• 한국습지학회지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.281-289
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• 2019

본 연구에서는 남부 내륙지역에 속한 시군구별 태풍으로 인한 피해를 예측할 수 있는 태풍피해예측모형을 개발하였다. 내륙지역의 태풍 피해는 호우, 강풍으로 인한 피해가 복합적으로 발생하므로, 모형을 구성하는 변수가 많고 다양하나, 내륙지역 시군구 단위의 피해사례는 모형을 개발할 만큼 충분하지 않다. 태풍피해 관련 수문기상 자료는 3시간 간격 지속기간별 최대 강우량, 총강우량, 1-5일 선행강우량, 최대풍속 및 제주도 인근 지역에서의 태풍중심기압을 이용하였다. 피해자료의 부족을 고려하기 위해 군집화를 하였으며, 강우 관련 자료의 다중공선성을 제거하기 위하여 주성분분석 등 다변량 통계분석을 이용하여 권역별(경남, 경북, 전남, 전북)로 피해예측모형을 개발하였다. 모형에 의한 태풍피해추정치와 실측치는 최대 2.2배 정도까지 차이가 발생하였는데, 이는 강풍에 의한 피해를 추정하기 어렵고, 전국 69개 ASOS 관측소에 의한 강우자료가 지역적 강우특성을 제대로 반영하지 못하기 때문인 것으로 추정된다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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• pp.153-153
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• 2021

Storm Storm event is one of major issues in South Korea due to devastating damage at its landfall. A series of statistical study on the historical typhoon records consistently insist that the typhoon translation speed (TS) is on slowdown trend annually, and thus provides an urgent topic in assessing the extreme storm surge under future climate change. Even though TS has been regarded as a principal contributor in storm surge dynamics, only a few studies have considered its impact on the storm surge. The landfall angle (LA), another key physical factor of storm surge also needs to be further investigated along with TS. This study aims to elucidate the interaction mechanism among TS, LA, coastal geometry, and storm surge synthetically by performing a series of simulations on the idealized geometries using Delft3D FM. In the simulation, various typhoons are set up according to different combinations of TS and LA, while their trajectories are assumed to be straight with the constant wind speed and the central pressure. Then, typhoons are subjected to make landfall over a set of idealized geometries that have different depth profiles and layouts (i.e., open coasts or bays). The simulation results show that: (i) For the open coasts, the maximum surge height (MSH) increases with increasing TS. (ii) For the constant bed level, a typhoon normal to the coastline resulted in peak MSH due to the lowest effect of the coastal wave. (iii) For the continental shelf with different widths, the slow-moving typhoon will generate the peak MSH around a small LA as the shelf width becomes narrow. (iv) For the bay, MSH enlarges with the ratio of L/E (the length of main-bay axis /gate size) dropping, while the greatest MSH is at L/E=1. These findings suggest that a fast-moving typhoon perpendicular to the coastline over a broad continental shelf will likely generate the extreme storm surge hazard in the future, as well as the slow-moving typhoon will make an acute landfall over a narrow continental shelf.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제44권3호
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• pp.277-282
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• 2024

최근 기후변화로 인해 태풍의 강도와 빈도가 증가하고 있으며, 태풍은 원자력발전소의 소외전원상실(LOOP)을 발생시킬 수 있다. 따라서, 태풍 동반 강풍에 대한 소외전력망의 확률론적 안전성 평가(PSA)를 통한 대비가 필요하다. 하지만, 원자력발전소의 소외전력망에 대한 태풍 동반 강풍 PSA 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 국내원전부지 중 소외전력망의 피해가 잦았던 고리원전부지를 대상으로 소외전력망의 태풍 동반 강풍에 의한 PSA를 수행하였다. 태풍 동반 강풍에 의한 소외전력망의 PSA를 수행하기 위해 고리원전부지의 태풍재해도를 Logic Tree와 Monte Carlo Simulation을 활용하여 도출하였다. 전력망을 구성하는 요소의 취약도를 활용하여 전력망의 취약도 분석을 수행하였다. 최종적으로 소외전력망이 원자력발전소에 전력을 공급하지 못할 확률을 정량적으로 분석하였다.

• 대기
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.93-106
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• 2009

Analysis has been made on the wind wave characteristics in terms of significant wave height ($H_s$) near the Korean marginal seas in the 2006 - 2007 year using the third generation wave model, WAVEWATCH - III model. In order to evaluate its performance, its results were compared with the observed data using KMA ocean buoy. The two year average RMSE between modeled and observed Hs shows reasonably small value of about 0.37 m. The accuracy of predicted values in the year 2007 is increased mainly due to finer model grid size and better accurate wind field. The model used in this study predicts very well the characteristics ($H_s$) of wind waves near the Korean Peninsular. Simulated monthly wind waves show the evident seasonal variations due to Typhoons in summer season. When Typhoons approach to Korean Peninsular, the accuracy of wind waves predictions is lower than that of annual mean value.

• 한국항해학회지
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• 제18권1호
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• pp.23-30
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• 1994

By use of the Climatological Report(1982~1991) and the Marine Casualty Report(1982`1992), marine casualties caused by meteorological factors and climatic characteristics along Korean coast were analysed. Marine casualty by meteorological factors can be classified into three kinds such as collision, aground and sinking. On the whole collision was mainly caused by dense fog and heavy precipitation, and aground and sinking was caused by strong wind and high sea. As results of analysis of the distribution of wind, fog and precipitation at major ports in Korea, climatic characteristics along Korean coast are as follows. in the eastern coast, wind was relatively weak and fog was not so frequently formed, while strong wind blew all the year round and fog appeared from April to August in Ulleung Island. In the southern coast, the wind was strong in both winter and summer, fog formed frequently in late spring through mid-summer and heavy precipitation was in summer. Typhoon affecting Korea was usually passing this area to the East Sea. In the western coast, strong wind was prevailing in winter at southern region and fog was formed very frequently throughout the year.

