• Title/Summary/Keyword: Uncertain Process

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Stability Analysis of Linear Uncertain Differential Equations

  • Chen, Xiaowei;Gao, Jinwu
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.2-8
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    • 2013
  • Uncertainty theory is a branch of mathematics based on normolity, duality, subadditivity and product axioms. Uncertain process is a sequence of uncertain variables indexed by time. Canonical Liu process is an uncertain process with stationary and independent increments. And the increments follow normal uncertainty distributions. Uncertain differential equation is a type of differential equation driven by the canonical Liu process. Stability analysis on uncertain differential equation is to investigate the qualitative properties, which is significant both in theory and application for uncertain differential equations. This paper aims to study stability properties of linear uncertain differential equations. First, the stability concepts are introduced. And then, several sufficient and necessary conditions of stability for linear uncertain differential equations are proposed. Besides, some examples are discussed.

Some Properties of Complex Uncertain Process

  • You, Cuilian;Xiang, Na
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.143-147
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    • 2016
  • Uncertainty appears not only in real quantities but also in complex quantities. Complex uncertain process is essentially a sequence of complex uncertain variables indexed by time. In order to describe complex uncertain process, a formal definition of complex uncertain distribution is given in this paper, as well as the concepts of independence and variance. In addition, some properties of complex uncertain integral are presented.

Uncertain Knowledge Processing for Oriental Medicine Diagnostic Model (한의 진단 모델의 추론 과정에서 발생하는 불확실한 진단 지식의 처리)

  • Shin, Yang-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1997
  • The inference process for medical expert system is mostly formed by diagnostic knowledge on the if-then rule base. Oriental medicine diagnostic knowledge, however, may involve uncertain knowledge caused by ambiguous concept. In this paper, we analyze an oriental medicine diagnostic process by a rule-based inference system, and propose a method for representing and processing uncertain oriental medicine diagnostic knowledge using CLP( R ) which is a kind of constraint satisfaction program.

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Some New Results on Uncertain Age Replacement Policy

  • Zhang, Chunxiao;Guo, Congrong
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2013
  • Age replacement policy is a commonly policy in maintenance management of spare part. It means that a spare part is always replaced at failure or fixed time after its installation, whichever occurs first. An optimal age replacement policy of spare parts concerns with finding the optimal replacement time determined by minimizing the expected cost per unit time. The age of the part was generally assumed to be a random variable in the past literatures, but in many situations, there are few or even no observed data to estimate the probability distribution of part's lifetime. In order to solve this phenomenon, a new uncertain age replacement policy has been proposed recently, in which the age of the part was assumed to be an uncertain variable. This paper discusses the optimal age replacement policies by dealing with the parts' lifetimes as different distributed uncertain variables. Several results on the optimal age replacement time are provided when the lifetimes are described by the uncertain linear, zigzag and lognormal distributions.

Position Control of Linear Actuator with Uncertain Time Delay in VDN

  • Kim, Jonghwi;Kiwon Song;Park, Gi-Sang;Park, Gi-Heung
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.118.2-118
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    • 2002
  • Uncertain time delay happens when the process reads the sensor data and sends the control input to the plant located at a remote site in distributed control system. As in the case of data network using TCP/IP, VDN that integrates both device network and data network has uncertain tim e delay. Uncertain time delay can cause degradation in stability of distributed control system based on VDN. This paper investigates the transmission characteristic of VDN and suggests a control scheme based on the Smith's predictor to minimize the effect of uncertain time delay. The validity of the proposed control scheme is demonstrated with tracking position control of experiments.

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Subjective Point Prediction Algorithm for Decision Analysis

  • Kim, Soung-Hie
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 1983
  • An uncertain dynamic evolving process has been a continuing challenge to decision problems. The dynamic random variable (drv) changes which characterize such a process are very important for the decision-maker in selecting a course of action in a world that is perceived as uncertain, complex, and dynamic. Using this subjective point prediction algorithm based on a modified recursive filter, the decision-maker becomes to have periodically changing plausible points with the passage of time.

