• Title/Summary/Keyword: Trading

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통합 다중 시뮬레이션에 의한 신경망 기반 주식 거래 시스템의 성능 최적화 (Integrated Multiple Simulation for Optimizing Performance of Stock Trading Systems based on Neural Networks)

  • 이재원;오장민
    • 정보처리학회논문지B
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    • 제14B권2호
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2007
  • 기계 학습 등 인공 지능 기법의 발전에 힘입어 지능형 주식 거래 시스템에 관한 많은 연구가 이루어져 왔다. 그러나 현실 주식 거래에서 적절한 거래 정책의 수립이 거래의 결과에 커다란 영향을 미치는 중요 요소로 작용하고 있음에도 불구하고, 기존의 연구에서는 예측 모듈의 예측 성능 향상에 주력하였거나, 거래 정책을 다룬 경우라도 예측 모듈에 종속적인 단순한 정책만을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 개선하기 위한 방안의 하나로, 신경망 기반 주식 거래 시스템의 구축을 위한 통합 개발 도고인 NXShell에서 채택하고 있는 ‘통합 다중 시뮬레이션‘ 기법을 제안한다. 통합 다중 시뮬레이션 기법에서는 신경망의 출력 값과 거래 정책 인자들 간의 모든 주어진 예측기의 특성에 맞는 고유의 최적 거래 정책을 수립한다. 제안된 기법의 효용성을 검증하기 위해, 한국 거래소 시장 및 코스닥 시장에서 수집한 데이터를 사용하여 수행한 거래 성능 비교 실험 결과를 제시한다.

uTradeHub 활성화 방안에 관한 실증 분석 (An Emperical Study on Activation of uTradehub)

  • 최태광;류승열
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제71권
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    • pp.217-243
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    • 2016
  • As the rapid development of IT and the internet changed the trading method from the traditional offline transaction into the online e-Trading, the international documentation standards, the eUCP and the domestic laws and legislations have been established, adapting to the new e-Trading environment. This study was conducted to analyze the factors which affect the use of uTradeHub on the domestic trading companies and trade-related organizations and suggest how to activate e-Trading. To do this, classify the users into the enterprises and the trade-related organizations, set up the hypothesis of the study with the measurement variables of the user convenience, the new service, the system suitability and the legislation environment and carry out a survey targeting the trading companies and the trade-related offices to do an actual proof analysis. The analysis was performed by using the statistical program, SPSS IBM22.0, and the study hypothesis was tested by the multiple regression analysis methodology. The test result showed that the trading companies set a high value on the user convenience, the new service and the legislation environment of uTradeHub, meanwhile the trade-related organizations regarded the system security and reliability, the user convenience and the legislation environment as the major affecting factor on the use of uTradeHub.

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홈트레이딩 시스템의 취약점 분석과 휴대전화 인증을 이용한 대응방안 제시 (Analysis of Security Vulnerability in Home Trading System, and its Countermeasure using Cell phone)

  • 최민근;조관태;이동훈
    • 정보보호학회논문지
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 2013
  • 사이버 주식거래가 증가함에 따라 홈트레이딩 시스템을 이용한 주식거래가 활발해지고 있다. 홈트레이딩 시스템은 개인투자자 대다수가 이용하는 방법으로 코스닥에서는 75%도 가장 큰 비중을 차지하고 있으며, 코스피에서도 40%의 점유율을 기록하고 있다. 하지만 홈트레이딩 시스템은 사용자의 속도와 사용자 편의성에 초점을 맞추고 있어 보안기능이 다소 미흡함을 발견하였다. 본 논문에서는 홈트레이딩 시스템 사용시 메모리에 인증정보가 평문으로 남는 취약점을 기반으로 메모리 덤프 툴을 이용하여 주식부정거래 가능성을 분석하고 휴대전화 SMS를 이용한 투채널 인증으로 주식부정거래에 대응할 수 있는 인증기법을 제시한다.

