• 제목/요약/키워드: Trajectory prediction

검색결과 170건 처리시간 0.025초

관제패턴 모델링을 통한 도착예정시간 예측기법 연구 (Aircraft Arrival Time Prediction via Modeling Vectored Area Navigation Arrivals)

  • 홍성권;이금진
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2014
  • This paper introduces a new framework of predicting the arrival time of an aircraft by incorporating the probabilistic information of what type of trajectory pattern will be applied by human air traffic controllers. The proposed method is based on identifying the major patterns of vectored trajectories and finding the statistical relationship of those patterns with various traffic complexity factors. The proposed method is applied to the traffic scenarios in real operations to demonstrate its performances.

생성 모형을 사용한 순항 항공기 향후 속도 예측 및 추론 (En-route Ground Speed Prediction and Posterior Inference Using Generative Model)

  • 백현진;이금진
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 2019
  • An accurate trajectory prediction is a key to the safe and efficient operations of aircraft. One way to improve trajectory prediction accuracy is to develop a model for aircraft ground speed prediction. This paper proposes a generative model for posterior aircraft ground speed prediction. The proposed method fits the Gaussian Mixture Model(GMM) to historical data of aircraft speed, and then the model is used to generates probabilistic speed profile of the aircraft. The performances of the proposed method are demonstrated with real traffic data in Incheon Flight Information Region(FIR).

보행자 경로 예측 기법을 이용한 위험구역 진입 여부 결정과 Knowledge Distillation을 이용한 작은 모델 학습 개선 (Determining Whether to Enter a Hazardous Area Using Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Techniques and Improving the Training of Small Models with Knowledge Distillation)

  • 최인규;이영한;송혁
    • 한국정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제25권9호
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    • pp.1244-1253
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 보행자 경로 예측 기법을 이용하여 보행자들이 현재 시점 이후로 위험구역으로 진입하는지 사전에 예측하는 방법과 경로 예측 네트워크의 효율적인 간소화 방법을 제안한다. 그리고 임베디드 환경에서 실시간 운용을 위해 작은 네트워크에 대하여 KD(Knowledge Distillation)을 적용하는 방법을 제안한다. 예측된 미래 경로와 위험구역 간의 상관관계를 이용하여 진입 여부를 판단하였으며 작은 네트워크를 학습할 때 효율적인 KD를 적용하여 성능저하를 최소화하였다. 실험을 통하여, 제안하는 간소화 기법을 적용한 모델이 기존 모델과 비교하여 37.49%의 속도향상 대비 미미한 정확도 저하를 이끌어 내는 것을 보여 주었다. 또한, 91.43%의 정확도를 가진 작은 네트워크를 KD를 이용하여 학습한 결과 94.76%의 향상된 정확도를 보임을 확인하였다.

에칭공정에서의 Panel-Scale Etching Uniformity 향상을 위한 에칭노즐 궤적예측에 관한 연구 (The Prediction of Nozzle Trajectory on Substrate for the Improvement of Panel-Scale Etching Uniformity)

  • 정기호
    • 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전기전자재료학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집 Vol.21
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    • pp.160-160
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    • 2008
  • In practical etching process, etch ant is sprayed on the metal-deposited panel through nozzles collectively connected to the manifold and that panel is usually composed of many PCB(printed circuit board)'s. The etching uniformity, the difference between individual PCB's on the same panel, has become one of most important features of etching process. In this paper, the prediction of nozzle trajectory has been performed by the combination of algebraic formula and numerical simulation. With the pre-determined geometrical factors of nozzle distribution, the trajectories of individual nozzles were predicted with the change of process operational factors such as panel speed, nozzle swing frequency and so on. As results, two dimensional distribution of impulsive force of etchant spray which could be considered as a key factor determining the etching performance have been successfully obtained. Though only qualitative prediction of etching uniformity have been predicted by the process developed in this study, the expansion to the quantitative prediction of etching uniformity is expected to be apparent by this study.

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탄도미사일의 비행궤적 예측 방법 연구 - 탄종별 비행경로각과 사거리를 중심으로 - (A Study on the Flight Trajectory Prediction Method of Ballistic Missiles - BM type by Adjusting the Angle of a Flight Path and a Range -)

  • 유병천;김주현;권용수;최봉완
    • 시스템엔지니어링학술지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2020
  • The characteristics of ballistic missiles are changing rapidly but studies have mostly focused on fragmentary flight trajectory analysis estimating the changing characteristics of some types, while there is a lack of research on comprehensive and efficient ballistic search, detection and prediction for missiles including the new types that have been gaining attention lately. This paper analyzes the flight trajectory characteristics of ballistic missiles at various ranges considering flight path angle adjustment, specific impulse and drag force with altitude based on the optimized equations of motion reflecting the parameters of North Korea's general and new types of ballistic missiles. The flight trajectory characteristics of representative ranges for each ballistic missile were analyzed by adjusting the flight path angle in the minimum energy method, lofted method, and depressed method. In addition, High value target can attacked by ballistic missiles considering flight path angle adjustment at various points. It's expected to be used to Threat Evaluation and Weapon Allocation, and deployment of defense systems by interpreting the analysis of the latest Iskander-class ballistic missiles and the new multiple rocket launcher.

