• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trip distribution model

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3-Dimensional Balancing Technique for Nationwide Travel Demand Model using Toll Collecting System Data (3-D 기법을 이용한 TCS기반 전국 교통수요 추정 연구)

  • 이승재;이헌주
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.63-72
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    • 2002
  • We applied 3-D balancing technique to estimate nationwide travel demand using travel behavior of Toll Collecting System data, socio-economic data in the region, and the data of several organizations connected with travel demand estimation. The results from this study were validated by the indices of RMSE(Root Mean Square Error), TLFD(Trip Length Frequency Distribution). TCS based inter-city average travel to measure of reliability and adequacy of estimated travel demand. Finally, 3-D technique seems to reflect more travel behavior of TCS OD than 2-D technique, but we cannot assert that 3-D technique superior to 2-D technique.

Introducing A Spatial-temporal Activity-Based Approach for Estimating Travel Demand at KTX Stations (KTX 정차 역의 교통수요 추정을 위한 시.공간 활동기반 분석기법 적용방안 연구)

  • Eom, Jin-Ki
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.734-743
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    • 2007
  • The KTX station is one of special generators that produce a lot of trips caused by special land use such as university, airport, and super shopping mall. Special generators need special attention in developing travel demand models since the standard trip generation and distribution model in the conventional four-step approach do not provide reliable estimates of their travel patterns. New modeling approach, activity-based model, considering travel behavior of person, seem to be more appropriate for those special generators. Thus, this study introduces a spatial-temporal activity-based approach and how activity-based approach can be applied to estimation of travel demand at KTX stations.

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Estimation of the Traffic Flow in the Korea Coastal Waterway by Computer Simulation (우리나라 연안의 해상교통관제시스템 설치를 위한 기초연구 시뮬레이션에 의한 우리나라 연안의 해상교통량 추정)

  • 구자윤;박양기;이철영
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Navigation
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.85-112
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    • 1988
  • From the point of view of safety of life and property at sea and the protection of the marine environment, the Vessel Traffic Management System along the Korea coastal waterway is inevitably introduced. But the establishing priority per area must be evaluated under the restricted budget. In this case, the estimated traffic flow has a major effect on priority evaluation. In the former paper , an algorithm was proposed for estimating the trip distribution between each pair of zones such as harbours and straits. This paper aims to formulate a simulation model for estimating the dynamic traffic flow per area in the Korea coastal waterway. The model consists of the algorithm constrined by the statistical movement of ships and the observed data, the regression analysis and the traffic network evaluations. The processed results of traffic flow except fishing vessel are summarized as follows ; 1) In 2000, the traffic congestions per area are estimated, in proportion of ship's number (tonnage), as Busan area 22.3%(44.5%), Yeosu area 19.8%(11.2%), Wando-Jeju area18.1%(6.8%), Mokpo area 14.9%(9.9%), Gunsan area 9.1%(9.3%), Inchon area 8.1%(7.7%), Pohang area 5.5%(8.5%), and Donghae area 2.2%(2.1%). 2) For example in Busan area, the increment of traffic volume per annum is estimated 4, 102 ships (23 million tons) and the traffic flow in 2000 is evaluated 158, 793 ships (687 million tons). 3) consequently, the increment of traffic volume in Busan area is found the largest and followed by Yeosu, Wando-Jeju area. Also, the traffic flow per area in 2000 has the same order.

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Application of the Flow-Capturing Location-Allocation Model to the Seoul Metropolitan Bus Network for Selecting Pickup Points (서울 대도시권 버스 네트워크에서 픽업 위치 선정을 위한 흐름-포착 위치-할당 모델의 적용)

  • Park, Jong-Soo
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.19D no.2
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2012
  • In the Seoul metropolitan bus network, it may be necessary for a bus passenger to pick up a parcel, which has been purchased through e-commerce, at his or her convenient bus stop on the way to home or office. The flow-capturing location-allocation model can be applied to select pickup points for such bus stops so that they maximize the captured passenger flows, where each passenger flow represents an origin-destination (O-D) pair of a passenger trip. In this paper, we propose a fast heuristic algorithm to select pickup points using a large O-D matrix, which has been extracted from five million transportation card transactions. The experimental results demonstrate the bus stops chosen as pickup points in terms of passenger flow and capture ratio, and illustrate the spatial distribution of the top 20 pickup points on a map.

