• Title/Summary/Keyword: Type-I error

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Classification accuracy measures with minimum error rate for normal mixture (정규혼합분포에서 최소오류의 분류정확도 측도)

  • Hong, C.S.;Lin, Meihua;Hong, S.W.;Kim, G.C.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.619-630
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    • 2011
  • In order to estimate an appropriate threshold and evaluate its performance for the data mixed with two different distributions, nine kinds of well-known classification accuracy measures such as MVD, Youden's index, the closest-to- (0,1) criterion, the amended closest-to- (0,1) criterion, SSS, symmetry point, accuracy area, TA, TR are clustered into five categories on the basis of their characters. In credit evaluation study, it is assumed that the score random variable follows normal mixture distributions of the default and non-default states. For various normal mixtures, optimal cut-off points for classification measures belong to each category are obtained and type I and II error rates corresponding to these cut-off points are calculated. Then we explore the cases when these error rates are minimized. If normal mixtures might be estimated for these kinds of real data, we could make use of results of this study to select the best classification accuracy measure which has the minimum error rate.

MEASURING THE INFLUENCE OF TASK COMPLEXITY ON HUMAN ERROR PROBABILITY: AN EMPIRICAL EVALUATION

  • Podofillini, Luca;Park, Jinkyun;Dang, Vinh N.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.45 no.2
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2013
  • A key input for the assessment of Human Error Probabilities (HEPs) with Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) methods is the evaluation of the factors influencing the human performance (often referred to as Performance Shaping Factors, PSFs). In general, the definition of these factors and the supporting guidance are such that their evaluation involves significant subjectivity. This affects the repeatability of HRA results as well as the collection of HRA data for model construction and verification. In this context, the present paper considers the TAsk COMplexity (TACOM) measure, developed by one of the authors to quantify the complexity of procedure-guided tasks (by the operating crew of nuclear power plants in emergency situations), and evaluates its use to represent (objectively and quantitatively) task complexity issues relevant to HRA methods. In particular, TACOM scores are calculated for five Human Failure Events (HFEs) for which empirical evidence on the HEPs (albeit with large uncertainty) and influencing factors are available - from the International HRA Empirical Study. The empirical evaluation has shown promising results. The TACOM score increases as the empirical HEP of the selected HFEs increases. Except for one case, TACOM scores are well distinguished if related to different difficulty categories (e.g., "easy" vs. "somewhat difficult"), while values corresponding to tasks within the same category are very close. Despite some important limitations related to the small number of HFEs investigated and the large uncertainty in their HEPs, this paper presents one of few attempts to empirically study the effect of a performance shaping factor on the human error probability. This type of study is important to enhance the empirical basis of HRA methods, to make sure that 1) the definitions of the PSFs cover the influences important for HRA (i.e., influencing the error probability), and 2) the quantitative relationships among PSFs and error probability are adequately represented.

Directed evolution을 이용한 (S)-Ketoprofen ethlyester의 광학분활용 Esterase의 특성 개량

  • Kim, Seung-Beom;Kim, Ji-Hui;Yu, Yeon-U
    • 한국생물공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.445-449
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    • 2003
  • As for the purpose, we first introduce an random mutation into wild-type gene to expand a mutation space, and then further recombine the mutant genes by staggered extension process PCR. As a result, we obtained the best clones 6-52 that showed a high activity and stability, from a round of error prone and staggered extension process PCR. The purified enzyme showed a similar pH stability to the wild-type enzyme and reveal a slightly high optimum pH at 12. In the optimum temperature, an identical dependency was also showed and a quite high stability in the thermal stability was obtained. Along with this, the enzyme was also stable at a reaction that supplement with a 15 % of ethanol as an additive. The addition of other solvents and surfactants did not improve the reaction and thus resulted in a similar profile to those of wild-type enzyme. The specific activity on the target compound rac-ketoprofen ethyl ester was calculated to be about 85, 000 unit, and the kinetic constants Km and Vmax were determined to be 0.2 mM and 90 mM/mg-protein/min respectively. The deduced amino acid alignment with the wild type enzyme revealed five mutations at L120P, I208V, T249A, D287H and T357A. Based on these observations, the site directed mutagenesis to delineate the mutagenic effect is under progress.

