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http://dx.doi.org/10.12985/ksaa.2014.22.2.001

Aircraft Arrival Time Prediction via Modeling Vectored Area Navigation Arrivals  

Hong, Sungkwon (한국항공대학교 대학원 항공교통물류학과)
Lee, Keumjin (한국항공대학교 항공교통물류학과 조교수)
Publication Information
Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics / v.22, no.2, 2014 , pp. 1-8 More about this Journal
Abstract
This paper introduces a new framework of predicting the arrival time of an aircraft by incorporating the probabilistic information of what type of trajectory pattern will be applied by human air traffic controllers. The proposed method is based on identifying the major patterns of vectored trajectories and finding the statistical relationship of those patterns with various traffic complexity factors. The proposed method is applied to the traffic scenarios in real operations to demonstrate its performances.
Keywords
Air Traffic Management; Arrival Time Prediction; Trajectory Prediction; Trajectory Pattern Identification; Air Traffic Complexity;
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