Trip Assignment for Transport Card Based Seoul Metropolitan Subway Using Monte Carlo Method (Monte Carlo 기법을 이용한 교통카드기반 수도권 지하철 통행배정)

  • Meeyoung Lee;Doohee Nam
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.64-79
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    • 2023
  • This study reviewed the process of applying the Monte Carlo simulation technique to the traffic allocation problem of metropolitan subways. The analysis applied the assumption of a normal distribution in which the travel time information of the inter-station sample is the basis of the probit model. From this, the average and standard deviation are calculated by separating the traffic between stations. A plan was proposed to apply the simulation with the weights of the in-vehicle time of individual links and the walking and dispatch interval of transfer. Long-distance traffic with a low number of samples of 50 or fewer was evaluated as a way to analyze the characteristics of similar traffic. The research results were reviewed in two directions by applying them to the Seoul Metropolitan Subway Network. The travel time between single stations on the Seolleung-Seongsu route was verified by applying random sampling to the in-vehicle time and transfer time. The assumption of a normal distribution was accepted for sample sizes of more than 50 stations according to the inter-station traffic sample of the entire Seoul Metropolitan Subway. For long-distance traffic with samples numbering less than 50, the minimum distance between stations was 122Km. Therefore, it was judged that the sample deviation equality was achieved and the inter-station mean and standard deviation of the transport card data for stations at this distance could be applied.

Building a TDM Impact Analysis System for the Introduction of Short-term Congestion Management Program in Seoul (교통수요관리 방안의 단기적 효과 분석모형의 구축)

  • 황기연;김익기;엄진기
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.173-185
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to develope a forecasting model to implement short-term Congestion Management Program (CMP) based on TDM strategies in Seoul. The CMP is composed of three elements: 1) setting a goal of short-term traffic management. 2) developing a model to forecast the impacts of TDM alternatives, and 3) finding TDM measures to achieve the goal To Predict the impacts of TDM alternatives, a model called SECOMM (SEoul COngestion Management Model) is developed. The model assumes that trip generation and distribution are not changing in a short term, and that only mode split and traffic assignment are affected by TDM. The model includes the parameter values calibrated by a discrete mode choice model, and roadway and transit networks with 1,020 zones. As a TDM measure implement, it affects mode choice behavior first and then the speeds of roadway network. The chanced speed again affects the mode choice behavior and the roadway speeds. These steps continue until the network is equilibrated. The study recommends that CMP be introduced in Seoul, and that road way conditions be monitored regularly to secure the prediction accuracy of SECOMM. Also, TDM should be the major Policy tools in removing short-term congestion problems in a big city.

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Estimation of Trip Matrices from Traffic Counts : An Equilibrium Approach (교통망 평형 조건하에서 링크 교통량 자료를 이용한 기종점 통행표 추정방법에 관한 연구)

  • 오재학
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 1992
  • 교통수요는 교통정책 및 교통시설 계획의 수립 및 평가에 중요한 영향을 미치게 되므로 교통수요의 예측은 교통연구에서 중요한 부문을 차지하고 있다. 도로밑에 설치된 전자차량감지기(Electronic Vehicle Detector)로부터 자동 수집된 링크 교통량 자료(Traffic Counts)를 주요 입력자료로 이용하여 계획지역의 기종점 통행표(Origin Destination Trip Matrix)를 작성할 수 있는 기법 들이 최근 수년동안 많이 발달하게 되었다. 이러한 새로운 기법들은 가구조사(Home Inteview), 노변면접조사(Road-Side Interview)등을 토하여 조사된 자료를 기초로하는 전통적은 4단계 교통수요추정방법(Conventional 4-Stage Estimation Method)-통행발생(Generation), 통행분포(Distribution), 수단선택(Modal Split), 교통배분(Assignment)-과 비교하여 첫째로 정확도가 높은 링크 교통량 자료를 별도의 조사를 거치지 않고서도 수집이 가능하기 때문에 조사비용이 거의 들지 않아도 되어 경제적이고, 둘째로 전통적인 수요예측방법들에서 요구되어지는 복잡한 모형수립 및 계수조정(Parameter Calibration)이 필요하지 않아 간편하고 셋째로 오래전에 작성된 기종점 통행표를 단순히 링크 교통량 자료만을 이용하여 쉽게 보완할 수 있어 지속적인 자료의 축적(Data Age-ing)이 가능하며 더 나아 가서 소위 연속적인 교통 계획 및 교통시설관리(Continuous Transport Planning and Management)를 가능케 하는 등의 여러 장점 때문에 많은 주목을 받아 오고 최근 몇 년이 꾸준히 실무에 유용하게 적용이 되고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구는 링크 교통량자료를 이용하여 기종점 통행표를 작성하기 위하여 개발된 기존의 여러 기법들 가운데 특히 용량제약조건(Capacity-Restrained Condition)하에서 기존의 방법들을 상호 검토한 후 Wardrop의 교통망 평형원칙(Wardrop's First Network Equilibrium Principle)을 만족하는 새로운 추정기법을 제의하고 이의 시험결과를 논의하는 것을 주요내용으로 한다. 링크 교통량 자료를 이용하여 기종점 통행표를 작성하는 기법들의 근본 목표는 조사된 링크 교통량(Ob-served Traffic Counts)에 가장 근접한 교통망 통행 배정 링크 교통량(Assigned Link Volumes)을 재현(Re-producing)할 수 있는 기종점 통행표들 중에서 최적의 기종점 통행표를 발견하는 것이다. 따라서 교통망에서 통행자의 여행 경로 배정을 가장 잘 반영할 수 있는 현실적인(Realistic) 교통망 통행 배정 모형(Net-work Traffic Assignment Model)의 선택은 중요한 요소가 되며 특히 교통망에 교통체증(Traffic Conges-tion)이 심할 경우 교통망 통행자 평형조건(Network Traffic Equilibrium Condition)을 고려하기 위한 특별한 처리가 요구되어진다. 본 연구는 Whllumsen(Hall, Van Vliet and Willumsen, 1980)에 의하여 개발된 ME2(Maximum Entropy Matrix Estimation)기법에서 반복식 추정방법(Sequential Estimation Method)을 사용할 경우 Wardrop의 평형조건을 만족하는 기종점 통행표를 구할 수 없다는 단점을 극복하기 위한 방안으로서 엔트로피 극대화문제와 교통망 평형 조건(Entropy Maximisation and Network Equilibrium Condition)의 두 문제를 동시에 해결할 수 있는 새로운 수식모형과 이를 풀기 위한 알고리즘(Simultaneous Solution Algorithm)을 제의하였다. 제의된 수식모형과 알고리즘을 예제 교통망(Example Network)을 이용한 시험하고 그 결과를 ME2 의 반복식 추정 방법으로부터 구한 기종점 통행표와 비교 검토하였다.