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Correlation Analysis between Fatigue and Performance Shaping Factor for Alternation Worker's (Focused on the Semiconductor industry) (교대근무자의 피로와 수행영향인자 간의 상관관계 분석 (반도체 산업을 중심으로))

  • Yoon, Yong-Gu;Park, Peom
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.303-316
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    • 2008
  • For the past 25 years, Korean semiconductor has experienced enormous growth to be the highest production country in the world. Semiconductor industry is very time sensitive and driven by technology and process, and requires 24-hour full operation. The environment includes many different types of equipment, utilities, different gases and toxic chemicals as well as high voltage electricity. We have performed a survey with 3-shift engineers and workers in one line. The content of the questionnaire was about the correlation between fatigue and performance shaping factor (work type and work ability), and as a result we were able to deduce the correlation, p-value and the pattern of scatter plot. The shape of the model was made of 4 blocks for fatigue, 5 blocks for work type and 5 blocks for work ability, i. e. 14 blocks in total. As a conclusion to this findings, there was a correlation between fatigue and work type and work ability specifically in semiconductor industry, and we need some effort to reduce this.

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Comparison of Setup Deviations for Two Thermoplastic Immobilization Masks in Glottis Cancer (성문암 세기변조방사선치료에서 두 가지 열가소성 마스크에 대한 환자위치잡이 오차 평가)

  • Jung, Jae Hong
    • Journal of radiological science and technology
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was compare to the patient setup deviation of two different type thermoplastic immobilization masks for glottis cancer in the intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT). A total of 16 glottis cancer cases were divided into two groups based on applied mask type: standard or alternative group. The mean error (M), three-dimensional setup displacement error (3D-error), systematic error (${\Sigma}$), random error (${\sigma}$) were calculated for each group, and also analyzed setup margin (mm). The 3D-errors were $5.2{\pm}1.3mm$ and $5.9{\pm}0.7mm$ for the standard and alternative groups, respectively; the alternative group was 13.6% higher than the standard group. The systematic errors in the roll angle and the x, y, z directions were $0.8^{\circ}$, 1.7 mm, 1.0 mm, and 1.5 mm in the alternative group and $0.8^{\circ}$, 1.1 mm, 1.8 mm, and 2.0 mm in the alternative group. The random errors in the x, y, z directions were 10.9%, 1.7%, and 23.1% lower in the alternative group than in the standard group. However, absolute rotational angle (i.e., roll) in the alternative group was 12.4% higher than in the standard group. For calculated setup margin, the alternative group in x direction was 31.8% lower than in standard group. In contrast, the y and z direction were 52.6% and 21.6% higher than in the standard group. Although using a modified thermoplastic immobilization mask could be affect patient setup deviation in terms of numerical results, various point of view for an immobilization masks has need to research in terms of clinic issue.

Statistical Errors of Articles Published in the Journal of Oriental Rehabilitation Medicine(I) (한방재활의학과학회지의 통계적 오류에 관한 고찰(I))

  • Park, Tae-Yong;Heo, Tae-Young;Shin, Byung-Cheul
    • Journal of Korean Medicine Rehabilitation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.105-130
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    • 2010
  • Objectives : The purpose of this study was to assess the statistical methods errors used in the journal of Oriental Rehabilitation Medicine(JORM) and to identify the types of errors in statistical analysis. Methods : We reviewed quantitative articles that were published in the JORM from January 2005 through October 2009. Those were not used by statistical analysis such as literature studies, case study, review articles were not included in this analysis. A total of 296 articles was reviewed. We evaluated the adequacy and the validity of the statistical techniques with our checklist established be modified Lee's checklist, and three statistical evaluators assessed together to minimize bias. Results : Of the 222 articles, 213 were used in inferential and descriptive statistics. Of those 80% of articles adopting descriptive and inferential statistics were detected having statistical errors. One articles used 1.7 statistical method unit generally. Most frequently employed statistics were student t-test, one way ANOVA. pearson correlation analysis, Mann-whitney U test, paired t-test, and chi-square test in their order. However, most frequent statistics having errors were similar in order. The most common statistic errors were as follow: 1. absence of normality test, 2. misuse between paired test and unpaired test, 3. wrong choice of repeated measures analysis without consideration of time variables, 4, increase of Type I error by using inappropriate multiple test, 5. inappropriate application of discrete or categorical data instead of continuous data in correlation analysis, 6. poor consideration of basic consumption in chi-square test, 7. confusion between frequency comparison and average comparison, 8. mentioning the statistical technique without using it. Conclusions : We found various mistake or misuses in the applications of statistical methodologies in the articles published in the JORM. Careful consideration of statistical use and review from the specialist of statistics are warranted for improving the quality of JORM.

