• Title/Summary/Keyword: Type I censoring

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Accelerated Life Tests under Gamma Stress Distribution (스트레스함수가 감마분포인 가속수명시험)

  • 원영철
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2002
  • This paper presents accelerated life tests for Type I censoring data under probabilistic stresses. Probabilistic stress, S, is the random variable for stress influenced by test environments, test equipments, sampling devices and use conditions. The hazard rate, $\theta$ is a random variable of environments and a function of probabilistic stress. In detail, it is assumed that the hazard rate is linear function of the stress, the general stress distribution is a gamma distribution and the life distribution for the given hazard rate, $\theta$is an exponential distribution. Maximum likelihood estimators of model parameters are obtained, and the mean life in use stress condition is estimated. A hypothetical example is given to show its applicability.

Optimal Design of Constant Stress Accelerated Life Tests Using Degradation Phenomenon Based on a Brownian Motion (브라운 운동을 따르는 열화현상을 이용한 일정스트레스 가속수명시험의 최적설계)

  • 서순근;김갑석;하천수
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.74-87
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    • 1998
  • This study considers optimal design of accelerated life tests under constant stress using that the first passage time to cross a critical boundary through amount of accumulated degradation has an inverse Gaussian distribution when the degradation process follows to a Brownian motion with positive drift of log linear function of stress. Optimum plans for Type I censoring are derived by minimizing the asymptotic variance of estimated quantiles at the use stress. Sensitivity analyses are also conducted to see how sensitive the optimality criterion is with respect to the uncertainties involved in the guessed values.

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Design of Accelerated Life Test Plans for the Lognormal Failure Distribution under Intermittent Inspection (대수정규분포와 간헐적 검사하에서 가속수명시험방식의 설계)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun;Cho, Ho-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.25-43
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    • 1996
  • This paper presents the optimal and practical constant-stress accelerated life test plans for the lognormal lifetime distribution tinder assumptions of intermittent inspection and Type-I censoring. In an optimal plan, the low stress level and the proportions of test units allocated at each stress are determined under given inspection scheme and number of inspections such that the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator of a certain quantile at use condition is minimized. Although the practical plan adopts the same design criterion, it involves three rather than two overstress levels in order to compromise the practical deficiencies of the optimal plan. Computational experiments are conducted to choose an allocation plan and a inspection scheme of the practical plan and to compare with test plans over a range of parameter values.

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Statistical Design of Two-Stage Reliability Demonstration Tests (2단계 신뢰성 실증시험의 통계적 설계)

  • Seo, Sun-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.39 no.2
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    • pp.313-319
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    • 2011
  • In design verification and process validation stages, reliability demonstration tests(RDT's) are common practice in industry, A new two-stage RDT that is known to be more efficient than a corresponding single-stage one in terms of expected test duration for Weibull distribution is proposed. Zero or one failure two-stage plans to minimize expected test duration under Type I and hybrid censoring subject to satisfying consumer's risk at a specified reliability target are developed and a numerical example is provided to illustrate the proposed two-stage RDT plans and compared with other one- and two-stage plans.

The Influence of Loyalty Program on the Effect of Customer Retention: Focused on Education Service Industry (고객보상 프로그램이 고객 유지에 미치는 효과: 교육 서비스 산업을 중심으로)

  • Jeon, Hoseong
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.25-53
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    • 2011
  • This study probes the effect of loyalty program on the customer retention based on the real transaction data(n=2,892) acquired from education service industry. We try to figure out the outcomes of reward program through more than 1 year-long data gathered and analyzed according to quasi-experimental design(i.e., before and after design). We adopt this kinds of research scheme in regard that previous studies measured the effect of loyalty program by dividing the customers into two group(i.e., members vs. non-members) after the firms or stores had started the program. We believe that it might not avoid the self-selection bias. The research questions of this study could be explained such as: First, most research said that the loyalty programs could increase the customer loyalty and contribute to the sustainable growth of company. But there are little confirmation that this promotional tool could be justified in terms of financial perspective. Thus, we are interested in both the retention rate and financial outcomes caused by the introduction of loyalty programs. Second, reward programs target mainly current customer. Especially CRM(customer relationship management) said that it is more profitable for company to build positive relationship with current customer instead of pursuing new customer. And it claims that reward program is excellent means to achieve this goal. For this purpose, we check in this study whether there is a interaction effect between loyalty program and customer type in retaining customer. Third, it is said that dis-satisfied customers are more likely to leave the company than satisfied customers. While, Bolton, Kannan and Bramlett(2000) claimed that reward program could contribute to minimize the effect of negative service by building emotional link with customer, it is not empirically confirmed. This point of view explained that the loyalty programs might work as exit barrier to current customer. Thus, this study tries to identify whether there is a interaction effect between loyalty program and service experience in keeping customer. To achieve this purpose, this study adopt both Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazard model. The research outcomes show that the average retention period is 179 days before introducing loyalty program but it is increased to 227 days after reward is given to the customers. Since this difference is statistically significant, it could be said that H1 is supported. In addition, the contribution margin coming from increased transaction period is bigger than the cost for administering loyalty programs. To address other research questions, we probe the interaction effect between loyalty program and other factors(i.e., customer type and service experience) affecting it. The analysis of Cox proportional hazard model said that the current customer is more likely to engage in building relationship with company compared to new customer. In addition, retention rate of satisfied customer is significantly increased in relation to dis-satisfied customer. Interestingly, the transaction period of dis-satisfied customer is notably increased after introducing loyalty programs. Thus, it could be said that H2, H3, and H4 are also supported. In summary, we found that the loyalty programs have values as a promotional tool in forming positive relationship with customer and building exit barrier.

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