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Dynamic O-D Trip estimation Using Real-time Traffic Data in congestion (혼잡 교통류 특성을 반영한 동적 O-D 통행량 예측 모형 개발)

  • Kim Yong-Hoon;Lee Seung-Jae
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.5 no.1 s.9
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2006
  • In order to estimate a dynamic origin and destination demand between on and off-ramps in the freeways, a traffic flow theory can be used to calculate a link distribution proportion of traffics moving between them. We have developed a dynamic traffic estimation model based on the three-phase traffic theory (Kerner, 2004), which explains the complexity of traffic phenomena based on phase transitions among free-flow, synchronized flow and moving jam phases, and on their complex nonlinear spatiotemporal features. The developed model explains and estimates traffic congestion in terms of speed breakdown, phase transition and queue propagation. We have estimated the link, on and off-ramp volumes at every time interval by using traffic data collected from vehicle detection systems in Korea freeway sections. The analyzed results show that the developed model describes traffic flows adequately.

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Analysis Method for Full-length LiDAR Waveforms (라이다 파장 분석 방법론에 대한 연구)

  • Jung, Myung-Hee;Yun, Eui-Jung;Kim, Cheon-Shik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.44 no.4 s.316
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    • pp.28-35
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    • 2007
  • Airbone laser altimeters have been utilized for 3D topographic mapping of the earth, moon, and planets with high resolution and accuracy, which is a rapidly growing remote sensing technique that measures the round-trip time emitted laser pulse to determine the topography. The traveling time from the laser scanner to the Earth's surface and back is directly related to the distance of the sensor to the ground. When there are several objects within the travel path of the laser pulse, the reflected laser pluses are distorted by surface variation within the footprint, generating multiple echoes because each target transforms the emitted pulse. The shapes of the received waveforms also contain important information about surface roughness, slope and reflectivity. Waveform processing algorithms parameterize and model the return signal resulting from the interaction of the transmitted laser pulse with the surface. Each of the multiple targets within the footprint can be identified. Assuming each response is gaussian, returns are modeled as a mixture gaussian distribution. Then, the parameters of the model are estimated by LMS Method or EM algorithm However, each response actually shows the skewness in the right side with the slowly decaying tail. For the application to require more accurate analysis, the tail information is to be quantified by an approach to decompose the tail. One method to handle with this problem is proposed in this study.

Factors Influencing Commuting Time to Work for the Simple Linkage Travel (단순연계 출근통행시간에 미치는 요인분석)

  • Bin, Mi-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2011
  • This study investigates the factor that influences commuting time to work when individuals allocate their time for different types of activities. The commuting time is an important indicator for an individual to determine the residence and choose the means of transportation. The analysis uses the data collected from people who live in Seoul metropolitan area including Seoul, Incheon and Gyeonggi Province, and commute to work and making the simple linkage travel (home-work-home) within the area. For the analysis, the Cox hazard proportional methodology was adopted. The method is known to be well applied without assuming any distribution in case of the dependent variable being continuous. For the covariate, the interaction effect between the space variable of the work place and the variable of transportation has been also included in the model. The commuting time to work has been estimated for both 1) the whole metropolitan area and 2) the separate regions i.e., Seoul, Incheon and Gyeonggi-Do. The result reveals that characteristic variables related to individual, household and travel properties influence the mode of transportation and the time allocated for commuting to work (p<0.01). This study also demonstrates the usefulness of the Cox hazard proportional model. The data used in this study is the actual household travel data surveyed in 2006 in the metropolitan area, and analyzing the survey data in 2010 is currently in progress. Comparison of the two survey data sets seeking any behavioral change is suggested for the future study.