Powerflow Simulation Software of the Automotive Powertrain through the Combination of the Components (I): Development of the Automatic Powerflow Generation Module (요소결합을 통한 파워트레인 시뮬레이션 소프트웨어 (I): 동력흐름 자동생성 모듈 개발)

  • 이승종;서정민
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, the element combination algorithm for designing an arbitrary type of the automatic transmissions is proposed. The powertrain simulation software using this algorithm is then developed. The deliveries of the angular velocities and torques are only considered for the motion characteristics of the automatic transmissions. The effects of the vibration and noise are not considered. The automatic transmission is defined by the basic elements, i.e., planetary gear set, clutch, brake, shaft, general gear, and inertia. The transmission system is defined by the combination of these elements. The element combination matrices automatically generate the equations of motion for each shift. The self error-correcting algorithm is also developed to verify the element combination algorithm. This automotive powertrain simulation/design software with user-friendly graphic user interface has two main modules. The first module, the automatic powerflow generation module, mainly consists of the automatic powerflow and component generation algorithms. This paper covers the theory and application for the first module. The second module deals with the automatic system generation algorithm and will be discussed in the second paper.

A new model for T-shaped combined footings part I: Optimal dimensioning

  • Luevanos-Rojas, Arnulfo;Lopez-Chavarria, Sandra;Medina-Elizondo, Manuel
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2018
  • The foundations are classified into shallow and deep, which have important differences: in terms of geometry, the behavior of the soil, its structural functionality, and its constructive systems. The shallow foundations may be of various types according to their function; isolated footings, combined footings, strip footings, and slabs foundation. The isolated footings are of the type rectangular, square and circular. The combined footing may be rectangular, trapezoidal or T-shaped in plan. This paper presents a new model for T-shaped combined footings to obtain the most economical contact surface on the soil (optimal dimensioning) to support an axial load and moment in two directions to each column. The new model considers the soil real pressure, i.e., the pressure varies linearly. The classical model uses the technique of test and error, i.e., a dimension is proposed, and subsequently, the equation of the biaxial bending is used to obtain the stresses acting on each vertex of the T-shaped combined footing, which must meet the conditions following: The minimum stress should be equal or greater than zero, and maximum stress must be equal or less than the allowable capacity that can withstand the soil. To illustrate the validity of the new model, numerical examples are presented to obtain the minimum area of the contact surface on the soil for T-shaped combined footings subjected to an axial load and moments in two directions applied to each column.

A Study on the Development of a Corrupad Rewinding Machine with Eccentric Cantilever Structure (편심 외팔보 구조의 코러패드 재권취기 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 김강은;이종호;신대영;이우영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.1609-1613
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    • 2003
  • This research focused on the development of automatically exclusive production equipment of corrupad as changing manual system into automatic system to increase the output. Therefore the minimization of the problem of the rewinding mechanism with eccentric cantilever structure is key to the achievement of the high performance for automation production. Proto-type corrupad rewinding machine is manufactured after considering the effect of the rotational vibration and natural frequency of the structure of machine by using 3D design packages such as ADAMS and I-deas. For evaluating the performance of the proto-type machine, simulations of dynamic and static characteristics using 3D design packages, a series of modal tests by accelerometer and measurements of dynamic behavior by high-speed camera for rewinding part, were carried out. As a result, the proto-type machine was not affected with the rotational vibration. Whirling error of eccentric cantilever structure in driving is small. Therefore the machine developed is most suitable to produce corrupad automatically. However reinforcement of the structure in axial direction is required due to so vibration in that direction.

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Solutions of Integral Equations Related to SPRT for Erlang Distribution (얼랑분포의 축차확률비검정과 관련된 적분 방정식의 해)

  • Lee Eun-Kyung;Na Myung Hwan;Lee Yoon-Dong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose a method to evaluate the solutions of the renewal equations related to SPRT for Erlang distribution. In SPRT, the Average Sample Number(ASN) and type I or type II error probabilities are shown in Fredholm type integral equations. The integral equations are generally solved by the approximation method using Gaussian quadrature. For Erlang distribution, it has been known that the exact solutions of the equations exist. We propose the algorithm to solve the equations.