• Title/Summary/Keyword: Traffic Estimate

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Understanding Watching Patterns of Live TV Programs on Mobile Devices: A Content Centric Perspective

  • Li, Yuheng;Zhao, Qianchuan
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.3635-3654
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    • 2015
  • With the rapid development of smart devices and mobile Internet, the video application plays an increasingly important role on mobile devices. Understanding user behavior patterns is critical for optimized operation of mobile live streaming systems. On the other hand, volume based billing models on cloud services make it easier for video service providers to scale their services as well as to reduce the waste from oversized service capacities. In this paper, the watching behaviors of a commercial mobile live streaming system are studied in a content-centric manner. Our analysis captures the intrinsic correlation existing between popularity and watching intensity of programs due to the synchronized watching behaviors with program schedule. The watching pattern is further used to estimate traffic volume generated by the program, which is useful on data volume capacity reservation and billing strategy selection in cloud services. The traffic range of programs is estimated based on a naive popularity prediction. In cross validation, the traffic ranges of around 94% of programs are successfully estimated. In high popularity programs (>20000 viewers), the overestimated traffic is less than 15% of real happened traffic when using upper bound to estimate program traffic.

Estimation of the Expressway Traffic Congestion Cost Using Vehicle Detection System Data (VDS 자료 기반 고속도로 교통혼잡비용 산정 방법론 연구)

  • Kim, Sang Gu;Yun, Ilsoo;Park, Jae Beom;Park, In Ki;Cheon, Seung Hoon;Kim, Kyung Hyun;Ahn, Hyun Kyung
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.99-107
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSES : This study was initiated to estimate expressway traffic congestion costs by using Vehicle Detection System (VDS) data. METHODS : The overall methodology for estimating expressway traffic congestion costs is based on the methodology used in a study conducted by a study team from the Korea Transport Institute (KOTI). However, this study uses VDS data, including conzone speeds and volumes, instead of the volume delay function for estimating travel times. RESULTS : The expressway traffic congestion costs estimated in this study are generally lower than those observed in KOTI's method. The expressway lines that ranked highest for traffic congestion costs are the Seoul Ring Expressway, Gyeongbu Expressway, and the Youngdong Expressway. Those lines account for 64.54% of the entire expressway traffic congestion costs. In addition, this study estimates the daily traffic congestion costs. The traffic congestion cost on Saturdays is the highest. CONCLUSIONS : This study can be thought of as a new trial to estimate expressway traffic congestion costs by using actual traffic data collected from an entire expressway system in order to overcome the limitations of associated studies. In the future, the methodology for estimating traffic congestion cost is expected to be improved by utilizing associated big-data gathered from other ITS facilities and car navigation systems.

Estimation of Urban Traffic State Using Black Box Camera (차량 블랙박스 카메라를 이용한 도시부 교통상태 추정)

  • Haechan Cho;Yeohwan Yoon;Hwasoo Yeo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.133-146
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    • 2023
  • Traffic states in urban areas are essential to implement effective traffic operation and traffic control. However, installing traffic sensors on numerous road sections is extremely expensive. Accordingly, estimating the traffic state using a vehicle-mounted camera, which shows a high penetration rate, is a more effective solution. However, the previously proposed methodology using object tracking or optical flow has a high computational cost and requires consecutive frames to obtain traffic states. Accordingly, we propose a method to detect vehicles and lanes by object detection networks and set the region between lanes as a region of interest to estimate the traffic density of the corresponding area. The proposed method only uses less computationally expensive object detection models and can estimate traffic states from sampled frames rather than consecutive frames. In addition, the traffic density estimation accuracy was over 90% on the black box videos collected from two buses having different characteristics.

Modeling on Daily Traffic Volume of Local State Road Using Circular Mixture Distributions (혼합원형분포를 이용한 지방국도의 시간교통량 추정모형)

  • Na, Jong-Hwa;Jang, Young-Mi
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.547-557
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we developed a statistical model for traffic volume data which collected from a spot of specific local state road. One peculiar property of daily traffic data is that it has bimodal shape which have two peaks on times of both going to office and coming back to home. So, various mixture models of circular distribution are suggested for bimodal traffic data and EM algorithms are applied to estimate the parameters of the suggested models. To compare the accuracy of the suggested models, classical regressions with dummy variables are also considered. The suggested models for traffic volumn data can be effectively used to estimate missing values due to measuring instrument disorder.

Traffic Signal Timing at Interconnected and Semi-Protected-Left-Turn Intersections for Energy Saving (에너지절약을 위한 상호련결된 반보호좌회전 교차로의 신호시간설계)

  • 김경환
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.25-40
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    • 1990
  • This study was undertaken to develop a traffic signal timing method for interconnected and semi-protected-left-turn intersections(the intersections which have left-turn signal but not exclusive left-turn lanes) on four-lane streets for energy saving and to computerize the method for the practical use. For this study, a probability model which could estimate the utilized time of the shared left-turn lane by through traffic during green period was developed based on field studies. The two left-turn treatments, leading and lagging left-turns, were tested for the intersections, and it can be concluded that the leading left-turn was more efficient for the normal urban streets on which through traffic is major traffic. Adopting the leading left-turn macro-models to estimate vehicular average delay and proportions of vehicles stopped at the intersections were developed. Using the two models as well as the idling fuel consumpution rate and the excess fuel consumption per stop-go speed change, a traffic signal timing method for the intersections for energy saving was developed and computerized. The method can be used for more than four-lane streets and for other measures of effectiveness such as minimum delay, minimum stop rates, etc.

