• 제목/요약/키워드: Transition Probability

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위성영상정보를 이용한 강우유출 해석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Rainfall-Runoff Analysis of Using Satellite Image)

  • 박영기;이증석;박정규
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 2010
  • Urban watershed can be found in the visible changes in technology, the most realistic satellite images is to use the data. Satellite image data on the indicators for progress on the nature of the change of land use is consistent and repetitive information, regular observation makes possible the detailed analysis of space-time. These remote sensing techniques and the type of course and, by using the time series history, the past, the dynamic model and the randomized prediction methodology for the conversion process if the city and river basin cooperation of the space changes effectively will be able to extrapolate. For each of the main changes in river flow, depending on the area of urbanization as determined according to reproduce the duration of the relationship between the urbanization of the area and runoff can be represented as a linear polynomial expression was, if a linear expression in the two fast slew rate of 0.858 to 0.861 showed up, and fast slew rate of 0.934 to 0.974 for the polynomial are reported. Change of land use changes in the watershed of the flow is one of the most affecting elements. Therefore, changes in land use of the correct classification of rivers is a more accurate calculation of the amount of the floodgate. In particular, using the Landsat images through the image of the land use category, land use past data and calculated using the Markov Chain model and predict the future land use plan in the water control project will be used for large likely.

Photodissociation Dynamics of C2H4BrCl: Nonadiabatic Dynamics with Intrinsic Cs Symmetry

  • Lee, Kyoung-Seok;Paul, Dababrata;Hong, Ki-Ryong;Cho, Ha-Na;Jung, Kwang-Woo;Kim, Tae-Kyu
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • 제30권12호
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    • pp.2962-2968
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    • 2009
  • The photodissociation dynamics of 1,2-bromochloroethane ($C_2H_4BrCl$) was investigated near 234 nm. A two-dimensional photofragment ion-imaging technique coupled with a [2+1] resonance-enhanced multiphoton ionization scheme was utilized to obtain speed and angular distributions of the nascent Br($^2P_{3/2}$) and Br${\ast}($^2P_{1/2}$) atoms. The total translational energy distributions for the Br and Br${\ast}$ channels were well characterized by Gaussian functions with average translational energies of 100 and 84 kJ/mol, respectively. The recoil anisotropies for the Br and Br${\ast}$ channels were measured to be ${\beta}$ = 0.49 ${\pm}$ 0.05 for Br and 1.55 ${\pm}$ 0.05 for Br${\ast}$. The relative quantum yield for Br${\ast}$ was found to be ${\Phi}_{Br{\ast}}$ = 0.33 ${\pm}$ 0.03. The probability of nonadiabatic transition between A' states was estimated to be 0.46. The relevant nonadiabatic dynamics is discussed in terms of interaction between potential energy surfaces in Cs symmetry.

감사의견(監査意見)의 추이요인(推移要因)에 관한 연구(硏究) (A Study on Transition Factor of Audit Opinion)

  • 정연해
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제7권
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    • pp.141-168
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    • 2001
  • The causes that the transparency of Korean accounting information was rated low, a short supply of faithful and transparent accounting information from the limitation of external audit environment must be pointed out. Purpose of the external audit is a expression of the auditors about that financial statements an enterprise made public were appropriately drew up in accordance with the corporate accounting principles from important point of view. Analysis of the audit opinion and so fourth according to 6,541 individual audit reports and introduced to the bill securities forward committee as a subject of external audit according to the raw of corporation external audit show that considerable change to the contents of audit report. This show as it is that uncertainty of future that is now being faced by our enterprise, because corporation which present audit reports since 1997 because of enterprise dishonor and contents of existence probability as a continued enterprise following to general economic crisis after 1998 occupy important position in special matters of audit report. Also, increase in special matters is due to application of the corporate accounting principles revised on December 11, 1998. In 1999, audit opinion under limitation(limitation, incongruity and rejecting opinion) increased greatly according to existence doubt as a continued enterprise, and this is the consequence of strengthening audit to the continues enterprise because of limited enterprise dishonor according to the stagnancy of business activities after 1997. Now financial supervisory service put in effect electromagnetic public announcement system about a project report of listed corporation (including an audit report) keeping pace with a documentary public announcement system as first phase since 1999 and expand to the unlisted corporation from 2000. As electromagnetic public announcement of public announcement documents including audit documents of external audit subject get a duty, approach of external user to the accounting information will be easier. Fixation of this system will make deep and wide analysis to the audit opinion, and this will draw up a plan to reconsider confidence of accounting information.

