• Title/Summary/Keyword: Time-varying Failure Rate

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Measurement of Time-Varying Failure Rate for Power Distribution System Equipment Considering Weather Factor (기후인자를 고려한 배전계통 설비의 시변 고장률 추정)

  • Kim, Jae-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.23 no.8
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, the time-varying failure rate to consider climate effect was extracted. Even if the same kind of equipments is estimated for extracting the time-varying failure rate, the failure rates could be different depending on external effect such as climate. With the consequence, the failure rate extracted to consider the climate effect is necessary for using the failure rate on the optimal investment plan or asset management, To consider the characteristic of climate effects(Classified into 5 categories, heavy rain, thunderbolt, strong wind, tidal waves, no character), the survey of officers charging the operation of equipment in KEPCO branch office was done. With this consequence, this paper suggest the failure rate extraction method to consider the climate effect analyzed by the survey.

A Study on Revision Method of Historical Fault Data Considering Maintenance Effect to Use Proportional Aging Reduction(PAR) (PAR기법을 이용하여 유지보수 영향을 고려한 고장 데이터의 보정기법에 관한 연구)

  • Chu, Cheol-Min;Kim, Jae-Chul;Moon, Jong-Fil;Lee, Hee-Tae;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.9-11
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    • 2006
  • This paper suggests a revision method for historical fault data using Proportional Aging Reduction(PAR) to consider maintenance effect in time-varying failure rate. In order to product time-varying failure rate, the historical fault data are necessary. However, the maintenance record could be left out in historical data by spot operator's mistake. In this case, the failure rate is produced less than the average failure rate for increasing equipments' life-time by maintenance effect. Hence, it is necessary for new time-varying failure rate to extract maintenance effect from the existing fault data. In this paper, the revision method to reduce equipments' life-time, adversely using PAR among three techniques to consider maintenance effect.

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Extraction of Time-varying Failure Rate for Power Distribution System Equipment (배전계통 설비의 시변 고장률 추출)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul;Park, Chang-Ho
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.11
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    • pp.548-556
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    • 2005
  • Reliability evaluation of power distribution system is very important to both power utilities and customers. It present the probabilistic number and duration of interruption such as failure rate, SATDI, SAIFI, and CAIDI. However, it has a fatal weakness at reliability index because of accuracy of failure rate. In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rate(TFR) of power distribution system equipment is extracted from the recorded failure data of KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) in Korea. For TFR extraction, it is used that the fault data accumulated by KEPCO during 10 years. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential(random failure) and Weibull(aging failure) distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Finally, Probability plot and regression analysis is applied. It is presented that the extracted TFR is more effective and useful than Mean Failure Rate(MfR) through the comparison between TFR and MFR

Deciding the Maintenance Priority of Power Distribution System using Time-varying Failure Rate (시변 고장률을 이용한 배전계통 유지보수 우선순위 결정)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Moon, Jong-Fil;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.11
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    • pp.476-484
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    • 2006
  • The failure prediction and preventive maintenance for the equipment of nuclear power plant area using reliability-centered maintenance have been grown. On the other hand, the maintenance for power distribution system consists of time-based maintenance mainly. In this paper, the new maintenance algorithms for power distribution system are developed considering reliability indices. First of all, Time-varying failure rates are extracted from data accumulated at KEPCO using exponential distribution function and weibull distribution function. Next, based on the extracted failure rate, reliability for real power distribution system is evaluated for applying the effective maintenance algorithm which is the analytic method deciding the maintenance point of time and searching the feeder affecting the specific customer. Also the algorithm deciding the maintenance priority order are presented based on sensitivity analysis and equipment investment plan are analyzed through the presented algorithm at real power distribution system.

Reliability Evaluation of Power Distribution System Considering Maintenance Effects (유지보수 영향을 고려한 배전계통 신뢰도 평가)

  • Moon, Jong-Fil;Shon, Jin-Geun
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.59 no.2
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    • pp.154-157
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, the Time-varying Failure Rates(TFR) of power distribution system components are extracted from the recorded failure data of KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation) and the reliability of power distribution system is evaluated using Mean Failure Rate(MFR) and TFR. The TFR is approximated to bathtub curve using the exponential and Weibull distribution function. In addition, Kaplan-Meier estimation is applied to TFR extraction because of incomplete failure data of KEPCO. Also the reliability of the real power distribution system of Korea is evaluated using the MFR and TFR extracted from real failure data, respectively and the results of each case are compared with each other. As a result, it is proved that the reliability evaluation using the TFR is more realistic than MFR. In addition, it is presented that the application method at power distribution system maintenance and repair using the result of TFR.

