• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic risk assessment

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Study on Fatality Risk of Senior Driver with Aging Classification (초기·중기·후기 고령운전자의 사망자 발생위험도 분석과 시사점)

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.148-161
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    • 2018
  • A traffic fatality by young people marked average annual decrease of 4.5% since 2011. Meanwhile, a traffic fatality by senior over 65 years old marked average annual increase of 7.9% for the last five years which means that the annual increase of traffic fatality by senior will be a serious problem. This study started questioning that senior drivers over 65 years old did not retain the same causal factor of fatal traffic accidents and thus extensively analyzed a risk of it by age group quantitatively, dividing the senior driver group into the early, middle and latter stages. Depending on the aging level, the risk of traffic fatality showed a wide difference in seven different types of traffic accidents generally, and happened to increase with latter and middle parts of the senior driver more than the early part. Therefore, this study proposes four policy suggestions: 1) The senior driver need to be offered customized driving educations and the improvement of road environment is also recommended. 2) Political assistance is needed to support and guide a safety related technology installation for the new or existing car. 3) Renewal of driving license and an aptitude test(physical examination, cognitive test) for drivers over 75 years old should take in a less than 3 years and an additional road test is needed as occasion demands. 4) Like the United States and Europe, development and extension of customized treatment guidebook for medical teams who examine senior drivers is needed and establishment of education and administration system that a supervisor of driving license renewal can impose safety restriction and American anonymity reporting system is considered to institutionalize in the medium to longer term.

A Study on the Risk Assessment by Obstacles in Ship's Passage (선박 통항로 내 장해물에 따른 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ni-Eun;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Sang-Won;Kim, So-Ra;Lee, Myoung-Ki
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.244-253
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    • 2022
  • Recently, installation projects of structures such as offshore wind farms have been increasing, and the installation of such marine obstacles could affect ships that pass nearby. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to quantitatively evaluate the risk posed to passing ships due to obstacles in their passage. Hence, parameters that affected the risk were selected, and scenarios were set based on the parameters. The scenarios were evaluated through the ES model, which is a risk assessment model, and we confirmed that the risk ratio increased as the size of the obstacle increased, the safe distance from the obstacle increased, the speed of ship decreased, and the traffic volume increased. Additionally, we found that when the traffic flow direction was designated, the risk ratio was lower than that of general traffic flow. In this study, we proposed a generalization model based on the results of the performed scenarios, applied it to the Dadaepo offshore wind farm, and demonstrated that the estimation of the approximate risk ratio was possible through the generalization model. Finally, we judged that the generalization model proposed in this study could be used as a preliminary reference for the installation of marine obstacles.

A Study on the Marine Traffic Assessment based on Traffic Distribution in the Strait of Malacca (말라카해협의 교통 분포를 기초로 한 해상교통 평가 연구)

  • Thanh, Nguyen Xuan;Park, Young-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo;Kim, Tae-Goun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.25-33
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    • 2015
  • The Strait of Malacca is one of the most important fairways in the world and its traffic safety has direct effect on economic development of East Asian countries including China, Japan and Korea. Because of this reason, a safety analysis of the marine traffic in the strait has a great significance. In this paper, we analysed the statistic distribution of marine traffic in the Strait of Malacca based on the vessels' AIS data for 1 month by using the TOAIS and EasyFit programs. As the results of the analysis, it was found that the traffic distribution of this strait was different with normal distribution, which had been still widely used in marine traffic engineering field. Furthermore, with the traffic distribution analysis results, the traffic safety of the strait was also assessed by using the IWRAP model. The results showed that the highest level of risk were overtaking and crossing situations. Finally, we found that the highest risk of collision area in the Strait of Malacca was crossing area between the Strait of Malacca and the Port Klang fairway.

Safety Improvements of Guardrail Coating Vehicle Using FMECA and HAZOP (FMECA와 HAZOP을 활용한 가드레일 코팅차량의 안전성 향상)

  • U.P. Chong;H.C. Park;B.C. Ahn;Y.S. Park;D.S. Han;H.J. Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2023
  • This study uses FMECA (Failure Modes, Effects, and Criticality Analysis) and HAZOP (Hazard and Operability), which are widely applied in industrial areas, among risk assessment methods, and applies them to the same system. While FMECA evaluates system failure conditions and analyzes risks, HAZOP evaluates the system comprehensively by evaluating operational risks that may occur based on system parameters. According to data released by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport, as of December 2021, the length of roads in Korea is 113,405 km, and the repair of guardrails that have expired must be fixed urgently in terms of traffic safety. Replacing all of these guardrails with new ones requires a very large cost, but if the guardrails are repaired with a vehicle equipped with the G-Save method, carbon emissions are reduced, the repair period is shortened, and great economic benefits can be obtained. However, risk assessment for guardrail coating vehicles has not been done so far. Focusing on this point, this study aims to evaluate the risk of these coating vehicles and describe the results. Finally, we found that the Risk Priority Numbers(RPN) in the FMECA risk assessment were greatly reduced, and 6 risk factors from HAZOP risk assessment and actions were taken.