모바일 증권거래 시스템에 대한 사용자의 지속적 이용의도와 서비스 품질 측정요소 (Measuring Service Quality of Mobile Trading Systems and its Impact on the Intention to Continuous Use)

  • 최재원;장정희;김범수
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.301-319
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    • 2013
  • Wireless and mobile communication technologies enable individuals who trade stocks and bonds to use mobile-based trading services. Due to rapidly developing mobile technologies and adoption of the advanced/smart mobile devices such as smart phones and tablets, the use of mobile trading systems (MTS) have increased at an unexpected rate. Although many prior studies measured service quality on various service-related fields, there are few studies that is related to mobile trading systems compared to more traditional PC-based home trading systems. This research searches determinants of service quality for mobile trading systems and examines the effects of these factors on the intention to mobile trading systems' continuous use. Through an extensive literature review, this research finds three dimensions for mobile trading systems : interaction quality, service environment quality, and service outcome quality. The result of analysis shows that personalization, connectivity, ease of use, informativeness, and monetary value enhance the intention to continuous use. Considering environmental conditions such as the high rate of MTS adoption among individual users and stiffer competition among securities firms, these findings may help practically securities firms' shaping MTS system development strategies for individual users' continuous use and for increasing new users adoption.

KOSPI 200 파생상품시장의 거래대금 변동에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Decrease in Trading Values in KOSPI 200 Financial Derivatives Market)

  • 손경우;정지영
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2018
  • This paper investigates factors underlying a decrease in trading values in KOSPI 200 futures/options market on the basis of the current state of the markets. Among the factors that could affect trading values in KOSPI 200 derivatives market, we focus on the market activity of underlying assets as it has an impact on the trading of financial derivatives. Trading value and volatility are designated as market activity and the empirical results confirm that the market activity of the underlying assets is significant in explaining the decrease in trading values in KOSPI 200 futures/options market. To figure out fundamental reasons of the decrease in trading values in this market, we examine mitigation of home bias and decrease in leverage incentives as they are presumed to have influence on KOSPI 200 index market. As the global and local financial environment is time-varying, the degree of home bias and the leverage demand also changes. It implies that institutional change and/or policy effort to promote the trading of KOSPI 200 financial derivatives should be made taking into account the fact that considerable portion of the change in trading values in financial derivatives market depends on the state of the market.

A Study on Determining an Appropriate Power Trading Contracts to Promote Renewable Energy Systems

  • Choi, Yeon-Ju;Kim, Sung-Yul
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing-Green Technology
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    • 제5권5호
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    • pp.623-630
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    • 2018
  • The renewable energy systems have been in the spotlight as an alternative for environmental issues. Therefore, the governmental policies are being implemented to spread of promote power generation system using renewable energy in various countries around the world. In addition, Korea has also developed a policy called the power trading contract which can profit from electricity produced from renewable power generation system through Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) and Korea Power Exchange (KPX). As a result, the power trading contracts can trade power after self-consuming in-house by using small-scale renewable power system for residential customers as well as electricity retailers. The power trading contracts applicable as a small-scale power system have a 'Net metering (NM)' and a 'Power Purchase Agreement (PPA)', and these two types of power trading contracts trade surplus power, but payment method of each power trading is different. The microgrid proposed in this paper is based on grid connected microgrid using Photovoltaic (PV) system and Energy Storage System (ESS), that supplied power to residential demand, we evaluate the operation cost of microgrid by power demand in each power trading contracts and propose the appropriate power trading contracts according to electricity demand.

The Connectedness between COVID-19 and Trading Value in Stock Market: Evidence from Thailand

  • GONGKHONKWA, Guntpishcha
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권7호
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    • pp.383-391
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the connectedness between the number of COVID-19 cases in Thailand and trading value among investors in the Stock Exchange of Thailand. Daily data of COVID-19 cases and trading value were sourced from the Thailand ministry of public health and the Stock Exchange of Thailand, from January 12, 2020 to May 11, 2021. This study applies a multiple linear regression analysis to explain the relationship between variables. Empirical evidence clearly shows that the volatility of trading value was affected by COVID-19's new, confirmed, and deaths cases within the first pandemic period more than during the second pandemic period. Nevertheless, during the third pandemic period there is no evidence that the new, confirmed, and deaths cases significantly influenced trading value. Furthermore, the results show that COVID-19's new and deaths cases have a negative coefficient that indicated the trading value-buy/sell decreased in response to COVID-19's new and deaths cases, whereas the confirmed COVID-19 cases have a positive coefficient that indicated the trading value-buy/sell increased in response to COVID's confirmed cases. In summary, this study suggests that the number of COVID-19 cases have a significant impact on the trading value in the short term more than in the intermediate and long term.