Reliability for Failure Rates Different over Time Intervals (고장률이 시간 구간별로 다른 경우의 신뢰도)

  • Jeon, Tae-Bo
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.27 no.B
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    • pp.245-253
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    • 2007
  • Failure rate serves as a pivotal role in reliability study. Of all, the constant failure rate is the most popularly used in field exercises. In reality, however, the electrical and electronic parts' life is represented by not only the constant failure rate but the decreasing and/or increasing failure rates. Explicit consideration and incorporation of them into the model development may yield more desirable results. In this study, we built a reliability model for failure rates varying over time intervals and derived well known measures such as probability density function, reliability function, mean life, moments, and mission time. We then evaluated mean life with consideration of the first-year multiplier and compared the results those with constant failure rate. The results given in the study may provide a reference applying for practical decision making.

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Analyzing of the Time varying failure rate of components of power distribution system using Weibull distribution (와이블 분포를 이용한 배전설비기기의 시변 고장률 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul;Mon, Jong-Fil;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.272-274
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    • 2003
  • Distribution system reliability evaluation estimates by approach methods such as Makove modelling or Monte Carlo simulation, equation of state and failure rate that is on one basic data used to these assessment technique is described as probability of average value. because average failure rate equipment device is aged as time goes by but there is shortcoming that such used failure rate does not evaluate thing which is correct in reliability change hereafter. In this paper, failure rate displayed that apply aging to basis equipment device by passing time using Weibull distribution one of life evaluation method and for express aging of component from utility's failure database.

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Power Distribution System Equipment Failure Rate Analysis for Reliability Estimation (신뢰도 평가를 위한 배전계통 설비기기 고장률 분석)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Kim, Jae-Chul;Moon, Jong-Fil;Park, Chang-Ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of IIIuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.370-373
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    • 2004
  • The inside and outside of the country utilities considered that they focused energy and economic aspect for short-term in new environment change of restructure. but it need service reliability preservation and improvement countermeasure, that is no to use existent estimation method for reliability preservation. therefore, analyze the equipment failure rate for suitable reliability preservation through equipment failure rate analysis of power distribution r system and evaluated equipment that is composing power distribution system by the failure rate. This paper estimated failure causes and the TVFR(Time Varying Failure Rate) for main equipment that is composing power distribution system using Weibull distribution.

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Hardware and Software Dependability Analysis of Embedded AVTMR(All Voting Triple Modular Redundancy) System (내장형 AVTMR 시스템의 하드웨어 및 소프트웨어 신뢰성 분석)

  • Kim, Hyun-Ki
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.34 no.7B
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    • pp.744-750
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, the unified Markov modeling of hardware and software for AVTMR(AlI Voting Triple Modular Redundancy) system is proposed and the dependability is analyzed. In hardware case, a failure rate is fixed to no time varying parameter. But, in software case, failure rate is applied with time varying parameter. Especially, the dependability(Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, Safety) of software is analyzed with G-O/NHPP for Markov modeling. The dependability of single and AVTMR system is analyzed and simulated with a unified Markov modeling method, and the characteristic of each system is compared accroding to failure rate. This kind of fault tolerat system can be applied to an airplane and life critical system to meet the requirement for a specific requirement.

Making Decision of the Maintenance Priority of Power Distribution System using Time Varying Failure Rate and Interruption Cost

  • Chu, Cheol-Min;Kim, Jae-Chul;Yun, Sang-Yun
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of the this paper is to make decision of the maintenance priority of power distribution system using Time-Varying Failure Rate(TVFR) with interruption cost. This paper emphasizes the practical use of the reliability indices and interruption cost. To make a decision of maintenance priority on power distribution system equipment, the quantification of the reliability level should be represented as a cost. In this paper, the TVFR of power distribution system equipment applied in this paper utilizes analytic method to use the historical data of KEPCO. From this result, the sensitivity analysis on TVFR of equipment was done for the priority, which represents that high priority of the equipment has more effect on system reliability, such as SAIDI or SAIFI, than other equipment. By this priority, the investment plan is established. In this result, customer interruption cost(CIC) could be extracted, and CIC is used as weighting factor to consider a importance of customer. After that, the result calculated the proposal method in this paper is compared with other priority method, such as lifetime, failure rate or only sensitivity.