• 제목/요약/키워드: Trade terms

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Oil Prices and Terms of Trade of Saudi Arabia: An Empirical Analysis

  • HAQUE, Mohammad Imdadul;IMRAN, Mohammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권9호
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    • pp.201-208
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    • 2020
  • Terms of trade is an important indicator of the welfare gains from international trade to the exporting country. Terms of trade of oil-exporting countries are hypothesized to depend primarily on oil prices. The study assesses the relation between oil prices and the terms of trade of Saudi Arabia. The study uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag method to determine the cointegration between the country's terms of trade and oil prices for the period 2000-2018. The data for net barter terms of trade is taken from World Development Indicators and oil price is taken from Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency. The results show that oil prices and terms of trade are cointegrated and any disequilibrium between the two variables is corrected by 35% in a year. The study also reports a positive relationship between the two items, both in the short run and long run. Diagnostic tests indicate the model to be fit. The results suggest that, for a primarily oil-producing country like Saudi Arabia, the terms of trade depend on oil prices. The study fills the gap in the literature on the study of terms of trade for Saudi Arabia for the last few years, where there has been a high volatility in oil prices.

1990년대 중반 이후 교역조건 하락추세의 원인분석 (Causes of the Decline in Terms of Trade in Korea since the Mid-1990s)

  • 한진희;류성현
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.33-69
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    • 2010
  • 본 논문에서는 1990년대 중반 이후 우리나라 교역조건의 추세적 하락요인을 Baxter and Kouparitsas(2000)의 분해방법론을 이용하여 분석해 보았다. 주요 분석결과는 다음과 같다. 교역조건의 변화의 분해방법을 통해 우리나라 교역조건의 하락추세가 대부분 공산품 대비 연료의 상대가격 상승으로 인한 재화상대가격효과에 기인함이 나타났다. 또한 전 세계 55개국의 교역조건 변화를 동일한 방법론으로 분해해 본 결과, 1990년대 중반 이후 재화상대가격효과에 의한 교역조건의 추세적 하락이 선진국 개도국을 불문하고 공산품 수출국의 공통적인 현상임을 보였다. 이는 우리나라 교역조건 하락의 주요 원인이 우리나라 내부적 요인보다는 예를 들어 중국의 무역확대 등 외부적 요인에 기인함을 시사한다. 회귀분석 결과 중국의 무역확대는 우리나라의 교역조건 하락의 중요한 원인이 되었으며, 특히 2000년대의 원유와 원자재 수입가격의 상승과 공산품의 수출가격을 하락시킨 것으로 나타났는데, 이는 교역조건 분해결과가 시사하는 바와 부합한다.

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A Study on Determining Trade Terms for Logistics Efficiency in the Era of Logistics 4.0: Moderated Mediating Effect of Added Value of Traded Goods

  • Chang-Bong Kim;Kyeong-Wook Jeong;Hwa-Jung Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to study how flexibility and mutuality in determining trade terms impact logistics efficiency in the context of relational theory. Additionally, the effect of relational contracts on logistical efficiency relative to the value of the goods being traded is investigated. Design/methodology - According to the relational contract theory, we developed 17 factors utilizing a 7-point Likert scale to measure variables related to flexibility, mutuality, logistics efficiency, and the added value of goods. The survey occurred over four months, and was distributed directly, and via email, phone, and online Google surveys. A total of 403 surveys were collected out of 1,800 distributed, and 380 were analyzed. The principal respondents were import/export companies and members of the Korea International Trade Association and the Korea Small and Medium Business Export-Import Association. The collected data were analyzed using frequency analysis, exploratory factor analysis, and correlation analysis using SPSS ver. 26.0 statistical software, and hypothesis test results were derived using Process Macro ver. 3.5. Findings - This study provides evidence that negotiation flexibility for trade terms affects the efficiency of the logistics process, and the mutuality of such arrangements is shown to be associated with the flexibility and efficiency of logistics processes. Additionally, it has been established that companies whose trade goods possess a low degree of added value may experience increased efficiency in logistics operations if they agree to trade terms that are both flexible and mutually beneficial with their counterparts. Originality/value - This study suggests that in an environment of rapidly shifting global logistics and unpredictable related costs, trade companies may be able to improve logistics efficiency by establishing flexible, mutually beneficial trade terms when entering into contracts. Furthermore, it is suggested that companies dealing in low-value-added products may improve the logistical performance of approaching trade from a perspective of relational contracts.