거래량이 복권특성 종목의 기대수익률에 미치는 영향 (Trading Volume and Overpricing of Lottery-type Stocks)

  • 전용호
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제14권1호
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    • pp.113-129
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to examine whether trading volume amplifies the extent to which lottery-type stocks are overpriced, and whether economic sentiment index explains time-variation in the magnitude of the volume amplification effect. Design/methodology/approach - We examine monthly returns on 5x5 monthly bivariate portfolios formed by lottery characteristics (measured by maximum daily return) and trading volume. In addition, we perform time-series regression tests to examine how the volume amplification effect changes in high and low economic sentiment periods, after controlling for Fama-French three factors. Findings - Our bivariate portfolio analysis shows that the overpricing of lottery-type stocks are mostly pronounced among high trading volume stocks. In contrast, for low trading volume stocks, overpricing of lottery-type stocks appears to vanish. Furthermore, the amplification effect of trading volume on overpricing of lottery-type stock is concentrated in high economic sentiment periods. Research implications or Originality - This study is the first attempt to examine whether trading volume drives lottery-type stocks' overpricing in the Korean stock market. Furthermore, our analysis unveils the time-varying nature of volume amplification effect. The results suggest that trading volume might play a important hidden role in asset pricing, opening a new line of researches in the future.

국제 탄소배출권 가격의 동태적 조건부 상관관계 분석 (An Analysis of Dynamic Conditional Correlation among International Carbon Emission Trading Prices)

  • 나단단;이은화
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제47권1호
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    • pp.99-114
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    • 2022
  • This paper analyzed the dynamic conditional correlation between the carbon emission trading prices of Korea, China, EU, New Zealand. This paper was analyzed using the daily data of carbon emission trading prices of each country from January 12, 2015 to January 13, 2021 using the DCC-GARCH model. Summarizing the research results, first, the dynamic conditional correlation between carbon emission trading prices in the EU, Korea, and China, excluding New Zealand, was strong, indicating that there was a co-movement phenomenon. Second, it was found that carbon emission trading prices in major countries have a stronger tendency to co-movement due to global shocks. Third, it appears that the dynamic conditional correlation between the carbon emission trading prices of Korea and China is gradually strengthening. This study confirmed that the co-movement between carbon emission trading prices in Korea and other countries gradually intensified as time passed. In particular, it is meaningful in suggesting the implication that the phenomenon of co-movement between carbon emission trading prices in Korea and China is gradually intensifying.

방향성매매를 위한 지능형 매매시스템의 투자성과분석 (Analysis of Trading Performance on Intelligent Trading System for Directional Trading)

  • 최흥식;김선웅;박성철
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.187-201
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    • 2011
  • 방향성(Direction)과 변동성(Volatility)에 대한 분석은 증권투자를 위한 시장분석의 기초가 된다. 변동성분석이 옵션 투자에서 중요하다면 주식이나 주가지수선물투자는 방향성분석에 의하여 투자성과가 결정된다. 기존의 금융분석에서 기계학습을 이용한 방향성에 대한 연구는 주가나 투자위험의 예측을 중심으로 이루어졌으며, 최근에 와서야 실전투자를 위한 매매시스템(trading system) 개발에 대한 연구가 이루어지고 있다. 인공지능형 주가예측모형에서는 ANN(artificial neural networks), fuzzy system, SVM(Support Vector Machine) 등의 기법이 주로 활용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 방향성매매를 위한 지능형 기계학습방법 중에서도 패턴인식에서 좋은 성과를 보이고 있는 은닉마코프 모형(Hidden Markov Model)을 이용한다. 실무적으로는 방향성 예측을 위해 주로 주가의 추세분석(Trend Analysis)을 활용한다. 다양한 기술적 지표를 이용한 추세분석에 기반한 시스템트레이딩(System Trading) 기법은 실전투자에서 점차 확대추세에 있다. 본 연구에서는 시스템트레이딩 기법 중 실무에서 많이 이용되는 이동평균교차전략(moving average cross)에 연속 은닉마코프모형을 적용한 지능형 매매시스템을 제안하고, 실제 주가자료를 이용한 시뮬레이션 결과를 제시한다. 세계적 선물시장으로 성장한 KOSPI200 선물시장에서 제안된 매매시스템의 장기간의 투자성과를 분석하기 위하여 지난 21년 동안의 KOSPI200 주가지수자료를 실증 분석하였다. 분석결과는 KOSPI200 주가지수선물의 방향성매매에서 제안된 CHMM기반 지능형 매매시스템이 실전에서 일반적으로 활용되는 시스템트레이딩 기법의 투자성과를 개선할 수 있음을 보여주었다.