비행체의 궤적 예측을 위한 순환 신경망 기반 기법들의 정량적 비교 평가에 관한 연구 (Objective Evaluation of Recurrent Neural Network Based Techniques for Trajectory Prediction of Flight Vehicles)

  • 이창진;박인희;정찬호
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.540-543
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    • 2021
  • 본 논문에서는 비행체의 궤적 예측에 적절한 순환 신경망 기반 기법을 탐구하기 위하여 정량적인 비교 평가 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 본 논문에서는 비행체의 궤적 예측 작업을 수행하기 위한 다양한 입력 및 출력 관계들을 정의하고 동일한 실험 환경에서 비교 평가하였다. 특히 비행체 위치의 상대값 기반 입출력 관계를 제안하여 비행체의 궤적 예측에 적합함을 보였다. 또한 비행체 궤적 예측에 효율적인 네트워크 구조 및 하이퍼파라미터를 결정하기 위한 다양한 ablation study(비교 실험)를 진행하였다. 본 논문에서 제시된 정량적 비교 평가 결과는 비행체의 궤적 예측을 위해 순환 신경망 기반 기법을 이용하거나 비행체의 궤적 예측에 특화된 딥러닝 기법을 연구하고자 하는 연구자 및 개발자들에게 실질적인 도움이 될 것으로 예상된다.

En-Route Trajectory calculation using Flight Plan Information for Effective Air Traffic Management

  • Kim, Yong-Kyun;Jo, Yun-Hyun;Yun, Jin-Won;Oh, Taeck-Keun;Roh, Hee-Chang;Choi, Sang-Bang;Park, Hyo-Dal
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.375-384
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    • 2010
  • Trajectory modeling is foundational for 4D-Route modeling, conflict detection and air traffic flow management. This paper proposes a novel algorithm based Vincenty's fomulas for trajectory calculation, combined with the Dijkstra algorithm and Vincenty's formulas. Using flight plan simulations our experimental results show that our method of En-route trajectory calculation exhibits much improved performance in accuracy.

화방 정찰 체계에서의 다수의 이동 로봇을 위한 시간 효율적인 경로 계획 알고리즘에 대한 연구 (Time-Efficient Trajectory Planning Algorithms for Multiple Mobile Robots in Nuclear/Chemical Reconnaissance System)

  • 김재성;김병국
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제15권10호
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    • pp.1047-1055
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    • 2009
  • Since nuclear and chemical materials could damage people and disturb battlefield missions in a wide region, nuclear/chemical reconnaissance systems utilizing multiple mobile robots are highly desirable for rapid and safe reconnaissance. In this paper, we design a nuclear/chemical reconnaissance system including mobile robots. Also we propose time-efficient trajectory planning algorithms using grid coverage and contour finding methods for reconnaissance operation. For grid coverage, we performed in analysis on time consumption for various trajectory patterns generated by straight lines and arcs. We proposed BCF (Bounded Contour Finding) and BCFEP (Bounded Contour Finding with Ellipse Prediction) algorithms for contour finding. With these grid coverage and contour finding algorithms, we suggest trajectory planning algorithms for single, two or four mobile robots. Various simulations reveal that the proposed algorithms improve time-efficiency in nuclear/chemical reconnaissance missions in the given area. Also we conduct basic experiments using a commercial mobile robot and verify the time efficiency of the proposed contour finding algorithms.

정상 해석 기반의 데이터베이스를 이용한 TST 비행체의 분리 궤도 예측 (PREDICTION OF SEPARATION TRAJECTORY FOR TSTO LAUNCH VEHICLE USING DATABASE BASED ON STEADY STATE ANALYSIS)

  • 조재현;안상준;권오준
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.86-92
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, prediction of separation trajectory for Two-stage-To-Orbit space launch vehicle has been numerically simulated by using an aerodynamic database based on steady state analysis. Aerodynamic database were obtained for matrix of longitudinal and vertical positions. The steady flow simulations around the launch vehicle have been made by using a 3-D RANS flow solver based on unstructured meshes. For this purpose, a vertex-centered finite-volume method was adopted to discretize inviscid and viscous fluxes. Roe's finite difference splitting was utilized to discretize the inviscid fluxes, and the viscous fluxes were computed based on central differencing. To validate this flow solver, calculations were made for the wind-tunnel experiment model of the LGBB TSTO vehicle configuration on steady state conditions. Aerodynamic database was constructed by using flow simulations based on test matrix from the wind-tunnel experiment. ANN(Artificial Neural Network) was applied to construct interpolation function among aerodynamic variables. Separation trajectory for TSTO launch vehicle was predicted from 6-DOF equation of motion based on the interpolated function. The result of present separation trajectory calculation was compared with the trajectory using experimental database. The predicted results for the separation trajectory shows fair agreement with reference[4] solution.

퍼지로직을 이용한 위치 예측과 매니퓰레이터의 제어 (Fuzzy logic for a position prediction and manipulator control)

  • 이승환;임종태
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1991년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 22-24 Oct. 1991
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    • pp.152-155
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    • 1991
  • A solution to the problem of robot manipulator tracking of a smoothly moving object is given. It is shown that fuzzy prediction rule, fuzzy control can compensate the adverse effects of noise, time delay, unknown object trajectory, and robot modeling uncertainty. Simulations show that the fuzzy logic control results in acceptable precision,

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