The Trade-Agreement Embarrassment

  • Ethier, Wilfred J.
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.243-260
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    • 2013
  • The dominant academic literature about trade agreements maintains that they are only about national terms-of-trade manipulation and not at all about purely political concerns. Non-academic economists, commentators, and diplomats by contrast think that trade agreements are all about political concerns. There are two substantive and important distinctions between the two views. i Practitioners maintain that policymakers care virtually not at all about the terms of trade or about trade-tax revenue. ii Practitioners, unlike academics, maintain that trade-agreement negotiations themselves change the underlying political economy. Observation of actual trade policy measures, though not conclusive, suggests that the practitioners are right and that the academics are wrong.

패널모형을 이용한 교역조건과 변동성의 영향 분석 (The Study of the Effect of Terms of Trade and its Volatility Using the Panel Model)

  • 최용재
    • 국제지역연구
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.19-39
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 교역조건 수준과 변동성이 실질 GDP 및 인플레이션에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위해 OECD 26개국을 대상으로 1990년부터 2015년까지 실질 GDP, 인플레이션, 교역조건 등의 자료를 이용해 선형패널 및 동태패널모형을 설정하여 추정하였다. 분석결과 교역조건 수준과 변동성은 실질 GDP에 거의 영향을 미치지 않거나 통계적으로 유의하게 음(-)의 영향을 미치더라도 크기는 매우 작아 무시할 정도였다. 반면 교역조건 수준과 변동성은 모든 모형에서 동일한 결과를 얻은 것은 아니지만 대체로 인플레이션에 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 분석되었다. 교역수준의 상승은 경상수지 흑자 또는 구매력을 상승시켜 총수요 증가를 통해 인플레이션을 야기하고 교역조건 변동성의 상승은 경제 내 불확실성을 확대시켜 불완전경쟁에 직면한 기업들로 하여금 현재 가격을 인상하도록 하여 인플레이션을 야기하는 것으로 판단된다.

A Study on the Role of Third Party in Import and Export Management

  • Jin-Hwan KIM
    • 동아시아경상학회지
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper is to examine the work of a third party in the process of import and export management. In other words, the purpose of this paper is investigate the status and functional role of a third party in relation to each terms of the trade contract. Research design, data, methodology - This study consists of 5 chapters through literature survey. It will examine the involvement of the third party through each terms. Chapter 1 introduction, Chapter 2 deals with trade contracts, Chapter 3 investigates the shipping terms, payment terms, and insurance terms, and Chapter 4 reviews with commercial arbitration. And in Chapter 5, it looks at the conclusion and implications. Results - The relevant party in the import and export management process may be a third party through outsourcing, not the principal. At this time, in fulfilling each condition of trade, it can be seen that the implementation of tasks through the participation of a third party with high expertise can more smoothly and productively implement the overall import and export management. Therefore, it can be seen that the implementation of the trade business in which the third party participated can be interpreted in terms of derivative effects and at the same time can be a way to improve the principal's competitiveness procedurally. Conclusions -Through this study, in the import and export management, the performance of the work through the agent makes the entire process more smooth and efficient. Outsourcing of roles using the expertise of a third party, a subcontractor rather than a principal, is desirable and important.

제품특성과 구매패턴에 따른 uTradeHub 활용요인 연구 (An Empirical Study on the Factors Affecting the Participation of uTrade Hub in terms of Product Characteristics and Sourcing Patterns -Focused on the uTrade Search Services-)

  • 송선옥
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제49권
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    • pp.461-490
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to examine which factors are encouraging SMEs to participate in uTradeHub(focused on the uTrade search service) in terms of product characteristics and sourcing patterns. The three factors encouraging Trade e-Marketplaces are identified in this study. First, internal factors include the support of top management, mature of IT infrastructure. Second, external factors include the pressure of industry, industry competition, dependence of trading partners. Third perception factors are perceived Usefulness, perceived easy of use. The empirical analysis had the following results. First, it reveals that support of top management, mature of IT infrastructure, industry competition have significant influence upon uTrade Search Services. On the other hand, pressure of industry, dependence of trading partners, Perceived relative benefits are not significant variable of the participation in uTrade Search Services. Second, the factors affecting the participation in uTrade Search Services are differentiated in terms of product characteristics and sourcing patterns. And the support of top management, mature of IT infrastructure, Perceived relative benefits are emphasized very important factors affecting the participation of uTrade Search Services in SMEs. The industry competition is recognized as more important factor in horizontal market in which Spot sourcing just like Operating products is trading. On the other hands, the dependence of trading partners are significant factor in vertical market in which Systemic sourcing just like Manufacturing products is trading.