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Development of Fuzzy-Statistical Control Chart for Processing Uncertain Process Information (불명확한 공정정보 처리를 위한 퍼지-통계적 관리도의 개발)

  • 김경환;하성도
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 1998
  • Process information is known to have the continuous distribution in many manufacturing processes. Generalized p-chart has been developed for controlling processes by classifying the information characteristics into several groups. But it is improper to describe continuous processes with the classified process informal ion, which is based on the classical set concept. Fuzzy control chart, has been developed for the control of linguistic data, but it is also based on the dichotomous notion of classical set theory. In this paper, fuzzy sampling method is studied in order to process the uncertain data properly. The method is incorporated with the fuzzy control chart. Statistical characteristics of the fuzzy representative value are utilized to device the fuzzy-statistical control chart. The fuzzy-statistical control chart is compared with the generalized p-chart and both the sensitivity to the process information distribution change pared robustiness against the noise on the process information of the fuzzy-statistical control chart are shown to be superior.

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Design of Cellular Manufacturing System with Alternative Process Plans under Uncertain Demand (수요가 불확실한 환경에서 대체공정계획을 고려한 셀형제조시스템 설계)

  • Ko, Chang-Seong;Lee, Sang-Hun;Lee, Yang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.559-569
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    • 1998
  • Cellular manufacturing system (CMS) has been recognized as an alternative to improve manufacturing productivity in conventional batch-type manufacturing systems through reducing set-up times, work-in-process inventories and throughput times by means of group technology. Most of the studies on the design of CMS assumed that each part has a unique process plan, and that its demand is known as a deterministic value despite of the probabilistic nature of the real world problems. This study suggests an approach for designing CMS, considering both alternative process plans and uncertain demand. A mathematical model is presented to show how to minimize the expected amortized and operating costs satisfying these two relaxations. Four heuristic algorithms are developed based on tabu search which is well suited for getting an optimal or near-optimal solution. Example problems are carried out to illustrate the heuristic algorithms and each of them is compared with the deterministic counterpart.

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Optimal Pricing Policy under Uncertain Product Lifetimes (불확실한 제품 수명주기를 고려한 최적가격결정 모형에 관한 연구)

  • 이훈영;주기인
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.23-31
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    • 2000
  • Many studies in marketing and economics have attempted to model price and sales path under the dynamic diffusion process. Most of these models have been based on a fixed product lifetime. The current business climate requiring intensive development of new products however affects the diffusion of new products and their lifetime. Many products have not enjoyed the expected life cycle at the launching stage due to intense technical development competitive reactions, and financial problems. Most diffusion models however have not taken account of the lifetime uncertainty of new product. If the products do not last over the planning horizon set by those models. the optimal price derived from them could be futile. Therefore we had better take such lifetime uncertainty into consideration when developing diffusion models, In this paper we study the impact of uncertain product lifetime on its optimal pricing path in non-competitive market. We develop an optimal pricing model under uncertain product lifetimes and conduct a simulation study to investigate their effects on the optimal pricing and corresponding sales paths. The simulation study provides some interesting findings on optimal pricing policy under uncertain product lifetime. This study could be a stepping stone for the further extended study of optimal pricing strategy with uncertain product lifetime.

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Real-time Distributed Control in Virtual Device Network with Uncertain Time Delay for Predictive Maintenance (PM) (가상 디바이스 네트워크상에서 불확실한 시간지연을 갖는 실시간 분산제어를 이용한 예지보전에 관한 연구)

  • Kiwon Song;Gi-Heung Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.154-160
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    • 2003
  • Uncertain time delay happens when the process reads the sensor data and sends the control input to the plant located at a remote site in distributed control system. As in the case of data network using TCP/IP, VDN that integrates both device network and data network has uncertain time delay. Uncertain time delay can cause degradation in performance and stability of distributed control system based on VDN. This paper first investigates the transmission characteristic of VDN and suggests a control scheme based on the Smith's predictor to minimize the effect of uncertain varying time delay. The validity of the proposed control scheme is demonstrated with real-time velocity control of DC servo motor located in remote site.