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A Flow Control based on Queue Dynamics and Estimate Information (큐 상태 정보와 예측을 기반으로 한 흐름제어기법)

  • Seo, Ju-Ha;Jung, Boo-Young;Ryu, Hyun-Hee
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.19
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    • pp.423-428
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, We propose a new flow control scheme based on Queue Dynamics and it's Estimate Information in order to achieve higher throughput and network efficiency using control of the best-effort traffic. The feedback Information gives a result that compare queue length with queue threshold. Traffic changes at the time when queue length is cross over under the queue thresholds. The performance of the purposed scheme has been analyzed mathematically and we verify efficiency of the proposed method by means of simulation.

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A Causational Study for Urban 4-legged Signalized Intersections using Structural Equation Method (구조방정식을 이용한 도시부 4지 신호교차로의 사고원인 분석)

  • Oh, Jutaek;Lee, Sangkyu;Heo, Taeyoung;Hwang, Jeongwon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : Traffic accidents at intersections have been increased annually so that it is required to examine the causations to reduce the accidents. However, the current existing accident models were developed mainly with non-linear regression models such as Poisson methods. These non-linear regression methods lack to reveal complicated causations for traffic accidents, though they are right choices to study randomness and non-linearity of accidents. Therefore, to reveal the complicated causations of traffic accidents, this study used structural equation methods(SEM). METHODS : SEM used in this study is a statistical technique for estimating causal relations using a combination of statistical data and qualitative causal assumptions. SEM allow exploratory modeling, meaning they are suited to theory development. The method is tested against the obtained measurement data to determine how well the model fits the data. Among the strengths of SEM is the ability to construct latent variables: variables which are not measured directly, but are estimated in the model from several measured variables. This allows the modeler to explicitly capture the unreliability of measurement in the model, which allows the structural relations between latent variables to be accurately estimated. RESULTS : The study results showed that causal factors could be grouped into 3. Factor 1 includes traffic variables, and Factor 2 contains turning traffic variables. Factor 3 consists of other road element variables such as speed limits or signal cycles. CONCLUSIONS : Non-linear regression models can be used to develop accident predictions models. However, they lack to estimate causal factors, because they select only few significant variables to raise the accuracy of the model performance. Compared to the regressions, SEM has merits to estimate causal factors affecting accidents, because it allows the structural relations between latent variables. Therefore, this study used SEM to estimate causal factors affecting accident at urban signalized intersections.

Performance Analysis of ABR Congestion Control Algorithm using Self-Similar Traffic

  • Kim, Dong-Il;Jin, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2004
  • One of the most important issues in designing a network and realizing a service is dealing with traffic characteristics. Recent experimental research on LAN, WAN, and VBR traffic properties has highlighted that real traffic specificities can not be displayed because the current models based on the Poisson assumption under estimate the long range dependency of network traffic and self-similar peculiarities. Therefore, a new approach using self-similarity characteristics as a real traffic model was recently developed. In This paper we discusses the definition of self-similarity traffic. Moreover, real traffic was collected and we generated self-similar data traffic like real traffic to background load. On the existing ABR congestion control algorithm transmission throughput with the representative ERICA, EPRCA and NIST switch algorithm show the efficient reaction about the burst traffic.

An Approach for Estimating Traffic-Zonal Origin-Destination Matrices(O-D) from Toll Collection System's Ones (고속도로 영업소간 기.종점통행량으로부터 교통죤간 기.종점통행량 추정기법 연구)

  • 신언교;황부연;신승원
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 1999
  • The expressway network includes a total of about 1,899 km in our country The only 1,016 km of that is being managed by the closed Toll Collection System(TCS) which is composed of 74 tollgates. We obtain inter-tollgate O-D matrices from that system everyday. But, they are not traffic-zonal O-D matrices. So they have not been used for the expressway traffic analysis and the traffic demand estimation despite of their accuracy. If we could estimate the traffic-zonal O-D matrices from TCS O-D ones, we could perform expressway traffic analysis more efficiently. Moreover we could obtain more precise expressway O-D matrices and traffic-zonal O/D ones by this approach than by the conventional ones. In this paper. we proposed the model estimating traffic-zonal O/D matrices from TCS O-D ones. The assigned volumes with the estimated traffic-zonal O-D matrices produced the only 17.9% error all over the TCS expressway section when compared to the real traffic volumes. So, the proposed model enables for us to estimate more accurate O/D matrics than any other existing methods.

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A Study on the Typical Patterns of Traffic Accident Lots and Establishment of Acknowledgement Model of their Causes and Preference Model to Decrease Traffic Accidents (교통사고 발생지점의 유형화와 원인인지.감소대책 선호모델 구축에 관한 연구)

  • 고상선;오석기
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.35-62
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    • 1995
  • Traffic has a very important function but has caused such social problems as traffic congestion parking and traffic accidents in metropolitan areas. It is difficult to examine the causes of traffic accidents related to human life, which occur by human, vehicle and environmental factors. But human factor is the only measure requlating these factors together an analyzing factors influencing establishment of counterplan of traffic accidents. Consequently , this study employs the principal component analysis and stepwise multiple regression analysis to estimate the characteristics and influential factors of traffic accidents and defines the typical patterns of happening lots of traffic accidents. Accordingly, this study establishes an acknowledgement model of the causes and preference model of the counterplan of traffic accidents using Multi-Dimension Preference(MDPREF) method.

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