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CISG상 약관의 계약편입에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Inclusion of Standard Terms under the CISG)

  • 이병문;고상훈
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제42권1호
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    • pp.257-281
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 국제무역거래에 있어 빈번하게 사용되는 약관의 계약편입과 관련하여 CISG 자문위원회의 공식 의견인 Black Letter Rule을 중심으로 고찰한다. 그 주요 내용으로 약관의 계약편입 관련 적용규정과 요건을 상세히 고찰하고, 약관의 계약편입을 의도한 청약상 참조표시 및 약관내용의 명확성 요건을 살펴보도록 한다. 이와 더불어 약관의 계약편입 관련 기타 원칙으로서 계약체결 후 약관편입의 배제, 의외조항배제, 개별약정우선, 작성자 불이익 원칙 및 서식분쟁에 대하여 살펴본다. 이와 더불어 본 연구는 약관의 계약편입 관련 기존 판례 및 학설을 검토한 후 이를 CISG 자문위원회의 공식의견과 상호 비교 검토함으로 약관의 계약편입 관련 원칙을 재정립하고 이에 따른 실무적 시사점을 도출하고자 한다.

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Investigating the Interaction Between Terms of Trade and Domestic Economy: In the Case of the Korean Economy

  • Han, Yongseung;Kim, Myeong Hwan;Nam, Eun-Young
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - This paper aims to analyze the impact of the terms of trade, export price, and import price on the Korean economy (that is, real GDP, CPI, money market rate, and real effective exchange rate), and vice versa in the simple vector autoregression. Design/methodology - We impose two assumptions, i.e., diagonality and bloc exogeneity, to correctly identify the impact of a factor to the others in the structural equation. With two contemporaneous assumptions in the structural VAR, this paper investigates the impacts of the terms of trade on the Korean economy and vice versa. Findings - Impulse responses to the shocks in the terms of trade and Korean economy show that 1) an impact of the terms of trade on the economy is different in export prices and in import prices. A higher export price is beneficial to the economy while a higher import price hurts the economy, and 2) an increase in real effective exchange rate and in interest rate constrains domestic production and lowers consumer prices. Originality/value - Unlike the conventional perception that a depreciation of a currency would promote exports and domestic production at the price of inflation, our result shows the opposite, and 3) real GDP and consumer prices are positively correlated. That is, an increase in real GDP does not only cause inflation, but an increase in consumer prices also promote domestic production. Yet, the only difference is that export prices and import prices end up higher with an increase in real GDP, but lower with inflation.

계약을 중심으로 하는 국제무역거래과정의 이해 - 정형거래조건을 중심으로 - (Understanding of the Procedure of International Commercial Transaction under Contractual Approach Method)

  • 오원석
    • 무역상무연구
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    • 제41권
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    • pp.3-21
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    • 2009
  • To understand the procedure of international commercial transaction clearly and logically, this author would like to emphasize the contractual approach in this paper. The main contract in the transaction is the contract of sale; to perform this contract, the three subordinate or supporting contracts(including the contract of carriage, the contracts of insurance and the contract of payment) should be followed and performed. In the contract of sale, besides the express Terms, the trade Terms have very comprehensive meanings. Each trade term in Incoterms(2000) deals with the matters relating to the rights and obligations of the parties to the contract of sale with respect to the delivery of the goods sold. It also provides for the duties of seller or buyer relating to the contract of carriage, the contract of insurance and the payment in the process of the delivery of goods. Especially, it does not provide the methods of payment concretely, but it imposes the seller to hand over the documents evidencing the conformity of the contract of sale, and the delivery which includes the documents of carriage and/or insurance. Thus although the trade Terms deal with the obligations of the seller or buyer directly, they are very closely related with the contract of carriage and the contract of insurance indirectly, and also with contract of payment using the documentary draft. For the Arbitration or the litigation in the case of the breach of contract, the trade Terms play very significant roles. When an arbitrator or a judge decides the case, they should understand each obligation clearly, in which case, the trade terms give answers about who is wrong or who is right. Therefore, the contractual approach focusing on the trade terms would give very fruitful advantages to the students or teachers in understanding the procedure of the international commercial transaction systematicly and comprehensively.

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