• 산업융합연구
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.43-50
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• 2023

우리 정부는 2022년에 아시아·태평양 지역 내 안정적인 공급망 구축 등을 위해 CPTPP 가입을 추진한다는 계획을 발표하였다. CPTPP는 아시아·태평양 지역의 경제통합 기치 아래 예외 없는 관세 철폐와 새로운 통상규범 정립 등을 목표로 일본이 주도하고 있으며 2018년에 11개국 간 타결되어 출범하였다. 본고의 분석에 따르면 CPTPP 발효 이후 일본과 회원국 간 교역 증진 효과가 확인되었고, 1인당 GDP가 많고 거리가 짧을수록 그 효과가 더욱 컸으며 관세 철폐 및 감축이 예정대로 진행된다면 교역 증진 효과는 점차 확대될 것으로 예상된다. 반면, 일본과 CPTPP 회원국 간 교역 확대는 비회원국과의 교역이 상대적으로 위축될 수도 있다는 것을 시사하므로 아시아·태평양 지역 내에서 안정적인 공급망을 구축해야 하는 우리나라 산업 측면에서는 위협 요인으로 작용할 수도 있다. 일본은 우리나라의 네 번째 무역 상대국으로 주요 교역 파트너인 만큼 CPTPP가 향후 일본과 회원국 간 교역에 미치는 영향에 대한 면밀한 검토 등을 토대로 우리나라의 CPTPP 참여 여부 및 협상 내용 관련 논의가 이루어져야 할 것이다.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.169-183
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• 2021

Purpose - This paper analyzes the effect of the agricultural export market for Korea's new southern countries in consideration of logistics efficiency. In order to expand Korean agricultural exports, the logistics performance index, national income, per capita income, consumer price index, distance and FTA are included. Through empirical analysis, the impact of logistics efficiency on Korean agricultural exports is derived and measures are proposed to expand exports in the future. Design/methodology - The analytical model of this study takes into account the import demand factors of the new southern countries for Korean agricultural exports. A research model was established based on prior research based on the gravity model, which is widely used in international trade effect analysis. In particular, logistics efficiency measures the effect on Korean agricultural exports using the logistics performance index and examines the effect by deriving factors for export expansion. Findings - The main findings of this study can be summarized as follows: The higher the logistics efficiency of the new southern countries in exporting Korean agricultural products, the more directly they have an effect on expanding exports. In addition, it was analyzed that the expansion of Korean agricultural exports has a positive effect on the other countries' national income, per capita income, consumer price index, population, and FTA. Based on these results, the importance of efficient logistics management in agricultural exports has been emphasized. Originality/value - There are not many studies on the export of agricultural products by logistics efficiency. However, prior studies that have adapted to manufacturing and other areas suggest that logistics efficiency has a direct effect on exports. This study suggests that Korean agricultural products are directly effective in exporting to new southern countries in terms of logistics efficiency. This can be an important time point in recognizing that logistics capabilities are important to ensure new books and the safety of agricultural products.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제24권5호
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• pp.1-17
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• 2020

Purpose - This paper tries to estimate the effects of China's and Japan's free trade agreement (FTA) by panel generalized least squares (GLS). Design/methodology - The GLS model includes the basic gravity theory and Difference in Difference (DD) method to divide FTA conclusion countries and non-FTA conclusion countries with China and Japan. In order to empirically research the difference between Chinese and Japanese FTAs, we use the Difference in Difference in Difference (DDD) method. Findings - This paper finds the distance variable has more influence on Japanese than Chinese trade. The exchange rate indicates that Chinese trade depends on export and Japanese trade has the structure of re-import; shows that the countries that concluded FTAs with China and Japan have more positive trade effects than those that did not; finds the Chinese FTA promotion effects greater than the Japanese FTA because China had pushed ahead with trade policy since joining the WTO in 2001. Originality/value - This study shows that a single country's FTA and trade policies are an important factor concerning not just the promotion of trade but also the issue of trade conflicts.

• 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.263-271
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• 2024

본 연구는 2011-2021년을 분서기간으로 중국의 공업기업의 효율성의 지역차이를 분석하고 있다. 효율성은 DEA-CCR 모형을 이용하고 있다. 효율성 분석의 투입변수는 자산총계, 연평균 취업자수를 이용하고 산출변수는 주요영업수입과 이윤총액을 이용하고 있다. 효율성의 지역차이는 Trend Surface 분석방법과 Gravity Center Model을 이용하고 있다. Gravity Center Model의 분석결과에 의하면 2011년의 중국 공업기업의 효율성의 Gravity Center는 112.303°E & 34.239°N이고 2021년은 111.753°E & 33.791°N이다. 이 결과는 2011-2021년 기간 동안 중국 공업기업의 효율성의 Gravity Center는 서남방향으로 이동하고 있다고 해석할 수 있다. Trend Surface 분석결과에 의하면 중국 공업기업의 효율성은 동서 방향과 남북 방향으로 공간차이가 존재하고 있다.