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Performance Analysis of Opportunistic Spectrum Access Protocol for Multi-Channel Cognitive Radio Networks

  • Kim, Kyung Jae;Kwak, Kyung Sup;Choi, Bong Dae
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2013
  • Cognitive radio (CR) has emerged as one of effective methods to enhance the utilization of existing radio spectrum. Main principle of CR is that secondary users (SUs) are allowed to use the spectrum unused by primary users (PUs) without interfering PU's transmissions. In this paper, PUs operate on a slot-by-slot basis and SUs try to exploit the slots unused by PUs. We propose OSA protocols in the single channel and we propose an opportunistic spectrum access (OSA) protocols in the multi-channel cognitive radio networks with one control channel and several licensed channels where a slot is divided into contention phase and transmission phase. A slot is divided into reporting phase, contention phase and transmission phase. The reporting phase plays a role of finding idle channels unused by PUs and the contention phase plays a role of selecting a SU who will send packets in the data transmission phase. One SU is selected by carrier sense multiple access / collision avoidance (CSMA/CA) with request to send / clear to send (RTS/CTS) mechanism on control channel and the SU is allowed to occupy all remaining part of all idle channels during the current slot. For mathematical analysis, first we deal with the single-channel case and we model the proposed OSA media access control (MAC) protocol by three-dimensional discrete time Markov chain (DTMC) whose one-step transition probability matrix has a special structure so as to apply the censored Markov chain method to obtain the steady state distribution.We obtain the throughput and the distribution of access delay. Next we deal with the multi-channel case and obtain the throughput and the distribution of access delay by using results of single-channel case. In numerical results, our mathematical analysis is verified by simulations and we give numerical results on throughput and access delay of the proposed MAC protocol. Finally, we find the maximum allowable number of SUs satisfying the requirements on throughput and access delay.

해군력이 해양 영토분쟁의 해결에 미치는 영향 (A Study on the Influence of Naval Power upon the Resolution of Maritime Territorial Disputes)

  • 한종환
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권44호
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    • pp.103-141
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    • 2018
  • As the South China Sea maritime dispute illustrates, when considering the place where maritime claims occur, states do not have many choices to respond to maritime claims in which disputed areas are located far away from the land and are surrounded by the sea. As Mearsheimer (2014) points out, the sea stops power projection. Therefore, in order to adopt coercive as well as peaceful settlement policies to deal with maritime claims, states need to overcome obstacles (the sea) to project power. It means that if states want to conduct a specific foreign policy action, such as negotiating maritime borderlines or arguing sovereignty on islands, they need a tool (naval power) to coerce or to persuade the opponent. However, there are lack of research that studies maritime claims from the perspective of naval power. This research project fills this gap based on naval power. How do relative levels of naval power and (dis) parities of naval power influence the occurrence of MIDs over maritime claims? Naval power is a constitutive element during maritime claims. If disputants over maritime claims have required naval power to project their capability, it means that they have the capability to apply various ways, such as aggressive options including MIDs, to accomplish their goals. So, I argue that when two claimants have enough naval power to project their capabilities, the likelihood of MIDs over maritime claims increases. Given that one or both states have a certain level of naval power, how does relative naval power between two claimants influence the management of maritime claims? Based on the power transition theory, I argue that when the disparities of relative naval power between claimants becomes distinctive, militarized conflicts surrounding maritime territory are less probable. Based on the ICOW project which codes maritime claims from 1900 to 2001, the empirical results of the Poisson models show if both claimants have projectable naval power, the occurrence of MIDs over maritime claims increases. In addition, the result shows that when disputants maintain similar relative naval powers, they are more likely to initiate MIDs over maritime claims. To put it differently, if naval capabilities' gap between two claimants becomes larger, the probability of the occurrence of MIDs decreases.