• Steel and Composite Structures
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• 제52권4호
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• pp.461-473
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• 2024

This study focuses on the reliability of a transmission line under wind excitation and evaluates the failure probability using explicit data resources. The data-driven framework for calculating the failure probability of a transmission line subjected to wind loading is presented, and a probabilistic method for estimating the yearly extreme wind speeds in each wind direction is provided to compensate for the incompleteness of meteorological data. Meteorological data from the Xuwen National Weather Station are used to analyze the distribution characteristics of wind speed and wind direction, fitted with the generalized extreme value distribution. Then, the most vulnerable tower is identified to obtain the fragility curves in all wind directions based on uncertainty analysis. Finally, the failure probabilities are calculated based on the presented method. The simulation results reveal that the failure probability of the employed tower increases over time and that the joint probability distribution of the wind speed and wind direction must be considered to avoid overestimating the failure probability. Additionally, the mixed wind climates (synoptic wind and typhoon) have great influence on the estimation of structural failure probability and should be considered.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.17-22
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• 2012

스크린 도어는 승강장에 설치하여 차량운행에 의한 승객의 안전을 확보하고, 승강장 내 공기질을 확보를 통한 쾌적함을 유지하며, 냉난방 에너지를 줄임으로써 다양한 효용성을 확보하고 있다. 이러한 스크린 도어의 안정성을 확보하기 위해서는 내풍압 평가를 고려한 설계가 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 승강장 스크린 도어의 내풍압을 예측하기 위하여 소사역사, 반밀폐형 스크린 도어, 전동차를 모델링하고 해석을 수행하였다. 또한 소사역은 지상역으로 외부에 노출되어 있기 때문에 기후조건에 영향을 받게 된다. 따라서 최악의 기후조건인 태풍의 영향을 고려하여 해석을 수행하였다. 해석결과, 최대 내풍압은 287 Pa이고, 외풍압을 고려한 최대압력은 865 Pa로 설계조건은 2756.25 Pa보다 약 3.1배 차이로 안정성이 확보됨을 알 수 있다.

• 한국방재안전학회논문집
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.39-46
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• 2015

시공간적으로 불규칙하게 작용하는 태풍의 변동풍속은 지표면의 조도에 의해 많은 영향을 받으며, 이러한 불규칙한 변동풍속을 받는 저층 중층 고층건물의 안전 및 사용성의 평가는 이와 관련한 많은 파라미터에 의해 평가되고 있다. 최근 우리나라를 통과한 태풍 매미(2003), 곰파스(2010), 템빈(2012)의 변동풍속자료로부터 난류의 특성 및 스펙트럼의 평가를 알아 보기 위하여 6개의 대표지점을 선정했고, 선정된 각 지점에 대한 변동풍속자료는 기상청으로부터 획득했지만, 이 자료는 지상 10m 높이에서 관측되었고 1분의 평균자료이다. 이러한 기상청의 자료는 실측자료이기는 하나 1분 평균에 의한 진동수의 영역별 영향이 평균화될 수 있고, 높이에 따른 변동풍속의 특성을 잘 나타내지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 고층건물에 영향을 미치는 지상 200m 높이에서의 변동풍속에 대한 확률분포, 난류특성 및 스펙트럼을 평가하기 위하여 기상청 자료와 Monte Carlo Simulation 방법을 이용하여 변동풍속을 해석한 후 비교 검토하였다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.203-217
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• 2018

For this study, WRF numerical modeling was performed, using RDAPS information for input data on typhoons affecting the Korean peninsula to produce wind data of 700hPa. RAM numerical modeling was also used to calculate 3-second gusts as the extreme wind speed. After comparing wind speeds at an altitude of 10 m to evaluate the feasibility of WRF numerical modeling, modeled values were found to be similar with measured ones, reflecting change tendencies well. Therefore, the WRF numerical modeling results were verified. As a result of comparing and analyzing these wind speeds, as calculated through RAM numerical modeling, to evaluate applicability for disaster preparedness, change tendencies were observed to be similar between modeled and measured values. In particular, modeled values were slightly higher than measured ones, indicating applicability for the prevention of possible damage due to gales. Our analysis of 3-second gusts during the study period showed a high distribution of 3-second gusts in the southeast region of the Korean peninsula from 2002-2006. The frequency of 3-second gusts increased in the central north region of Korea as time progressed. Our analysis on the characteristics of 3-second gusts during years characterized by El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ or La Nina showed greater strength during hurricanes that affected the Korean peninsula in El $Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ years.

• 한국항해항만학회지
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• 제39권5호
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• pp.385-391
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• 2015

In offshore, various external forces such as wind force, tidal current and impulsive breaking wave force act on offshore wind tower. Among these forces, impulsive breaking wave force is especially more powerful than other forces. Therefore, various studies on impulsive breaking wave forces have been carried out, but the soil reaction are incomplete. In this study, the p-y curve is used to calculate the soil reaction acting on the offshore wind tower when an impulsive breaking wave force occurs by typhoon. The calculation of offshore wind tower against impulsive breaking wave force is applied for the multi-layered soil. The results obtained in this study show that although the same wave height is applied, the soil reaction generated by impulsive breaking wave force is greater than the soil reaction generated by wave force.