• 무역학회지
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• 제44권1호
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• pp.207-220
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• 2019

In the context of export-oriented growth strategy, Korea has promoted the conclusion of FTAs and 16 FTAs have entered into force or concluded so far. Despite of these efforts, the expansion of the global value chain (GVC) has resulted in fragmentation of production processes and international companies have been struggling to meet the criteria for determining the rule of origin. In order to overcome these difficulties, some foreign FTAs have been introducing cross-cumulation of origin. In this paper, we try to examine empirically whether the easing of the rules of origin using cross-cumulation contributes to the increase in actual value-added exports. we quantify the effects of cross-cumulation included in the EU-Vietnam FTA on Korean exports of the textile through a gravity model using the concept of value-added export. Based on the analysis results, the proportion of value-added exports in Vietnam increased by adoption of cross-cumulation of origin, which consequently resulted into an increase in total exports. This paper tries to draw several implications for the rules of origin in Korea's FTAs including cross-cumulation considering the export value chain of Korea.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제38권4호
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• pp.187-198
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• 2022

본 연구는 코로나 19 팬데믹의 전세계적인 확산으로 인하여 국경봉쇄와 이동제한과 같은 방역 조치와 전염병의 확산이 상품무역량을 감소시키는 원인인지를 살펴보고자 하였다. 이를 위해 한국과 주요무역 상대국의 상품무역 통계를 이용하여 중력모형 분석을 실시하였다. 분석 결과 코로나 19 확산시기인 2020년의 경우 코로나 팬데믹의 영향이 한국의 무역을 감소시키는 장애요인이라는 것을 실증적으로 확인 할 수 있었다. 그러나 2021년의 경우 팬데믹의 영향이 상품무역에 유의미한 영향을 주는 지 확인할 수 없었다. 2020년과 2021년의 코로나 19 팬데믹이 미치는 영향이 상이한 만큼 코로나 19 전염병이 안정적으로 관리되고 있는 2022년의 상품무역 상황 역시 달라질 가능성이 존재한다. 코로나에 대한 대응이나 백신의 보급 같은 요인들이 각 국가마다 상이하기 때문에 코로나 시대를 마감하는 정책 수립과정에 있어서 그러한 다양한 요인들을 충분히 고려해야 할 것으로 생각된다

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권4호
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• pp.95-112
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• 2021

The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) signed by the 15 Asian countries in 2020 forms the world's largest free trading bloc. Using data for the period 2001 - 2019, this study evaluates global value chains (GVCs) among the RCEP members, with a primary focus on GVC backward participation which involves imports intermediates embodied in exports. This study finds that the RCEP's intra-regional linkages, particularly with the ASEAN members, are significantly higher than its extra-regional linkages in trade and GVC backward participation. Among the individual RCEP member countries, Korea is found to have a particularly strong intra-regional linkages with the ASEAN members in both trade and GVC participation.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권2호
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• pp.213-228
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• 2021

In recent year, US government requires local investment ,unlike in the past, when import restrictions and tariff were imposed. In this situation, many companies are considering new investment in the US and entering the local market. However, research on the optimal investment plan along with the case analysis on trade regulation is extremely limited and more research needs to be conducted. Accordingly, this study aims to suggest the implications and countermeasure of the SCM and logistical perspective by studying the optimal measures for the new investment of each company due to trade regulation. As a research method, the gravity location model, Mixed Integer Linear Programming Model were used to select the optimal automobile manufacturing factory considering each state's population. This study will be implication of SCM and logistics perspective not only for companies considering new investment in the US but also for the government to conduct trade negotiations. In the future, it is expected that the US trade pressure will increase and affect Korea in many ways. Therefore, in order to cope with such difficult situation in a timely manner, continuous research considering various possibilities is needed in the future.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제55권2호
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• pp.1-16
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• 2024

This study analyzes the impact of import country environments on Korean fishery exports. To achieve the research objective, focusing on trade facilitation and import market aspects, the import country environment was modeled and analyzed by panel gravity analysis technique. In the basic export model considering only the trade facilitation aspect, agriculture and institutional factors had a significant impact on Korean fishery exports. However, when considering both trade facilitation and import market aspects, it was found that import market aspect had a greater influence on Korean fishery exports than trade facilitation aspect. Specifically, the import market factor that had the most positive impact on Korean fishery exports was the GDP of the import country. GDP, representing the economic scale of the country, indicates consumer purchasing power through per capita GDP. Hence, a higher GDP level implies a higher consumer purchasing power, suggesting a higher potential consumption of fishery products. The second positive factor influencing Korean fishery exports was food imports in the import country. Therefore, to expand Korean fishery exports, it is essential to target countries with high levels of GDP and food imports. Conversely, factors negatively affecting Korean fishery exports were merchandise imports and population in the import country. Therefore, countries with high levels of these negative factors should be managed as demarketing targets. Additionally, trade facilitation variables, which have relatively smaller influence, such as transparency and institutions, also significantly impact Korean fishery exports. While transparency has a positive effect, institution has a negative effect. Thus, to expand Korean fishery exports, strategies should focus on countries with high transparency and less stringent institutional regulations.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.76-87
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• 2019

Purpose - This study empirically analyzes the effects of the European Union-South Korea Free Trade Agreement on Korean exports in major sectors. Design/Methodology - This study is based on the augmented gravity model with a panel data set covering 51 countries between the years 2000 and 2015. Findings - Main findings of the present study is that the agreement has affected the chemical sector the most. Fixed effects estimation predicted a positive trade effect of 38.3%, while Poisson maximum likelihood estimation predicted an impact of 4.75% in the chemical export sector. Regression results for the other sectors only show insignificant effects. Originality/value - The findings imply that the effects of the EU-South Korea free trade agreement on the Korean exports are quite specific compared to the European ones, meaning that the Korean government should focus on sector-specific programs to maximize the welfare benefits of the free trade agreement.