다변량 핵밀도 추정법을 이용한 일강수량 모의에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Simulation of Daily Precipitation Using Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation)

  • 차영일;문영일
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제38권8호
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    • pp.595-604
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    • 2005
  • 관측자료의 보완이나 확충을 위한 강수량 모의발생은 수문분석에 있어서 중요한 과제라고 할 수 있다. 강수량을 모의하는 방법은 크게 기존의 매개변수적 방법과 비매개변수적 방법 두 가지로 나눌 수 있고, 강수량 모의의 시간간격에 따라 일강수량 자료의 모의 또는 시간강수량 자료의 모의 등으로 구분할 수 있다. 지금까지, Markov모형은 일강수량 모의발생에 많이 이용되어왔다. 이러한 대부분 Markov모형들은 동질성모형으로 상태벡터를 구축하는데 있어서 자료의 크기가 작으면 모형구축의 어려움이 따르고 같은 월에 대한 상태벡터의 동질성을 가정하는 등의 문제가 있다. 실제 강수발생의 과정은 비정상적(nonstationary)이므로 이를 보완하기 위해, 된 논문에서는 일강수량을 기존의 매개변수적인 방법이 아닌 단변량과 다변량에 대하여 비매개변수적인 방법으로 접근하여 모의하는 방법에 대하여 분석하였다.

Use of Drug-eluting Stents Versus Bare-metal Stents in Korea: A Cost-minimization Analysis Using Population Data

  • Suh, Hae Sun;Song, Hyun Jin;Jang, Eun Jin;Kim, Jung-Sun;Choi, Donghoon;Lee, Sang Moo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: The goal of this study was to perform an economic analysis of a primary stenting with drug-eluting stents (DES) compared with bare-metal stents (BMS) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) admitted through an emergency room (ER) visit in Korea using population-based data. Methods: We employed a cost-minimization method using a decision analytic model with a two-year time period. Model probabilities and costs were obtained from a published systematic review and population-based data from which a retrospective database analysis of the national reimbursement database of Health Insurance Review and Assessment covering 2006 through 2010 was performed. Uncertainty was evaluated using one-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Results: Among 513 979 cases with AMI during 2007 and 2008, 24 742 cases underwent stenting procedures and 20 320 patients admitted through an ER visit with primary stenting were identified in the base model. The transition probabilities of DES-to-DES, DES-to-BMS, DES-to-coronary artery bypass graft, and DES-to-balloon were 59.7%, 0.6%, 4.3%, and 35.3%, respectively, among these patients. The average two-year costs of DES and BMS in 2011 Korean won were 11 065 528 won/person and 9 647 647 won/person, respectively. DES resulted in higher costs than BMS by 1 417 882 won/person. The model was highly sensitive to the probability and costs of having no revascularization. Conclusions: Primary stenting with BMS for AMI with an ER visit was shown to be a cost-saving procedure compared with DES in Korea. Caution is needed when applying this finding to patients with a higher level of severity in health status.

