fuzzy set theory. Through numerical results, we show that our proposed mobile tracking method provides a better performance than the conventional method using the received signal strength.

  • PDF