• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.112-123
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• 2017

The accurate forecasting of the public transportation's transit and arrival time has become increasingly important as more people use buses and subways instead of personal vehicles under the government's public transportation promotion policy. Using bus management system (BMS) data, which provide information on the real-time bus location, operation interval, and operation history, it is now possible to analyze the bus schedule reliability. However, the punctuality should always be considered together with the operation safety. Therefore, this study suggests a new methodology to secure both reliability and safety using the BMS data. Unlike other studies, we calculated the bus travel time between two bus stops by dividing the total travel length into 6 sections using 5 different measuring points. In addition, the optimal travel time for each bus route was proposed by analyzing the mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation of the each section's measurement. This will ensure the reliability, safety and mobility of the bus operation.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.4 no.3 s.8
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• pp.23-31
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• 2005

It is essential that is the collection of more accurate data to provide reliable traffic information. Currently collection of traffic information which uses the taxi or the passenger car by the probe vehicle is low reliability. If it develops the model which estimates car travel-time by using bus travel-time, it means that the sheep or duality of information using the passenger car and the taxi by the probe vehicle than will improve. Consequently the research which develops to each situation in accordance withtraffic volume and bus whole aspect car execution yes or no and bus stand form.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.5
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• pp.835-845
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• 2013

Travel-time is considered the most typical and preferred traffic information for intelligent transportation systems(ITS). This paper proposes a real-time travel-time prediction method for a national highway. In this paper, the K-nearest neighbor(KNN) method is used for travel time prediction. The KNN method (a nonparametric method) is appropriate for a real-time traffic management system because the method needs no additional assumptions or parameter calibration. The performances of various models are compared based on mean absolute percentage error(MAPE) and coefficient of variation(CV). In real application, the analysis of real traffic data collected from Korean national highways indicates that the proposed model outperforms other prediction models such as the historical average model and the Kalman filter model. It is expected to improve travel-time reliability by flexibly using travel-time from the proposed model with travel-time from the interval detectors.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.14 no.6
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• pp.1-13
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• 2015

Travellers consider extra travel time to be arriving their destination because of uncertainty of travel. So it is important to make predictable highway by providing information of travel time variability to traveller so as to enhance level of service at highway. In order to make predictable highway, it is necessary to develope measures of travel time variability that travellers can easily understand. Recently advanced country including the United States, travel time variability index are actively studied. In earlier study, 95percentile of travel time is considered to be most important calculation index of travel time variability. In this study, is has focused on the propriety analysis of 95percentile of travel time in domestic transportation environment. Result of analysis, All of measures(80percentile of travel time, 90percentile of travel time, 95percentile of travel time) show the tendency to increase when case of weather factor occur compare to normal condition under LOS A~D. Especially 95percentile of travel time increased sensitively.

• Transportation Technology and Policy
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• v.9 no.5
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• pp.48-51
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• 2012

• Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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• v.13 no.4
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• pp.330-335
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• 2010

In order to estimate the confidence level of the velocity distribution shown in a velocity image reconstructed from a travel-time tomography, the ray coverage and the inversion characteristics of the system matrix were investigated. The targets of the analysis is the first arrival travel-time, the raypath information, and the resulting velocity model. The ray coverage, degree of ray and model coupling, was estimated by the number of rays and total ray length in a velocity grid, and information regarding the resolution and uncertainties involved in the reconstructed velocity model was derived from the results of the SVD analysis of the system matrix that relates the data space (first arrival travel times) to the model space (velocity distribution in tomogram).

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.27 no.1
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• pp.63-71
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• 2009

The purpose of this paper is to identify unreliable routes in the view of users. After headway error ratio per route and travel time error ratio per route were calculated by using BMS data, reliability which incorporated two indicators each route was calculated through data envelopment analysis. Reliability among routes and among traffic zones was compared through the results, the needs to improve severely unreliable routes and to show passengers adjusted bus schedule information considering current reliability were suggested. As a future study, reliability evaluation framework of each route needs to be developed considering operation environment by analyzing bus card data (passengers and operation speed etc.) and pooly unreliable route should be managed strictly and reformed.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.26 no.2D
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• pp.233-239
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• 2006

Most research for until at now link travel time were research for mean link travel time calculate or estimate which uses the average of the individual vehicle. however, the link travel time distribution is divided caused by with the impact factor which is various traffic condition, signal operation condition and the road conditional etc. preceding study result for link travel time distribution characteristic showed that the patterns of going through traffic were divided up to 2 in the link travel times. therefore, it will be more accurate to divide up the link travel time into the one involving delay and the other without delay, rather than using the average link travel time in terms of assessing the traffic situation. this study is it analyzed transit hour distribution characteristic and a cause using examine to the variables which give an effect at link travel time distribute using simulation program and determinate link travel time distribute ratio estimation model. to assess the distribution of the link travel times, this research develops the regression model and the fuzzy model. the variables that have high level of correlations in both estimation models are the rest time of green ball and the delay vehicles. these variables were used to construct the methods in the estimation models. The comparison of the two estimation models-fuzzy and regression model- showed that fuzzy model out-competed the regression model in terms of reliability and applicability.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.35 no.1
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• pp.63-78
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• 2017

The purpose of this study is to determine the optimal aggregation interval to increase the reliability when estimating representative value of individual vehicle travel time collected by DSRC equipment in interrupted traffic flow section in National Highway. For this, we use the bimodal asymmetric distribution data, which is the distribution of the most representative individual vehicle travel time collected in the interrupted traffic flow section, and estimate the MSE(Mean Square Error) according to the variation of the aggregation interval of individual vehicle travel time, and determine the optimal aggregation interval. The estimation equation for the MSE estimation utilizes the maximum estimation error equation of t-distribution that can be used in asymmetric distribution. For the analysis of optimal aggregation interval size, the aggregation interval size of individual vehicle travel time was only 3 minutes or more apart from the aggregation interval size of 1-2 minutes in which the collection of data was normally lost due to the signal stop in the interrupted traffic flow section. The aggregation interval that causes the missing part in the data collection causes another error in the missing data correction process and is excluded. As a result, the optimal aggregation interval for the minimum MSE was 3~5 minutes. Considering both the efficiency of the system operation and the improvement of the reliability of calculation of the travel time, it is effective to operate the basic aggregation interval as 5 minutes as usual and to reduce the aggregation interval to 3 minutes in case of congestion.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.15 no.2
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• pp.50-62
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• 2016

With programmable applications that utilize sensors, such as global positioning systems and accelerometers, smartphones provide an unprecedented opportunity to collect behavioral data in an unobtrusive and cost-effective manner. This paper assesses the relative accuracy and reliability of the Future Mobility Sensing (FMS), a smartphone-based prompted-recall travel survey. We compared the data extracted from FMS with the data collected from the Korea Passenger Trip Survey (PTS), a traditional self-reported, paper-based travel survey. In total, 46 undergraduate students completed the PTS for seven consecutive days, while also carrying their smartphones with the activated FMS applications for the same time span. After completing the PTS, the participants validated their FMS data on the web-based prompted recall surveys. We then matched the validated FMS data with the PTS-based records. The FMS turns out to be superior in detecting short trips, which are usually under-reported in self-reported travel surveys. The reported PTS travel times are longer than for the FMS, suggesting that participants tend to overestimate their travel time in the PTS. This study contributes to the ongoing development of smartphone-based travel behavior data collecting methods.