한국 전통문화 말뭉치구축 및 Bi-LSTM-CNN-CRF를 활용한 전통문화 개체명 인식 모델 개발 (Constructing for Korean Traditional culture Corpus and Development of Named Entity Recognition Model using Bi-LSTM-CNN-CRFs)

  • 김경민;김규경;조재춘;임희석
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제9권12호
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    • pp.47-52
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    • 2018
  • 개체명 인식(Named Entity Recognition)시스템은 문서로부터 고유한 의미를 가질 수 있는 인명(PS), 지명(LC), 기관명(OG) 등의 개체명을 추출하고 추출된 개체명의 범주를 결정하는 시스템이다. 최근 딥러닝 방식을 이용한 개체명 인식 연구에서 입력 데이터의 앞, 뒤 방향을 고려한 LSTM 기반의 Bi-LSTM 모델로부터 출력 데이터 간의 전이 확률을 이용한 CRF를 결합한 방식의 Bi-LSTM-CRF가 우수한 성능을 보이고, 문자 및 단어 단위의 효율적인 임베딩 벡터생성에 관한 연구와 CNN, LSTM을 활용한 모델에서도 좋은 성능을 보여주고 있다. 본 연구에서는 한국어 개체명 인식시스템 성능 향상을 위해 자질을 보강한 Bi-LSTM-CNN-CRF 모델에 관해 기술하고 전통문화 말뭉치구축 방식에 대해 제안한다. 그리고 구축한 말뭉치를 한국어 개체명 인식 성능 향상을 위한 자질 보강 모델 Bi-LSTM-CNN-CRF로 학습한 결과에 대해 제안한다.

순차분석을 활용한 직업능력개발훈련교사의 입직경로 분석 (A Study on Employment Path of Vocational Instructors Using Sequential Analysis)

  • 김민정;이영민
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제21권10호
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    • pp.78-89
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구는 순차분석을 적용하여 직업능력개발훈련교사의 입직경로를 파악하고자 한다. 입직경로를 구체적으로 파악함으로써 체계적인 입직 준비를 위한 지원 방안 마련에 시사점을 줄 것으로 여겨진다. 특히, 본 연구에서는 직업능력개발훈련교사의 입직경로 단계별 빈도 분석, 변환 확률 분석, 유의도 검사 및 변환 상태 도식을 통해 직업능력개발훈련교사의 입직 경로의 단계별 관계를 제시하였다. 분석을 위해 직업능력개발훈련교사 자격을 취득하고 민간직업훈련기관에서 근무하고 있는 훈련교사의 응답 자료를 활용하였다. 연구결과로는 첫째, 직업능력개발훈련교사 입직을 위한 과거 경험 빈도수를 살펴보면 일 경험, 교직 훈련, 강사 경험의 비중이 높게 나타났다. 둘째, 직업능력개발훈련교사 입직 경로 단계에서 일 경험, 교직 훈련, 강사 경험이 후행 단계로의 이동에 가장 큰 영향을 미쳤다. 셋째, 직업능력개발훈련교사 입직경로는 일 경험-강의 경험-교직 훈련 경로가 높게 나타났다. 결과를 통해 직업능력개발훈련교사의 체계적 입직 준비를 위한 방안을 제안하였다.

관리도에서 Markov연쇄의 적용: 복습 및 새로운 응용 (Implementation of Markov chain: Review and new application)

  • 박창순
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제34권4호
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    • pp.537-556
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    • 2021
  • 통계적 공정관리절차의 특성은 해석적 해를 얻기가 어려운 경우가 많이 있으나 Markov연쇄를 적용하면 가능한 경우가 많이 있다. 이 논문에서는 공정 통계량이 Markov특성을 따르는 경우, Markov연쇄를 생성하는 방법과 이를 이용한 공정관리 절차의 특성을 도출하는 방법에 대해 설명하고 있다. 관리도의 통계적 설계, 경제적 설계 및 변량표본 추출비 설계 등의 특성 규명을 위한 Markov연쇄의 적용에 대한 기존의 알려진 방법을 복습하고 또한 새로운 공정관리 분야인 재조정 관리도에의 적용방법에 대한 연구결과도 보여주고 있다. 공정관리의 특성연구에서 해석적 해가 가능한 경우에도 이 과정이 복잡하여 Markov연쇄를 병행 사용하면 특성 규명이 명확해지며, 모의실험보다는 짧은 시간에 더 정밀한 결과를 얻을 수 있어 널리 이용되고 있다.