A Quantitative Marine Traffic Safety Assessment of the Vung Tau Waterway

  • Nguyen, Xuan Thanh;Park, Youngsoo;Park, Jinsoo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.9
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    • pp.721-728
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    • 2012
  • Marine traffic safety of the Vung Tau Waterway, from port limit to Ganh Rai Gulf, plays a crucial role in the economic development of the important triangular economic zone in the south of Vietnam: Ho Chi Minh City, Dong Nai Province, Ba Ria-Vung Tau Province. This paper uses the IWRAP Mk2 program to assess marine traffic safety and shows that in the area there are three parts of fairway have highest risk of collision (from buoys No. 8-9 to buoys No. 1-2 of the Song Dinh fairway; from buoy No. 0 to buoys No. 8-9 and from buoys No. 6-9 to buoys No. 8-9A of the Sai Gon-Vung Tau fairway) and the two areas have highest risk of grounding (the Vung Tau coastline from Ganh Hao to Sao Mai and an area in the Ganh Rai Gulf). In addition, the result of a questionnaire survey on a group of Pilots shows that wind, current and rain/fog have considerable negative effect to ship handling of large vessels in this area. This paper's results will be used in the further research to discover solutions for improving marine traffic safety in the Vung Tau Waterway.

Analysis of marine accident probability in Mokpo waterways

  • Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gye-Kark;Jeong, Jung-Sik
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.35 no.9
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    • pp.729-733
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    • 2011
  • The maritime risk assessment is important not only to evaluate the safety level of the ports and waterways but also to reduce potential maritime accidents at sea in terms of the proactive measures of the maritime accidents. In this paper, the collision risk assessment in Mokpo waterways has been carried out based on the IALA recommended model, IWRAP. To evaluate the accident probabilities in Mokpo waterways, all data of vessels were collected from AIS and Radar observations data and the computer simulations were carried out. To assess the risk on the traffic, the scenario-base approach has been applied to the Mokpo waterway by using the maritime accident statics over the past 5 years.

A Quantitative Collision Probability Analysis in Port Waterway (항만수로의 정량적인 충돌확률 분석)

  • Jeong, Jung-Sik;Kim, Kwang-Il;Park, Gyei-Kark
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.373-378
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    • 2012
  • In terms of the maritime accident prevention, risk analysis at targeted warterways is important for planning safety waterways. This paper analyzes the maritime accidents probability in the Mokpo waterways, South Korea, based on the IWRAP(IALA Waterway Risk Assessment) of the quantitative accident probability tool. Vessel collision probability cate is calculated by vessels meeting direction, using IWRAP. This paper contribute to advance improvement of vessel traffic service by VTS sector providing vessel fairway risk data.

Carcinogenic risk assessment of heavy metals in suspended particulates of Seoul (서울시 대기 부유 분진중 중금속에 대한 발암 위해성 평가)

  • Shin, Dong-Chun;Chung, Yong;Kim, Jong-Man;Lim, Young-Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.105-115
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    • 1994
  • This study was conducted to assess the health risk of carcinogenic heavy metals such as arsenic, nickel, chromium and cadmium Ambient concentrations of these metals were measured bimonthly, during May 1987 to March 1988. Respirable Particle concentrations of As, Ni, Cr, Cd in traffic area(Shinchon) were 16ng/㎥, 43ng/㎥, 4.2ng/㎥, 6.6ng/㎥, respectively, and in residential area(Bulkwang) were 25ng/㎥, 32ng/㎥, 4.7ng/㎥, 8.9ng/㎥, respectively. Carcinogenic risk of each metal was calculated by multiplication of ambient concentration and unit risk of the metal which was referred to recent version of Integrated Risk Information System(IRIS). Sum of the risk from these for metals was 9.8$\times$10$^{-5}$ as individual risk in traffic area and 13.9$\times$10$^{-5}$ in residential area.

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Risk Assessment by Vehicle Speed Difference in Climbing Lanes

  • Oh, Heung-Un;Kang, Jin-Gu
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2010
  • The speed difference in mountainous area is known causing traffic conflicts and accidents. Thus, climbing lanes have popularly been installed in mountainous roads around the world. In the present paper, vehicle speeds within and around climbing lanes of Ho-nam and Jung-ang expressway were collected and evaluated. The evaluation was performed in terms of coefficient of variations which represent dispersion of vehicle speed in climbing lanes. Results show that speed dispersion is more significant at segments before and after climbing lanes than those within climbing lanes. The estimated accident risk was evaluated using The Solomon's u-shaped curve. It was identified that the accident risk is also a lot significant at the same segments as much as 2.2 times greater than those of climbing lanes.

Development Plan of Licence Holders Health Management System (항공종사자 건강관리 제도의 발전방안)

  • Han, Bok Soon;Kwon, Young Hwan;Kim, Soo Geun;Choi, Eun Hi;Jang, Joung Soon;Shin, Yun Young;Ha, Yoon
    • Korean journal of aerospace and environmental medicine
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.67-71
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    • 2019
  • The health of licence holders (flight crew members and air traffic controllers) is recognized as an important element of aviation safety. The medical emergency symptoms that occur during the flight duty period without prior notice can interfere with human performance capabilities and threaten aviation safety. To prevent this, ICAO has been required to conduct a periodic medical assessment process of licence holders including routine analysis of in-flight incapacitation events and medical findings during medical to identify areas of increased medical risk and continuous reevaluation of the medical assessment process to concentrate on identified areas of increased medical risk. The supply and demand of licence holders have become a major issue due to the increase in air traffic around the world, and the pilot retirement age has been extended to 65 years. But, there is no significant change in the aviation medical assessments process. The follow up of the result of medical examination discovered through aviation medical examination is a very important part, but it has not been properly implemented, and the sick leaves and medical inflight incapacitation reporting system should be improved. The management of health risk factors for licence holders must be implemented to prevent aircraft accidents or aviation safety problems caused by health problems. In this paper, we propose the development plan and concrete improvement plan of the health risk management system of licence holders in Korea in terms of aviation safety.