• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.1091-1098
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• 2006

Park et al.(2005) and Choi et al.(2006) studied quick detection of variance change point for time series data in progress. For efficient detection they used moving variance ratio equipped with two tuning parameters; information tuning parameter p and lag tuning parameter q. In this paper, the moving variance ratio is studied under harsh conditions.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.17 no.3
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• pp.821-830
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• 2006

This paper develops support vector based fuzzy linear and nonlinear regression models and applies it to forecasting the exchange rate. We use the result of Tanaka(1982, 1987) for crisp input and output. The model makes it possible to forecast the best and worst possible situation based on fewer than 50 observations. We show that the developed model is good through real data.

• The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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• v.42 no.4
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• pp.313-319
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• 2023

In this paper, a time series machine learning model, Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), is applied into the bubble flow noise data and the underwater projectile launch noise data to predict missing values of time-series underwater noise data. The former is mixed with bubble noise, flow noise, and fluid-induced interaction noise measured in a pipe and can be classified into three types. The latter is the noise generated when an underwater projectile is ejected from a launch tube and has a characteristic of instantaenous noise. For such types of noise, a data-driven model can be more useful than an analytical model. We constructed an LSTM model with given data and evaluated the model's performance based on the number of hidden units, the number of input sequences, and the decimation factor of signal. It is shown that the optimal LSTM model works well for new data of the same type.

• KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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• v.31 no.1B
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• pp.37-45
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• 2011

We studied noise influence on nonlinear chaotic system by using Logistic data series which is known as a typical nonlinear chaotic system. We regenerated Logistic data series by the method of adding noise according to noise level. And, we performed some analyses such as phase space reconstruction, correlation dimension, BDS statistics, and DVS Algorithms which are known as the methods of nonlinear deterministic or chaotic analysis. If we see the results of analysis, the characteristics of data series are gradually changed from nonlinear chaotic data series to random stochastic data series according to increasing noise level. We applied Low Pass Filter (LPF) and Kalman Filter techniques for the investigation of removing effect of the added noise to data series. Typical nonparametric method cannot distinguish nonlinear random series but the BDS statistic can distinguish the nonlinear randomness of the time series. Therefore this study used the BDS statistic which is well known as nonlinear statistical method for the investigation of randomness of time series for the effect of removing noise of data series. We found that Kalman filter is better method to remove the noise of chaotic data series even for high noise level.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.160-171
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• 2003

Criteria for the comparison of quality of asset portfolio management are risk and return. In this paper a method to use structural time-series model to determine an optimal portfolio for the improvement of quality of asset portfolio management is suggested. In traditional mean variance analysis expected return is assumed to be time-invariant. However, it is more realistic to assume that expected return is temporally dynamic and structural time-series model can be used to reflect time-varying nature of return. A data set from an insurance company was used to show validity of suggested method.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.4 no.9
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• pp.377-384
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• 2015

In this paper we propose a visualization tool for distortion-free time-series matching. Supporting distortion-free is a very important factor in time-series matching to get more accurate matching results. In this paper, we visualize the result of time-series matching, which removes various time-series distortions such as noise, offset translation, amplitude scaling, and linear trend by using moving average, normalization, linear detrending transformations, respectively. The proposed visualization tool works as a client-server model. The client sends a user-selected time-series, of which distortions are removed, to the server and visualizes the matching results. The server efficiently performs the distortion-free time-series matching on the multi-dimensional R*-tree index. By visualizing the matching result as five different charts, we can more easily and more intuitively understand the matching result.

• The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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• v.9B no.3
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• pp.277-286
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• 2002

Genetic programming (GP) has been combined with quantum mechanical perturbation theory to make a new algorithm to construct mathematical models and perform predictions for chaotic time series from real world. Procedural similarities between time series modeling and perturbation theory to solve quantum mechanical wave equations are discussed, and the exemplary GP approach for implementing them is proposed. The approach is based on multiple populations and uses orthogonal functions for GP function set. GP is applied to original time series to get the first mathematical model. Numerical values of the model are subtracted from the original time series data to form a residual time series which is again subject to GP modeling procedure. The process is repeated until predetermined terminating conditions are met. The algorithm has been successfully applied to construct highly effective mathematical models for many real world chaotic time series. Comparisons with other methodologies and topics for further study are also introduced.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.32 no.1
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• pp.149-160
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• 2019

The electricity consumption time series data of 'A' University from July 2016 to June 2017 is analyzed via nonparametric functional data clustering since the time series data can be regarded as realization of continuous functions with dependency structure. We use a Bouveyron and Jacques (Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, 5, 4, 281-300, 2011) method based on model-based functional clustering with an FEM algorithm that assumes a Gaussian distribution on functional principal components. Clusterwise analysis is provided with cluster mean functions, densities and cluster profiles.

• Journal of Digital Convergence
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• v.13 no.7
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• pp.169-175
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• 2015

An effective way to understand the dynamic and time series that follows the passage of time, as valuation is to establish a model to analyze the phenomena of the system. Model of the decision process is efficient clustering information of the total mass of the time series data of the relevant population been collected in a particular number of sub-groups than to look at all a time to an understand of the overall data through each community-specific model determination. In this study, a sub-grouping of the group and the first of the two process model of each cluster by determining, in the following in sub-population characterized by a fusion with heuristic Bayesian clustering techniques proposed a process which can reduce calculation time and cost was confirmed by experiments using actual effectiveness valuation.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.43 no.4
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• pp.229-243
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• 2021

Quality control (QC) to process observed time series has become more critical as the types and amount of observed data have increased along with the development of ocean observing sensors and communication technology. International ocean observing institutions have developed and operated automatic QC procedures for these observed time series. In this study, the performance of automated QC procedures proposed by U.S. IOOS (Integrated Ocean Observing System), NDBC (National Data Buy Center), and OOI (Ocean Observatory Initiative) were evaluated for observed time-series particularly from the Yellow and East China Seas by taking advantage of a confusion matrix. We focused on detecting additive outliers (AO) and temporary change outliers (TCO) based on ocean temperature observation from the Ieodo Ocean Research Station (I-ORS) in 2013. Our results present that the IOOS variability check procedure tends to classify normal data as AO or TCO. The NDBC variability check tracks outliers well but also tends to classify a lot of normal data as abnormal, particularly in the case of rapidly fluctuating time-series. The OOI procedure seems to detect the AO and TCO most effectively and the rate of classifying normal data as abnormal is also the lowest among the international checks. However, all three checks need additional scrutiny because they often fail to classify outliers when intermittent observations are performed or as a result of systematic errors, as well as tending to classify normal data as outliers in the case where there is abrupt change in the observed data due to a sensor being located within a sharp boundary between two water masses, which is a common feature in shallow water observations. Therefore, this study underlines the necessity of developing a new QC algorithm for time-series occurring in a shallow sea.